Spot the Differential
3 March 2018 1544 comments
James H James H
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All three of our differentials delivered attacking returns last week, and we’re hoping to repeat the trick with our latest choices.

Two big-name midfielders need little introduction, while an in-form budget forward has taken our fancy ahead of a home match-up against a struggling Arsenal.

Leroy Sane

Following a stunning display in the 3-0 win over Arsenal on Thursday night, Manchester City’s Leroy Sane is our headline selection.

The winger produced a goal, assist and two bonus points against the Gunners for his seventh double-figure haul of the season.

Interestingly, five of those have come at the Etihad Stadium, where only Kevin De Bruyne (six) has tallied more double-digit scores.

Pep Guardiola’s in-form side entertain Chelsea tomorrow.

The Blues travel north having conceded nine times over the last four Gameweeks – only West Bromwich Albion (11) have let in more.

City then face a trip to Stoke City in Gameweek 30.

The Potters have conceded more goals (54) than any other side this season and lost 7-2 in the reverse fixture back in Gameweek 8, when Sane recorded a goal and an assist.

Despite being the most popular pick heading into Gameweek 29, Sane is still found in only 8.7% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads, so has the potential to be a particularly explosive differential.

The City wide man has averaged an impressive 5.7 points per match (ppm), which is only bettered by just four other midfielders.

Priced at 8.4, Sane looks a tantalising option for those who need to turn to differentials to make big gains.

Glenn Murray

The home form of the Brighton & Hove Albion forward has drawn our attention.

Glenn Murray has produced four goals in his last three starts at the Amex, amassing 26 points.

He has now scored 10 goals the season and lies third among forwards in terms of points per million value with a score of 15.5.

Chris Hughton’s men enter tomorrow’s home clash against Arsenal full of confidence following their 4-1 victory over Swansea City.

The Gunners have lost each of their last three away matches and have given up 16 big chances over the last four Gameweeks – at least five more than any other side.

The form of the 3.5%-owned forward comes as no surprise when we take a look at his underlying statistics.

He has had four big chances in the last four Gameweeks, which is second to only Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane (nine) among FPL forwards.

The veteran striker sits fourth for shots (10), efforts in the box (nine) and attempts on target, with five, and has also displayed an ability to supply for his team-mates, despite the fact he has yet to register an assist this season.

The 5.8-priced forward is second to only Liverpool’s Roberto Firmino (seven) for chances created among strikers, with six.

In great form and facing an Arsenal side bereft of confidence, Murray looks to have the platform to enjoy another productive afternoon.

Aaron Ramsey

Matches away to Brighton and at home to Watford over the next two Gameweeks in particular see us plump for Arsenal’s Aaron Ramsey as our final pick.

The Wales international lies sixth behind Sane for ppm among FPL midfielders with 5.6 – impressively ahead of Leicester City’s Riyad Mahrez and Spurs’ Christian Eriksen (both 5.4).

Ramsey’s away form has been particularly eye-catching.

His 44% goal involvement on the road is superior to any team-mate, while no other Arsenal player has produced more shots from inside the penalty area (18) or shots on target (11) in away matches.

Brighton’s defence over their last four home encounters also provides further encouragement for Ramsey’s prospects.

The Seagulls have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those matches, while no side has conceded more goals (eight) or allowed more shots on target (20).

The Brighton rearguard is also the fifth worst for shots conceded inside the penalty area (29) over the last four home matches.

Available at just 6.9 in FPL, Ramsey provides terrific value.

The fact that Arsenal’s schedule from Gameweek 32 onwards (STK SOT new WHU) is so kind is worth noting, particularly for those Fantasy managers who have already used their second Wildcard.

Arsene Wenger’s will also benefit from a double Gameweek, with their trip to Leicester still to be re-arranged.

With an ownership of 3.9% in FPL, Ramsey is another player who can be a difference-maker over the next couple of weeks as the need to secure mini-leagues and climb the overall rankings intensifies.

  1. Dr. DOOM
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Start one :

    A. Wilson
    B. Walcott
    C. Long

    1. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

      1. Dr. DOOM
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        On B too. Cheers

    2. Yozzer
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Im currently starting Mee and Ota.

      Meaning Wilson and wally on bench

      I don't know what I'm doing

      1. Dr. DOOM
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        I wouldn't start mee tbh. Wouldn't rely on CS chance.

