Spot the Differential
7 April 2018 2250 comments
James H James H
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Two of our Gameweek 32 selections got on the scoresheet and we’re hoping our latest trio of differentials can continue in a similar vein this weekend.

This time around, we’ve opted for one premium and two cut-price midfielders to hopefully take advantage of favourable home fixtures.

Eden Hazard

While he was bitterly disappointing in the 3-1 defeat to Tottenham Hotspur, Chelsea’s Eden Hazard remains a powerful differential option.

The 6.9%-owned Belgian faces a promising home match-up with West Ham United this weekend.

David Moyes’ side have conceded 11 goals on their last three road trips, while only Stoke City (117) have given up more shots than the Hammers (115) over the last six away matches.

Although Hazard has only produced a single assist from his last four appearances, he has faced both Manchester sides as well as Spurs over that spell.

Despite that, he has impressively created more chances (16) than any other Fantasy Premier League (FPL) midfielder over the four matches.

He has also enjoyed recent success against the Hammers, scoring in two of his last three league outings against the east London club, including in the corresponding fixture last season.

Priced at 10.6 in FPL, Hazard is something of a luxury item.

However, he has still produced 11 goals and five assists this season and has registered six double-digit hauls, all coming since Gameweek 10.

With two Double Gameweeks (sot bur, LIV HUD) to come in a favourable run-in, he could prove to be a stand-out differential over the remaining six Gameweeks, starting on Sunday.

Jordon Ibe

With Junior Stanislas suffering a season-ending knee injury, Bournemouth’s Jordon Ibe looks to have the platform to finish the campaign strongly.

The winger registered a 10-point haul in the 2-1 victory over West Bromwich Albion in Gameweek 31 and has produced a respectable two goals and six assists from just 19 starts overall.

The primary factor behind the midfielder’s appeal is his 4.7 price tag in FPL, making him an effective enabler.

Ibe’s underlying statistics also provide further room for optimism.

He is second to only Stanislas (11) among Bournemouth players for shots over the last three Gameweeks, with six, while he has registered more crosses (11) than any team-mate over that period.

The Cherries face a favourable home fixture against Crystal Palace this afternoon.

Roy Hodgson’s side are second to only Stoke City (75) for shots conceded over the last four matches, with 66.

Ibe’s prospects are also boosted by the fact Bournemouth play twice in Double Gameweek 34, albeit involving a daunting trip to his former club Liverpool and a home clash against Manchester United.

The wide man is definitely a viable alternative to Newcastle United’s Kenedy in the budget bracket and offers an obvious upgrade for later in the season, when Bournemouth’s schedule (sot SWA bur) compares favourably to the Magpies’ (wat tot CHE).

Sat in only 1.4% of FPL squads, Ibe looks a viable short-term differential given he now looks assured of starts.

Alex Iwobi

Another midfielder who looks set to benefit from an injury is Arsenal’s Alex Iwobi.

Henrikh Mkhitaryan was forced off with a knee injury in the 4-1 win over CSKA Moscow in Thursday’s UEFA Europa League quarter-final first leg, and there are fears he has damaged a medial ligament.

The Gunners will be full of confidence following Thursday night’s emphatic victory and entertain struggling Southampton at the Emirates tomorrow.

The Saints suffered a dismal 3-0 defeat to West Ham last weekend and also lost 3-0 at Newcastle in their previous league encounter.

In Mkhitaryan’s absence, Iwobi should gain regular starts in the league while Arsenal are still in the Europa League, starting with tomorrow’s fixture.

Despite only managing two goals and three assists, the Nigerian’s underlying statistics suggest he has the potential to improve his output.

He has averaged a shot every 36 minutes, which is tied with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and superior to both Mkhitaryan (55.2) and Mesut Ozil (55.5).

Iwobi also impresses when assessing his creativity.

The 0.7%-owned midfielder has created a chance every 50 minutes, which is only bettered by Ozil and Mkhitaryan among Arsenal players.

During his last run of starts – between Gameweeks 23 and 26 – he registered a goal and two assists. Those four matches were his best run in the starting XI this season.

Available at just 5.1 in FPL, Iwobi is another interesting cut-price contender who can prove to be a real difference maker for those managers prepared to take a risk as we approach the final month.

  1. Chucky
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Nailed Arsenal def for next few weeks? no FH so need someone who plays in 35 as well..

