Spot the Differential
3 March 2018 1544 comments
James H James H
Share:

All three of our differentials delivered attacking returns last week, and we’re hoping to repeat the trick with our latest choices.

Two big-name midfielders need little introduction, while an in-form budget forward has taken our fancy ahead of a home match-up against a struggling Arsenal.

Leroy Sane

Following a stunning display in the 3-0 win over Arsenal on Thursday night, Manchester City’s Leroy Sane is our headline selection.

The winger produced a goal, assist and two bonus points against the Gunners for his seventh double-figure haul of the season.

Interestingly, five of those have come at the Etihad Stadium, where only Kevin De Bruyne (six) has tallied more double-digit scores.

Pep Guardiola’s in-form side entertain Chelsea tomorrow.

The Blues travel north having conceded nine times over the last four Gameweeks – only West Bromwich Albion (11) have let in more.

City then face a trip to Stoke City in Gameweek 30.

The Potters have conceded more goals (54) than any other side this season and lost 7-2 in the reverse fixture back in Gameweek 8, when Sane recorded a goal and an assist.

Despite being the most popular pick heading into Gameweek 29, Sane is still found in only 8.7% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads, so has the potential to be a particularly explosive differential.

The City wide man has averaged an impressive 5.7 points per match (ppm), which is only bettered by just four other midfielders.

Priced at 8.4, Sane looks a tantalising option for those who need to turn to differentials to make big gains.

Glenn Murray

The home form of the Brighton & Hove Albion forward has drawn our attention.

Glenn Murray has produced four goals in his last three starts at the Amex, amassing 26 points.

He has now scored 10 goals the season and lies third among forwards in terms of points per million value with a score of 15.5.

Chris Hughton’s men enter tomorrow’s home clash against Arsenal full of confidence following their 4-1 victory over Swansea City.

The Gunners have lost each of their last three away matches and have given up 16 big chances over the last four Gameweeks – at least five more than any other side.

The form of the 3.5%-owned forward comes as no surprise when we take a look at his underlying statistics.

He has had four big chances in the last four Gameweeks, which is second to only Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane (nine) among FPL forwards.

The veteran striker sits fourth for shots (10), efforts in the box (nine) and attempts on target, with five, and has also displayed an ability to supply for his team-mates, despite the fact he has yet to register an assist this season.

The 5.8-priced forward is second to only Liverpool’s Roberto Firmino (seven) for chances created among strikers, with six.

In great form and facing an Arsenal side bereft of confidence, Murray looks to have the platform to enjoy another productive afternoon.

Aaron Ramsey

Matches away to Brighton and at home to Watford over the next two Gameweeks in particular see us plump for Arsenal’s Aaron Ramsey as our final pick.

The Wales international lies sixth behind Sane for ppm among FPL midfielders with 5.6 – impressively ahead of Leicester City’s Riyad Mahrez and Spurs’ Christian Eriksen (both 5.4).

Ramsey’s away form has been particularly eye-catching.

His 44% goal involvement on the road is superior to any team-mate, while no other Arsenal player has produced more shots from inside the penalty area (18) or shots on target (11) in away matches.

Brighton’s defence over their last four home encounters also provides further encouragement for Ramsey’s prospects.

The Seagulls have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those matches, while no side has conceded more goals (eight) or allowed more shots on target (20).

The Brighton rearguard is also the fifth worst for shots conceded inside the penalty area (29) over the last four home matches.

Available at just 6.9 in FPL, Ramsey provides terrific value.

The fact that Arsenal’s schedule from Gameweek 32 onwards (STK SOT new WHU) is so kind is worth noting, particularly for those Fantasy managers who have already used their second Wildcard.

Arsene Wenger’s will also benefit from a double Gameweek, with their trip to Leicester still to be re-arranged.

With an ownership of 3.9% in FPL, Ramsey is another player who can be a difference-maker over the next couple of weeks as the need to secure mini-leagues and climb the overall rankings intensifies.

