Spot the Differential
31 March 2018 2111 comments
James H James H
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With partial success back in Gameweek 31 via a Salomon Rondon assist, we’ve opted for three strikers in our selection of Differentials this time around.

Front men from Manchester City, Southampton and Burnley are backed to produce as we enter the final block of the season.

Gabriel Jesus

With Sergio Aguero remaining a doubt for Manchester City’s trip to Everton, his team-mate and fellow striker Gabriel Jesus looks a tempting option.

The Brazilian made his first start against Stoke City in Gameweek 30 following a spell on the sidelines and produced his fifth assist of the campaign in the 2-0 win.

The forward now faces an Everton side that have managed just one clean sheet from their last 11 encounters.

Jesus has scored eight goals from 21 league outings and just 13 starts, and should be handed plenty of opportunities at Goodison Park leading the line for league’s top scoring side.

Pep Guardiola’s men have scored a sensational 85 goals, 12 more than second-placed Liverpool.

They have also created an astounding 108 big chances, with Liverpool again the next best on 93.

Given the injuries to Aguero and Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane, Jesus could represent good value as a replacement, priced at 10.0 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

Owned by only 6.7% of FPL managers, he might just be worth a roll of the dice if you believe City can run riot on Merseyside in their bid to seal the title.

Charlie Austin

With an eye not just on Gameweek 32, but also the upcoming Double Gameweek 34, Southampton’s Charlie Austin is an interesting name to consider.

The Saints forward is in line to return to the squad for this afternoon’s crunch trip to fellow strugglers West Ham United after recovering from a hamstring injury.

By the time Mark Hughes’s side face Chelsea and Leicester City in Double Gameweek 34, the striker is expected to be fully up to speed.

Austin’s importance to Southampton’s survival hopes cannot be understated.

He is their top goalscorer with six goals, despite injuries and a suspension limiting him to just five starts.

Significantly, his underlying statistics are hugely impressive given his budget price tag of just 5.8 in FPL.

The former Queens Park Rangers front man has fired a shot every 22.1 minutes over the season, which is only bettered by Kane (15) and Aguero (21.4) among regular starting forwards.

Indeed, only Aguero betters Austin’s minutes per goal record this campaign, with the Saints striker finding the net every 98.1 minutes compared with the Argentine’s 93.8 minutes.

Facing a West Ham side that have conceded more goals (11) than any other side over the last four matches, Austin could enjoy another successful afternoon at the London Stadium, having produced a goal and an assist in this fixture last term.

He also netted the winner from the penalty spot in a 3-2 victory in the reverse fixture this season, despite only playing 10 minutes as a substitute.

While investment in the 0.6%-owned striker does carry a risk as he may not be fit to start this afternoon, his goalscoring record when on the pitch suggests he could be worth a gamble for the run-in, particularly with the south coast club benefitting from two double Gameweeks.

Chris Wood

While team-mate Ashley Barnes (5.3) has been the name on the lips of many managers due to his more budget-friendly price tag, fellow Burnley forward Chris Wood should not be overlooked.

The New Zealand international has scored three goals in two substitute appearances since returning from a knee injury, and has strong claims for a recall for this afternoon’s trip to West Bromwich Albion.

His chances have certainly increased since he was omitted from the New Zealand squad for their friendly with Canada.

Wood matches up very well when compared to Barnes.

Despite being limited to just 17 appearances, as opposed to 29 for Barnes, the New Zealander holds the edge for goals scored (seven to six).

Indeed, he has a goal every 157.4 minutes, which is far superior to Barnes (269.3).

Wood has also been involved in a staggering 62% of Burnley’s goals scored when he’s been on the pitch, which helps justify the extra outlay required to bring in the 6.2-price forward.

Facing a West Brom defence that has shipped nine goals in their last three encounters at the Hawthorns, Wood looks to have the ideal platform to maintain his strong form.

With his appeal also boosted by a Double Gameweek 34 (LEI/CHE) and a fixture in Gameweek 35 away to Stoke City, the 1.2%-owned Wood could be a powerful differential for the season run-in.

  1. john25
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Hey guys, just finished my WC team- would appreciate your thoughts!

    DDG-Ryan
    Simpson-Lowton-Duffy-Alonso-Dummett
    Mahrez-Salah-Willian-Gross-Mkhi
    Auba-Lukaku-Barnes

    0.0 in the bank, BB 34, FH 35, TC 37. Will downgrade Mkhi to fund Auba to Kane in GW34.

