Spot the Differential
7 April 2018 2250 comments
James H James H
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Two of our Gameweek 32 selections got on the scoresheet and we’re hoping our latest trio of differentials can continue in a similar vein this weekend.

This time around, we’ve opted for one premium and two cut-price midfielders to hopefully take advantage of favourable home fixtures.

Eden Hazard

While he was bitterly disappointing in the 3-1 defeat to Tottenham Hotspur, Chelsea’s Eden Hazard remains a powerful differential option.

The 6.9%-owned Belgian faces a promising home match-up with West Ham United this weekend.

David Moyes’ side have conceded 11 goals on their last three road trips, while only Stoke City (117) have given up more shots than the Hammers (115) over the last six away matches.

Although Hazard has only produced a single assist from his last four appearances, he has faced both Manchester sides as well as Spurs over that spell.

Despite that, he has impressively created more chances (16) than any other Fantasy Premier League (FPL) midfielder over the four matches.

He has also enjoyed recent success against the Hammers, scoring in two of his last three league outings against the east London club, including in the corresponding fixture last season.

Priced at 10.6 in FPL, Hazard is something of a luxury item.

However, he has still produced 11 goals and five assists this season and has registered six double-digit hauls, all coming since Gameweek 10.

With two Double Gameweeks (sot bur, LIV HUD) to come in a favourable run-in, he could prove to be a stand-out differential over the remaining six Gameweeks, starting on Sunday.

Jordon Ibe

With Junior Stanislas suffering a season-ending knee injury, Bournemouth’s Jordon Ibe looks to have the platform to finish the campaign strongly.

The winger registered a 10-point haul in the 2-1 victory over West Bromwich Albion in Gameweek 31 and has produced a respectable two goals and six assists from just 19 starts overall.

The primary factor behind the midfielder’s appeal is his 4.7 price tag in FPL, making him an effective enabler.

Ibe’s underlying statistics also provide further room for optimism.

He is second to only Stanislas (11) among Bournemouth players for shots over the last three Gameweeks, with six, while he has registered more crosses (11) than any team-mate over that period.

The Cherries face a favourable home fixture against Crystal Palace this afternoon.

Roy Hodgson’s side are second to only Stoke City (75) for shots conceded over the last four matches, with 66.

Ibe’s prospects are also boosted by the fact Bournemouth play twice in Double Gameweek 34, albeit involving a daunting trip to his former club Liverpool and a home clash against Manchester United.

The wide man is definitely a viable alternative to Newcastle United’s Kenedy in the budget bracket and offers an obvious upgrade for later in the season, when Bournemouth’s schedule (sot SWA bur) compares favourably to the Magpies’ (wat tot CHE).

Sat in only 1.4% of FPL squads, Ibe looks a viable short-term differential given he now looks assured of starts.

Alex Iwobi

Another midfielder who looks set to benefit from an injury is Arsenal’s Alex Iwobi.

Henrikh Mkhitaryan was forced off with a knee injury in the 4-1 win over CSKA Moscow in Thursday’s UEFA Europa League quarter-final first leg, and there are fears he has damaged a medial ligament.

The Gunners will be full of confidence following Thursday night’s emphatic victory and entertain struggling Southampton at the Emirates tomorrow.

The Saints suffered a dismal 3-0 defeat to West Ham last weekend and also lost 3-0 at Newcastle in their previous league encounter.

In Mkhitaryan’s absence, Iwobi should gain regular starts in the league while Arsenal are still in the Europa League, starting with tomorrow’s fixture.

Despite only managing two goals and three assists, the Nigerian’s underlying statistics suggest he has the potential to improve his output.

He has averaged a shot every 36 minutes, which is tied with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and superior to both Mkhitaryan (55.2) and Mesut Ozil (55.5).

Iwobi also impresses when assessing his creativity.

The 0.7%-owned midfielder has created a chance every 50 minutes, which is only bettered by Ozil and Mkhitaryan among Arsenal players.

During his last run of starts – between Gameweeks 23 and 26 – he registered a goal and two assists. Those four matches were his best run in the starting XI this season.

Available at just 5.1 in FPL, Iwobi is another interesting cut-price contender who can prove to be a real difference maker for those managers prepared to take a risk as we approach the final month.

2,250 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. majishun
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Which Burnely striker, Barnes or Wood?

    1. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Wooood

      1. majishun
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks Chicken Bhuna FC

    2. majishun
      8 years, 4 months ago

      *Burnley

    3. JurgenRocks
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      I think they are both good.
      Wood first
      Barnes, if you want to save money.

  2. trinzoo
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Best 5.3 def to accompany:

    DDG / Ryan
    Alonso / Verto / 5.3 / Lowton / Chilwell

    1. Dokdok666
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Aké?

      1. trinzoo
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Thinking Ake or maybe Robertson ?

  3. rokonto
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    What would you prefer next week;
    A. Salah home to Bournemouth.
    B. Hazard away to Southampton and Burnley?

