Spot the Differential
13 May 2018 3273 comments
James H James H
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Sunday offers us a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

In recent seasons we’ve witnessed a goal rush in Gameweek 38, so we’ve opted for two French threats from Manchester United and Arsenal, while Liverpool’s cut-price full-back also finds a place in our selection as a result of his attacking prowess.

Alexandre Lacazette

While team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is the most transferred in-forward this week, it shouldn’t be forgotten that Alexandre Lacazette has also been in sensational form for Arsenal.

The French striker has produced five goals and one assist over his last five appearances and, after being rested for the 3-1 defeat to Leicester City, he should return for today’s trip to Huddersfield Town.

Lacazette is likely to start as the central striker for the Gunners, with Aubameyang playing from an inside-left position.

Interestingly, Lacazette has the edge in terms of minutes per shot between the two, averaging an attempt every 31.7 minutes, slightly superior to Aubameyang’s 33.

Although Arsenal have failed to win a single point on their travels in 2018, the fact the Terriers meeting is Arsene Wenger’s final match in charge of the club should provide strong motivation to end the season on a high.

The party atmosphere at the John Smith’s Stadium in light of Huddersfield securing Premier League safety could also be a factor.

The Gunners registered an emphatic 5-0 win when the two teams met earlier in the season, with Lacazette on the scoresheet.

Priced at 10.3 in FPL and ending the campaign full of confidence, the striker looks to have the platform to produce a third consecutive double-figure haul.

Owned by only 7.4% of managers, Lacazette is a player who has the potential to be a game-changer, particularly if he is also considered for the captaincy.

Anthony Martial

With Jose Mourinho revealing that Anthony Martial will be in his line-up today, the midfielder enters the equation as a final day gamble.

The France international has had limited first-team opportunities since the arrival of Alexis Sanchez in January, but the Hornets match-up looks crucial if he is to prove he has a long-term future at Old Trafford.

Martial has produced nine goals and six assists this season, while his average of a goal every 175.7 minutes is only bettered by Marouane Fellaini (153 minutes) among United players.

Watford travel north with just a single point gained from six away matches since Javi Gracia took charge, and having conceded ten goals in away defeats to top-six sides Arsenal, Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur.

Available at 7.8 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), Martial may be an option for managers who can afford to upgrade underperforming players such as Chelsea’s Willian.

With an ownership of 2.5%, the Frenchman represents a major differential for Gameweek 38.

An impressive record against Watford adds to his appeal. He has produced a goal and an assist in the corresponding fixture last season, which Mourinho’s side won 2-0, while he also netted in a 4-2 victory in the reverse fixture in November.

With a point to prove and an FA Cup final spot to play for, Martial fits the profile of a potentially explosive differential.

Trent Alexander-Arnold

While an extended run in Europe has blunted Liverpool’s attack of late, their defensive record at Anfield remains resolute.

Jurgen Klopp’s side have recorded four successive home clean sheets ahead of a visit from a Brighton side that rank joint-bottom for goals scored (ten) on the road.

With that in mind, we’re turning to Trent Alexander Arnold (5% ownership) as our final selection.

Having started only four of the last seven Gameweeks, the youngster’s acquisition admittedly comes with a slight caveat.

But with the Champions League final against Real Madrid taking place 13 days later, we reckon that the Reds’ manager will field a full-strength line-up to ensure a top-four finish.

This should see Alexander-Arnold return to the back-four, having been stationed in central midfield against Stoke City and Chelsea.

Over his last four at Anfield, the right-back is second only to Mohamed Salah when it comes to key passes (seven to eight) for the Reds.

Compared with other defenders over their respective last four home matches, he is placed fourth for both key passes and crosses (28).

Handily, his FPL output has profited from those underlying numbers – Alexander-Arnold has served up 29 points in his last four home fixtures, bagging maximum bonus on two occasions.

Second only to Patrick van Aanholt for transfers-in among defenders, a cost of only 4.4 looks ideal for those seeking to free up cash while recruiting a player with the potential for double figures.

  1. WrightnBright
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    I don't mind a further hit (-8) as my season has petered out so should I do Son > Arnie for abit more 'fun'?!