  1. Miguel Sanchez
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Sterling to

    A) Eriksen
    B) Mahrez
    C) save

    1. QuintonFortune25
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

    2. AVFCChris1984
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Tough one, mahrez for me though

    3. Sid1891
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A or B avoiding double spurs or foxes

    4. HonestBlatter
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

  2. JayLegend
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Whats the deal with Trippier? is he just a trap?

    1. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Aurier suspended from CL so will likely play next 2 while Trippier plays in the Juventus game

      1. JayLegend
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        thanks will get rid

  3. AVFCChris1984
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Pick 2 from these 3

    a) Lingard
    b) J Ayew
    c) Walcott

    1. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      to play? Walcott and Ayew

      1. AVFCChris1984
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        yeah sorry, to play. rest of my attack is

        salah
        mahrez
        Shaqiri

        Kane
        Firmino

    2. NATSTER
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      a + b

  4. NATSTER
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Should I start Mariappa (WBA) or Iwobi (bha) ?

    Foster
    VVD - Otamendi - Alonso
    Salah - Mahrez - Shaqiri
    Firmino - Kane - Aguero

    Sub : Speroni | Ibe, Rosenior

    1. QuintonFortune25
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Mariappa

    2. Mike-Kovic
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      mariappa

    3. AVFCChris1984
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Mariappa

    4. NATSTER
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Thank you

  5. Hardly Athletic
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    1FT and 0.0ITB.

    Foster - Elliot
    Alonso - Otamendi - Robertson - Duffy - Ogbonna
    Salah - Sterling - Mahrez - Walcott - Shaqiri
    Kane - Firmino - McBurnie

    What should I do, save transfer?

    1. Wetdream
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yep save

  6. ooooo
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    RLC to McArthur?

    1. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Nah, you can do better 😮

  7. Darth_Newdar
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Sterling --> Sané/Arnautovic, or hold and hope he plays? No other pressing issues in my team.

    1. NATSTER
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      1 or 2 FTs ?

      If 1, I would hold.

      1. Darth_Newdar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        1 FT - thanks

    2. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      personally i’m keeping. the way city are playing you’d be mad to go without one of their attacking options so if you want rid and no one else i’d do sane out of those suggested

      1. Darth_Newdar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks, yes you're probably right, just worried he won't play which would be annoying. Hopefully he will be back though.

      2. Yozzer
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        That's what stopped me. I visioned watching them vs stoke with no attack

  8. In Carrick we trust
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Kane or salah???

    1. Darth_Newdar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Salah for me - Spurs have a much tougher CL fixture midweek, so Kane is at more risk of being subbed off early

      1. NATSTER
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        It will happen only if Spurs are well ahead.

    2. Thiga
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Salah

  9. PascalCygan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Would you sell Sterling and sign either:
    A) Eriksen
    B) Mahrez

    Already have Salah, Shaq, Walcott, Mili. Have Kane too.

    Thanks!

    1. QuintonFortune25
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes would get either of them. Erikson better for next two games imo

    2. Darth_Newdar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Mahrez would tempt me. I already own him, so owner's bias here however...

      1. PascalCygan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers guys, it’s a real tough one given the favourable fixtures for both.

  10. Gizmo13
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Deulofeu to:

    A) Doucoure
    B) Ward-Prowse
    C) Save

    Planning to Free Hit on GW 31, WC on GW 32. Have 1 FT, current midfield of Salah Alli Sterling Stanislas and Deulofeu.

    1. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Brunt?

  11. Teror
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Are we tempting fate with captaining Salah for the fifth week in a row? What sort of animal delivers returns five weeks in a row? Is Kane due this week?

    1. Athletic Nasherbo
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Kane (C) right now for me.

    2. Thiga
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Kane

    3. QuintonFortune25
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Would captain Kane but given the big against Juve on Wednesday him and Erikson and another key player could get rested after 60/70 mins. Especially if 2 goals up which is likely. Therefore I'm going Salah as Pools champions league tie is already over

      1. FC Hakkebøf
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Kane is chasing the golden boot, and rarely needs a rest. The man is a machine..

      2. Brosstan
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Poch never manages Kane's minutes. He will play at least 80 minutes. Still captaining Salah though.

    4. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I’m captaining Kane, but Salah has shown he can deliver.

      Salah delivered returns 8 weeks in a row between GW8-GW16. He also returned 5 in a row for. GW18.

  12. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Best WAT defender to bring in this week?

    1. QuintonFortune25
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Mariappa

  13. Boomerang V
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Good morning. Are there any games being postponed due tu weather?

    1. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      no sign of it so far

    2. potatoace
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      No word as yet. Seems to be all on. Sou and Swa games seem to be under debate

  14. Lyonnais
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Pope
    VVD, Dawson, Fernandez
    Salah, Sterling, Eriksen, Walcott, Shaqiri
    Kane, Firmino

    Elliot | Wilson, Ogbonna, Daniels

    A) Save FT
    B) Sterling --> Mahrez/Arnautovic/Ramsey
    C) Ogbonna --> Bauer/Schindler

    FH in GW35.

  15. Weeb Kakashi
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Pick one

    Sterling >

    A Siggy(bur,BHA)

    B Alli (HUD,bou) -2

    Will get Siggy in for 31 anyways.

