Spot the Differential
3 March 2018 1544 comments
James H James H
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All three of our differentials delivered attacking returns last week, and we’re hoping to repeat the trick with our latest choices.

Two big-name midfielders need little introduction, while an in-form budget forward has taken our fancy ahead of a home match-up against a struggling Arsenal.

Leroy Sane

Following a stunning display in the 3-0 win over Arsenal on Thursday night, Manchester City’s Leroy Sane is our headline selection.

The winger produced a goal, assist and two bonus points against the Gunners for his seventh double-figure haul of the season.

Interestingly, five of those have come at the Etihad Stadium, where only Kevin De Bruyne (six) has tallied more double-digit scores.

Pep Guardiola’s in-form side entertain Chelsea tomorrow.

The Blues travel north having conceded nine times over the last four Gameweeks – only West Bromwich Albion (11) have let in more.

City then face a trip to Stoke City in Gameweek 30.

The Potters have conceded more goals (54) than any other side this season and lost 7-2 in the reverse fixture back in Gameweek 8, when Sane recorded a goal and an assist.

Despite being the most popular pick heading into Gameweek 29, Sane is still found in only 8.7% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads, so has the potential to be a particularly explosive differential.

The City wide man has averaged an impressive 5.7 points per match (ppm), which is only bettered by just four other midfielders.

Priced at 8.4, Sane looks a tantalising option for those who need to turn to differentials to make big gains.

Glenn Murray

The home form of the Brighton & Hove Albion forward has drawn our attention.

Glenn Murray has produced four goals in his last three starts at the Amex, amassing 26 points.

He has now scored 10 goals the season and lies third among forwards in terms of points per million value with a score of 15.5.

Chris Hughton’s men enter tomorrow’s home clash against Arsenal full of confidence following their 4-1 victory over Swansea City.

The Gunners have lost each of their last three away matches and have given up 16 big chances over the last four Gameweeks – at least five more than any other side.

The form of the 3.5%-owned forward comes as no surprise when we take a look at his underlying statistics.

He has had four big chances in the last four Gameweeks, which is second to only Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane (nine) among FPL forwards.

The veteran striker sits fourth for shots (10), efforts in the box (nine) and attempts on target, with five, and has also displayed an ability to supply for his team-mates, despite the fact he has yet to register an assist this season.

The 5.8-priced forward is second to only Liverpool’s Roberto Firmino (seven) for chances created among strikers, with six.

In great form and facing an Arsenal side bereft of confidence, Murray looks to have the platform to enjoy another productive afternoon.

Aaron Ramsey

Matches away to Brighton and at home to Watford over the next two Gameweeks in particular see us plump for Arsenal’s Aaron Ramsey as our final pick.

The Wales international lies sixth behind Sane for ppm among FPL midfielders with 5.6 – impressively ahead of Leicester City’s Riyad Mahrez and Spurs’ Christian Eriksen (both 5.4).

Ramsey’s away form has been particularly eye-catching.

His 44% goal involvement on the road is superior to any team-mate, while no other Arsenal player has produced more shots from inside the penalty area (18) or shots on target (11) in away matches.

Brighton’s defence over their last four home encounters also provides further encouragement for Ramsey’s prospects.

The Seagulls have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those matches, while no side has conceded more goals (eight) or allowed more shots on target (20).

The Brighton rearguard is also the fifth worst for shots conceded inside the penalty area (29) over the last four home matches.

Available at just 6.9 in FPL, Ramsey provides terrific value.

The fact that Arsenal’s schedule from Gameweek 32 onwards (STK SOT new WHU) is so kind is worth noting, particularly for those Fantasy managers who have already used their second Wildcard.

Arsene Wenger’s will also benefit from a double Gameweek, with their trip to Leicester still to be re-arranged.

With an ownership of 3.9% in FPL, Ramsey is another player who can be a difference-maker over the next couple of weeks as the need to secure mini-leagues and climb the overall rankings intensifies.

  1. alexmj
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Max 4.5 to spend on a defender for this week and 31. Thinking its got to be Mariappa? Any other suggestions?

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      watford fixtures are terrible after this gw

      1. alexmj
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        I only need this week and as long as he gets more than 0 against Liverpool

        1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          not a bad move in that case

    2. JJO
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Probably
      He is popular here

    3. Pancake
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Martina, good for gw31 too

      1. alexmj
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Already got Pickford and Kenny and Baines is coming back

      2. kennethrhcp
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        coleman & baines back in squad

      3. Pompel
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        not nailed for GW30-31 according to team news

    4. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Morgan? lowton?