    Cheers

    1. TLF
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Nice work, good luck

    2. Robben Mee Blind
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Looks good

    3. QPRUTD
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      No spurs is a worry. You wont have one in 34 with your current plan

    4. BigBarn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Simpson also a worry for the doubles

      1. william prunier
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        The reserve rb is injured

  2. Tronity
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    GTG?

    On WC, looking at BB 34, FH 35 and TC 37 £1.2 ITB

    De Gea, Ryan
    Vertonghen, Christensen, Mustafi, Morgan, Lowton
    Son, Mahrez, Salah, Willian, Gross
    Vardy, Aubameyang, Barnes

    Will move Aubameyang > Lukaku or Kane in GW34.

    1. jackluhg
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Looks good

  3. Zenith UK
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Need some last minute opinions on this below please.

    DDG^, Pope*
    Alonso, Monreal, Smalling^, Lowton^*, Chilwell*
    Mahrez, Mkhi, Salah, Gross*, Gudmun^
    Murray, Vardy, Auba

    * = Bench for GW32
    ^ = Bench for GW33
    GW34 = Mkhi & Auba > Son & Lukaku
    GW35 = Free hit

    Everyone banging on about Smalling not being nailed but he's missed just three GWs since GW7. That's pretty nailed to me regardless of Bailly and Jones returning (also supported by his price rise).
    Punting on double Brighton forwards because of the DGW. You can see my future dated plans to make swaps as well.

  4. BrutalLogiC
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    how many minutes until transfer deadline? confused as am abroad, played WC after last GW and not picked team yet

    1. Robben Mee Blind
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      90 mins

    2. Qaiss
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      93 minutes

    3. Lignja
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      1h 30min

    4. BrutalLogiC
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      ty all

  5. Robben Mee Blind
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Choose one...
    A) Theo (MCI )
    B) Mounie (new)
    C) Ogbonna (SOT)
    D) Theo to Mahrez -4

    1. BigBarn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      D

      1. Robben Mee Blind
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers

  6. TLF
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Hows it looking ? Man U def double blocks Lingard if I want him in next couple is my only concern.

    DDG, Ryan
    Alonso, Valencia, Lowton, Morgan, Kiko
    Salah, Mkhi, Willian, Gross, Mahrez
    Aubameyang, Lukaku, Barnes

    Roll transfer in 33 then Mkhi & Aub to Albrighton & Kane in 34

    1. Robben Mee Blind
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Looks good. Don't worry about Lingard

    2. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Don't like Valencia price tag.

      1. TLF
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        I've been working hard on team value all year for the odd luxury, if you could afford....

    3. The Yorkshire Pirlo
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Have the same squad apart from Son and VDH over Mkhi and Kiko. Reckon it’s worth going with Mkhi?

      1. TLF
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        I can't resist Mkhi this week, expecting a really decent Arsenal performance.

  7. tractorjess
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Bench Wood or Gross?

    1. TLF
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Wood

  8. Naboo
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    How foolish is it to plan 2FTs on WC?

    Mustafi & Auba > Lukaku & Smalling/Jones in 34

    1. CRO KLOPP
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      My moves too

      1. Naboo
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Worried about injuries, form, non-starters or not? I have taken plenty of hits this year

        1. CRO KLOPP
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Nothing wrong with a hit before BB,and Mustafi and Auba could get us some points

        2. CRO KLOPP
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          I'm not sure who to get instead Mustafi
          Christiansen,Smalling?

          1. Corgz Dark side of the Loon
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Mustafi nailed

    2. tisza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      my moves too.
      Can't start 2nd guessing injuries etc.
      Have a plan then be ready to adapt if you have to.
      I've taken hits all season and not suffered for it.

  9. Jeremy Corbyn
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    I will refrain from Jesus related jokes, you never know these days.

    1. Naboo
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Anti-semite!!

    2. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Nailed on somebody will get offended. Probably for the best

      1. Corgz Dark side of the Loon
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Nailed ?? ....was that meant to be funny !!!!....lol

  10. VardysParty
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Good to go?

    De Gea, (Ryan)
    Alonso, Valencia, Mustafi, (Vertonghen, Morgan)
    Salah, Mahrez, Willian, Gross, (Gudmundsson)
    Aubameyang, Vardy, Barnes

    Plan:
    34: Auba to Lukaku
    35: FH
    36: Lukaku to Kane
    37: Vardy to Auba

    Thanks!

  11. Js31
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    50 behind in ML. Captain Auba over Salah? Or be patient as I have all my chips he doesn't

    1. Naboo
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Chips will do it

  12. SimplyTheBridge
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Should this be my starting XI?
    DDG

    Lowton Azpi Bailly

    Son Mahrez Willian Salah

    Aub Firmino Barnes

    Ryan Morgan Dunk Gudmundsson

    1. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      I don’t know, should it?

