Spot the Differential
31 March 2018 2111 comments
James H James H
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With partial success back in Gameweek 31 via a Salomon Rondon assist, we’ve opted for three strikers in our selection of Differentials this time around.

Front men from Manchester City, Southampton and Burnley are backed to produce as we enter the final block of the season.

Gabriel Jesus

With Sergio Aguero remaining a doubt for Manchester City’s trip to Everton, his team-mate and fellow striker Gabriel Jesus looks a tempting option.

The Brazilian made his first start against Stoke City in Gameweek 30 following a spell on the sidelines and produced his fifth assist of the campaign in the 2-0 win.

The forward now faces an Everton side that have managed just one clean sheet from their last 11 encounters.

Jesus has scored eight goals from 21 league outings and just 13 starts, and should be handed plenty of opportunities at Goodison Park leading the line for league’s top scoring side.

Pep Guardiola’s men have scored a sensational 85 goals, 12 more than second-placed Liverpool.

They have also created an astounding 108 big chances, with Liverpool again the next best on 93.

Given the injuries to Aguero and Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane, Jesus could represent good value as a replacement, priced at 10.0 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

Owned by only 6.7% of FPL managers, he might just be worth a roll of the dice if you believe City can run riot on Merseyside in their bid to seal the title.

Charlie Austin

With an eye not just on Gameweek 32, but also the upcoming Double Gameweek 34, Southampton’s Charlie Austin is an interesting name to consider.

The Saints forward is in line to return to the squad for this afternoon’s crunch trip to fellow strugglers West Ham United after recovering from a hamstring injury.

By the time Mark Hughes’s side face Chelsea and Leicester City in Double Gameweek 34, the striker is expected to be fully up to speed.

Austin’s importance to Southampton’s survival hopes cannot be understated.

He is their top goalscorer with six goals, despite injuries and a suspension limiting him to just five starts.

Significantly, his underlying statistics are hugely impressive given his budget price tag of just 5.8 in FPL.

The former Queens Park Rangers front man has fired a shot every 22.1 minutes over the season, which is only bettered by Kane (15) and Aguero (21.4) among regular starting forwards.

Indeed, only Aguero betters Austin’s minutes per goal record this campaign, with the Saints striker finding the net every 98.1 minutes compared with the Argentine’s 93.8 minutes.

Facing a West Ham side that have conceded more goals (11) than any other side over the last four matches, Austin could enjoy another successful afternoon at the London Stadium, having produced a goal and an assist in this fixture last term.

He also netted the winner from the penalty spot in a 3-2 victory in the reverse fixture this season, despite only playing 10 minutes as a substitute.

While investment in the 0.6%-owned striker does carry a risk as he may not be fit to start this afternoon, his goalscoring record when on the pitch suggests he could be worth a gamble for the run-in, particularly with the south coast club benefitting from two double Gameweeks.

Chris Wood

While team-mate Ashley Barnes (5.3) has been the name on the lips of many managers due to his more budget-friendly price tag, fellow Burnley forward Chris Wood should not be overlooked.

The New Zealand international has scored three goals in two substitute appearances since returning from a knee injury, and has strong claims for a recall for this afternoon’s trip to West Bromwich Albion.

His chances have certainly increased since he was omitted from the New Zealand squad for their friendly with Canada.

Wood matches up very well when compared to Barnes.

Despite being limited to just 17 appearances, as opposed to 29 for Barnes, the New Zealander holds the edge for goals scored (seven to six).

Indeed, he has a goal every 157.4 minutes, which is far superior to Barnes (269.3).

Wood has also been involved in a staggering 62% of Burnley’s goals scored when he’s been on the pitch, which helps justify the extra outlay required to bring in the 6.2-price forward.

Facing a West Brom defence that has shipped nine goals in their last three encounters at the Hawthorns, Wood looks to have the ideal platform to maintain his strong form.

With his appeal also boosted by a Double Gameweek 34 (LEI/CHE) and a fixture in Gameweek 35 away to Stoke City, the 1.2%-owned Wood could be a powerful differential for the season run-in.

