Spot the Differential
10 March 2018 1340 comments
James H James H
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We struck gold with Brighton’s Glenn Murray last weekend and we’re backing another budget forward in our latest trio of differentials.

Two midfielders with kind home fixtures also take our fancy this week, with creative talents from Arsenal and Everton taking centre stage.

Steve Mounie

Huddersfield Town’s in-form forward Steve Mounie is our headline selection ahead of an excellent home meeting with Swansea City.

The Benin international has produced two goals and as many assists in his last three Gameweek starts and offers an explosive potential that makes him a strong differential candidate.

Five of his six goals this season have been scored in matches when he has registered a double-figure haul.

Mounie is sat in just 1.9% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads, and as well as the plum fixture this afternoon, the Terriers are, crucially, one of only eight teams in action in Gameweek 31.

They host Crystal Palace next weekend – the side that Mounie scored twice against on the opening weekend.

That makes him an ideal short-term option, particularly given the lack of appealing forward candidates available to us among the eight clubs that feature next weekend.

Since returning to the starting XI in Gameweek 27, Mounie has produced six shots, with four from close-range, while he has also created four chances. Only Aaron Mooy (five) has managed more key passes among Huddersfield players.

This afternoon’s match-up looks very promising.

Swansea have failed to keep a clean sheet in their four away matches under Carlos Carvalhal, conceding seven goals, and they have given up 10 big chances in those encounters.

Available at just 5.7 in FPL, Mounie can prove to be a shrewd acquisition and an effective differential for the next two Gameweeks.

Henrikh Mkhitaryan

While Mounie is a two-week punt, Arsenal’s Henrikh Mkhitaryan is more of a temporary option as the Gunners have a blank Gameweek 31.

The Armenian starred in Thursday night’s 2-0 win over AC Milan in the UEFA Europa League, scoring the opening goal.

Prior to that, he had managed only a single assist in five appearances in all competitions since producing three on his home debut against Everton.

No team-mate has had more shots than Mkhitaryan (seven) over the last four Gameweeks, while he has created more big chances (three) than any other Gunners player.

Given the confidence Arsenal will have gained from the victory in Italy, the 11.2%-owned Mkhitaryan may be worth taking a chance on for the home clash against Watford.

In their only away match under Javi Gracia, the Hornets suffered a 2-0 defeat to West Ham United.

Arsene Wenger’s side also benefit from a great run-in, including a double Gameweek which is likely to come in Gameweek 34.

So for Fantasy managers who have already used their second Wildcard, investing in the 7.7-priced Mkhitaryan could prove particularly appealing.

Gylfi Sigurdsson

While plenty of Fantasy managers are gravitating towards Theo Walcott ahead of Gameweek 31, his Everton team-mate Gylfi Sigurdsson should not be forgotten as a viable alternative.

Toffees players are gaining interest as they face a home fixture against Brighton & Hove Albion this afternoon before heading to Stoke City in the reduced Gameweek 31.

In terms of the underlying statistics over the last three Gameweeks, it’s Sigurdsson who stands out as Everton’s premier attacker.

He leads the way for both shots (five) and chances created (four).

Those numbers translated into attacking points when Sam Allardyce’s men last played at Goodison Park, with Sigurdsson producing a goal and an assist in a 12-point haul against Palace.

While today’s opponents Brighton are in good form, they have remained vulnerable at the back.

The Seagulls are without a clean sheet in their last eight matches and have managed just one shut-out from their last eight road trips.

Although Sigurdsson (8.0) is more expensive than Walcott (7.2), that may be less of a concern for those FPL managers who are planning to Wildcard in Gameweek 32.

Sigurdsson has the proven ability to be a key differential, and with an ownership of just 2.4%, continues to offer an intriguing option.

  1. JoeSoap
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 12 months ago

    Which gw31 player do you feel will score most over next 2 GWs excluding Liverpool?

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      Mounie

      1. JoeSoap
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 12 months ago

        Thanks

  2. Sotamendi84
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 12 months ago

    First bench? Dawson or niasse?

    1. Feloh
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      niasse

    2. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      Niasse

    3. Dsmythy
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      Dawson

  3. Feloh
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 12 months ago

    last one guys

    play lingaard or Schindler?

    1. Mini Mane Mo
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      Lingard

    2. Sotamendi84
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      Do we think lingard starts? If he yes then him

    3. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      Lingard

    4. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      Seriously ?

      1. Patch
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 12 months ago

        Is there an obvious answer?

        1. Hotdogs for Tea
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 12 months ago

          Yes, you have to pick an attacker from a top six team over a defender from a relegation threatened team that has one clean sheet in 13 games and has only scored more than 2 points just once over that period ?