    1. XabiAlonso
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Montreal

    2. The_FF_King
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Must have Mustafi

    3. Jafooli
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Monreal?

    4. Fantasizer
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      mustafi

    5. kinghenry14
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      mustafi

    6. Jafooli
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Cheers all...

      1. Chucky
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 20 days ago

        😉

    7. lugs
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Bellerin

    8. Sailboats
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      mustafi

    9. Chucky
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      cheers all 😀

  2. Jam0sh
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Which one would you play:

    A) Morgan (NEW)
    B) Femenia (BUR)

    1. Jonny HOW SON?
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      a

    2. Fantasizer
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      both are good options but feminia has attacking potential too

    3. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      B

  3. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Maybe I will keep Salah after all...

    1. Bubbles1985
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Tough decision isn't it!!

  4. skriniar
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Hi gents,
    what do with this mess?
    Pope
    Robertson Simpson Schindler
    Son Sterling Salah Ramsey Mahrez
    Kaku Firmino
    Elliot Niasee Daniels Mbemba

    ITB 1.9, 1FT
    Salah inj
    Ramsey rested
    Robertson rested

  5. Scapegoat Salah
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    will there be any news on Ben Mee before deadline?

    1. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Nah

  6. Weeb Kakashi
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Will Hazard play both dgw games?

    1. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Don't see why not

    2. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Depends on whu match. If we lose CHO could be given a run out

  7. Jairzinho
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Clean sheet odds for this round of matches:

    Team Odds % Chance
    Tottenham 1.83 55%
    Chelsea 1.85 54%
    Brighton 1.95 51%
    Leicester 2.4 42%
    Man City 2.45 41%
    Arsenal 2.45 41%
    Watford 2.6 38%
    West Brom 2.6 38%
    Liverpool 2.75 36%
    Burnley 3.1 32%
    Swansea 3.2 31%
    Bournemouth 3.5 29%
    Huddersfield 3.8 26%
    Palace 4 25%
    Newcastle 4.2 24%
    Everton 4.33 23%
    Man Utd 4.75 21%
    Southampton 6.5 15%
    Stoke 8 13%
    West Ham 8.5 12%

    1. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      United 21%

      I am still playing DDG

      1. Jairzinho
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 20 days ago

        Me too, over Lossl (26%).

    2. Dannyb
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Same, best goalie in the world isn't being benched in my team.

    3. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      My back 4:

      Ryan
      Vertonghen - Christensen - Morgan

      🙂

      1. Syd.
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 20 days ago

        2
        2 0 2

  8. Dr. DOOM
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Play one?
    A. Morgan
    B. Lowton

    1. arndff_
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      A easy

      1. Dr. DOOM
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 20 days ago

        Cheerz

    2. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      A

  9. N00B
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    After many weeks I will enjoy all my players points !

  10. arndff_
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Can you open the FPL site?

    "This site can't be reached."

    🙁

    1. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Yes working fine for me

    2. Zilla
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Yep

    3. arndff_
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Thanks both. It's OK now.

      Don't know what happened.

      Cheers!

      1. Bubbles1985
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 20 days ago

        Salah crashed it

  11. Bathman315
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    WC team G2G?

    DDG
    Bavies, chilwell, Mustafi
    Lingard, Son, Sterling, Willian, zaha,
    Kane, Lukaku

    Pope, kiko, TAA, Quaner.

    What are the chances of TAA playing these next coming GWs?
    Cheers

  12. kenadams021
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    WC team :

    DDG - Henessey
    Chillwell - Mustafi - Smalling - Christensen - Mariappa
    Salah - Mahrez - Willian - Son - Romeu
    Firmino - Wood - Auba

    Next week, Christensen/Wood and Firmino to Kane and Tarkowski/Murray. Good enough?.

  13. Patches O Hoolahan
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    GTG?

    Schmeichel | Ryan
    Mariappa | Lowton | Dunk | Chilwell | Tarkowski
    Son | Alli | Sanchez |Iborra | Willian
    Kane | Aubemyang | Barnes

    1. Bathman315
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      I like that Sanchez move

  14. ignis88
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    A) Lukaku, Alli, Gudmundsson, Alonso

    B) Firmino, Sánchez, Willian, Monreal

    which one? Please help

  15. Waynoo
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    ars pen taker?

    1. The Tinkerman
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Unknown. Seems between Aub and Laca

    2. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Auba. Laca has his goals now so doesn't need freebies

    3. Waynoo
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      ok thanks guys

    4. kinghenry14
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      auba

    5. Miro
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      It's Auba.

  16. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    KdB to start today?

  17. diesel001
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Man City have only failed to score in four games all season. Three of those were away from home.