    1. JurgenRocks
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Hazard

    2. Naboo
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Salah

    3. majishun
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Salah

  4. Chrmani
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Right guys... need a bit of help.

    I’m losing Son as I’m not convinced he’ll have the game time over next few weeks (I already have Ali, Willian, Kenedy).

    Also I’m losing Salah (I think he’s gonna be rested a lot and I desperately need differentials).

    So, my question...
    Silva, or (dum dum duhhhh)
    Pogba?

    Probably a ‘dum’ and ‘duh’ question all rolled into one!

    1. Lukakwho
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      The differential picks are Hazard and Sanchez

      1. Chrmani
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        They’re a liiiitle too expensive, but you’re right and thanks for responding

    2. UshFPL
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Silva easily

      1. Lukakwho
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        I’d go Sanchez and Gross or Lingard

        1. Chrmani
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 4 months ago

          Don’t throw a spanner in the works ha I’m struggling with just a decision between 2! If Brighton had a better run of fixtures I would.

          Thanks for replying!

      2. Chrmani
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        I think you’re probably right.

        Silva or stick with Son as they’ll probably play same amount of games

        1. Lukakwho
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 4 months ago

          Stick with Son

          1. Chrmani
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            8 years, 4 months ago

            Cheers mate

  5. Gentle_Turks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Last WC decision. What max 4.5 defender would you put in to this defence fifth place?

    Monreal, Chilwell, Lowton, Christensen, ?????

    A. Tarkowski
    B. Dunk
    C. Someone else

    1. chriscosta
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      morgan or A

  6. Red Rock
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Should i be doubling up on Burnley defence on WC with Tark/Lowton, or should i spread the risk and get a DGW37 def in? Swansea?

    1. Dokdok666
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      If you BB in 34 go for two Burnley. If not, spread out

      1. Red Rock
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks Dokdok, thinking Kiko because Watford have a good 34 and 35 fixture? Maybe i should focus on Burnley as i'll be FH35 anyway

        1. Dokdok666
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 4 months ago

          I would go Kiko

          1. Red Rock
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 4 months ago

            Thanks Dokdok!

    2. ILOVEBAPS
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      I'm thinking of the same thing. Just means a weaker BB in 34

  7. ILOVEBAPS
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    WC team G2G? (£1m itb for Luka)

    DDG
    Davies Christensen Chilwell Morgan Lowton
    Salah Mahrez Groß Willian Kenedy
    Kane(c) Auba Barnes

    1. Red Rock
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Nice team, quite similar to mine, hadnt considered Chilwell as a Lei double up, think i'll take that over Burnley

      1. ILOVEBAPS
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Am thinking maybe going to a Swans defender but that lessens my BB potential

        1. Red Rock
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 4 months ago

          This is my thinking as well, getting rid of Salah means 15 DGW players, i guess looking ahead if you were to get a Swans def you will most likely FH in 35 leaving you with the swans def vs Chelsea in 36 (not that you need to play him)

  8. Dokdok666
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Bavies+Son+Willian one too many not nailed players?

    1. Lukakwho
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      If you have the rest as assured starters your fine

  9. N00B
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Who do you think will win it between Kanexit and Salahexit ?

  10. majishun
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Tarkowski or Lowton to start this gameweek?

    1. Red Rock
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Lowton, gets forward

      1. majishun
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks Red Rock!

  11. ol
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    For this week only Kane or Auba? I’ll captain whoever I go for. Next week I’ll transfer to Kane anyway and have a transfer to use up before FH the week after

    1. Trane84
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Auba is the better pick for 33 IMO

  12. Sun Jihai
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Is Lukaku still seeing transfers out? Price drop feels unlikely if he didn't fall last night?

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      In some minutes people will start bying him massively

      1. Sun Jihai
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Yes, that's my thought
        Now says -181 on FPLstats but that seems wrong!

    2. Red Rock
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      He will get more transfers in this week unfortunately.

      Depends how Kane does i guess, if he goes crazy and Lukaku does nothing i can see the market shifting its focus to Harry

  13. Kasparov
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    On my WC, but have very poor TV (£99.5) despite rank. Can't afford to sell Salah because I've had him so long, and buying him back later would cost £0.5m

    Midfield is:
    Salah Mahrez Young Fraser Kanté

    Bear in mind Fraser, Kante and Young have DGWs, but they're still not very inspiring.

    £0.2ITB (but on WC). How to improve? Replace Kante with Ibe? I already have Fraser.

    Full team is:
    de Gea Ryan
    Davies Morgan Tarkowski Chilwell Smalling
    Mahrez Fraser Kante Young Salah
    Aubameyang Kane Barnes

  14. Weeb Kakashi
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Pick one

    A Hazard Lukaku Dunk/Ward
    B Lingard Alonso Kane

    Will be getting Kane in anyways in 36. Lukaku looks to be a better option in 34 since i have Son too.

    Leaning towards A

    Thoughts??

  15. FPL Maldini
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Went for Ibe as a mega differential.

    Surely he is nailed now with Stanislas out for the season.