    2. TeddiPonza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Gudmundsson first sub

  13. beetlejuice
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Who is more nailed in Brighton defense?
    A-) Bong
    B-) Scholetto

    1. SimplyTheBridge
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      B

  14. indy13
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Hi guys have never been so undecided on my WC team options - can't decide between Austin, Woods or Barnes (BB gw 34 & TC gw 37)

    Fairly committed to DDG, Lowton, Simpson, Salah, Mahrez, Son, Gross, Aub & Lukaku being in my WC team
    Which of the following group is better?
    Options B & C give me Kane in one transfer and thus save 2 for gw 35

    A - Ryan, Alonso, Bailly, Tarkowski, Kenedy, Barnes + 0.1 itb

    B - Ryan, Jones, Dunk, Stephens, Kenedy, Wood +2.1m itb

    C - McCarthy, Bailly, Dunk, Tarkowski, Gudmondsen, Austin +2.1m

    1. Jeremy Corbyn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      A with Jones

    2. BigBarn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      A, but upgrade Simpson to Morgan.

  15. CFC1990
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Who shall I bench this week:

    a) Lowton
    b) Maguire

    1. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      A

    2. william prunier
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      The team with historically less clean sheets

    3. Mina Threat
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Lowton I'd say. Brighton have conceded ridiculous amounts of goals from set pieces. Last time Maguire played them he nabbed a goal.

  16. Ask Yourself
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Reasons to Auba (C)?

    1. william prunier
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      If chasing

      1. Ask Yourself
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Statistically I mean

        1. Jeremy Corbyn
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Depends on your prior

    2. Legomané
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Auba Home v Salah Away stats over the last 2/4 games favour Auba slightly (clearly in xG)

      1. Ask Yourself
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers man

  17. as33
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Hey, Banes or Mee to start?

  18. SomeoneKnows
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    WC 33 planning with FH 35 still available... Who would you rather have for the run in?

    A) Kane + Christensen
    B) Aubameyang + Alonso

    The plan is to TC Kane in 37 anyways

    10x

  19. Positive vibes
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Hi, play A, B or C?
    A. Christensen vs TOT
    B. Mariappa vs BOU
    C. Morgan vs bha
    Thanks, good luck guys

    1. TeddiPonza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      B

  20. N00B
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Any Liverpool leaked lineup ?

  21. TeddiPonza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Currently on this team 0,0m in bank

    DdG (Ryan)
    Alonso Morgan Lowton (Vertongen Simpson)
    Salah(c) Mahrez Son Willian Kenedy
    Auba Lukaku (Barnes)

    Pretty settled I think. Simpson only for dgw 34. Thoughts?

  22. frenchfries
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    A) Murray+Cork
    B) Barnes+Gudmundsson

  23. Bobbyg1
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Azpi and Mustafi
    Or
    Alonso and Robertson

    Please guys?

  24. JONALDINHO
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    De Gea
    Alonso - *** - Lowton
    Salah(C) - Mahrez - *** - Willian - Groß
    Auba - Vardy
    (Ryan / Barnes / Tarkowski / Morgan)

    Who to fill last two spots with? Have 14.4ITB but would like to keep 1.0 for Auba to Lukaku. Or should I scrap that

  25. Pique Blinder
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    A) Walcott to Willian (-4)
    B) Play Zanka

  26. The Red Devil
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Pick one combo on WC
    A- Vardy Robertson Smalling + 0.7 itb
    B- Vardy Robertson bailly + 0.1 itb C- Barnes Alonso vertonghen + 1.3 D- Wood Alonso holebas + 1.6 itb
    BB 34 FH 35

  27. cjhewitt92
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Which one to play and what order to have other on bench

    Kane
    M Alonso
    Iwobi - already have Mkhi

  28. JasonG123
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Play four:
    (A) Son (che)
    (B) Willian (TOT)
    (C) Barnes (wba)
    (D) Lowton (wba)
    (E) Morgan (bha)
    (F) Dunk (LEI)
    (G) Gross (LEI)

    1. Pique Blinder
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      BCDE

    2. Jeremy Corbyn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      ABGD. What defence did you go for in the end?

      1. JasonG123
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Alonso, Maguire, Dunk, Morgan, Lowton

    3. Sailboats
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      ABCG

  29. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Bench Shquiri or Touson? Have Laporte (who probably won't play lol)

  30. La Roja
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Since Jonty hasn’t posted (not sure he will);

    Who are you captaining and why?

    Really tempted with Aubameyang, Can we trust Arsenal though? Even though Stoke are rubbish