Spot the Differential
31 March 2018 2111 comments
James H James H
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With partial success back in Gameweek 31 via a Salomon Rondon assist, we’ve opted for three strikers in our selection of Differentials this time around.

Front men from Manchester City, Southampton and Burnley are backed to produce as we enter the final block of the season.

Gabriel Jesus

With Sergio Aguero remaining a doubt for Manchester City’s trip to Everton, his team-mate and fellow striker Gabriel Jesus looks a tempting option.

The Brazilian made his first start against Stoke City in Gameweek 30 following a spell on the sidelines and produced his fifth assist of the campaign in the 2-0 win.

The forward now faces an Everton side that have managed just one clean sheet from their last 11 encounters.

Jesus has scored eight goals from 21 league outings and just 13 starts, and should be handed plenty of opportunities at Goodison Park leading the line for league’s top scoring side.

Pep Guardiola’s men have scored a sensational 85 goals, 12 more than second-placed Liverpool.

They have also created an astounding 108 big chances, with Liverpool again the next best on 93.

Given the injuries to Aguero and Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane, Jesus could represent good value as a replacement, priced at 10.0 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

Owned by only 6.7% of FPL managers, he might just be worth a roll of the dice if you believe City can run riot on Merseyside in their bid to seal the title.

Charlie Austin

With an eye not just on Gameweek 32, but also the upcoming Double Gameweek 34, Southampton’s Charlie Austin is an interesting name to consider.

The Saints forward is in line to return to the squad for this afternoon’s crunch trip to fellow strugglers West Ham United after recovering from a hamstring injury.

By the time Mark Hughes’s side face Chelsea and Leicester City in Double Gameweek 34, the striker is expected to be fully up to speed.

Austin’s importance to Southampton’s survival hopes cannot be understated.

He is their top goalscorer with six goals, despite injuries and a suspension limiting him to just five starts.

Significantly, his underlying statistics are hugely impressive given his budget price tag of just 5.8 in FPL.

The former Queens Park Rangers front man has fired a shot every 22.1 minutes over the season, which is only bettered by Kane (15) and Aguero (21.4) among regular starting forwards.

Indeed, only Aguero betters Austin’s minutes per goal record this campaign, with the Saints striker finding the net every 98.1 minutes compared with the Argentine’s 93.8 minutes.

Facing a West Ham side that have conceded more goals (11) than any other side over the last four matches, Austin could enjoy another successful afternoon at the London Stadium, having produced a goal and an assist in this fixture last term.

He also netted the winner from the penalty spot in a 3-2 victory in the reverse fixture this season, despite only playing 10 minutes as a substitute.

While investment in the 0.6%-owned striker does carry a risk as he may not be fit to start this afternoon, his goalscoring record when on the pitch suggests he could be worth a gamble for the run-in, particularly with the south coast club benefitting from two double Gameweeks.

Chris Wood

While team-mate Ashley Barnes (5.3) has been the name on the lips of many managers due to his more budget-friendly price tag, fellow Burnley forward Chris Wood should not be overlooked.

The New Zealand international has scored three goals in two substitute appearances since returning from a knee injury, and has strong claims for a recall for this afternoon’s trip to West Bromwich Albion.

His chances have certainly increased since he was omitted from the New Zealand squad for their friendly with Canada.

Wood matches up very well when compared to Barnes.

Despite being limited to just 17 appearances, as opposed to 29 for Barnes, the New Zealander holds the edge for goals scored (seven to six).

Indeed, he has a goal every 157.4 minutes, which is far superior to Barnes (269.3).

Wood has also been involved in a staggering 62% of Burnley’s goals scored when he’s been on the pitch, which helps justify the extra outlay required to bring in the 6.2-price forward.

Facing a West Brom defence that has shipped nine goals in their last three encounters at the Hawthorns, Wood looks to have the ideal platform to maintain his strong form.

With his appeal also boosted by a Double Gameweek 34 (LEI/CHE) and a fixture in Gameweek 35 away to Stoke City, the 1.2%-owned Wood could be a powerful differential for the season run-in.

  1. cjhewitt92
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 11 days ago

    Which one to play

    Kane
    M Alonso
    Iwobi - already have Mkhi

    1. Nidhalho
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 11 days ago

      Alonso

    2. Pariße
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 days ago

      Alonso. Kane won't play, Iwobi might not start.

    3. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 days ago

      I will not play Iwobi anyday. So, Alonso is the safest choice

  2. Pariße
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 11 days ago

    A) Bailly & Aubameyang +1ITB
    B) Vertonghen & Lukaku
    C) Valencia & Aubameyang

    A has a better Kane plan.

    1. korbendallas82
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 11 days ago

      A. Good since Auba cant play Europa anyways. I dont know what your gw34 plan is? I have Aubameyang my self, fhc 34.

      1. korbendallas82
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 11 days ago

        Would go for b, if i needed player in now for 34..

