Spot the Differential
13 May 2018 3273 comments
James H James H
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Sunday offers us a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

In recent seasons we’ve witnessed a goal rush in Gameweek 38, so we’ve opted for two French threats from Manchester United and Arsenal, while Liverpool’s cut-price full-back also finds a place in our selection as a result of his attacking prowess.

Alexandre Lacazette

While team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is the most transferred in-forward this week, it shouldn’t be forgotten that Alexandre Lacazette has also been in sensational form for Arsenal.

The French striker has produced five goals and one assist over his last five appearances and, after being rested for the 3-1 defeat to Leicester City, he should return for today’s trip to Huddersfield Town.

Lacazette is likely to start as the central striker for the Gunners, with Aubameyang playing from an inside-left position.

Interestingly, Lacazette has the edge in terms of minutes per shot between the two, averaging an attempt every 31.7 minutes, slightly superior to Aubameyang’s 33.

Although Arsenal have failed to win a single point on their travels in 2018, the fact the Terriers meeting is Arsene Wenger’s final match in charge of the club should provide strong motivation to end the season on a high.

The party atmosphere at the John Smith’s Stadium in light of Huddersfield securing Premier League safety could also be a factor.

The Gunners registered an emphatic 5-0 win when the two teams met earlier in the season, with Lacazette on the scoresheet.

Priced at 10.3 in FPL and ending the campaign full of confidence, the striker looks to have the platform to produce a third consecutive double-figure haul.

Owned by only 7.4% of managers, Lacazette is a player who has the potential to be a game-changer, particularly if he is also considered for the captaincy.

Anthony Martial

With Jose Mourinho revealing that Anthony Martial will be in his line-up today, the midfielder enters the equation as a final day gamble.

The France international has had limited first-team opportunities since the arrival of Alexis Sanchez in January, but the Hornets match-up looks crucial if he is to prove he has a long-term future at Old Trafford.

Martial has produced nine goals and six assists this season, while his average of a goal every 175.7 minutes is only bettered by Marouane Fellaini (153 minutes) among United players.

Watford travel north with just a single point gained from six away matches since Javi Gracia took charge, and having conceded ten goals in away defeats to top-six sides Arsenal, Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur.

Available at 7.8 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), Martial may be an option for managers who can afford to upgrade underperforming players such as Chelsea’s Willian.

With an ownership of 2.5%, the Frenchman represents a major differential for Gameweek 38.

An impressive record against Watford adds to his appeal. He has produced a goal and an assist in the corresponding fixture last season, which Mourinho’s side won 2-0, while he also netted in a 4-2 victory in the reverse fixture in November.

With a point to prove and an FA Cup final spot to play for, Martial fits the profile of a potentially explosive differential.

Trent Alexander-Arnold

While an extended run in Europe has blunted Liverpool’s attack of late, their defensive record at Anfield remains resolute.

Jurgen Klopp’s side have recorded four successive home clean sheets ahead of a visit from a Brighton side that rank joint-bottom for goals scored (ten) on the road.

With that in mind, we’re turning to Trent Alexander Arnold (5% ownership) as our final selection.

Having started only four of the last seven Gameweeks, the youngster’s acquisition admittedly comes with a slight caveat.

But with the Champions League final against Real Madrid taking place 13 days later, we reckon that the Reds’ manager will field a full-strength line-up to ensure a top-four finish.

This should see Alexander-Arnold return to the back-four, having been stationed in central midfield against Stoke City and Chelsea.

Over his last four at Anfield, the right-back is second only to Mohamed Salah when it comes to key passes (seven to eight) for the Reds.

Compared with other defenders over their respective last four home matches, he is placed fourth for both key passes and crosses (28).

Handily, his FPL output has profited from those underlying numbers – Alexander-Arnold has served up 29 points in his last four home fixtures, bagging maximum bonus on two occasions.

Second only to Patrick van Aanholt for transfers-in among defenders, a cost of only 4.4 looks ideal for those seeking to free up cash while recruiting a player with the potential for double figures.

  1. SheBangsTheDrums
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Chasing 8 points and rival has taken a hit!

    A) Morgan to Robertson for a hit

    B) Play Long & Lowton (double BUR)

    1. The Chief
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      A

    2. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      I’m in similar position and tempted to get TAA for a hit

    3. The Left Duke #3
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      I'm in a similar boat as have double Burn with Alonso at the mo. Have Smalling and Morgan and thinking Lpool DF in for a hit

      1. Sedemuda
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Exactly the same here. nor sure it's worth taking a hit for a defender though.

