Spot the Differential
13 May 2018 3273 comments
James H James H
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Sunday offers us a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

In recent seasons we’ve witnessed a goal rush in Gameweek 38, so we’ve opted for two French threats from Manchester United and Arsenal, while Liverpool’s cut-price full-back also finds a place in our selection as a result of his attacking prowess.

Alexandre Lacazette

While team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is the most transferred in-forward this week, it shouldn’t be forgotten that Alexandre Lacazette has also been in sensational form for Arsenal.

The French striker has produced five goals and one assist over his last five appearances and, after being rested for the 3-1 defeat to Leicester City, he should return for today’s trip to Huddersfield Town.

Lacazette is likely to start as the central striker for the Gunners, with Aubameyang playing from an inside-left position.

Interestingly, Lacazette has the edge in terms of minutes per shot between the two, averaging an attempt every 31.7 minutes, slightly superior to Aubameyang’s 33.

Although Arsenal have failed to win a single point on their travels in 2018, the fact the Terriers meeting is Arsene Wenger’s final match in charge of the club should provide strong motivation to end the season on a high.

The party atmosphere at the John Smith’s Stadium in light of Huddersfield securing Premier League safety could also be a factor.

The Gunners registered an emphatic 5-0 win when the two teams met earlier in the season, with Lacazette on the scoresheet.

Priced at 10.3 in FPL and ending the campaign full of confidence, the striker looks to have the platform to produce a third consecutive double-figure haul.

Owned by only 7.4% of managers, Lacazette is a player who has the potential to be a game-changer, particularly if he is also considered for the captaincy.

Anthony Martial

With Jose Mourinho revealing that Anthony Martial will be in his line-up today, the midfielder enters the equation as a final day gamble.

The France international has had limited first-team opportunities since the arrival of Alexis Sanchez in January, but the Hornets match-up looks crucial if he is to prove he has a long-term future at Old Trafford.

Martial has produced nine goals and six assists this season, while his average of a goal every 175.7 minutes is only bettered by Marouane Fellaini (153 minutes) among United players.

Watford travel north with just a single point gained from six away matches since Javi Gracia took charge, and having conceded ten goals in away defeats to top-six sides Arsenal, Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur.

Available at 7.8 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), Martial may be an option for managers who can afford to upgrade underperforming players such as Chelsea’s Willian.

With an ownership of 2.5%, the Frenchman represents a major differential for Gameweek 38.

An impressive record against Watford adds to his appeal. He has produced a goal and an assist in the corresponding fixture last season, which Mourinho’s side won 2-0, while he also netted in a 4-2 victory in the reverse fixture in November.

With a point to prove and an FA Cup final spot to play for, Martial fits the profile of a potentially explosive differential.

Trent Alexander-Arnold

While an extended run in Europe has blunted Liverpool’s attack of late, their defensive record at Anfield remains resolute.

Jurgen Klopp’s side have recorded four successive home clean sheets ahead of a visit from a Brighton side that rank joint-bottom for goals scored (ten) on the road.

With that in mind, we’re turning to Trent Alexander Arnold (5% ownership) as our final selection.

Having started only four of the last seven Gameweeks, the youngster’s acquisition admittedly comes with a slight caveat.

But with the Champions League final against Real Madrid taking place 13 days later, we reckon that the Reds’ manager will field a full-strength line-up to ensure a top-four finish.

This should see Alexander-Arnold return to the back-four, having been stationed in central midfield against Stoke City and Chelsea.

Over his last four at Anfield, the right-back is second only to Mohamed Salah when it comes to key passes (seven to eight) for the Reds.

Compared with other defenders over their respective last four home matches, he is placed fourth for both key passes and crosses (28).

Handily, his FPL output has profited from those underlying numbers – Alexander-Arnold has served up 29 points in his last four home fixtures, bagging maximum bonus on two occasions.

Second only to Patrick van Aanholt for transfers-in among defenders, a cost of only 4.4 looks ideal for those seeking to free up cash while recruiting a player with the potential for double figures.

  1. Pukki Party
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Playing BB, defending a ml lead, leader had Salah.

    A) Hazard, Kenedy - Salah (C), RLC
    B) Jesus, Kenedy - Rashford, mhiki (Kane C)

  2. TFP
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Does anyone have a strong feel for the chances that David Silva will start today?

