Spot the Differential
7 April 2018 2250 comments
James H James H
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Two of our Gameweek 32 selections got on the scoresheet and we’re hoping our latest trio of differentials can continue in a similar vein this weekend.

This time around, we’ve opted for one premium and two cut-price midfielders to hopefully take advantage of favourable home fixtures.

Eden Hazard

While he was bitterly disappointing in the 3-1 defeat to Tottenham Hotspur, Chelsea’s Eden Hazard remains a powerful differential option.

The 6.9%-owned Belgian faces a promising home match-up with West Ham United this weekend.

David Moyes’ side have conceded 11 goals on their last three road trips, while only Stoke City (117) have given up more shots than the Hammers (115) over the last six away matches.

Although Hazard has only produced a single assist from his last four appearances, he has faced both Manchester sides as well as Spurs over that spell.

Despite that, he has impressively created more chances (16) than any other Fantasy Premier League (FPL) midfielder over the four matches.

He has also enjoyed recent success against the Hammers, scoring in two of his last three league outings against the east London club, including in the corresponding fixture last season.

Priced at 10.6 in FPL, Hazard is something of a luxury item.

However, he has still produced 11 goals and five assists this season and has registered six double-digit hauls, all coming since Gameweek 10.

With two Double Gameweeks (sot bur, LIV HUD) to come in a favourable run-in, he could prove to be a stand-out differential over the remaining six Gameweeks, starting on Sunday.

Jordon Ibe

With Junior Stanislas suffering a season-ending knee injury, Bournemouth’s Jordon Ibe looks to have the platform to finish the campaign strongly.

The winger registered a 10-point haul in the 2-1 victory over West Bromwich Albion in Gameweek 31 and has produced a respectable two goals and six assists from just 19 starts overall.

The primary factor behind the midfielder’s appeal is his 4.7 price tag in FPL, making him an effective enabler.

Ibe’s underlying statistics also provide further room for optimism.

He is second to only Stanislas (11) among Bournemouth players for shots over the last three Gameweeks, with six, while he has registered more crosses (11) than any team-mate over that period.

The Cherries face a favourable home fixture against Crystal Palace this afternoon.

Roy Hodgson’s side are second to only Stoke City (75) for shots conceded over the last four matches, with 66.

Ibe’s prospects are also boosted by the fact Bournemouth play twice in Double Gameweek 34, albeit involving a daunting trip to his former club Liverpool and a home clash against Manchester United.

The wide man is definitely a viable alternative to Newcastle United’s Kenedy in the budget bracket and offers an obvious upgrade for later in the season, when Bournemouth’s schedule (sot SWA bur) compares favourably to the Magpies’ (wat tot CHE).

Sat in only 1.4% of FPL squads, Ibe looks a viable short-term differential given he now looks assured of starts.

Alex Iwobi

Another midfielder who looks set to benefit from an injury is Arsenal’s Alex Iwobi.

Henrikh Mkhitaryan was forced off with a knee injury in the 4-1 win over CSKA Moscow in Thursday’s UEFA Europa League quarter-final first leg, and there are fears he has damaged a medial ligament.

The Gunners will be full of confidence following Thursday night’s emphatic victory and entertain struggling Southampton at the Emirates tomorrow.

The Saints suffered a dismal 3-0 defeat to West Ham last weekend and also lost 3-0 at Newcastle in their previous league encounter.

In Mkhitaryan’s absence, Iwobi should gain regular starts in the league while Arsenal are still in the Europa League, starting with tomorrow’s fixture.

Despite only managing two goals and three assists, the Nigerian’s underlying statistics suggest he has the potential to improve his output.

He has averaged a shot every 36 minutes, which is tied with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and superior to both Mkhitaryan (55.2) and Mesut Ozil (55.5).

Iwobi also impresses when assessing his creativity.

The 0.7%-owned midfielder has created a chance every 50 minutes, which is only bettered by Ozil and Mkhitaryan among Arsenal players.

During his last run of starts – between Gameweeks 23 and 26 – he registered a goal and two assists. Those four matches were his best run in the starting XI this season.

Available at just 5.1 in FPL, Iwobi is another interesting cut-price contender who can prove to be a real difference maker for those managers prepared to take a risk as we approach the final month.

  1. Sponge-worthy
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    I'm really out of the loop. McCarthy now nr 1 keeper for Soton? What happened there? Is he really nr 1 now?

    1. Sailboats
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Yes. Forster is shite

    2. palace ash
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Foster was playing really badly

      1. palace ash
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        *Forster

  2. Ode
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Final decisions on my wildcard:

    A) Alonso, Vertonghen, Groß
    B) Christensen, Ward, Alli

    1. KenyaDigIt
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      A

  3. damiang2233
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Salah, Firminio and Mhitayaran to Alli Erisken and Aubameyang for a 8 point hit? good move?

    1. palace ash
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Bench Firmino. Get Eriksen and Alli

  4. palace ash
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Who would like to see transparency from FPL over price rises and falls next season?
    There's no reason that it has to be secret/guess work, right?