    4. Down with this sort of thin…
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      I'm considering double Burnley dfn, prob A) safer bet

  2. Squib
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    I have BB and am in 2nd place in mini league with a 14 point gap.
    DDG* Pickford

    Hegazi Naughtn Ota Lowton Martina*

    Salah Doucoure Sterling Alli Carroll

    Kane Jesus Ayew

    I have 0.3 itb and 1FT.
    *wont play so thinking of -4 hit.
    What would you do?

    1. mahone24
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Romero and maybe one of the Liv defenders

  3. Slip it like Stevie
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Which one?
    A) Van Dijk and Zaha
    B) PVA and Mkhi

    1. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      A

    2. The Left Duke #3
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      A

  4. The Royal Robin
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Kane or Salah (C)?

    1. Slip it like Stevie
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Kane

    2. The Left Duke #3
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Salah

    3. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Can you really not make that decision on your own?

      1. The Royal Robin
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Sure, just intrigued by people's opinions.

        1. el polako
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Check the poll.

        2. ENZO SZN™
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Uhh there's a poll for it

    4. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      If only I knew the answer..

  5. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    A: Jesus + Masauku + K.Long (-4)
    B: Rashford + Maguire + A.King

    1. The Left Duke #3
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Neither

  6. The Left Duke #3
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Bench one attacker please lads?

    A) Ayew (home to Sto)
    B) Gudmundsson (home to Bou)
    C) Vardy (away to Spu)

    1. The Chief
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      B

  7. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Zaha v Arnie.

    WBA strong defensively but we haven't seen them play since they were confirmed as relegated. Can they keep it up?

    West Ham played on Thursday and so Arnie might not be as fresh as Zaha. Arnie less of a troll than Zaha.

    Who to go with and why?

  8. The Chief
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Mou killing me, help needed
    1ft 0.1itb

    DDG* Dubravka
    Smalling* Vert Hoorn Dummett Klav
    Dilva* Salah Sterling Arni Kenedy*
    Kane Jesus Ayew

    What’s the priority transfer?
    Zaha, Romero, other?

    1. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Smalling to Vert should be enough

      1. The Chief
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Already held

  9. Gandalf
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Either of Pogba/Son worth a -4 for Zaha?

    Also, Smalling > PVA worth a -4, with good chance of not having a full 11 otherwise?

  10. aleksios
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    a) Smalling to VVD
    b) Klavan to TAA
    c) Vardy to Firm

    Which move? 1ft 0.8 itb.

    1. GOTHAM City F.C.
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      A

  11. goran
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Pls help, who to play?
    1. Milivojevic
    2. Pérez
    3. Jagielka

    1. Yozzer
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Always go with striker imo

    2. Joshua1
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      1 - milo

  12. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Best move here given my miserable bunch of injured and rested snakes?

    A) Chilwell -> TAA
    B) Willian -> Zaha
    C) Barnes -> J Ayew

    0.1m in the bank so can only afford one.

    DDG
    Smalling, Bavies, Lowton, Mawson
    Sterling, Son, D Silva, Willian
    Kane, Vardy

    Ryan, Gross, Barnes, Chilwell

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      A

    2. johnnymorrocco
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      I thought Silva was absent. IS that not true?

  13. The Royal Robin
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    A) Double up and go with Pope & Tarkowski
    B) Play Hennessey & Tarkowski

  14. Plymouth
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Lowest chance of starting?
    Lingard or Willian?

    1. Ibracadabra
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Lingard lower but I can’t afford to remove him without a -4 to Zaha / Arnie which presents quite the dilemma.

    2. The Royal Robin
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      JAY TABB!

    3. Richd
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Jay tabb yo yo

      Both are risky.

    4. GOTHAM City F.C.
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Lingard

    5. Mr Arsenal
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Lingard.

      Chelsea may play 4-3-3 in which case Willian would start.

  15. Richd
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    If Pogba starts id not need to move to zaha.

    Then again I could get Martial instead.

    Eurgh.

    It’s annoying not wanting to take a hit but I know it’s not worth it

    1. Twisted Saltergater
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Get Zaha for Pogba. Don't overthink it.

      1. Richd
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Yeah that’s the most likely.

        I really should have done it already to stop myself. But hoping for some leaks

  16. Down with this sort of thin…
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Any news on Trippier? Will Walker-Peters start instead?

    Thanks!