  4. thegameisstrong
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 12 months ago

    Bench one

    A) Janmaat (ARS)
    B) Smalling (LIV)
    C) Robertson (MUN)
    D) Wilson (TOT)

    1. Mini Mane Mo
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      Wilson

    2. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      A

    3. Aubaaaaa
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      A

    4. Dsmythy
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      Janmaat

  5. Mini Mane Mo
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 12 months ago

    Choose three to play please. TIA!
    A. Ogbonna (vs Burnley)
    B. Holebas (vs Arsenal)
    C. VVD (vs Utd)
    D. Mee (vs West Ham)

    1. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      Acd

    2. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      BCD

    3. Feloh
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      BCD

    4. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      DCA

    5. Dsmythy
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      ABD

  6. MGD
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 12 months ago

    1 options:

    A) This GW
    Mbemba -> Shindler
    Next GW:
    Aguero -> Benteke
    Lingard -> Wally

    B)This GW
    Lingard -> Van la Parra
    Next GW:
    Aguero -> Benteke
    Mbemba -> Coleman

    1. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      A

  7. The_FF_King
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 12 months ago

    Everyone saying about using FH is a waste, but I’m thinking I don’t wanna bring in players in advance that I don’t really want in my team. And will be stuck with until wildcard.

    Is anyone using FH in 31? It means I can use my transfers to bring in top players this week and then have those top players for Gameweek 32

    1. There's Always One!
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      Its doing my head in too

    2. Fred54
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      I'm WCing in 32 anyway.

    3. Viper
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      A lot are wildcarding in gwk 32 so they don't mind stocking up

    4. fiveyears
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      Probably a tad late to be thinking about this really. I've always thought preparing for the doubles and using FH in 31 is the best method, for those who have the chip.

  8. Ed
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 12 months ago

    Anyone got a link to the likely gwk 35 fixtures?

  9. There's Always One!
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 12 months ago

    Its has probably been asked a million times but should i play my free hit next week or keep it for a dgw?

    1. There's Always One!
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      It

      1. Feloh
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 12 months ago

        keep

    2. Mini Mane Mo
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      Depends what other chips have you got left. consensus is always shifting. Probably GW35 as you have greater choice of players.

      1. There's Always One!
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 12 months ago

        I Have all the chips left

    3. Dsmythy
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      A lot keeping it for GW35

  10. Fred54
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 12 months ago

    Alonso and Niasse > Coleman and Mounie -4.

    1. Athletic Nasherbo
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      Not sure I’d get rid of Alonso this week as part of a -4...

    2. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      Nay

    3. Khal Drogba
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      Wouldn't be selling Alonso this week

    4. Dsmythy
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      I'd try bank and do yosur moves next week

    5. Fred54
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      It wasn't a question it was a statement.

  11. The Final Boss
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 12 months ago

    Duffy to Schindler???????

  12. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 12 months ago

    Right. Good luck all, I think that I'm going with this lot:

    GW 30:

    Begovic
    Otamendi, Maguire, Dummett
    Salah(vc), Eriksen, Mahrez, Sterling
    Kane(c), Firmino, Wilson

    Adrián; Milivojevic, Lowton, Robertson … 1 FT, 0.2 ITB, TV: 104.6, SV: 102.4

    1. Mini Mane Mo
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      Good luck Doos!

      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 12 months ago

        🙂

    2. Klopptomist Scott Jelly
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      Good luck Doos. Hopefully Sterling doesn't play but you get some good bench points 😛

      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 12 months ago

        Sterling will play. Giggs says so. 😛 😆

        1. Klopptomist Scott Jelly
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 12 months ago

          Finally lost patience with him last night so I'm hoping not!

          1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            7 years, 12 months ago

            *giggles* 😉

  13. Eric the King
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 12 months ago

    Who drops out for Huddersfield if Mooy is back?

  14. Bubz
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 12 months ago

    Everything points towards a Liverpool win today doesn't it.

    Man Utd to win 1-0 then

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      Yes, playing Smalling for a clean sheet!

    2. Nascimento
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      I'd take that as long as Firmino and Salah and VVD haul too.

  15. lasmons
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 12 months ago

    Courtois
    VVD - Zanka - Davies - Mee
    Sterling - KdB - Salah - Shaqiri
    Kane(C) - Firmino

    Elliot - Wilson - Milivojevic - Duffy

    Have 1FT and no Free Hit for next week.
    Would you:

    a> Save FT and bring in 3 players for a -4 next week. Then WC 32.
    b> Wilson -> Mounie (Wilson a rotation risk in gw31?)
    c> Sterling -> Wally/Siggy

    1. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      A

  16. Delph & Safety
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 12 months ago

    How does this look?

    Pickford Elliot
    VVD Maguire Schindler Hegazi Kiko
    Salah Arnautovic KDB Shaqiri Milivojevic
    Kane Vardy Rondon (I know)

    1 FT 2.7 ITB but will probably save so I can bring Firmino and King in for next week.

    Appreciate any thoughts.