    5. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Zanka

      1. alexmj
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Getting him next week

    6. Pancake
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Or any Burnley player

  2. JJO
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Guys 1 more time and Im settled

    A) Sanchez Sterling Kane
    B) Davies Eriksen Aguero?

    1. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Davies, Sterling & Kane?

      1. JJO
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        0,1 short unfortunatly

        1. Zenith UK
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          How? Sanchez is more expensive than Davies?

          1. JJO
            • 13 Years
            8 years, 2 months ago

            hahah Ive never looked at his price
            I automaticaly thought he is cheaper
            Then I even cant do that A
            Would be Martina Sterling Kane +4

  3. OldBenKenobi
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Can’t stop laughing 😀
    https://twitter.com/nozza_/status/969272633228517376?s=21

    1. darrellb
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      hahahahaha

  4. Sgt. Schultz
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Guys 2 FT to play with

    Adrian
    Alonso - Christensen - Fernandez
    Salah - Sterling - Hazard - Walcott
    Firmino - Aguero - Ayew

    Jones - Wimmer - Allen - 0.4 ITB

    I'm set on Hazard > Mane
    What other transfers would be advisable if I'm playing FH in 31?

    1. Neville& Sons
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Hazard > Mane looks good

      1. Sgt. Schultz
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Do you suggest Aguero > Kane ?

    2. Blue&White85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I’d sell Jones for VVD and bench Christiansen.

      1. Blue&White85
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Don’t think you want to go into a game away at Man City with two Chelsea defenders.

        1. Sgt. Schultz
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Thanks pal

    3. Delph & Safety
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Hazard has Palace at home next week when mane has Utd away.

      1. Sgt. Schultz
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        hmm decision decision.

  5. Blue&White85
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Team for this weekend:

    Fabianski
    VVD Maguire Ogbonna
    Salah Sterling Walcott Richarlison
    Kane (c) Firmino Vardy

    Subs: Hennessey, Carroll, Lascelles, Jones

    1. Sgt. Schultz
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I predict Richarlison to boost ur rank 🙂

  6. DAZZ
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Triple Spurs and Triple Liverpool. Would love a couple of 3 or 4 nillers!!

    1. Malcolm Tucker for England …
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      nah, i can see Liverpool scoring..

  7. Big Col
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    A) Dunk to Davies -bench Otamendi
    B) Dunk to Davies - play Otamendi instead of Sterling
    C) Play Otamendi

    1. Blue&White85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      C

    2. Sid07
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

  8. Jimjam
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Ramsey or Arnautovic in for Walcott?

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      why sell walcott?

      1. Doar1986
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        because he has done bugger all since his first game and Everton look awful

        1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          He has been bad but would be silly to sell now with a gw 31 for me. Surely other issues in the team?

          1. Pep says
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 2 months ago

            If Walcott blanks the next 3 he gets 6 pts. I'd fancy Arnie and many other players to score more than 6 pts over their next 2 fixtures.

      2. Pompel
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        completely off form, for one?

    2. The 12th Man
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      What’s wrong with Walcott?

    3. Amsterhammer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Don't do that

    4. Cok3y5murf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I got Arnie

    5. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Ramsey. And yes, get rid of Walcott, hes a trap that will get 2 points in the bgw.

    6. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Get Arnie mate

    7. seanie3
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Get Arnie, walcott is crap. All this talk about keeping players just because they have gw31 is bit misleading really. If you bring in a player for gw31 early as you think he will do well up until 31 (eg Liverpool) and inc 31 then great then why bother keeping one that isn't eg walcott.. i've had wilson for the last 3 weeks and he has done jack, only kept hold of him so far as he has a gw31 good fixture but if he didn't I would ship as other strikers in his price bracket scoring good points last few weeks and will the next few also..

  9. Neville& Sons
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Who to bench?

    Simpson (Bmth H)
    Wilson (Lei A)
    JWP (Stoke H)

    Worried about Wilsons form. JWP hasnt done much and im banking on Stoke getting a result at Soton as brought in Shaq.