  1. Dynamic
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Why are people going for Mustafi over Monreal?

    1. Dele
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Monreal to be rested for EL.

    2. Ruud van Basten
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      More nailed

    3. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Nailedness

    4. si
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Why won’t Mustafi get rested too? I can’t see him playing 3 games in 7 days

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Not so much cover and Koscielny likely to be rested

      2. DJ1000
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Mustafi played in all league games recently in between Europa league games

    5. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Less droppable for europe

  2. Dele
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    If using BB in 34 should I ideally have 4 players with a double? On my WC.

    Ryan, Kenedy, Lowton, Morgan

    1. Naboo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      3 should be enough

  3. Bobby_Baggio
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Some advice please guys. I'm only 13 points behind ML leader. Should I play safe with Salah(C) or go with who I actually want Auba(C)?

    1. Legomané
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      3 points back...same Q... 😯

      1. Legomané
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        3 / 13...there's really nothing it it!

        See my comments below re Home/Away stats, looks a close call...

        1. Bobby_Baggio
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          Cheers I know. Really want Auba but worried leader will pull away

    2. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Go with your gut but 13 points is nothing. Your rival will captain Salah. I would do the same and catch him with your chips

      1. Bobby_Baggio
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Cheers I do still have BB and TC

        1. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          It's unlikely you'll catch him this week by "punting" on a differential captain. You could however find yourself 20 odd behind by doing it

        2. DJ1000
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          Yep captn Salah this gw.

      2. Master Kane
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        This

    3. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      definitely play safe

  4. Legomané
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Feeling a little uncomfortable after a late night Aguero > Lukaku hit switch... 😯

    All G2G?
    Any reason to favour Auba(H) over Salah(A)?

    Auba's Home stats keep up pretty well with Mo's away stats over the past 2-4 games...

    Pope
    Alonso VvD Chilwell Schindler
    Salah(c) Son Stanislas
    Aubameyang(v) Lukaku Firmino

    (Begovic Milivojevic Baines RLC)

    1. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Good transfer and G2G. I'm still unsure about those two for (C) .....see above

  5. yer old da
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    A. Gross and Barnes

    or

    B. Gudmundsson and Austin?

    1. The Left Duke #3
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      A for me. I'm currently on B with Murray over Austin

    2. HesaCat
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      A

    3. The Hindu Monkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      A

    4. Magic Box
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      A.

    5. Gazzpfc
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      A

  6. Art Vandelay
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Desperately trying to crowbar Hazard in on WC as I need differentials.

    a) Haz + Vardy
    bj Willian + Lukaku

    Also, Lingard to get enough game time to justify inclusion?

    Cheers

    1. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      A

    2. si
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      I want Lingard. He should start today but I am going to keep an eye on the United team for the next 2 games first. There are so many options for them

    3. GE
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      A

    4. Art Vandelay
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Cheers gents.

      Interesting. Some positivity on Haz but barely in any RMWCTs

  7. Js31
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Am I mad thinking that A would outscore B?

    A - Jones Very Quaner
    B - Bailly Dunk Barnes

    Last minute madness??

    1. Js31
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      *Vert

    2. GE
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      B

    3. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      The answer is in A.

      1. Js31
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Haha! Need to put my phone down now!!

    4. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      A) 6, 2, 2
      B) 6, 2, 5

      Go with b

  8. Tommo1888
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Is holding assured starts ?

    1. GE
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      No Guess not

    2. My neck my back my Saed Kol…
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Not at all. Chambers tends to have th edge on him now. Likelihood is they’ll share pitch time over the next few

  9. Magic Box
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    No WC so phasing in my moves over the next couple of weeks.

    Best transfer for a -4 this week then the other for free next week?

    A) Wilson -> Barnes
    B) Schindler -> Lowton

    Cheers lads!

  10. GE
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Repost:
    More and more players with Christensen in their teams. Is he nailed now?

    1. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      No, fatigued

    2. Ron_Swanson
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Should be nailed. Question marks on fitness but should be fine by 34

    3. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Relatively.

