Spot the Differential
3 March 2018 1544 comments
James H James H
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All three of our differentials delivered attacking returns last week, and we’re hoping to repeat the trick with our latest choices.

Two big-name midfielders need little introduction, while an in-form budget forward has taken our fancy ahead of a home match-up against a struggling Arsenal.

Leroy Sane

Following a stunning display in the 3-0 win over Arsenal on Thursday night, Manchester City’s Leroy Sane is our headline selection.

The winger produced a goal, assist and two bonus points against the Gunners for his seventh double-figure haul of the season.

Interestingly, five of those have come at the Etihad Stadium, where only Kevin De Bruyne (six) has tallied more double-digit scores.

Pep Guardiola’s in-form side entertain Chelsea tomorrow.

The Blues travel north having conceded nine times over the last four Gameweeks – only West Bromwich Albion (11) have let in more.

City then face a trip to Stoke City in Gameweek 30.

The Potters have conceded more goals (54) than any other side this season and lost 7-2 in the reverse fixture back in Gameweek 8, when Sane recorded a goal and an assist.

Despite being the most popular pick heading into Gameweek 29, Sane is still found in only 8.7% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads, so has the potential to be a particularly explosive differential.

The City wide man has averaged an impressive 5.7 points per match (ppm), which is only bettered by just four other midfielders.

Priced at 8.4, Sane looks a tantalising option for those who need to turn to differentials to make big gains.

Glenn Murray

The home form of the Brighton & Hove Albion forward has drawn our attention.

Glenn Murray has produced four goals in his last three starts at the Amex, amassing 26 points.

He has now scored 10 goals the season and lies third among forwards in terms of points per million value with a score of 15.5.

Chris Hughton’s men enter tomorrow’s home clash against Arsenal full of confidence following their 4-1 victory over Swansea City.

The Gunners have lost each of their last three away matches and have given up 16 big chances over the last four Gameweeks – at least five more than any other side.

The form of the 3.5%-owned forward comes as no surprise when we take a look at his underlying statistics.

He has had four big chances in the last four Gameweeks, which is second to only Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane (nine) among FPL forwards.

The veteran striker sits fourth for shots (10), efforts in the box (nine) and attempts on target, with five, and has also displayed an ability to supply for his team-mates, despite the fact he has yet to register an assist this season.

The 5.8-priced forward is second to only Liverpool’s Roberto Firmino (seven) for chances created among strikers, with six.

In great form and facing an Arsenal side bereft of confidence, Murray looks to have the platform to enjoy another productive afternoon.

Aaron Ramsey

Matches away to Brighton and at home to Watford over the next two Gameweeks in particular see us plump for Arsenal’s Aaron Ramsey as our final pick.

The Wales international lies sixth behind Sane for ppm among FPL midfielders with 5.6 – impressively ahead of Leicester City’s Riyad Mahrez and Spurs’ Christian Eriksen (both 5.4).

Ramsey’s away form has been particularly eye-catching.

His 44% goal involvement on the road is superior to any team-mate, while no other Arsenal player has produced more shots from inside the penalty area (18) or shots on target (11) in away matches.

Brighton’s defence over their last four home encounters also provides further encouragement for Ramsey’s prospects.

The Seagulls have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those matches, while no side has conceded more goals (eight) or allowed more shots on target (20).

The Brighton rearguard is also the fifth worst for shots conceded inside the penalty area (29) over the last four home matches.

Available at just 6.9 in FPL, Ramsey provides terrific value.

The fact that Arsenal’s schedule from Gameweek 32 onwards (STK SOT new WHU) is so kind is worth noting, particularly for those Fantasy managers who have already used their second Wildcard.

Arsene Wenger’s will also benefit from a double Gameweek, with their trip to Leicester still to be re-arranged.

With an ownership of 3.9% in FPL, Ramsey is another player who can be a difference-maker over the next couple of weeks as the need to secure mini-leagues and climb the overall rankings intensifies.

  1. eririi
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    GTG?
    De Gea-(Speroni)
    Davies-Ogbonna-Robertson-(Azpi-Laporte)
    Mkhitaryan-Hazard-Salah-Shaqiri-Ward-Prowse
    Kane-Wilson-(Niasse)

    1. Pancake
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      What's your overall?

      1. eririi
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        89k

    2. ooooo
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes

    3. Speédy
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Start Lapete. Let Oggy auto sub in if he doesn't start.

      1. Speédy
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        *Laporte

  2. ooooo
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Play 1
    A) Chilwell(BOU H)
    B) Fernandez(WHU H)

    1. Speédy
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

    2. Jonny HOW SON?
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      a

    3. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

  3. MFPL
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Thinking Sterling to Mkhi or Sane, have 1FT and 0.2mITB with all chips available... thoughts?