      2. Pariße
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 days ago

        BB 34, FH 35 🙂

    2. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 days ago

      A

      1. Pariße
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 days ago

        Thanks

  3. Snoop
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 days ago

    Which would you pick

    A Azpi, Valencia, Christensen, chillwell
    B Alonso, vertonghen, smalling, Morgan

    1. Sweetboi
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 days ago

      B 100%

    2. GE
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 days ago

      B

    3. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 days ago

      I like A but 2 chelsea def is make me choose B

  4. AdamJ91
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 days ago

    Haven't WC'd just yet so is my team looking good to go guys?

    Pickford
    VVD - Davies - Simpson
    Salah (c) - Son - Mahrez (vc) - Sterling
    Auba - Firmino - King

    Elliot - Pritchard - Mariappa - Dunk

    1. Pariße
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 days ago

      very nice with no WC, good to go.

    2. Ghost Gooner
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 11 days ago

      Too late to wc anyway

    3. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 days ago

      team is g2g dgw34 with tc

  5. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 11 days ago

    DDG Ryan
    Mustafi Lowton Tarkowski Morgan X
    Willian Salah Gross Mahrez X
    Auba Vardy X

    a) Christensen Gudmunssen Kaku
    b) Alonso Son Barnes

    (Boosting in 34)

    1. GE
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 days ago

      B

  6. Dr. DOOM
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 11 days ago

    De Gea - Ryan
    Mustafi- Alonso - Morgan - Lowton - Stephens
    Son - Mahrez - Salah - Willian - Gross
    Vardy - Auba - Barnes

    Replace Stephens?

    1. Dr. DOOM
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 11 days ago

      2.3 itb

  7. aidmata
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 days ago

    WC draft - good to go?

    De Gea Ryan

    Lowton Alonso Bailly Morgan Stephens

    Salah Gudmundsson Mkhitaryan Willian Mahrez

    Vardy Aubameyang Barnes

  8. GE
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 days ago

    Better to go Bailly now on WC and eventually change to Vert if Bailly not nailed?
    Or just go Vert now?

    1. Jafalad
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 11 days ago

      Forget Man U defenders. Mass rot from now on. Just stick with DDG.

      1. *Reformed-Character*
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 11 days ago

        Best double and a great fixture this week....

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 days ago

      Go vert now, save FT

      1. GE
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 days ago

        So much better fixture for Bailly though..Play Vert or Lowton this GW then?

    3. MTPockets
        8 years, 11 days ago

        I've gone Vert, but it's not ideal if any comparable ManU def actually proves nailed.

        1. GE
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 11 days ago

          I take the risk of Bailly

    4. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 days ago

      Bench one lads: Kenedy, Willian, Barnes?

    5. Wizard of Ozil
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 days ago

      Morning all.
      Does anyone know if David Silva looks like starting against Everton.
      With WC active, got no City players at all. Bit worried about having no City players after being brainwashed about double game weeks for last fortnight.

      Willian or Silva????
      Murray or Barnes??
      Can't make up,mind B4 11.30

      My transfer in/transfer out page is a mile long...lol

      1. MTPockets
          8 years, 11 days ago

          A doubt b/c went home for personal reasons from Spain game.
          Bit gutted as was bankng on him, but too risky for me now.
          Could still play though.

      2. Evasivo
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 11 days ago

        1)Cedric + Gudm + Firmino
        2) Mariappa +Lewis Cook + Lukaku

        1. Astronautovic
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 11 days ago

          2

      3. Astronautovic
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 11 days ago

        Is willian really worth it?

        1. Evasivo
          • 15 Years
          8 years, 11 days ago

          Alonso same price and better value. Go for Gross

        2. Ryan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 11 days ago

          Its a bit punty. Trouble is a few of the template players are a bit punty.

          1. Astronautovic
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 11 days ago

            Yes could go well or lead to many problems

      4. Positive vibes
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 days ago

        Hi, choose Mariappa or Dummett as enabler?
        Will play Dummett tonight as NEW face hud home.
        Ta.

      5. *Reformed-Character*
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 11 days ago

        Play 2 this week out of : ???

        1-Willian
        2-Gudmundson
        3-Gross

        1. Sailboats
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 11 days ago

          13

      6. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 11 days ago

        Lukaku better not rise by 0.2 before GW33. He's already about to rise 0.1 today.

        Please big Rom, stay quiet 🙁

        1. Ryan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 11 days ago

          He has City next so that might keep the price in check.

        2. Jafalad
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 11 days ago

          He's shite anyway so I find it hard to believe anyone would want him.

      7. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 days ago

        Anyone else in meltdown ? 🙂

        1. Jafalad
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 11 days ago

          Nope - all chips in play plus wc. Those playing their wcs this week have panicked.

          1. *Reformed-Character*
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 10 days ago

            Give it a rest

          2. *Reformed-Character*
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 10 days ago

            You will need all those chips ranked at 750k

        2. Point-one short
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 11 days ago

          What team you on currently?