    1. Wetdream
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Neither

  16. Johan Queef
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Correct bench order?

    A) Alonso (mci)
    B) Ibe (lei)
    C) Ogbonna (swa)

    Thanks!

  17. Jayv807
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Bench one

    Alonso
    Maguire
    Wilson

    Wilson/Maguire face off against each other

    1. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Bench Wilson

      1. Jayv807
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Thank you

  18. ooooo
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Is Salah VVD Firmino Shaq Butland mcArthur Wilson enough for 31?

    1. potatoace
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes

    2. FC Hakkebøf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      If you wc in gw32, why not save two fts for that round and take a punt?

      1. ooooo
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        I’m probably going to do
        Gw29: RLC to McArthur
        Gw31: DDG + Lingard to Butland + Shaq

        If that’s what you mean

        1. FC Hakkebøf
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Oh I see.. well.. remeber hits only count for a -2 .. so you can always take some hits if you feel the need come gw31

          1. ooooo
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 2 months ago

            Yeah, also with those set of players would you wildcard 32?

  19. Totti
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    final decision

    play:

    A) wilson
    B) milivo

    1. potatoace
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Play mili

    2. FC Hakkebøf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A is afor no brainer.. why on earth would you play mili vs united?

      1. Totti
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        a is no brainer or B?
        🙂

        1. FC Hakkebøf
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          A is a no brainer = A is the obvious choice

      2. Totti
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        i don't expect wilson will start today
        i think defoe will

        1. FC Hakkebøf
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Would still play Wilson regardless

    3. ooooo
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

  20. potatoace
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Play Walcott (bur) or Shaq (sou)?
    Thanks

    1. Darth_Newdar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Shaqiri

    2. Wetdream
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Shaq

    3. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Shaq..

    4. potatoace
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Thanks guys

    5. Totti
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      shaq

    6. ooooo
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Shaq

  21. FC Hakkebøf
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Why on earth is Arnautovic not mentioned in this article? Only 7p ownership.. definetely a differential imo

    1. Patch
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Would you play DDG or Pope?

      1. FC Hakkebøf
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Was that meant for me? I would play DDG

    2. Viper
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Ssshhhh 😉

      1. FC Hakkebøf
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        😀

  22. Delph & Safety
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    How do we think Newcastle will play at Liverpool?

    Didn’t go well vs City, and they aren’t great on the road.

    1. Mulla
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Think Rafa will try to nullify Salah threat meaning more chances for Firmino, Mane etc..

    2. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Benitez will want to keep it tight and not be too adventurous. but we’ll lose unfortunately. might only restrict them to a couple though

  23. Mulla
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Drop 2 defenders please chaps..

    A) VVD (NEW)
    B) Chilwell (BOU)
    C) Mariappa (WBA)
    D) Alonso (mci)
    E) Bardsley (EVE)

    1. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      DE

    2. potatoace
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B E

    3. FC Hakkebøf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Wow tough

      1. Mulla
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        I suppose Bardsley benches himself so its between Alonso away to City and Mariappa home to WBA, leaning towards benching Alonso tbh

        1. FC Hakkebøf
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          I think that is the right decision..

    4. AVFCChris1984
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      D & E

  24. Positive vibes
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Ota -> Bavies
    For free, yes or no?
    Chasing in ML so need to take risk.
    Thanks.

    1. Viper
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes

    2. FC Hakkebøf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Sanchez is sure points though.. both in gw29 and 30

  25. Mackans
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Worth doing Sterling -> Mahrez for my free transfer? (I have no Other Leicester player)

    1. FC Hakkebøf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      If for free then maybe yes.. personally im keeping him

  26. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    First sub?

    A) Depoitre
    B) Naughton

    1. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

    2. potatoace
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Chances that Depoitre will start?

    3. ooooo
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

    4. FC Hakkebøf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B for me

  27. Viper
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Good to go or start Walcott? (1.8m in the bank)

    DDG

    Otamendi Robertson Davies (Mee Alonso)

    Salah Arnautovic Gross Shaqiri (Walcott)

    Kane Firmino Wilson

  28. MFC Lad
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Play 2...
    A. Walcott (bur)
    B. Lingard (cpa)
    C. Wilson (lei)

  29. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    GTG? Or some swaps between first 11 and bench?

    Adrian
    Ota/Bavies/VVD
    Son/Sterling/Salah/Shaq
    Kane(c)/Firmino/Wilson

    Elliot/Wally/Mee/Mbemba

  30. Desperately Seeking Dusan
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Duffy or Bauer?

    No Brighton CS’s but Arsenal look so poor... for Jack Bauer, Saints are rubbish but Lambert looks to have tightened up.