    4.7m attacker, yes please

    1. Red Rock
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Ibe is a good choice, should be nailed. Just that Bournemouth are very hot/cold, and being overlooked by their DGW fixtures

      1. FPL Maldini
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Yeah I’m massively chasing so need to take these calculated risks

  16. Deulofail
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Any issues with my WC team?

    Ryan (DDG)
    Alonso Azpi Maguire Tarkowski (Lowton)
    Mahrez Alli Son (Lingard Matic)
    Kane Vardy Barnes

    0.0 ITB. BB34. FH35.

    1. RomeluAndJuliet
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Very expensive defence

      1. Deulofail
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Not sure I understand. Which defender(s) are you saying is too expensive?

        1. RomeluAndJuliet
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 4 months ago

          You have Azpi and Alonso, that's 14.1

          1. Deulofail
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 4 months ago

            Right. What's the issue, sorry?

            When you add the whole team up, it's over 100m, but that doesn't mean all the players are too expensive...

    2. Sandy Ravage
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Double Che defence could be a concern

    3. Red Rock
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Why Azpi and not Christensen?

      A lot of funds in defence but not much you can do other than upgrading Matic to maybe Gross

      1. Deulofail
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers. I've had Azpi a long time and see his name in and around the bonus every week. He seems worth this extra for me, but I could be wrong. Thanks

    4. Sandy Ravage
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      also think Lukaku over Vardy considering you also have Mahrez

      1. Deulofail
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Hmm. You seem concerned with double- and triple-ups. I don't factor them into my thinking, unless we're talking about benching/rotating players.

        Lukaku is 2.7m more expensive. I can't just swap one for the other 😉

  17. trinzoo
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Play:
    A) Ibe
    B) Barnes

    1. Pras (FPL)
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      A - plays for more attacking team and at home this week

    2. Sandy Ravage
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Barndito

  18. Alli
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Which one?
    A. Kiko Femenía
    B. Alexander-Arnold

    1. Red Rock
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      A, there will be a lot of rotation at Pool, Clyne is coming back as well

  19. grumpyman
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    I did it. Salah out for Alli on WC. Enables Valencia as a season run-in differential. After a terrible 2018 so far I hope the FPL gods are appeased with my sacrifice. #prayforme

    1. The Yorkshire Pirlo
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Playing Valencia this week?

      1. grumpyman
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Benching LOL!

        1. The Yorkshire Pirlo
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 4 months ago

          Same, think I’m playing Lowton ahead of him.

    2. Yozzer
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      RIP 😉

      1. grumpyman
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks mate. Remember me.

    3. Positive vibes
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Good luck!

    4. AgentRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      I took him out too. Best of luck!

      1. grumpyman
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        See you behind the sofa at 11.29am

  20. majishun
    8 years, 4 months ago

    De Gea or Fabianski this game week?

  21. Genji3lade
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Hazard or Mahrez?

    1. majishun
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Mahrez

  22. Gentle_Turks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Which 4.5 defender for the fifth place in this defence? - Monreal, Chilwell, Lowton, Christensen, ?????

    A. Tarkowski
    B. Dunk
    C. Stephens
    D. Someone else

    1. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      morgan or another leicester def ?

    2. AgentRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Morgan or Tark

    3. Bonus magnet
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      a

  23. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Next year I don't think many will play their wildcards early.

  24. AgentRed
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    a) Son or Alli
    b) Ibe, Kenedy or Mili

    On a wildcard

    1. Lukakwho
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Alli and Ibe

      1. AgentRed
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers

  25. DÏLKS
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Just get a G2G on WC team?

    DDG - Ryan
    Vert - Christensen - Morgan - Lowton - Chilwell
    Salah - Mahrez - Willian - Gross - Young
    Kane - Auba - Barnes

    £1.1 ITB for Auba -> Lukaku next week.

    1. Pras (FPL)
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Ibe instead of Young

      Gtg otherwise

      1. DÏLKS
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers mate

  26. Positive vibes
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Will Salah come from bench this week?

    1. majishun
      8 years, 4 months ago

      That is the million dollar question....

    2. willl
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Doubt he'll be in the squad

  27. FPL Maldini
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Who will get more minutes?

    A) Kane

    B) Auba

    C) Both 90 mind

    1. Lukakwho
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      B or C

    2. AgentRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Probably C, or close enough. Don't see either coming off before 75 mins unless coasting.

  28. majishun
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Vice Captain choices?
    A. Salah
    B. Aubameyang
    C. Mahrez

    Which one?

    1. FPL Maldini
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Auba easy

      It’s vs Kane when it’s tough

      1. majishun
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks, i've made Kane my captain.

  29. CRO KLOPP
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Play one
    A) Barnes
    B) Morgan

    1. majishun
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Barnes

  30. doublyG
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Any liverpool team news?

    1. Lord.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      It was leaked yesterday

      1. majishun
        8 years, 4 months ago

        What was said?

      2. doublyG
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Any idea where to find the news?