    1. Pukki Party
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Nope

    2. Duffy Dunk
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      He flew with Ryanair so not sure where he is

    3. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      hopin for silva news myself
      doesnt seem likely hes back for last game

  3. DA Minnion (Former great)
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    A. Son to Zaha or
    B. Naughton to tta
    Which would be more productive?
    Cheers for an replies.

  4. Burger
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Sane likely to be rested?

    1. The Hindu Monkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      For what?

  5. Whats the Mata?
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Ryan
    Vertonghen Lowton Naughton
    Sterling Salah Arnautovic Son Ibe*
    Kane Jesus

    Ddg - Barnes* - Dunk - Morgan

    0FT, 0.1itb

    A. Start Ibe/Dunk
    Or
    B. Barnes to J.Ayew (-4)
    Or
    C. Ibe to RLC/McArthur (-4)
    Or
    D. Morgan/Dunk to TAA (-4)

  6. Slitherene
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    A) Naughton + Willian (Perez - 1st sub)

    B) Sakho + Dilva (Naughton - 1st sub) (-4)

    C) VvD + Willian (Naughton - 1st sub) (-4)

    Who scores more??

  7. ooooo
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Which one?
    A) Smalling to VVD or just play Long(Playing Lowton)
    B) Willian to Zaha
    C) Both for a -4

    1. Aussie Rules
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Easily B for me

  8. LewanGOALski
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    which one would you rather do:

    A) Willian ➡ Zaha
    or
    B) Vardy ➡ Giroud
    ??

    1. The Hindu Monkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      A hands down by a mile stone wall 100% A

    2. el polako
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      A - Looking at their performance against Spurs, Newcastle may finish strongly in front of their very passionate supporters.
      Plus their is clearly something wrong within Chelsea camp.

      1. Fresh_From_Desh
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        A

  9. Gordon Cole
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Will Klavan play? Need a defender under 4.3

    1. The Hindu Monkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Doubt it

    2. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Long

      1. Gordon Cole
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Already have triple Burnley. How about Moreno?

    3. CRO KLOPP
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Ogbonna

    4. Steve The Shrewdie
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      MASUAKA

  10. el polako
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Would you rather play Gundogan or take -4 hit and play Arnie/Zaha ?

    1. Oven Glover
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Gundo

  11. mahone24
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    A/ Start Naughton
    B/ Start Lingard
    C/ Lingard + DDG -> Romero + Zaha (other keeper is Ryan) (-8)
    D/ Lingard -> Gundogan (-4)

    I'm 13 points behind and prefer his team but lots of differentials (at the mo he has no Kane and no Salah - I have no Auba)

    1. The Hindu Monkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      A

  12. Scotty B
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Foster
    TAA Vert Alonso
    Shaqiri Ramsey Eriksen Sterling
    Kane Jesus J Ayew

    Elliot Lowton Lingard Kompany

    1FT, 0.0M ITB

    Leaning towards D...thoughts?

    A Jesus > Firmino
    B Elliot > Adrian
    C Alonso & Eriksen > Bailly & Salah (c)
    D Eriksen & Sterling > Salah (c) & Martial
    E Elliot & Jesus > Romero & Firmino(c)

  13. rdamjan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Considering Jesus --> Lacazette for free. Opinion? I think Southampton will take this game serious.

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Do it

    2. MTPockets
        7 years, 6 months ago

        I'm not doing that.

      • Twisted Saltergater
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Difficult to know if that will work out. I think I might captain Jesus

      • Positive vibes
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Do you think Laca will outscore Auba? Think to replace Vardy with Laca.

    3. pakornk
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Mustafi will start?

      1. Twisted Saltergater
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        With the Greek lad suspended, yep

      2. VanDijksToWatchOutFor
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        He had better

    4. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Best captain here?