  10. OldBenKenobi
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Here’s me rolling my FT and my ML rivals have all made multiple transfers....
    Oh my :O

  11. Silicon Vialli
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Bench one:
    A) Chilwell
    B) Wilson
    C) Stephens

    1. Hulk Smash
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

  12. Claudio555
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Once Again: captain Kane or Salah (and why)?

    1. Thiga
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Salah

    2. seanie3
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I think this has been covered more than ever over the last few days....

  13. Doar1986
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Not really been keeping up with FF this season, are there some potential DGWs

    1. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      34 the big one, 37 smaller

      1. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Not confirmed

      2. Doar1986
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks
        which teams

  14. HD7
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    G2G?

    Team:

    De Gea
    Ota Vert Alonso
    Sterling Shaq Salah(C) Mahrez
    Firmino Kane Wilson

    Subs: Elliot, Ogbona, Obiang, Mbemba

    Hope at least one of Vert or Sterling starts?

  15. Harmonica1967
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Pope
    Ota-VVD-Maguire-Ake
    Salah-Son-Sterling-Shaq
    Kane-Aguero

    Elliot, Dunk, Carroll, Crouch
    0.4 ITB, 1FT

    Trying to limp to 7-8 players for 31, so which move makes most sense now:
    A). Sterling to Walcott
    B). Ota to an Everton defender
    C). Other

  16. skodaole2
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Is Shawcross starting today? Manager said he is fit from the beginning of the week but Team News have Martins Indi starting ahead of him.

    1. JJO
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      they dont risk it in team news

  17. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    GTG?
    Or some swaps between first 11 and bench?

    Adrian
    Ota/Bavies/VVD
    Son/Sterling/Salah/Shaq
    Kane(c)/Firmino/Wilson

    Elliot/Wally/Mee/Mbemba

  18. Athletic Nasherbo
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Wilson to Deeney FT?

    1. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      maverick move

  19. Lone Wolf FPL
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Fabianski, Ellliot
    Alonso, VVD, Ogbonna, Mariappa, Holgate
    Salah, Hazard, Shaqiri, Walcott, Milivo
    Kane, Firmino, Ayew

    A) Milivo > Mahrez
    B) Ayew > Vardy

  20. Sid07
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Ditch ogabonna to
    Max 4.7 defender

    Or
    Ota/ alonso to davies/aurier

  21. Gizmo13
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Bottomed...

    Pope Elliot
    VVD Danilo Zanka Maguire Jones
    Salah Alli Sterling Stanislas Deulofeu
    Kane Firmino DCL

    1 FT, 0.0 ITB - Save FT for next week? Still have free hit and WC for GW 31 and 32 respectively. Want to transfer Deulofeu because of the Sterling risk - any opinions?

  22. Hulk Smash
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Aguero to start - yay or nay?

    If nay I'll switch to Firmino.

    1. Amsterhammer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Start off at 60

    2. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      ye should start, might not get 90

    3. *Reformed-Character*
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      let me check my crystal ball...

    4. seanie3
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      will start, tear the chelsea defence apart and come off on 70th minute to give Jesus a 20 min run out so Jesus has match minutes under his belt so Pep can start him against Basel during the week.

    5. Hulk Smash
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Thanks all

  23. PL Ball
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Would you rather have Ramsey, Arnie or Shaq?

    1. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      arnie for 2 weeks then shaq

    2. Amsterhammer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Arnie

    3. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Shaq - the mans in great form atm!

  24. Warmsy
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Salad or Cake?

    1. Thiga
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Cake

  25. HD7
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    I really dont get the logic I will C Kane because Im chasing... well If you captained Kane last GW how did it help you with the chase?
    Harry gave me the win in my league last year but Captained him far too much this year and Salah only once (last GW) 😀

  26. darrellb
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    what time does the preamble come out? any updates on sterling?

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      in 10 mins

  27. Weeb Kakashi
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Pick one

    A Play Sterling
    B Play Bauer/Dunk
    C Sterling > Siggy/Alli(Have Kane + Eriksen)

  28. Ruinenlust
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Tempted to do Hazard -> Mahrez but Hazard does have a good record against City

    1. Sgt. Schultz
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Tell me what you do

  29. GOTHAM City F.C.
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Play Mariappa(WBA) or Otamendi (CHE)?

  30. Shack
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Play
    A: Daniels (lei)
    B: Ogbonna (swa) - already playing Adrian
    C: Obgonna (swa), but put Foster (wat) in goal to hedge my (very poor) bets
    Cheers!