Spot the Differential
31 March 2018 2111 comments
James H James H
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With partial success back in Gameweek 31 via a Salomon Rondon assist, we’ve opted for three strikers in our selection of Differentials this time around.

Front men from Manchester City, Southampton and Burnley are backed to produce as we enter the final block of the season.

Gabriel Jesus

With Sergio Aguero remaining a doubt for Manchester City’s trip to Everton, his team-mate and fellow striker Gabriel Jesus looks a tempting option.

The Brazilian made his first start against Stoke City in Gameweek 30 following a spell on the sidelines and produced his fifth assist of the campaign in the 2-0 win.

The forward now faces an Everton side that have managed just one clean sheet from their last 11 encounters.

Jesus has scored eight goals from 21 league outings and just 13 starts, and should be handed plenty of opportunities at Goodison Park leading the line for league’s top scoring side.

Pep Guardiola’s men have scored a sensational 85 goals, 12 more than second-placed Liverpool.

They have also created an astounding 108 big chances, with Liverpool again the next best on 93.

Given the injuries to Aguero and Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane, Jesus could represent good value as a replacement, priced at 10.0 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

Owned by only 6.7% of FPL managers, he might just be worth a roll of the dice if you believe City can run riot on Merseyside in their bid to seal the title.

Charlie Austin

With an eye not just on Gameweek 32, but also the upcoming Double Gameweek 34, Southampton’s Charlie Austin is an interesting name to consider.

The Saints forward is in line to return to the squad for this afternoon’s crunch trip to fellow strugglers West Ham United after recovering from a hamstring injury.

By the time Mark Hughes’s side face Chelsea and Leicester City in Double Gameweek 34, the striker is expected to be fully up to speed.

Austin’s importance to Southampton’s survival hopes cannot be understated.

He is their top goalscorer with six goals, despite injuries and a suspension limiting him to just five starts.

Significantly, his underlying statistics are hugely impressive given his budget price tag of just 5.8 in FPL.

The former Queens Park Rangers front man has fired a shot every 22.1 minutes over the season, which is only bettered by Kane (15) and Aguero (21.4) among regular starting forwards.

Indeed, only Aguero betters Austin’s minutes per goal record this campaign, with the Saints striker finding the net every 98.1 minutes compared with the Argentine’s 93.8 minutes.

Facing a West Ham side that have conceded more goals (11) than any other side over the last four matches, Austin could enjoy another successful afternoon at the London Stadium, having produced a goal and an assist in this fixture last term.

He also netted the winner from the penalty spot in a 3-2 victory in the reverse fixture this season, despite only playing 10 minutes as a substitute.

While investment in the 0.6%-owned striker does carry a risk as he may not be fit to start this afternoon, his goalscoring record when on the pitch suggests he could be worth a gamble for the run-in, particularly with the south coast club benefitting from two double Gameweeks.

Chris Wood

While team-mate Ashley Barnes (5.3) has been the name on the lips of many managers due to his more budget-friendly price tag, fellow Burnley forward Chris Wood should not be overlooked.

The New Zealand international has scored three goals in two substitute appearances since returning from a knee injury, and has strong claims for a recall for this afternoon’s trip to West Bromwich Albion.

His chances have certainly increased since he was omitted from the New Zealand squad for their friendly with Canada.

Wood matches up very well when compared to Barnes.

Despite being limited to just 17 appearances, as opposed to 29 for Barnes, the New Zealander holds the edge for goals scored (seven to six).

Indeed, he has a goal every 157.4 minutes, which is far superior to Barnes (269.3).

Wood has also been involved in a staggering 62% of Burnley’s goals scored when he’s been on the pitch, which helps justify the extra outlay required to bring in the 6.2-price forward.

Facing a West Brom defence that has shipped nine goals in their last three encounters at the Hawthorns, Wood looks to have the ideal platform to maintain his strong form.

With his appeal also boosted by a Double Gameweek 34 (LEI/CHE) and a fixture in Gameweek 35 away to Stoke City, the 1.2%-owned Wood could be a powerful differential for the season run-in.