    1. WrightnBright
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Frontline of
      Salah Sterling Son Zaha
      Kane Jesus Perez

    2. Reggie Nainggolan
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      No looks good

      1. WrightnBright
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Ta, West Ham v Everton could quite easily play out a dreary 0-0 anyway

  2. Mongreloid
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    So... I’ve already taken a -4 to do DDG to romero. With the rumours flying around do I do Smalling & Dilva to TAA & Salah and end up with -12 but Captain Salah?

    Romero (Ryan)
    Sakho Smalling Lowton (Dummet, Chilwell)
    Sterling Pogba Dilva Son (King)
    Kane(c) Vardy Jesus

    Top of ML but only by 20points and rival has KDB+Sane which worries me...

  3. VDiesel26
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Is Son starting in this leak?

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

      1. _Gunner
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        source please?

      2. Scapegoat Salah
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Have you got the leak please? Thanks

        1. ILOVEBAPS
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          It was writ large on a previous page. Go one or two back.

          1. Scapegoat Salah
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Ok thanks

    2. SheBangsTheDrums
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      What about Alli?

  4. upthemiddle
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Is Jesus out for Lacazette worth -4?

    1. VDiesel26
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Probably not

    2. doublyG
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      No

  5. The Final Boss
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Lingard Willian Alonso -salah mili taa...

    1)yes
    2)no..

    Guys..one last time...TIA..

  6. ILOVEBAPS
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    More chance of a CS between Pool and Spurs?

    1. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Liverpool

    2. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Pool

  7. Ask Yourself
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    This stinton guy is a troll scroll back a few tweets everyone

    1. Greenbackbøøg…
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Agree, don't see it being real

      1. Ask Yourself
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Being told Barkley won't be joining Spurs this window and are now in talks with Crystal Palace for Midfielder Jason Puncheon instead.
        #THFC

        Think he’s a joker

    2. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      He certainly is that

      This is the problem with social media when people are looking for information and they post any old shite they can find without thinking about it

    3. AYEW KI-EDEN MEE
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Blocked him a while back. Not trustworthy.

  8. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Silva/Davies/DDG -> Salah/TAA/Romero

    Yay or Nay?

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Yay

    2. Reggie Nainggolan
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

  9. n-doggg
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Which to start

    A. Dunk
    B. PVA -4

  10. Prøfeßör …
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    No Milner?

    A very questionable source though. Definitely take it with a pinch of salt.

    https://mobile.twitter.com/littlemiss_lane/status/995607407270285312

    1. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Agreed. He wouldn't say anything to her prior to press conferences.

      1. diesel001
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        She met him today at the ground before the match. Perfectly possible he told her Milner is not playing

  11. ooooo
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Has the city line up been leaked?

    1. NATSTER
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I'm waiting for it too

    2. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      No

      There are a few dodgy line ups but I wouldn't trust any of them

      1. George James
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Walker to start you think SYD?

  12. MFC86
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Boring one but

    Start Romeu or Maguire ?

    1. Balls of Steel
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Mag

  13. mahone24
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    With Davies + Lingard not expected to start would you
    A/ DDG + Lingard -> Romero + Zaha (play double BUR + Naughton)
    or
    B/ Lingard + Bavies -> TAA + Zaha / Ramsey

  14. AYEW KI-EDEN MEE
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Liverpool team (According to Liverpool Echo) -

    Karius, TAA, Lovren, VVD, Robertson, Milner, Henderson, Wijnaldum, Salah, Firmino, Lallana.

    1. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Noone has a clue. This person is saying no Milner:

      https://mobile.twitter.com/littlemiss_lane/status/995607407270285312

      1. Syd.
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        You are basing your information on a Tweet by a 17 year old girl

        Shockingly bad

        1. diesel001
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          She met him today at the ground before the match. Perfectly possible he told her Milner is not playing

    2. Godot - Fashanu Zealand
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      link?

    3. doublyG
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I cant find this on twitter

  15. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    need City leak soon!

  16. Positive vibes
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Hi, who will get more points?
    A. Alli, Vardy + 4 pts
    B. Zaha, Laca

    Thanks 🙂

  17. George James
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Is walker starting?

  18. Yordan Letchkov
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    GTG?

    DDG (Ryan)
    Verthongen Naughton Lowton
    Mahrez Zaha Gross Sterling
    Vardy Jesus Kane

    Ryan Ibe Morgan Duffy

    Not very happy but decided to not take any hit in the last GW and keep the starters like Vardy, Mahrez, Gross etc..
    Did Willian -> Zaha for free.