      DDG
      Alonso • Smalling • Mustafi
      Eriksen • Sterling • Zaha • Arnautovic
      Kane • Jesus • Austin
      (Ryan / Lowton / Morgan / Kenedy)

      1. Twisted Saltergater
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Kane > Sterling > Zaha

      2. Aussie Rules
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Kane

      3. VanDijksToWatchOutFor
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        I like sterling for it

    5. Twisted Saltergater
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Anyone going Jesus(c)? 👿

      1. MTPockets
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Feel like I should, but Sterling atm.
          (but ranked 200k so makes little difference)

          1. Twisted Saltergater
            • 16 Years
            7 years, 6 months ago

            Sterling's a great shout. Interested to see how Southampton approach the game

      2. DIOCCÁ
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Play Gundogan or J.Ayew?

        1. Twisted Saltergater
          • 16 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Both? If not, Ayew

        2. el polako
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          J.Ayew

      3. BrutalLogiC
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Who shall I swap DDG for?

        1. Twisted Saltergater
          • 16 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Who's your backup?

          1. BrutalLogiC
            • 10 Years
            7 years, 6 months ago

            Elliot

            1. Twisted Saltergater
              • 16 Years
              7 years, 6 months ago

              Oh. Get Karius probably

        2. badgerboy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Who's your sub keeper?

        3. el polako
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          For free - Karius.
          For hit - you better off leaving it.

      4. GreenArrows
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        GTG or take a hit?

        Ryan
        Azpi Lowton Long
        Salah (C) Sterling Son Arnie GroB
        Kane Vardy

        DDG Crouch Morgan Smalling

        0FT 0itb

      5. KenyaDigIt
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Can someone please confirm that Pogba and DDG are not set to start and Smalling is unclear?

        1. #FPLBhuna
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Ddg and Smalling confirmed out by mou

          Unsure on the pog

        2. Am sorry to say again it�…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          DDG definitely not starting

        3. KenyaDigIt
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Cheers for the confirmation...

      6. davies
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Naughton > Robertson worth -4?

        1. Aussie Rules
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Not IMO

        2. #FPLBhuna
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Yes

          1. Twisted Saltergater
            • 16 Years
            7 years, 6 months ago

            How can it be worth it?

      7. pakornk
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Surely Arnautovic, Zaha and Salah will be forwards next season

        1. VanDijksToWatchOutFor
          • 7 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Tricky with the first two. Came in after injuries/loss of form to strikers. Think when you include them, and even salah, you're saying that sterling and sane need to be there too, and sanchez. It's easier to categorise out and outs (who always play there, rather than covering an injury) even if I agree it feels wrong.

      8. Dbz91
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        1. Leave it
        2. Eriksen > Salah -4
        3. Jesus > Aubameyang -4

        Ryan
        Smalling, Bavies, Chambers
        Sterling, Arnie, Zaha, Eriksen, Mili
        Jesus, Kane

        Morgan, Lowton, Perez

        1. Aussie Rules
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Leave it

        2. Am sorry to say again it�…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Leave it

      9. anish10
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Play Mustafi or double up with Burnley defenders?

      10. The Left Duke #3
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Karius, 

        Clyne, Lovren, VVD, Robbo.
        TAA, Gini, Milner.

        Mo, Bobby, Lallana.



        Pool line up above for today lads. Not sure if it's been posted or not. Thinking TAA in for a hit

        1. badgerboy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Source?

          1. The Left Duke #3
            • 11 Years
            7 years, 6 months ago

            A fella called Emmet Kavanagh on Irish Liverpool Red site on FB.
            He stated "rumoured team" but to be honest it practically picks itself with who's available. He's gotten it right every week until now

        2. Garlana
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Where did you find this?

          1. The Left Duke #3
            • 11 Years
            7 years, 6 months ago

            See response above

      11. Am sorry to say again it�…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Fabianski,DDG
        Lowton, Vertonghen, B.Davies, Robertson,Chilwell
        Salah, Sterling, Sane, Milivojevic, Arnautovic
        Jesus, Vardy, Austin

        Who else would you bench along with DDG and Chilwell?

      12. Claudio555
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Sell Sanchez to who?

        A) Martial
        B) Hazard
        C) Eriksen

        1. Rex Lapis
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          C

        2. Oven Glover
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          A if you’re chasing imo

      13. Neville& Sons
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        KDB & Kennedy for Zaha & Arnatovic -4?

      14. Garlana
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Take a hit for anything or gtg?

        Ryan
        Robertson, Davies, lowton
        Sterling(c), Salah, Arnie, son, alli
        Jesus, vardy

        Ddg*, dunk, Morgan, Barnes*

      15. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Any leaked Liverpool team news?

        Put Mane in yesterday and just noticed he is flagged.

        Couldn’t even wait a few hours. Idiot.

        1. Jazz!
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Mane is very likely to miss out.

        2. Fresh_From_Desh
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          I don't think he will be risked with Kiev in mind