    1. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      It's fine as it is. Price changes are not linear and never have been - there are lots of factors at play.

    2. Ghost Gooner
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      There should be a price fall/rise predictor section on the site. It would be accurate as they have the algorithm.

      That would be as transparent as it can be

    3. CloudSky
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Id just want them to stop messing with them. If someone is in the drop zone let him drop.

      1. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        What are you on about. Fpl statistics isn't affiliated with official FPL so obviously the drop zones aren't 100% accurate

  5. *sigh*
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Locked and loaded.Good luck all!
    Lloris
    Mustafi Lowton Morgan Fernandez
    Hazard Mahrez Salah
    Kane(C) Auba Barnes

    Hart King Dummett Mhki

  6. Halftime
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Start Coleman? Does his attacking threat outweigh the probable no clean sheet?

    1. *sigh*
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Too pricey to bench and can get a haul v Pool imo.

      1. Halftime
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        thanks

  7. THFC4LIFE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Mounie good enough to come off the bench?

  8. Borran
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    When is the deadline? In ~ 30 min or 1 h 30 min?

    1. damiang2233
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      11.30

    2. Volley127
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      1h30

    3. Arteta
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      In an hour and a half.

  9. The_FF_King
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Hey guys, how’s this for my wildcard team for bench boost GW34. No FH for GW35

    De Gea / Pope
    Chilwell / Mustafi / Christiansen / Lowton / Robertson
    Willian / Mahrez / Salah / Lingard / Kennedy
    Kane / Barnes / Lukaku

    0.2 ITB

  10. thisisdiz
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    On WC:
    DDG Ryan
    Alonso Azpi Vertonghen Chilwell Lowton
    Eriksen Mahrez Willian Lingard Ibe
    Kane Lukaku Barnes
    0.5 ITB

    1) Ibe>Iwobi?
    2) Lukaku>Vardy and upgrade Lowton/Chilwell to MUN def?

  11. AD2110
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    What’s the better option?

    A) Pope & Robertson
    B) Lloris & Lowton

    Other defenders are Chilwell, Christensen, Morgan, Tarkowski

    1. doublyG
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      To transfer or to start?

      1. AD2110
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Transfer. Already have A but can’t decide whether B is better

  12. The Red Devil
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Kane or Pierre for the armband?

    1. jackx13
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Question we have all been asking ourselves 😀

    2. *sigh*
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Gone for Kane but god knows

      1. Fantasizer
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        yeah lets ask zlatan

    3. Amsterhammer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Pierre

    4. doublyG
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Pierre for me

  13. ignis88
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    *Bottomed*
    Finally sorted out the WC! But what about Firmino?

    DDG - Hennessy

    Chillwell - Monreal - Smalling - Kiko - Tomkins

    Sanches - Mahrez - Willian - Ramsey - Milli

    Kane - Vardy - Firmino

    Debating Lukaku for Firmino; any ideas how to do this?

    0.0 itb

  14. ooooo
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Captain?
    A) Kane(brought in on -4)
    B) Auba

    1. Jonny HOW SON?
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      b

  15. JONALDINHO
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Are people who lost Salah planning to get him back? Liverpool will still try hard in the league for CL spot. I would be shocked to see Salah rested against Bournemouth. The CL game is on a Tuesday and Salah won’t play and only played half the game against City. Pool always play well against Bournemouth because of their style. Then he has Stoke and Brighton at home in GW36+38. Surely he is essential for these fixtures after what he’s done so far this season even with 2 less games.

    1. jackx13
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      CL Semi final between GW35 and 36 and second leg between 36 and 37... If his fitness is in doubt maybe he won't start at least one of those games if not both.

    2. Cabellafan
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Spurs players have 3 more games. Not sure I can justify keeping him

    3. Dannyb
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Fh 35 and thats it i reckon. Need to try something different from everyone else.

    4. lugs
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      no , at his current price he's too expensive to get back in , no worries though i should have a power front 3 of Kane-Auba-Aguero by gw 37 so hopefully that will more than cover his points 🙂

  16. Bayas'ed
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Somewhat different WC team.

    DDG Hennessey
    Mustafi Lowton Kiko Morgan Christensen
    Sanchez Alli Willian Albrighton Gudmundsson
    Kane Auba Austin

    GTG? Any suggestions?

  17. Jonny HOW SON?
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Who is the most nailed on Man U defender?

    1. Fantasizer
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      valencia .

      1. Jonny HOW SON?
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        in central defence

        1. Amsterhammer
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          I'd guess Smalling

        2. Fantasizer
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          bailly for me!!
          he had a back problem last time out
          should start the rest
          but with so many options, anyone can be a gamble
          only ddg and valencia look safe

    2. OnionBag
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Valencia

    3. KenyaDigIt
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Valencia and then Smalling

  18. Hart-ake
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Lingard in for a hit. Feels wrong.

    1. jackx13
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      It is.

      1. Hart-ake
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Big game player 😉

    2. iCon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      It should do this week!