  19. EDUARDO DA SILVA
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Slow Lallana on left side means more space for fast Robbo?

    1. Ask Yourself
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Nice link up I can see

    2. ooooo
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Who said Lallana is playing?

      1. EDUARDO DA SILVA
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Leak 😀

  20. Weeb Kakashi
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Ryan
    Alonso Vertonghen Chambers Tarkowski
    Hazard Son Sane
    Jesus Kane Ayew

    How to get Salah? 1 FT

    Earlier had decided Son Alonso > Salah TAA (-4)
    Son starting itseems.

    So do what
    A Hazard > Salah
    B Sane Alonso > Salah TAA (-4)?

    1. Gentle_Turks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Son starting? Source?

      1. Ask Yourself
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Unreliable

      2. Nemes1s
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        For what it's worth Son isn't in this video posted from players checking in at Wembley today. https://twitter.com/RickSpur/status/995627228431077377

    2. Stevie B
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I think A.

  21. Sahil Yadav
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Where to use the FT? Nothing in bank

    DDG
    Lowton, Tark, VDH
    Salah, Sane, Sterling, Son
    Kane, Vardy, Barnes*

    Ryan, Matic, Cedric, Maguire

    1. Mongreloid
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      One of tark/Lowton to TAA

  22. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    A) smaling to robertson/creswell/TAA
    B) smaling son barnes (-8) to TAA gudmundson firmino (343, ferndnez bench)
    C) smaling chilwel to TAA creswel (-4) (442, fernandez bench)
    D) smaling king to gudmundson TAA (-4) (352, fernandez bench)

  23. Swinner
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Ryan
    Alonso, Lowton, Smalling?
    Sterling, DSilva?, Gross, Kante
    Kane (c), Jesus, Vardy
    [DeGea, Cedric, Morgan, Kenedy] (£0.5 ITB)
    Rate my team (RMT) - 49.68 pts

    Chasing a 17pt swing to top ML :

    A: Kenedy > Milivoj RMT=53.02
    B: 1Hit: DDG, D.Silva > Adrian, Salah (C?)
    C: 1Hit Smalling, Kenedy > VVD, Miloj
    D: 2Hit DDG, Kenedy, Vardy > Adrian, Salah (C?) JAyew
    E: 3Hit DDG, Smalling, Kenedy, Vardy > Adrian, PVA, Salah (C?) JAyew

    Cheers!

    1. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Similar position but chasing 13 points. Be mindful that you're widening that gap with every hit.

      I can push it to -8 but anything beyond that seems counterproductive. B or D

  24. Stevie B
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Anything worth a hit?

    Ryan (de Gea)
    Vertonghen, Long, Lowton (Smalling) (Morgan)
    Salah, Sterling, Son, Arnautovic (Lewis Cook)
    Kane, Jesus, Jordan Ayew

    Thank you!

  25. barracuda
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Can anybody helps pls?

    Play:

    A- Lowton
    B- Fernandez

    Already playing Fab and Long.

    Cheers fellas

    1. Prøfeßör …
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      B, marginally.

    2. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      lowton for me, swan have to go for the win,cant play to defensive

    3. barracuda
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Thank you guys.

  26. OptimusBlack
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Whooooo to C ???
    Sterling
    Salaaah

    1. Viper
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Salah

  27. adam28193
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    will Gundogan start if Dilva is in Spain?

  28. jonasloc
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Torn between Salah and Kane for captain.
    Chasing two league mates who both got Salah and only one got Kane.
    Feel Salah is the safer option, but my Spurs heart wants to go Kane. Can you help me?

    1. Mike82
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Kane if chasing

  29. Patch
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Pages are flying loving this mayhem!!!

    May you all burn in hell with me!!!

    Will pull the trigger in an hour!

  30. Viper
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    If I sell Gross as part of a hit and bring in Karius as part of the same hit...

    We all know what happens next don't we.

    1. barracuda
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      You win... Help me with the above Viper pls man