  17. Liber
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 12 months ago

    Who will play instead of Williams at Everton?

    Jagielka?

  18. Lord Flashheart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 12 months ago

    My head is about to explode please help:

    1 sterling to gilfy/Prichard for -4, bench Wilson (TOT)
    2 start sterling, worst case Wilson comes in, no hit

    1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      2, imho.

      1. Lord Flashheart
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 12 months ago

        Cheers

    2. Guru Mediation
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      Yep 2

  19. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 12 months ago

    DDG
    Alonso / Davies / Van Dijk / Mee
    Salah / Eriksen / Mahrez / Shaqiri
    Kane / Firmino

    Subs: Elliott // Quaner / Milivojevic / Hunemeier

    A) Hunemeier to a GW31-er? Who?
    B) Quaner > Mounie (and bench who?)

    1. Athletic Nasherbo
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      Bench VVD and play Mounie

  20. Mr_Barbs
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 12 months ago

    What to use my 2 FTs on this week?
    0 itb

    DeGea
    Davies, Maguire, Mee,
    Mariappa
    Salah, Sterling, son, mahrez
    Firmino, kane(c)

    Elliot, Wilson, Daniels, RLC

    Thanks!

  21. arndff_
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 12 months ago

    I used my FT. Any changes here?

    DdG
    Ogbonna Maguire Schindler
    Salah Walcott Hazard(vc) Mahrez Shaqiri
    Firmino Kane(c)

    Elliot Quaner VvD Long

    1. Delph & Safety
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      Very nice team.

      1. arndff_
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 12 months ago

        Thanks! I'm afraid of benching VvD. Earlier today he was in my starting XI. Now I benched him...

        Hate situations like this, when I can't take a decision for a hours.

        1. arndff_
          • 14 Years
          7 years, 12 months ago

          * for hours

    2. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      I'd be reluctant to start Ogbonna over VVD, even if they are playing Burnley...

    3. Guru Mediation
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      Start VvD, bench ogbonna. Reason being that West ham.are sh1te

  22. Feloh
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 12 months ago

    Pickford
    ota vvd bavies Schindler
    salah eriksen Stanislas
    Kane firmino niasse

    Adrian lingz ogbonna taroll

    gtg?

  23. najk
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 12 months ago

    Morning! If you would have all your chips left, how would you go about the last part of the season? Would you free hit in GW35 or GW31? When would you use your wild card? When would you use the triple captain and the bench boost?

    1. Dsmythy
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      FH in 35. WC in 32 or 33. Double gameweeks whatever you prefer though if you're wildcarding before 34 then id BB that one. That be just me though.

  24. Weasel51
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 12 months ago

    Son > Walcott for free?

    Yes or No

    1. Guru Mediation
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      What? No way

    2. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      Not this week.

    3. Dsmythy
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      I wouldn't but there is a possibility Son doesn't start.

  25. Guru Mediation
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 12 months ago

    Start 1 please:
    A) Mee
    B) Choupo-M
    C) Miliojevic
    D) Kenny

    Cheers

    1. Dsmythy
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      A

  26. Desperately Seeking Dusan
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 12 months ago

    I was wondering whether to ditch Son and just saw that Hart will be starting so that’s that decision made..

    1. Guru Mediation
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      Are you getting a Burnley mid in then?

      1. columbo
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 12 months ago

        Very confused. Maybe he means Gudmonson..

        1. Guru Mediation
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 12 months ago

    2. Weasel51
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      Will son start though ??

      1. Guru Mediation
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 12 months ago

        Why wouldn't he?

        1. Weasel51
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 12 months ago

          Played 70+ and 90+ in the last 7 days

          1. Guru Mediation
            • 10 Years
            7 years, 12 months ago

            Isn't the same true of kane, alli and erikssen?

            1. Weasel51
              • 10 Years
              7 years, 12 months ago

              It is.

              But Kane, Alli and Eriksen aren't in competition for one spot with Lamela AND Lucas

        2. Dsmythy
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 12 months ago

          Moura or Lamela could play instead.

  27. Boss Hogg
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 12 months ago

    Play Schindler or Ogbonna?

    1. Guru Mediation
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      Come on now, this is getting silly
      Play schindler

    2. Patch
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      I'm playing both

  28. supersham
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 12 months ago

    Bavis to start?

    1. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      The threat of Rose starting is always hanging over Davies

  29. chendog
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 12 months ago

    Play Lossl or DDG??

    1. Annie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 12 months ago

      DDG

  30. tattywelshie
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 12 months ago

    Sanchez > Siggy/Wally?

    A. 100% yes!
    B. No, save till GW31