  1. Lyonnais
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    A)
    Cedric, Tarkowski, Groß, Lukaku

    B)
    Vertonghen, Dunk, Willian, Vardy

    1. StayoutheSpiceZone
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      B for me

      1. Lyonnais
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        thanks 🙂

    2. ooooo
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      B

      1. Lyonnais
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        thx!

  2. StayoutheSpiceZone
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Any feelings on zaha starting today?
    Cheers

    1. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      I hope he does pal if not hope he is omitted altogether and Mili comes on

  3. Master Kane
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Please help, final thoughts on WC.
    Son -> 4.3. To enable Valencia and alonson
    Auba & 4.3 > son & Barnes. GW34 (2 FTs)
    Yay or nah.

  4. damiang2233
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Shaquiri to Son or Mhitayaran??

    Will B Silva play this weekend??

    1. StayoutheSpiceZone
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      B Silva I would say defo yes
      And I’d go for Mkhitaryan short term

      1. damiang2233
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        ok maybe I should get rid of Wilson up front so? 3.5m ITB

    2. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      i’d have son,

      good chance of Bilva playing over next few weeks

  5. Js31
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Wish the GW would hurry up. Having last minute thoughts of ripping up team to have more Liverpool in

  6. Rhodes your boat
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Gtg? On wc
    De Gea Ryan
    Alonso bailly lowton dummett Morgan
    Salah mahrez son willian gudmonsson
    Auba firmino Murray
    0.4itb

    1. GE
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Gtg 🙂 Worried about Baillly?

  7. Dr. DOOM
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Get Mustafi for 2 GWs or just get a 34 player now?

    Alonso - Jones - Lowton - Morgan

    1. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      i’d get mustafi over Jones and see the lay of the land with the utd defence before gw34

      1. Dr. DOOM
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        What about the 5th defender? Southampton?

    2. wander
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Bailey is number 1 madness to have jones or smalling

  8. Taking the Mkhitaryan
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Panic setting in
    Pages speeding up

    1. StayoutheSpiceZone
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      No Salah (c)
      Who’s with me?!?

      1. Taking the Mkhitaryan
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        I won't be throwing away my ML leads by taking a gamble thanks .

        1. StayoutheSpiceZone
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          Ok stroppy ... ;-@

      2. Ruud van Basten
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        o/

    2. BRONALDINHO
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      I feel it as well. Jones fit is putting even more pressure

  9. #FPLBhuna
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Thoughts on Kaku (c)

    Chasing ML leader who is 65 ahead and I’ve taken a -4 to bring Kaku

    Yes or no

    1. StayoutheSpiceZone
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Do it! I’m on auba

    2. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      if he doesn’t have lukaku or you don’t think he will salah (c).
      if he does have kaku might be worth the gamble

      1. #FPLBhuna
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        He didn’t bring Kaku on his wc a work colleague leads to me believe following a covert operation lol - in which case what do you suggest?

    3. Taking the Mkhitaryan
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Don't

    4. Ruud van Basten
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      No brainer, cost you -4 so do it

  10. GE
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Bailly or Verthongen?

    Bailly better short-term fixture, Vert more nailed long-term.

    1. ooooo
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Bailly

    2. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Smalling.

      1. GE
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Not worried about DGW34 gametime?

        1. #FPLBhuna
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          If I was to go safe pal I’d go Valencia despite the extra p don’t think any of the cbs are exempt from rotationgate

    3. Taking the Mkhitaryan
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Bailly

  11. Tronity
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    On WC, looking at BB 34, FH 35 and TC 37 £1.2 ITB

    De Gea, Ryan
    Vertonghen, Christensen, Mustafi, Morgan, Lowton
    Son, Mahrez, Salah, Willian, Gross
    Vardy, Aubameyang, Barnes

    Will move Aubameyang > Lukaku or Kane in GW34.

    Looking quite template but any suggestions of where I should improve?

    1. GE
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Christensen nailed?

      1. Tronity
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        I think so. Probably will bench him this week as yellow-flagged but imagine he's as good as nailed.

    2. Naboo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Same as mine except I gave Valencia and Alonso instead of Christensen and Mustafi. Template is fine imo, still a differential overall and expecting nice rank jump. Hoping to finish in top 500 with similar team

      1. Tronity
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Cheers, guessing you are BB'ing 34 too?

        Was tempted to go with Bailly over Mustafi but it makes the route to Kane/Kaku harder. Think Arsenal's fixtures over next two weeks are better than United's too.

