Spot the Differential
7 April 2018 2250 comments
James H James H
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Two of our Gameweek 32 selections got on the scoresheet and we’re hoping our latest trio of differentials can continue in a similar vein this weekend.

This time around, we’ve opted for one premium and two cut-price midfielders to hopefully take advantage of favourable home fixtures.

Eden Hazard

While he was bitterly disappointing in the 3-1 defeat to Tottenham Hotspur, Chelsea’s Eden Hazard remains a powerful differential option.

The 6.9%-owned Belgian faces a promising home match-up with West Ham United this weekend.

David Moyes’ side have conceded 11 goals on their last three road trips, while only Stoke City (117) have given up more shots than the Hammers (115) over the last six away matches.

Although Hazard has only produced a single assist from his last four appearances, he has faced both Manchester sides as well as Spurs over that spell.

Despite that, he has impressively created more chances (16) than any other Fantasy Premier League (FPL) midfielder over the four matches.

He has also enjoyed recent success against the Hammers, scoring in two of his last three league outings against the east London club, including in the corresponding fixture last season.

Priced at 10.6 in FPL, Hazard is something of a luxury item.

However, he has still produced 11 goals and five assists this season and has registered six double-digit hauls, all coming since Gameweek 10.

With two Double Gameweeks (sot bur, LIV HUD) to come in a favourable run-in, he could prove to be a stand-out differential over the remaining six Gameweeks, starting on Sunday.

Jordon Ibe

With Junior Stanislas suffering a season-ending knee injury, Bournemouth’s Jordon Ibe looks to have the platform to finish the campaign strongly.

The winger registered a 10-point haul in the 2-1 victory over West Bromwich Albion in Gameweek 31 and has produced a respectable two goals and six assists from just 19 starts overall.

The primary factor behind the midfielder’s appeal is his 4.7 price tag in FPL, making him an effective enabler.

Ibe’s underlying statistics also provide further room for optimism.

He is second to only Stanislas (11) among Bournemouth players for shots over the last three Gameweeks, with six, while he has registered more crosses (11) than any team-mate over that period.

The Cherries face a favourable home fixture against Crystal Palace this afternoon.

Roy Hodgson’s side are second to only Stoke City (75) for shots conceded over the last four matches, with 66.

Ibe’s prospects are also boosted by the fact Bournemouth play twice in Double Gameweek 34, albeit involving a daunting trip to his former club Liverpool and a home clash against Manchester United.

The wide man is definitely a viable alternative to Newcastle United’s Kenedy in the budget bracket and offers an obvious upgrade for later in the season, when Bournemouth’s schedule (sot SWA bur) compares favourably to the Magpies’ (wat tot CHE).

Sat in only 1.4% of FPL squads, Ibe looks a viable short-term differential given he now looks assured of starts.

Alex Iwobi

Another midfielder who looks set to benefit from an injury is Arsenal’s Alex Iwobi.

Henrikh Mkhitaryan was forced off with a knee injury in the 4-1 win over CSKA Moscow in Thursday’s UEFA Europa League quarter-final first leg, and there are fears he has damaged a medial ligament.

The Gunners will be full of confidence following Thursday night’s emphatic victory and entertain struggling Southampton at the Emirates tomorrow.

The Saints suffered a dismal 3-0 defeat to West Ham last weekend and also lost 3-0 at Newcastle in their previous league encounter.

In Mkhitaryan’s absence, Iwobi should gain regular starts in the league while Arsenal are still in the Europa League, starting with tomorrow’s fixture.

Despite only managing two goals and three assists, the Nigerian’s underlying statistics suggest he has the potential to improve his output.

He has averaged a shot every 36 minutes, which is tied with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and superior to both Mkhitaryan (55.2) and Mesut Ozil (55.5).

Iwobi also impresses when assessing his creativity.

The 0.7%-owned midfielder has created a chance every 50 minutes, which is only bettered by Ozil and Mkhitaryan among Arsenal players.

During his last run of starts – between Gameweeks 23 and 26 – he registered a goal and two assists. Those four matches were his best run in the starting XI this season.

Available at just 5.1 in FPL, Iwobi is another interesting cut-price contender who can prove to be a real difference maker for those managers prepared to take a risk as we approach the final month.

  1. majishun
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Which Burnely striker, Barnes or Wood?

      1. #FPLBhuna
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Wooood

        1. majishun
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Thanks Chicken Bhuna FC

        2. majishun
            7 years, 11 months ago

            *Burnley

          • JurgenRocks
            • 11 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            I think they are both good.
            Wood first
            Barnes, if you want to save money.