      8. Totti
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 days ago

        on WC

        which combo do u rather?

        A) mustafi smalling kenedy

        B) monreal ward gudmundsen

        in option B will double burnley defenders with lowton

      9. Weasel Boy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 11 days ago

        Aubameyang (c) o/

      10. Ed
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 11 days ago

        Gross or Lingard?

        1. Totti
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 11 days ago

          gross

      11. Jet5605
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 days ago

        Play Son (che) or Barnes (wba)?

        1. Lord Flashheart
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 11 days ago

          probably barnes, by a hair

        2. Pariße
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 11 days ago

          Son

      12. Feeling_blue
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 days ago

        With Kane coming back is Son that great an option? Chelsea this week and one of the DGW 34 matches is City, plus with lots of attacking mids could get rotated. Can't decide whether to keep him or not

        1. seanie3
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 11 days ago

          keep son on a wc for the next two then evaluate, bring in kane for 34 and downgrade son as funds will be needed. simples 🙂

        2. Pukki Party
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 11 days ago

          Was great option with Kane playing.

      13. Lord Flashheart
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 11 days ago

        A smalling and mustafi
        B alonso and mariappa

        please help...

        1. Lukakwho
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 11 days ago

          B

      14. Lukakwho
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 11 days ago

        Hi, please RMT am I G2G? My squad value is a lot lower than everyone else’s so bare that In mind. Repost as I had no responses.

        DDG (Ryan)

        Mustafi, Alonso, Lowton, (Morgan, Bong)

        Salah, Son, Mahrez, Willian, (King)

        Kaku, Vary, Murray

      15. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 11 days ago

        is mustafi nailed with chambers, holding, mert, monreal, kolasinac all able to play cb and with europa league games lurking?

        also he doesn't have a dgw so potentially if he gets benched it will hurt more? is it risky?

        1. seanie3
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 11 days ago

          should be as their best CB, doubt wenger will want to play holding or chambers as not reliable, esp together.

          you have more chance of winning the lottery than seeing mert play again for arsenal.

      16. HD7
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 days ago

        GW 32 - right order of 11 and bench ?

        De Gea
        Alonso Lowton Baily
        Salah(C) Mikhi Willian Mahrez
        Murray Vardy Auba

        Subs: Ryan, Gudm, Tark, Morgan

        1. Point-one short
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 11 days ago

          Yep, looking gtg. Can you take a look at my team a few posts down?

      17. seanie3
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 11 days ago

        existing WC is following (BB 34 FH 35)

        ddg, ryan
        alonso, mustafi, lowton, tark, morgan
        salah, mahrez, willian, gudmundsson, X
        auba, X X

        best choices to fill in the last 3 spaces please

        a) son, lukaku, murray
        b) gross, firminio, vardy

      18. Point-one short
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 days ago

        Any changes needed to this wc team do you think?

        Ddg Ryan
        Alonso Smalling Vertonghen Lowton Morgan
        Mkhi Son Willian Mahrez Salah
        Auba Vardy Barnes
        0.3itb

        1. HD7
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 11 days ago

          Imo Baily over Smalling. Also Murray over Barnes but I see what you did with this nice midfielder 🙂 Must have at least 105 value yes?

          1. Point-one short
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 11 days ago

            Thanks. Yeah, around that - still not sure whether to downgrade a mid to get Bailly instead...

            1. HD7
              • 9 Years
              8 years, 10 days ago

              Btw you might want to have money itb in order to get Kane without hits 🙂

      19. Snoop
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 days ago

        Who thinks Jones will start over smalling?

        Anyone got a crystal ball

        1. seanie3
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 11 days ago

          I wouldn't be surprised but at the same time wouldn't want to risk it... Jose has done this before with Jones, eg straight back in after out for a while with injury, where as before we thought he wouldn;t and people shipped jones in the past...

        2. G-Whizz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 11 days ago

          Not this week he won't...

      20. KLOPPTOMANIA
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 11 days ago

        Can you carry 2 transfers across through a free hit?

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 11 days ago

          No

        2. #Swish41
          • 15 Years
          8 years, 11 days ago

          No

        3. KLOPPTOMANIA
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 11 days ago

          Thanks

        4. Jafalad
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 11 days ago

          If you make a transfer this week you will still have two fts next gwk so yes you can.

          1. *Reformed-Character*
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 10 days ago

            ......

      21. FantasyTony
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 11 days ago

        WC'd

        DeGea - Ryan
        Christensen - Otamendi - Morgan - Vertonghen - Robertson
        Arnie - Mahrez - Salah - Sterling - Romeu
        Auba - Vardy - Austin

        What does everyone think? I'll transition Sterling, Arnie and Auba, to Lukaku, Willian and Son over the next GWs.

        Thinking about swapping Morgan for Lowton as I'd fancy Burnley to keep a Cleansheet over one of the next 2 GW's but then I'd lose the double GW bump for Morgan.

        Any advice?