        1. Yozzer
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          I guess so. Could be regretting it in first 5 mins couldn't I. Where as attacker can always score later . Cheers

  2. Camp No No
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Am I the only one who thinks that the blank GW 31 will be awful and not worth spending the wildcard either before or right after it?

    1. panda07
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      The wildcard is being used afterwards to set teams up for the double gameweeks in 34 and 37

    2. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Many of those who haven't planned are trying to convince themselves the same 😉

  3. Going Home
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    After carrying Ox since the Lanzini injury in what seems like 2007 (why didn’t I follow the herd and get Shaqiri?), I’ve finally managed to get rid this week. Watch this be the week he makes double figures *doh*

  4. N00B
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Who is more attacking threat ? Bauer or Stafylidis ?

    1. Mr. Funny Name
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Bauer going by watching the game last week

  5. Over Midwicket
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Kun(c)? Incredible home record, and came off early v the Gunners.

    Great differential.

  6. jazzy30
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Hi Guys,GK Pope or Pickford? Otamendi or Bauer ? and captain Kane of Salah???

    1. vardys party
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Pope
      Otamendi
      Kane (c)

  7. grooveymatt65
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Hi guys im in abit of a pickle and need some advice. My team is the following:

    Pope / Joel Pereira

    Smalling/ Francis/ Alonso Simpson/ Rangel

    Salah/ Mahrez/ Sterling/Walcott/RLC

    Wilson/ Firmino/ Kane 

    (£1.0 ITB with 1 ft)

    What should i do out of these options?

    1. Sterling to Mane
    2. Wilson to Murray
    3.Sterling to Eriksen
    4. Save

    Thanks guys 🙂

    1. Going Home
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      You’ll need to get rid of Pope soon...

  8. The Final Boss
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Do every Games will go ahead?????keen to know about the saints match since shaq is in my team,big differential in my ML.TIA

    1. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      All games are still on

      1. The Final Boss
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks....

    2. Bubbles1985
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Shaq will blank today anyway 😀

      1. The Final Boss
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        oh........please dont say that he will either get an yellow or red 🙂

  9. Bubbles1985
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    My team is :

    Pope
    VVD - Maguire - Dunk
    Albrighton - Son - Salah(vc) - Sterling
    Aguero - Kane(c) - Wilson

    Elliot - TCarroll - Gomez - Kelly

    I have 0.1m itb and 1FT

    A) Sterling+Dunk > Arnie+Bavies
    B) Save

    1. Going Home
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Save. Think Raheem has a decent chance of starting and Bavies has a reasonable chance of being rested. Imagine the disappointment of both of those happened :O

      1. Bubbles1985
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Terrible!
        FPL brings on paranoia

  10. Tornado
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Mane or hazard this gw?

    1. Leeds-Utd
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Mane

  11. KUNingas
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Which one

    A) Alonso -> VVD
    B) Sterling -> Mane

    1. Leeds-Utd
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

  12. Leeds-Utd
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Help plz...bench 1
    1-Shaqiri
    2-Walcott
    3-Arnie
    4-Salah
    5-Mikitarian
    6-Agureo
    7-Kane
    8-J.Ayew

    Thanks

    1. Dr. DOOM
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      8 for me

    2. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Walcott

    3. KLOPPS AND ROBBERS... the s…
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Salah

      1. Leeds-Utd
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Salah...yeah I think so too..he is due a rest...hahahaha

    4. StayoutheSpiceZone
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Salah or kane

    5. FPL Ultras
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      8

  13. purple.emu
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    I’ve just put in Myhki instead of Mahrez! Feels good not to follow the crowd!!!!

    1. StayoutheSpiceZone
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes could be a good shout

    2. FPL Ultras
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yeah, right move!

  14. It’s gonna Ben Mee
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    GTG?

    Schmeichel
    Pieters Ogbonna VVD
    Sterling Salah Wally Shaq
    Kane(c) Kun Wilson

    Bench: Pope Milivojevic Alonso Zanka

  15. Patch
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    3rd in ML

    Top 2 are captaining Kane.