  12. Ruud van Basten
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    a) Miki and Tony V
    or
    b) Mahrez and Mustafi

  13. Ch3ckNorriZ
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    VERY thankfull for anyone to let me know i that WC is good to go:
    0.0 itb
    DDG-Pope
    Smalls-Christensen-Morgan-Dunk-Lowton
    Mahrez-Salah-Willi-Stanislas-Gudmundson
    Auba-Kaku-Firminio

    Happy Easter Everyone!

    1. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Yep pretty good to go fella

  14. Napoleon IV
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    I have managed to get a starting defence this week where each players surname begins with 'V'

    Pretty pleased about this.

    Van Dijk / Van Aanholt / Valencia - for those interested 🙂

  15. Stinglikeabee
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Not the most exciting post but if I swap out Ryan and Stephens and bring in McCarthy and Bong I save .2 which helps me transfer in Kane for my one week punt Jesus next week.

    The question I have is is Bong nailed?

    1. The Left Duke #3
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Never heard of Bong to be honest lol.
      I would keep Ryans and Stephens tho and use 2FT in GW 34 to get Kane if needed

      1. Stinglikeabee
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Ha ha, he's started the last 6 for Brighton and is 4.4. If Kane is in the squad for 32 and starts 33 his value will rise leaving me short for 34

  16. The Left Duke #3
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    On a WC. Going Murray and Gudmundsson over Gross and Barnes is ok right? Really think the 0.3 saved is crucial in case of price changes between now and 34

    1. seanie3
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      yes i'm doing the same, BB 34 and FH 35, think murray and gud score more points than the other two.

      murray also on pens swung it for me,

  17. RubberDucky
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Best midfielder 5.2 mill or under?

      (Not Gudmundsson) I don't want 3 Burnley players due to no DGW37

      Much appreciated

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Kenedy

        1. RubberDucky
            8 years, 27 days ago

            That's who I have so far

            Thanks

            1. dunas_dog
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 27 days ago

              Ibe?

              1. RubberDucky
                  8 years, 27 days ago

                  Great shout.

          • The Left Duke #3
            • 11 Years
            8 years, 27 days ago

            So you a want a player under 5.2 that has a double double is it?
            Kenedy seems to be flavour of the month but he has SGW 34, same with King for Swa.

            1. RubberDucky
                8 years, 27 days ago

                Yeah I'm looking for the impossible I know

              • RubberDucky
                  8 years, 27 days ago

                  Think I will reassess at GW34 with 2FT and possible injuries/form the decision may be made for me

              • Business Cat
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                8 years, 27 days ago

                Kenedy

                Matic the only other halfway decent alternative.

                1. RubberDucky
                    8 years, 27 days ago

                    Yeah had a look at Magic and may even go there at GW34.

                    I was trying not to pre plan too much but maybe I shouldn't ignore the nextv2 GW's good fixtures.

                    Watford is a midfield I will have a look at this morning

                2. The Mighty Hippo
                  • 9 Years
                  8 years, 27 days ago

                  Ward-Prowse

              • dunas_dog
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                8 years, 27 days ago

                Final WC place. BB in 34 but no FH for 35

                A Gudmundsson (5 games in 32-35)
                B Groß ( 4 games in 32-35)

                1. BarkKnight
                  • 10 Years
                  8 years, 27 days ago

                  I have Gudmundsson on WC.

              • _Gunner
                • 11 Years
                8 years, 27 days ago

                Salah or Lukaku captain?

                1. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
                  • 16 Years
                  8 years, 27 days ago

                  Lukaku

                2. FPL_WILDCARD
                  • 8 Years
                  8 years, 27 days ago

                  Salah

                3. Ceci
                  • 11 Years
                  8 years, 27 days ago

                  Got to be Salah

                4. Scout
                  • 8 Years
                  8 years, 27 days ago

                  Salah

              • Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
                • 16 Years
                8 years, 27 days ago

                Best combo

                A Valencia / alonso / 4.7 mid

                B mariappa / Christensen / willian

                1. dunas_dog
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 10 Years
                  8 years, 27 days ago

                  A with Ibe

                  1. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
                    • 16 Years
                    8 years, 27 days ago

                    Thanks was thinking ibe

                2. BarkKnight
                  • 10 Years
                  8 years, 27 days ago

                  Valencia is over-priced IMO so B.