      1. Hart-ake
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        I agree but there was no point getting someone else in this week and then swapping back out again.

  19. EL_FENOMENO
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Auba or Kane captain ?

  20. Fantasizer
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    what do you guys think?
    if salah doesn't start, will he be on the bench or not??
    i mean if he comes on for a brief cameo.. 1 points and the bench player will probably get a double digit 😀

  21. drughi
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Mariappa or naughton first on bench ?

  22. TaiwanHC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Jesus Christ.

    I just realized I still have all my chips left. When are you guys planning on using them respectively?

    Thanks!

    1. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Lol

      1. FPL Blow-In
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        For me, BB34, FH35, TC37

        1. KenyaDigIt
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          This... Or TC34 and BB37

    2. OnionBag
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      GW33 (now) wildcarding
      GW34 Bench boost
      GW35 Free Hit

      I've already used TC but if I still had it I'd use in GW37

  23. The Final Boss
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Bottomed for the second time 🙂

    Guys need suggestions desperately

    kaku,salah -> kane,ramsey(-4)

    and then auba->kaku gw thirty four?

    1. KenyaDigIt
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Ramsey for a hit. hmmmm! Will he start?

      Kane is super tempting - I have him but he hasn't hit double digits in a while. So it's an expensive gamble.

  24. Lowton hit
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Hello there,

    Long time observor of community but this is my first post. So I have big problems. Looking for a top 10k finish this season.

    I used my wildcard last round and I think that I did failed that. I have FH, BB and TC still left but my team is currently this

    DDG
    Tarkowski, Maguire, Morgan,
    Mahrez, Mane, Salah, William
    Auba, Lukaku, Murray

    Ryan, Lowton, Gudmunson, Smalling

    Plan is to use bench boost 34 but have serious doubts over Smalling game time and I would prefer to have Alonso becuse the man is living in opposiotion box. Another problem is to play without Kane.

    This week I can do
    Smalling->Alonso
    Mane-> Groß for -4

    and next week after that
    Murray-> Kane
    Salah->Ibe -4

    My team for this week is reasonably strong but I could get badly hurt without Kane and Alonso in the future.

    This week I have thinked rather to change Mane than Salah because the TV and the possibility of that Auba or Lukaku get injured which would allows me to have both big mans Salah and Kane and really save my nerves.

    Would appreciate your thoughts about the idea or another transfer possibilities.

    Thank you.

    1. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Why sell Mane who is playing today over Salah who isn't?

      1. Lowton hit
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Because if for some reason I´m not able to follow that plan next week (ijuries) I rather have Salah over Mane.

    2. Amsterhammer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      I wouldn't take 2 hits. Can you get to Kane with 1 transfer this week and Murray to Kane next?

      1. Amsterhammer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Scrap that just transfer Salah out and go Aub to Kane next week.

        1. Lowton hit
          • 7 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Thank you for your thoughts.

          Finally I went for
          Smalling->Alonso
          Salah->Lingard after all.

          Lingards fixtures in round 37 was the main reson for me to choose him instead of Groß

          So next round it is Mane->Ibe (probably) and Murray to Kane.

          It did eased my decision to see that my main rival in minileague made 4 transfers (-12) and I believe that he also trasfered Salah out

  25. Steevo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Ryan
    Alonso Maguire Mustafi
    Salah Mahrez Son Willian
    Aubameyang Firmino Murray

    DDG Lowton Cork Tarkowski

    A) Salah -> Alli (-4)
    B) Firmino -> Vardy (-4)
    C) Neither
    D) Both

    1. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      D

    2. Volley127
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      D

  26. semiconductor
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    With lowton in my playing defence, who would be 2nd and 3rd on my bench

    Long and baines

    1. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Baines is currently second on mine and it’s making me uneasy in my gut.

      1. semiconductor
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        In ur situation in the below post i would keep vvd 1st sub. I'm still confused on my situation though

      2. Halftime
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        I'm playing Coleman, might get attacking points.

  27. FPL Blow-In
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Hi folks. Please help before I head into work.

    Is this lined up correctly?

    DDG
    Davies, Maguire, Lowton
    Alli, Mahrez, Willian, Arnie
    Auba, Firmino, Vardy

    Hennessy, VVD, Baines, Gundo

    If the leaked Liverpool line up is correct and Firmino is benched should I have Baines or VVD 1st sub? DDG over Hennessy right?

  28. WE GO FOR IT
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Lingard or Gross?

    1. doublyG
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Lings

      1. WE GO FOR IT
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers!

  29. Blue Gaffer
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    G2G?

    Foster, (Eliot)
    Lowton, Baines, Ottamendi, (Schindler), (A. Smith)
    Mane,Mahrez,Willian,Gross,(Pritchard)
    Kane Aubameyang, Vardy

  30. MrMajeika
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Who would you rather have from gw34 onward.
    A) Salah + vardy
    B) gross + lukaku

    B would mean selling Salah but he is a rotation risk and can have him for fh gw35