        3. trinzoo
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Best 5.3 def to accompany:

          DDG / Ryan
          Alonso / Verto / 5.3 / Lowton / Chilwell

          1. Dokdok666
            • 11 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Aké?

            1. trinzoo
              • 11 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Thinking Ake or maybe Robertson ?

        4. rokonto
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          What would you prefer next week;
          A. Salah home to Bournemouth.
          B. Hazard away to Southampton and Burnley?

          1. JurgenRocks
            • 11 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Hazard

          2. Naboo
            • 13 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Salah

          3. majishun
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Salah

          4. Chrmani
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Right guys... need a bit of help.

            I’m losing Son as I’m not convinced he’ll have the game time over next few weeks (I already have Ali, Willian, Kenedy).

            Also I’m losing Salah (I think he’s gonna be rested a lot and I desperately need differentials).

            So, my question...
            Silva, or (dum dum duhhhh)
            Pogba?

            Probably a ‘dum’ and ‘duh’ question all rolled into one!

            1. Lukakwho
              • 8 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              The differential picks are Hazard and Sanchez

              1. Chrmani
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                They’re a liiiitle too expensive, but you’re right and thanks for responding

            2. UshFPL
              • 9 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Silva easily

              1. Lukakwho
                • 8 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                I’d go Sanchez and Gross or Lingard

                1. Chrmani
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 11 Years
                  7 years, 11 months ago

                  Don’t throw a spanner in the works ha I’m struggling with just a decision between 2! If Brighton had a better run of fixtures I would.

                  Thanks for replying!

              2. Chrmani
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                I think you’re probably right.

                Silva or stick with Son as they’ll probably play same amount of games

                1. Lukakwho
                  • 8 Years
                  7 years, 11 months ago

                  Stick with Son

                  1. Chrmani
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 11 Years
                    7 years, 11 months ago

                    Cheers mate

          5. Gentle_Turks
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Last WC decision. What max 4.5 defender would you put in to this defence fifth place?

            Monreal, Chilwell, Lowton, Christensen, ?????

            A. Tarkowski
            B. Dunk
            C. Someone else

            1. chriscosta
              • 15 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              morgan or A

          6. Red Rock
            • 8 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Should i be doubling up on Burnley defence on WC with Tark/Lowton, or should i spread the risk and get a DGW37 def in? Swansea?

            1. Dokdok666
              • 11 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              If you BB in 34 go for two Burnley. If not, spread out

              1. Red Rock
                • 8 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                Thanks Dokdok, thinking Kiko because Watford have a good 34 and 35 fixture? Maybe i should focus on Burnley as i'll be FH35 anyway

                1. Dokdok666
                  • 11 Years
                  7 years, 11 months ago

                  I would go Kiko

                  1. Red Rock
                    • 8 Years
                    7 years, 11 months ago

                    Thanks Dokdok!

            2. ILOVEBAPS
              • 13 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              I'm thinking of the same thing. Just means a weaker BB in 34

          7. ILOVEBAPS
            • 13 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            WC team G2G? (£1m itb for Luka)

            DDG
            Davies Christensen Chilwell Morgan Lowton
            Salah Mahrez Groß Willian Kenedy
            Kane(c) Auba Barnes

            1. Red Rock
              • 8 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Nice team, quite similar to mine, hadnt considered Chilwell as a Lei double up, think i'll take that over Burnley

              1. ILOVEBAPS
                • 13 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                Am thinking maybe going to a Swans defender but that lessens my BB potential

                1. Red Rock
                  • 8 Years
                  7 years, 11 months ago

                  This is my thinking as well, getting rid of Salah means 15 DGW players, i guess looking ahead if you were to get a Swans def you will most likely FH in 35 leaving you with the swans def vs Chelsea in 36 (not that you need to play him)

          8. Dokdok666
            • 11 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Bavies+Son+Willian one too many not nailed players?

            1. Lukakwho
              • 8 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              If you have the rest as assured starters your fine

          9. N00B
            • 11 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Who do you think will win it between Kanexit and Salahexit ?

          10. majishun
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Tarkowski or Lowton to start this gameweek?

              1. Red Rock
                • 8 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                Lowton, gets forward

                1. majishun
                    7 years, 11 months ago

                    Thanks Red Rock!

              2. ol
                • 14 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                For this week only Kane or Auba? I’ll captain whoever I go for. Next week I’ll transfer to Kane anyway and have a transfer to use up before FH the week after

                1. Trane84
                  • 13 Years
                  7 years, 11 months ago

                  Auba is the better pick for 33 IMO

              3. Sun Jihai
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 14 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                Is Lukaku still seeing transfers out? Price drop feels unlikely if he didn't fall last night?