    Pope
    Alonso Van Dijk Bauer
    Salah Sterling Mahrez Walcott
    Kane Firmino Niasse

    Elliot Schindler Choupo-Moting Yedlin

    1. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      i’d go sane, you want some Man City cover

    2. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Sterling to Sane could end in tears

      1. the axolotl
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        it could. i'm close to doing it though. tough call

    3. Don Van Vliet
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Rambo or Arnie in for J. Linz?

    4. Pancake
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Sane all day

  4. Speédy
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Start Sterling or Wilson?

    1. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      sterling all day

    2. Jonny HOW SON?
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      both

    3. Wolfman180
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Sterling

  5. Lone Wolf FPL
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    I'm very interested what would be your answer here:

    Salah, Hazard, Shaqiri, Walcott, Milivo
    Kane, Firmino, Ayew

    A) Milivo > Mahrez
    B) Ayew > Vardy
    C) Milivo > Sterling

    1. Jonny HOW SON?
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      a

    2. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B - can keep mili for gw31

    3. subhojit123
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

    4. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

  6. subhojit123
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Pope
    Alonso martina lowton
    Salah ramsey KDB shaqiri
    Kane(C) Firmino JAyew

    Bench - Arnie, ogbonna, pickford, Mbemba

    Whom do I bench to play Arnie?

    1. Don Van Vliet
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Ayew is your only route.

      1. subhojit123
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Tjanks

    2. FC Hakkebøf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I would bench Shaqiri

  7. Jonny HOW SON?
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Adrian
    Jones Otamendi Maguire
    Mahrez Salah Shaqiri Sterling
    Kane Firmino Wilson

    Courtois Ogbonna Mbemba RLC

    Looking to do Adrian & Jones to Pickford & Van Dijk.
    Opinions?

  8. Dirty Leeds
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Makes sense Deulofeu, Bernardo Silva >> Shaq, Arnie? Cheers lads

    1. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Why would you get B.Silva out?

      1. Dirty Leeds
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        100k short to do simply Deulofeu to Shaq

  9. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    GTG?
    Or some swaps between first 11 and bench??

    Adrian
    Ota/Bavies/VVD
    Son/Sterling/Salah/Shaq
    Kane(c)/Firmino/Wilson

    Elliot/Wally/Mee/Mbemba

  10. Yozzer
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Start Wilson or Walcott ?

    1. MFC Lad
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Same dilemma, edging toward Wilson but don't like either

    2. FC Hakkebøf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Wilson mate

  11. Bubz
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Praying for a Mahrez haul today

  12. Mesh
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Bench 1.

    A. Alonso
    B. Lowton
    C. Ogbonna

    1. Jonny HOW SON?
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      c

    2. Speédy
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      C

    3. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      C

  13. istanbul05
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Who to bench:

    A) Otamendi (CHE)
    B) Chilwell (BOU)
    C) Mee (EVE)
    D) Wilson (lei)

    Thanks guys!

    1. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Wilson or Mee

  14. hannesdela
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Aubameyang and McArthur in for Wilson and Sterling, good gamble if you're chasing?

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      No. Auba looked poor if you ask me. What’s your team?

      1. hannesdela
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Pope (Adrian)
        Davies Ward Fernandez (Ogbonna, Francis)
        Salah Mahrez Sterling Walcott (Lingard)
        Kane Firmino (Wilson)

        Was considering Arnautovic, Sané and Eriksen too, but felt a lure to do sth unconventional with Aubameyang.

        1. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Sterling or Lingard >> Arnie?

          1. hannesdela
            • 14 Years
            8 years, 2 months ago

            Yeah, probably the safer bet.

            Can only do Sterling --> Arnautovic, after that I'm 0.1M short for Walcott --> Eriksen or 0.3M short for Lingard --> Sané (second transfer would be -4). Kind of frustrating.

            You think Sterling --> Arnie and no hit is okay?

  15. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Morning all!

    Good to go? 1 hit taken. Thanks and good luck 🙂

    Pickford
    VvD • Kiko F • Otamendi
    Arnautovic • Salah(vc) • Mahrez • Son
    Harry(C) • C. Wilson • Firmino
    (Elliot, Choupo-M, Christensen, Duffy)

    Will try give out some advice now 🙂

    1. Delph & Safety
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Nice team, I’m starting Kiko too are you confident he plays?

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Worth the risk IMO

    2. Lumberjack
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Nice team, good luck!

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers 😀

    3. dbeck
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Nice team, I’m thinking sterling to Arnie, thoughts?