  11. Whats the Mata?
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Does Jwp look nailed?

  12. My neck my back my Saed Kol…
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Rank these players from most important to least over the next 2? They’ll all be in the team come 34.

    A) Lukaku
    B) Vardy
    C) alonso
    D) Willian
    E) son

    1. Naboo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      CEB

      1. My neck my back my Saed Kol…
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Cheers. What about A and D?

        1. Naboo
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          Not vital over next 2 but good shouts of course. Have bith

    2. DJ1000
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Abcde. Not convinced Alonso is an essential pick

      1. My neck my back my Saed Kol…
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Interesting. So you think son is the least desirable out of that crowd?

  13. Patch
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Kennedy or Gross???

    Reasons appreciated

    1. My neck my back my Saed Kol…
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Gross, he’s got the double

    2. The Left Duke #3
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Gross. Two great home games next. DGW 34. On set pieces. Can transfer for Kenedy before his DGW 37

      1. yer old da
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        What he said

    3. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Kenn

    4. Patch
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Ok thanks both nearly done with the WC

    5. PL Ball
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      What's the appeal with Kennedy?

  14. kysersosa
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Managers, GTG with this WC team/Plan:

    Ryan De Gea
    Dunk Morgan Ward Tarwoski Robertson
    Mhik Son Mahrez Grob Salah
    Aubam Vardy Barnes

    3.5 ITB

    Plan

    GW33 no FT
    GW34 Mhik to Ali, BB with 12 players
    GW35 Mahrez and Gross to Silva and Sterling 8 players for that week
    GW 36 No FT
    GW 37 Weigh up situation, potentially dropping Salah and Barnes to bring Albrighton/Arnie and Kane (TC) back giving me 11 players for DGW.

    Thoughts?

    1. Patch
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Do you prefer Gross over Kennedy

      Also dunk an OG king...

      1. kysersosa
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Gross - definitely Kennedy has a good fixture this week, but then no DGW in 34.

        In Dunk we trust - it is an impressive stat though! 4 OG this season.

    2. Jehstafari
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      I'm going for 10 DGW in 34 (BB) and then 10 in 35. 8 feels very light for GW35

      1. kysersosa
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Think it depends on your 10. My 8 will have 2 Man city players at home to Swansea. I can live with that.

        1. DJ1000
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          No Lukaku or Kane in dbgw34 a mistake if you ask me

        2. Jehstafari
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          Aiming to have at least one city in the 10

  15. Jehstafari
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    On WC:

    a) Son & Auba > Lukaku in GW34
    b) Lingard & Auba > Kane in GW34

    Team:
    DDG Henno
    Christensen Lowton Mariappa Mustafi Smalling
    Mahrez Willian Salah Gudmondson a/b
    Aubameyang Firmino Barnes

    1. My neck my back my Saed Kol…
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      I’d personally downgrade mustafi to a cheaper defender and try and find money to get in alonso

      1. Jehstafari
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Don't want to lose a GW35 player if I take him out

        1. My neck my back my Saed Kol…
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          I see. No free hit? Then keep him, I think he’ll outscore a lot of double players over the next 3

  16. Scout
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    De gea put for pope
    Shaqiri our for d silva.
    -8pts worth it?

    1. Patch
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Heaton...nuff said

      1. Scout
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Think pope is nailed

        1. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          Why do you think that mate? He definitely, 100% won't play all games till the end of the season

    2. si
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Erm..

    3. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      No way loooool

    4. Patch
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      No offence just seems the weirdest post I have read today

      1. Scout
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Why is it wierd haha

        1. Patch
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          Not sure just thinking of all the players around they wouldn't be candidates

          I.e. I presume you mean David Silva...who is out on personal reasons.

          DDG seems a keeper (literal sense)

    5. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      good luck with that...

  17. AThousandSuns
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Any news on Sterling? read here that he is sick.

    1. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Sources I’ve read lead me to believe he misses out today

      1. AThousandSuns
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Can you share the link? and what exactly is wrong, is it sickness?