                  1. Master Kane
                    • 12 Years
                    8 years, 27 days ago

                    But isn’t he more likely to start all games?

                3. Scout
                  • 8 Years
                  8 years, 27 days ago

                  A

              • FPL_WILDCARD
                • 8 Years
                8 years, 27 days ago

                United dilemma

                Bailly or Smalling?

                1. BarkKnight
                  • 10 Years
                  8 years, 27 days ago

                  I have Bailly on WC.

                2. Butcher
                  • 12 Years
                  8 years, 27 days ago

                  Jones

                3. #FPLBhuna
                  • 9 Years
                  8 years, 27 days ago

                  Biggie smallz

                4. seanie3
                  • 14 Years
                  8 years, 27 days ago

                  minefield, expect baily and jones to be 1st choice pairing but will it be today? not sure if Jones goes straight back in..

                  smalling for this week then probably makes way next week, however Jose has in the past thrown jones straight back in when he has come back from injury when others thought he would wait, did it earlier in the season where jones came in and got a cs and 3 max bonus points...

                  1. FPL_WILDCARD
                    • 8 Years
                    8 years, 27 days ago

                    I agree, it’s a nightmare in the United defence with 5 fit CBs now. I’d imagine Smalling gets the game today due to a 2 week rest, as Bailly played twice in international break. But I agree I believe Bailly is more likely to play both in DGW34.

              • BarkKnight
                • 10 Years
                8 years, 27 days ago

                Who to start: Lowton or Barnes?

                1. #FPLBhuna
                  • 9 Years
                  8 years, 27 days ago

                  Lowton

              • Butcher
                • 12 Years
                8 years, 27 days ago

                Who gets more clean sheets over the next few?

                A) Spurs and Watford
                B) Brighton and Arsenal

                1. Ceci
                  • 11 Years
                  8 years, 27 days ago

                  A because it has Spurs.

                2. Lukakuna
                  • 9 Years
                  8 years, 27 days ago

                  A

                3. #FPLBhuna
                  • 9 Years
                  8 years, 27 days ago

                  B

              • Scout
                • 8 Years
                8 years, 27 days ago

                Shaqiri out for d silva
                De gea out for pope

                -8pts team would be
                Otemendi alonso tarkwoski lowton
                Silva sterling salah son
                Kane firminho

                Worth the point loss?

                1. FPL_WILDCARD
                  • 8 Years
                  8 years, 27 days ago

                  I wouldn’t do that...

              • GE
                • 9 Years
                8 years, 27 days ago

                More and more players with Christensen in their teams. Is he nailed now?

              • Lukakuna
                • 9 Years
                8 years, 27 days ago

                Play Gross or Barnes this week?

                1. #FPLBhuna
                  • 9 Years
                  8 years, 27 days ago

                  Gross

              • Weilong7
                • 9 Years
                8 years, 27 days ago

                Lukaku or aubameyang this gw? Wildcard next weekend for BB

                1. BarkKnight
                  • 10 Years
                  8 years, 27 days ago

                  Auba, I plan to bring in Lukaku in two weeks.

                2. FPL_WILDCARD
                  • 8 Years
                  8 years, 27 days ago

                  I’m on Auba with a plan to bring in Lukaku in 2 weeks but that could change to Kane

              • damiang2233
                • 16 Years
                8 years, 27 days ago

                Son or Mhitaryan fro Shaquiri

                or

                get rid of Wilson for someone

                3.5m ITB thoughts??

                1. Scout
                  • 8 Years
                  8 years, 27 days ago

                  Son

                2. Lukakuna
                  • 9 Years
                  8 years, 27 days ago

                  Shaq to mkhi

              • yer old da
                • 16 Years
                8 years, 27 days ago

                Charlie Austin has me very interested - could be a great differential in 34