    All those below are primarily capping Salah.

    Logic would suggest I need to cap Salah right???

    1. Patch
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Everyone has a blip every so often, not every week can be golden...

      Gonna punt with Kane rather than Salah...lord save my soul!

  16. JurgenRodgers
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Lingard to Arnautovic/Ramsey for Free?

    Or save

    1. Leeds-Utd
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Arnie for me

    2. dbeck
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      For Arnie

    3. StayoutheSpiceZone
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I think Ramsey

  17. Sz21
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Absolutely stumped here~
    Maybe just save or move for a Spurs player?

    Pickford.
    VVD, Otamendi, Mee.
    Richarlison, Sterling, Salah, Mahrez, Walcott.
    Firmino, Kane.
    Speroni, Wilson, Kenny, Ogbonna.
    1ft, 0.6m. WC GW 32/33.

  18. Shrimpy
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    set?

    Pickford
    Azpi / Otamendi / Davies / Mustafi / Mee
    Salah (c) / Mane / Sterling / Shaqiri
    Kane

  19. soulsaver
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Morning People!
    Any Everton fans around?
    wondering if Bains will play? thinking of getting him in also he can play WK 31....
    Sorry for repost....

    1. StayoutheSpiceZone
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Think he will start

  20. StayoutheSpiceZone
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Guys, gtg?

    Karius
    Davies ogbonna Maguire
    Son Ramsey salah mane Walcott
    Kane (c) vardy

    Bench Wilson kenny Daniels

  21. Mesh
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    What is the advantage in using the FH chip in GW35 rather than GW31?

    1. DeadStarComing
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      The quick turnaround from the DGW34. You may want a lot of DGW34 players who actually blank in 35.

    2. StayoutheSpiceZone
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I think gw31 is a bad gw

    3. Viper
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Because as long as you have Salah (c) in gwk 31, you'll be fine.

  22. Lazerball
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    No idea what to do this week. Any thoughts appreciated. Team is

    Karius
    Ota Alonso Mee
    Shaq Salah(c) Mane Walcott Son
    Kane Wilson

    Subs Elliott Daniels Quaner Dunk

    A. Ota to Bavies
    B. Son to (up to 11m MID)
    C. Dunk to a GW31 Def
    D. Save FT

    Thanks

    1. StayoutheSpiceZone
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      D - good team

  23. Loker Joker
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Who would you bench? Daniels (vs LEI) or Dunk (vs ARS)

    1. Lazerball
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Dunk

  24. MASTER ROSHI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Really not sure on this one - I'm replacing alonso, do I go with
    A) Bellerin or
    B)Dawson?
    Not playing FH in 31
    Thanks

    1. FPL Ultras
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Do not replace Alonso.

  25. DR0GBA
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Who to start?

    A) Christensen (mci)
    B) Fernandez (WHU)
    C) Mee (EVE)

    1. The Overthinker
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      C

  26. The Overthinker
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    I am so tempted to captain Kane. But only for my rank, I am afraid not captaining Salah will hurt me

    1. panda07
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Do whatever you think will give you the most points

  27. GreenArrows
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    gtg or take a hit?

    Pope
    VVD Davies Otamendi
    Salah Sterling Son Walcott Shaqiri
    Kane (C) Firmino

    Elliot Ogbonna Quaner Duffy

    0FT 0.5itb

    1. FPL Ultras
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      GTG
      Very strong team!

  28. white lightning
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Just after some advice please:
    (a) play Maquire or Lowton &
    (b) sell Walcott to Ramsey for a -4 hit = y or n

    Thanks.

  29. FPL Ultras
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Good morning fantasy players! Who would you CAPTAIN?

    a) Vardy
    b) Kane
    c) Firmino
    d) Son
    e) Hazard
    f) David Silva
    g) Mkhitaryan

    I am thinking about Kane, but perhaps captain Vardy or Silva as a differential?

    Thank you guys!

  30. JabbaWookiee
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Struggling with what to do with my 2 FTs.

    A) Switch De Bruyne out for Eriksen?
    B) Start stocking up for 31 (currently have 6/7 incl 3 Liv)
    C) Something else