    CPL away in the PL (0-0)
    Wigan away in the FA Cup (1-0)
    Wolves home in the EFL Cup (0-0) - played a weak team in this game
    Liverpool away in the CL (3-0)

    1. XabiAlonso
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Ddg on my bench today

  18. Aubaaaaa
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Is Austin first choice?

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Yes

  19. Stats Don\'t Lie
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Wc team. Gtg? Bench order correct?

    TC34, BB37

    Ddg
    Alonso, Bavies, Morgan
    Alli, mahrez, willian, albrighton
    Kane(c), Auba, Wood

    Fab, kenedy, Fernandez, Stephens

    1. GXNG
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Nice team

    2. The Tinkerman
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Looks good

  20. Slaps
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Would anyone consider Salah and Firmino > Alli and Morata?

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Not morata

      1. Zilla
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 20 days ago

        this

      2. Slaps
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 20 days ago

        Can't afford Luk or Kane

    2. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Morata? Brave

    3. Slaps
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Thanks all, need to catch 70 point leader

  21. XabiAlonso
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Austin or Barnes for lasts wc spot

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Austin

  22. Red Rock
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    WC, got all chips left: BB34, FH35, TC37. How is she looking?

    Ryan
    Alonso Davies Chilwell
    Son Mahrez Willian Gross Lingard
    (K)ane Auba

    DDG Barnes Lowton Kiko

    1. Red Rock
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Got £1.5m in the bank for Auba > Lukaku

      Wondering whether i should use the £0.5m to upgrade somewhere?

    2. Bubbles1985
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Good squad.

      Brave to dump Salah!

  23. Tinchy770
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Is anyone dropping out Salah for the next 2 gameweeks?

    I'm chasing someone who has 1m less team value than me but 30 more points and I can sell Salah for 9.9. The guy I'm chasing has Salah and will probably play it safe, just benching him today. Assuming I can buy him back at around 10.5 after gameweek 35 (playing FH during GW35) is it worth a .6 loss in team value to get Eriksen/Alli/Hazard in? They all have 3 games to Salah's 1.

    1. XabiAlonso
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Ye he's gone. Worst case is fh35 and -4 him back in 36

    2. WE GO FOR IT
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Yes. I've done it.

    3. Bubbles1985
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Can you afford Sanchez?

      He's the only option that is tempting me!

      1. Tinchy770
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 20 days ago

        Alli is tempting me a lot, one of the most in-form players at the moment and will get lots of chances v Stoke and Brighton.

        I was tempted by Sanchez but as I alreaday have Lukaku I resisted. Hazard would be the ideal one, and the perfect placeholder for Salah, but I can't afford him in one move and don't want to take a points hit. 🙁

        1. Bubbles1985
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 20 days ago

          I already have Willian and Kane. I'm on WC.

          Planned to get Lukaku next week but may gamble on sa chez instead from this week?

          1. Tinchy770
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 20 days ago

            Oooo. If I was on a wildcard I would probably get Sanchez over Lukaku. Good luck to you.

  24. Weasel Boy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Anyone else not used WC yet?
    This G2G?

    Foster 
    Maguire Ota Monreal 
    Salah Sane Sterling Milo
    Firm Aubam(c) King

  25. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Any chance of Bobby starting?

    1. Sailboats
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      low

    2. XabiAlonso
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      50/50 to me

  26. Fantasizer
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    never imagibed this would be a question at all
    de gea or karius?
    who has the better chance of a cs?

  27. Miro
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    I have Fabianski playing, should I :
    A) double up on swansea and play van der Hoorn (wba)
    B) play Tarkowski (wat)

    1. Kasparov
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      I don't see much difference between the two for this week so I'd probably not double up.

  28. Kasparov
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    WC Team, with FH on 35:

    de Gea Ryan
    Davies Morgan Tarkowski Chilwell Smalling
    Mahrez Fraser Kante Young Salah
    Aubameyang Kane Barnes

    G2G? Any possible problems?

    1. Miro
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Fraser-Kante-Young in midfield... surely you can afford someone better.
      Also wouldn't keep Salah if on a WC.

  29. #FPLBhuna
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Really need some advice with what to do here re. Salah (already on -4)

    Lloris
    Maguire - Smalling - Robertson
    Salah - Mahrez - Mili - Zaha
    Kane(c) - Lukaku - Vardy
    Bench: Elliot - Keane - mcarthur - Kenny

    1. Gudjohnsen
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Keep Salah IMO.

  30. Gudjohnsen
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Hazard or Sanchez for 34?

    Will have Lukaku.