      DDG
      Lowton alonso vvd
      Salah Sterling Mahrez Son
      Kane niasse Firmino

      Elliot Allen Kenny dunk

      1ft 0itb wild card in 32

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Nice move IMO.

        1. dbeck
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Cheers Rafa

  16. Lignja
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    play mee or mariapa?

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Mee

  17. zon
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Sterling to

    A) Eriksen
    B) Sane
    C) Arnautovic
    D) Mahrez?

    Currently on A.

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Tough one. Like all 4! I have C or D so slightly favour them. C for funds perhaps

      1. zon
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Really don't do anything with the extra funds, going to bring in cheap players for GW31 and then wildcard. Just pure points perspective, Arnie could still do well. I'm slightly worried about Mahrez' morale, granted he could've easily score vs Stoke.

    2. Regin
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      sterling good chance to play & from next week, he will be fit. Then why get rid now?

      1. zon
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Pep said he will hopefully be ready for Chelsea or Basel. Brought in him very late so not losing any value, I can bring him back when wildcarding. It could be a good bet to bring in some other player over the next two GW's.

        1. FC Hakkebøf
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          If no value is lost deffo go for it for free

  18. Lumberjack
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Would you rather keep Ibe or Allen for the next 4 GW? Both play in GW31, but both unlikely to score highly. Allen more likely to start?

    1. Sedemuda
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes Allen more nailed

      1. Lumberjack
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers

  19. Dele
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Both as bad as each other...

    Play one

    A) Wilson
    B) Walcott

    1. Moves like Dejagah
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Walcott

    2. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

    3. FC Hakkebøf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

  20. Athletic Nasherbo
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Wow didn’t realise Baines was 5.6m.

  21. Bobadoba
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Eriksen or Mahrez?

    1. Moves like Dejagah
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Eriksen

  22. SiSenõr90
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Alonso, ibe and sterling out robertson, arnie and mahrez in for -8 worth it?

    1. Moves like Dejagah
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Not for me

    2. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      -4 maybe not -8 but could return hugely.

  23. Moves like Dejagah
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    I have 1 FT and 0.1m in the bank - I now have a non playing bench. Ideas appreciated.

    Ryan

    Alonso, Robertson, Daniels

    Richarlison, Hazard, Lingard, Salah

    Wilson, Firmino, Kane

    (Pereira, Long, Jones, RLC)

    1. FC Hakkebøf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Jones --> VVD if your wildcarding in 32

      1. FC Hakkebøf
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Did not see Robertson.. Maybe Maguire?

  24. Zenith UK
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Repost, sorry;

    DDG
    Otamendi, Smalling, Naughton
    Ramsey, Salah (c), KDB, Lingard, CM
    Firmino, Vardy

    Pope, Alonso, DCL, Azpi

    I'm thinking;
    A) Alonso > Robertson
    B) Alonso & Azpi > Robertson & Davies
    C) Alonso & Azpi > Robertson & Morgan
    D) Alonso, Azpi & Lingard > Robertson, Morgan & Arnie (-4), do I wanna lose JLingz?
    E) Other... Please let me know your thoughts.

  25. subhojit123
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Reposting..
    Pope
    Alonso martina lowton
    Salah ramsey KDB shaqiri
    Kane(C) Firmino JAyew

    Bench - Arnie, ogbonna, pickford, Mbemba

    Whom do I bench to play Arnie?

    1. Regin
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      shaqiri perhaps

  26. john25
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Repost.

    Hey guys, what would you do with this team? Have 1FT and 0.9 ITB. It looks like I should make a TF but I don’t know what to do so considering to save..

    Pope-3.9
    Duffy - Hegazi - Alonso - Francis - 3.9
    Mane - Allen - Salah - Sterling - McArthur
    Wilson-Aguero-Kane

    Thanks!

  27. lordkippe
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    GTG ? 2.3 ITB 1 FT

    Pickford

    VVD - Maguirre - Mee - Ogbonna

    Mane - Salah - Gross

    Kane - Aguero - Wilson

    Elliot - Moting - Daniels - RLC

    A : Aguero > Auba/Vardy
    B : Gross > Arniee
    C : Aguero > Vardy & Gross > Ramsey/Mahrez
    D : Save
    E : Other suggestion

  28. Forza Papac
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Hol' up... is Sterling really -430 on fpls stats 😆

  29. Our Tiny Windows
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    De
    Jones+ Moses Van Dijk

    Ogbonna Long

    is my defence. Should I do Jones to Davies before deadline?

  30. Winners900
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Who to start?

    A) Choupa M
    B) Ogbonna

    Appreciated !