                1. RamaJama
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 13 Years
                  7 years, 11 months ago

                  In some minutes people will start bying him massively

                  1. Sun Jihai
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 14 Years
                    7 years, 11 months ago

                    Yes, that's my thought
                    Now says -181 on FPLstats but that seems wrong!

                2. Red Rock
                  • 8 Years
                  7 years, 11 months ago

                  He will get more transfers in this week unfortunately.

                  Depends how Kane does i guess, if he goes crazy and Lukaku does nothing i can see the market shifting its focus to Harry

              4. Kasparov
                • 11 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                On my WC, but have very poor TV (£99.5) despite rank. Can't afford to sell Salah because I've had him so long, and buying him back later would cost £0.5m

                Midfield is:
                Salah Mahrez Young Fraser Kanté

                Bear in mind Fraser, Kante and Young have DGWs, but they're still not very inspiring.

                £0.2ITB (but on WC). How to improve? Replace Kante with Ibe? I already have Fraser.

                Full team is:
                de Gea Ryan
                Davies Morgan Tarkowski Chilwell Smalling
                Mahrez Fraser Kante Young Salah
                Aubameyang Kane Barnes

              5. Weeb Kakashi
                • 10 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                Pick one

                A Hazard Lukaku Dunk/Ward
                B Lingard Alonso Kane

                Will be getting Kane in anyways in 36. Lukaku looks to be a better option in 34 since i have Son too.

                Leaning towards A

                Thoughts??

              6. FPL Maldini
                • 11 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                Went for Ibe as a mega differential.

                Surely he is nailed now with Stanislas out for the season.

                4.7m attacker, yes please

                1. Red Rock
                  • 8 Years
                  7 years, 11 months ago

                  Ibe is a good choice, should be nailed. Just that Bournemouth are very hot/cold, and being overlooked by their DGW fixtures

                  1. FPL Maldini
                    • 11 Years
                    7 years, 11 months ago

                    Yeah I’m massively chasing so need to take these calculated risks

              7. Deulofail
                • 10 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                Any issues with my WC team?

                Ryan (DDG)
                Alonso Azpi Maguire Tarkowski (Lowton)
                Mahrez Alli Son (Lingard Matic)
                Kane Vardy Barnes

                0.0 ITB. BB34. FH35.

                1. RomeluAndJuliet
                  • 8 Years
                  7 years, 11 months ago

                  Very expensive defence

                  1. Deulofail
                    • 10 Years
                    7 years, 11 months ago

                    Not sure I understand. Which defender(s) are you saying is too expensive?

                    1. RomeluAndJuliet
                      • 8 Years
                      7 years, 11 months ago

                      You have Azpi and Alonso, that's 14.1

                      1. Deulofail
                        • 10 Years
                        7 years, 11 months ago

                        Right. What's the issue, sorry?

                        When you add the whole team up, it's over 100m, but that doesn't mean all the players are too expensive...

                2. Sandy Ravage
                  • 10 Years
                  7 years, 11 months ago

                  Double Che defence could be a concern

                3. Red Rock
                  • 8 Years
                  7 years, 11 months ago

                  Why Azpi and not Christensen?

                  A lot of funds in defence but not much you can do other than upgrading Matic to maybe Gross

                  1. Deulofail
                    • 10 Years
                    7 years, 11 months ago

                    Cheers. I've had Azpi a long time and see his name in and around the bonus every week. He seems worth this extra for me, but I could be wrong. Thanks

                4. Sandy Ravage
                  • 10 Years
                  7 years, 11 months ago

                  also think Lukaku over Vardy considering you also have Mahrez

                  1. Deulofail
                    • 10 Years
                    7 years, 11 months ago

                    Hmm. You seem concerned with double- and triple-ups. I don't factor them into my thinking, unless we're talking about benching/rotating players.

                    Lukaku is 2.7m more expensive. I can't just swap one for the other 😉

              8. trinzoo
                • 11 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                Play:
                A) Ibe
                B) Barnes

                1. Pras (FPL)
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 14 Years
                  7 years, 11 months ago

                  A - plays for more attacking team and at home this week

                2. Sandy Ravage
                  • 10 Years
                  7 years, 11 months ago

                  Barndito

              9. Alli
                • 8 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                Which one?
                A. Kiko Femenía
                B. Alexander-Arnold

                1. Red Rock
                  • 8 Years
                  7 years, 11 months ago

                  A, there will be a lot of rotation at Pool, Clyne is coming back as well

              10. grumpyman
                • 9 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                I did it. Salah out for Alli on WC. Enables Valencia as a season run-in differential. After a terrible 2018 so far I hope the FPL gods are appeased with my sacrifice. #prayforme

                1. The Yorkshire Pirlo
                  • 9 Years
                  7 years, 11 months ago

                  Playing Valencia this week?