  18. Bleach †
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Shaq to KDB or Wilson to Vardy worth a -4 before I wc next week? 🙂

    1. si
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      No

    2. Bleach †
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      or Mané?

  19. Swagat
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Who do u prefer? Need that 0.1 For Gross

    A)Morgan and Schelotto
    B)Chillwell and Dunk

    1. Patch
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      A

    2. My neck my back my Saed Kol…
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      A slightly more nailed. Houghton said in his presser fuchs and chillwell will be rotated

  20. Kasparov
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Looks like I made my transfer too early.

    Smalling, Robertson, and Silva are all doubts apparently.

    No free hits, but £2.1 ITB.

    Is it worth taking a hit to replace any of these? Wildcarding next week. Smalling 'might' be dropped for Jones? Robertson 'might' not play. Silva 'might' not play due to personal reasons.

    Anyone have any insight?

    Thanks!

    1. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      All will start.

      1. Kasparov
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        I hope you're right! Cheers bud.

      2. Kasparov
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 26 days ago

        Right on!

    2. Naboo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Not worth hitting if you're WCing next week. All could start. Risk it

      1. Kasparov
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        That's what I'm feeling too. Cheers!

      2. Kasparov
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 26 days ago

        My man!

  21. The 12th Man
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Gtg?
    DDG
    Alonso,VVD,Lowton
    Hazard,Mahrez,Salah(c)Stanislas
    Aubameyang,Firmino,Mounie

    Adrian,Walcott,Simpson,Fernandez

    1. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      GTG. How many hits are you on?

      1. The 12th Man
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Lol. You know me to well. -12

        1. Over Midwicket
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          Nice.

          1. The 12th Man
            • 12 Years
            8 years, 27 days ago

            The -12 was Foster,Bauer,Choupu,Wilson > DDG,Lowton,Mahrez,Aubameyang

  22. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Get on WC

    A Smalling
    B Robertson

    1. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      A

  23. Bobby_Baggio
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Is there for DGW games (potentially) in 37 or 34?

    1. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      *more not for

    2. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Yes I would Eden hazard a guess

  24. Galza
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Here’s something different.
    A non WC team. GtG.

    Pope

    Tarkowski Chilwell VVD

    Mkhi Sterling Shaqiri Salah

    Firmino Vardy Aubameyang(c)

    Lossl Mili Zanka Francis

    2.3 mil ITB

    Spunked all chips other than BB.

    1. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Nice one fella I am in a similar position. Though I hold a wc and Bb. Look like this for now

      Lloris
      Maguire - Smalling - Robertson
      Salah(c) - Mahrez - Zaha - Richarlison
      Lukaku - Firmino - Vardy
      Bench: Elliot - Mili - Keane - Kenny

      1. Galza
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Nice team.
        It’s good to look at another team that’s not a clone of everyone elses.... 😉

        1. #FPLBhuna
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          Absolutely mate I mean I can’t say I’m proud to still own Richarlison but needs must haha good luck for the gw

          1. Galza
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 27 days ago

            Richarlison is due.
            Good luck to you too.

  25. how now brown cow
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    any leaked liverpool lineup as yet?

  26. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    https://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/sport/football/football-news/man-utd-team-news-squad-14477063

    No sign of Jones or Rojo. Sounds likely that Bailly & Smalling will start.

    However, please remember that just because players are not photographed or at the hotel, they can and have travelled themselves before.

    1. Patch
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Right gonna keep Robertson over Jones then

  27. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Please help. Who should I bench?

    A) VVD vs Palace (A)
    B) Francis vs Watford (A)
    C) Zanka vs Newcastle (A)
    D) Alonso vs Spurs (H)

    Thanks a lot!

    1. GE
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      B

    2. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      B

    3. Hybrid.power
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Francis

  28. makaveli123
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Bench Mee, Azpi or Mariappa? Cheers

    1. GE
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Mariappa

    2. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Mari

  29. GE
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Bailly or Christensen long-term?!

  30. damiang2233
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Anyone think salah or Firminio might be rested??

    1. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Not a chance