                  1. grumpyman
                    • 9 Years
                    7 years, 11 months ago

                    Benching LOL!

                    1. The Yorkshire Pirlo
                      • 9 Years
                      7 years, 11 months ago

                      Same, think I’m playing Lowton ahead of him.

                2. Yozzer
                  • 8 Years
                  7 years, 11 months ago

                  RIP 😉

                  1. grumpyman
                    • 9 Years
                    7 years, 11 months ago

                    Thanks mate. Remember me.

                3. Positive vibes
                  • 9 Years
                  7 years, 11 months ago

                  Good luck!

                4. AgentRed
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 12 Years
                  7 years, 11 months ago

                  I took him out too. Best of luck!

                  1. grumpyman
                    • 9 Years
                    7 years, 11 months ago

                    See you behind the sofa at 11.29am

              11. majishun
                  7 years, 11 months ago

                  De Gea or Fabianski this game week?

                • Genji3lade
                  • 8 Years
                  7 years, 11 months ago

                  Hazard or Mahrez?

                  1. majishun
                      7 years, 11 months ago

                      Mahrez

                  2. Gentle_Turks
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 8 Years
                    7 years, 11 months ago

                    Which 4.5 defender for the fifth place in this defence? - Monreal, Chilwell, Lowton, Christensen, ?????

                    A. Tarkowski
                    B. Dunk
                    C. Stephens
                    D. Someone else

                    1. Gizzachance
                      • 11 Years
                      7 years, 11 months ago

                      morgan or another leicester def ?

                    2. AgentRed
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 12 Years
                      7 years, 11 months ago

                      Morgan or Tark

                    3. Bonus magnet
                      • 9 Years
                      7 years, 11 months ago

                      a

                  3. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
                    • 8 Years
                    7 years, 11 months ago

                    Next year I don't think many will play their wildcards early.

                  4. AgentRed
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 12 Years
                    7 years, 11 months ago

                    a) Son or Alli
                    b) Ibe, Kenedy or Mili

                    On a wildcard

                    1. Lukakwho
                      • 8 Years
                      7 years, 11 months ago

                      Alli and Ibe

                      1. AgentRed
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 12 Years
                        7 years, 11 months ago

                        Cheers

                  5. DÏLKS
                    • 12 Years
                    7 years, 11 months ago

                    Just get a G2G on WC team?

                    DDG - Ryan
                    Vert - Christensen - Morgan - Lowton - Chilwell
                    Salah - Mahrez - Willian - Gross - Young
                    Kane - Auba - Barnes

                    £1.1 ITB for Auba -> Lukaku next week.

                    1. Pras (FPL)
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 14 Years
                      7 years, 11 months ago

                      Ibe instead of Young

                      Gtg otherwise

                      1. DÏLKS
                        • 12 Years
                        7 years, 11 months ago

                        Cheers mate

                  6. Positive vibes
                    • 9 Years
                    7 years, 11 months ago

                    Will Salah come from bench this week?

                    1. majishun
                        7 years, 11 months ago

                        That is the million dollar question....

                      • willl
                        • 10 Years
                        7 years, 11 months ago

                        Doubt he'll be in the squad

                    2. FPL Maldini
                      • 11 Years
                      7 years, 11 months ago

                      Who will get more minutes?

                      A) Kane

                      B) Auba

                      C) Both 90 mind

                      1. Lukakwho
                        • 8 Years
                        7 years, 11 months ago

                        B or C

                      2. AgentRed
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 12 Years
                        7 years, 11 months ago

                        Probably C, or close enough. Don't see either coming off before 75 mins unless coasting.

                    3. majishun
                        7 years, 11 months ago

                        Vice Captain choices?
                        A. Salah
                        B. Aubameyang
                        C. Mahrez

                        Which one?

                        1. FPL Maldini
                          • 11 Years
                          7 years, 11 months ago

                          Auba easy

                          It’s vs Kane when it’s tough

                          1. majishun
                              7 years, 11 months ago

                              Thanks, i've made Kane my captain.

                        2. CRO KLOPP
                          • 8 Years
                          7 years, 11 months ago

                          Play one
                          A) Barnes
                          B) Morgan

                          1. majishun
                              7 years, 11 months ago

                              Barnes

                          2. doublyG
                            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                            • 13 Years
                            7 years, 11 months ago

                            Any liverpool team news?

                            1. Lord.
                              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                              • 11 Years
                              7 years, 11 months ago

                              It was leaked yesterday

                              1. majishun
                                  7 years, 11 months ago

                                  What was said?

                                • doublyG
                                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                  • 13 Years
                                  7 years, 11 months ago

                                  Any idea where to find the news?