    1. johnnymorrocco
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      I heard WP will start

  17. mahone24
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    A/ Start Naughton (double BUR and 4 at the back - other def is Davies)
    B/ Start Lingard
    C/ Lingard + DDG -> Romero + Zaha (other keeper is Ryan) (-8)
    D/ Lingard -> Gundogan (-4)
    E/ Barnes -> Ayew (-4)

  18. ILOVEBAPS
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    For a hit.
    A. Lloris & VvD
    or
    B. Karius & Davies

    1. Lukakuna
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      B

      1. El-Kloppico
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Is Bavies a sure starter?

    2. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      A

    3. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      A as there is a chance that Rose plays? Don’t want to take a hit and see a player benched

    4. GOTHAM City F.C.
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      How about Romero & VVD?

      1. ILOVEBAPS
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Not sure United will get a CS with such a team

  19. Twisted Saltergater
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    I'm done. Good all!

    McCarthy
    Naughton - Long - Vertonghen
    Sterling - Zaha - Alli - Salah(c) - Sané
    Jesus - Aubameyang

    1. Twisted Saltergater
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      *luck!

    2. Legomané
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      McCarthy Jesus pen save incoming 🙂

      1. Twisted Saltergater
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        With any luck! 🙂

  20. hspin
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Any hints of teams befor deadline we think?

  21. Legomané
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    A. Jesus Lingard > Salah Vokes (-4)
    B. Eriksen Lingard > Salah Gudmundsson (-4)
    C. Jesus Eriksen DDG > Aubameyang Salah Hennessey (-8)

    Ryan
    Alonso Vertonghen Mawson
    Eriksen Sterling Arnautovic Lingard Milivojevic
    Kane Jesus

    (DDG* Lowton Barnes* Chilwell*)

    1. Twisted Saltergater
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      A.

  22. Lukakuna
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    A) Barnes* > Ayew
    B) King > McArthur
    C) DDG A.King > Adrian Zaha (-4)

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      C

  23. Don Kloppeone
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    This lot worth any hits? I’m just going for OR increase as don’t think I can catch cash ML leader

    0FT £0.7itb

    Ryan
    Vert, Lowton, Mustafi
    Salah (C), Sterling, Eriksen, Son, Mili
    Jesus, Firmino

    (DDG) (Ayew, Morgan, Smalling)

    Was thinking maybe Morgan > TAA (-4) then play 4-4-2?

    Thoughts?

    Cheers

    1. Lukakuna
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      I wouldn't do hit here

  24. DAZZ
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Milner a good shout today lads. Playing in the middle, will get forward, potential set pieces, and clean sheet looks good.

    1. Richd
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Yeah he’s an exciting prospect

      1. Richd
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Some the picks this week remind me of FH35

    2. MTPockets
        7 years, 6 months ago

        He has 0G/3A

        1. Richd
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          In champions league he’s the top assister

          1. MTPockets
              7 years, 6 months ago

              I'll bear that in mind for CL fantasy.

              1. Richd
                • 13 Years
                7 years, 6 months ago

                It’s still very relevant to be fair.

                1. MTPockets
                    7 years, 6 months ago

                    Would have thought Salah gets every possible set piece.

            • Jazz!
              • 10 Years
              7 years, 6 months ago

              CL top assister 😀

        2. Meltens
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Bottomed:
          I have both Son and David Silva. Chance of both starting? I’ve got a great bench but also have Bavies and Monreal so likely to need it.

        3. King Kohli
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Defending a 7 point lead.
          Rival has Salah + Auba

          Who do I captain?
          A. Kane
          B. Auba

          1. Twisted Saltergater
            • 16 Years
            7 years, 6 months ago

            Kane

            1. Twisted Saltergater
              • 16 Years
              7 years, 6 months ago

              He'll captain Salah over Auba

        4. Patch
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Renegade Moves:

          DDG to Heaton

          Captain David Silva

          Yay or Nay pls?

          1. yakirh
            • 9 Years
            7 years, 6 months ago

            Heaton playing for sure?

        5. Twisted Saltergater
          • 16 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          On the Spurs fans forum, suggestions that Foyth will start over Vertonghen.

          1. Richd
            • 13 Years
            7 years, 6 months ago

            Oh don’t start this lol

          2. Volley127
            • 13 Years
            7 years, 6 months ago

            Justice for 37

            1. Twisted Saltergater
              • 16 Years
              7 years, 6 months ago

              😀

          3. Ibracadabra
            • 16 Years
            7 years, 6 months ago

            Could be a back 3, could be instead of Sanchez too but if Vertonghen ankle is even a bit hurt then he won’t be risked before a WV.

            1. Ibracadabra
              • 16 Years
              7 years, 6 months ago

              *WC

          4. Rash
            • 8 Years
            7 years, 6 months ago

            Anything on there about Son injury?

        6. The Royal Robin
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Has Mou actually confirmed Smalling as rested?

          1. Richd
            • 13 Years
            7 years, 6 months ago

            Yeah

            1. The Royal Robin
              • 10 Years
              7 years, 6 months ago

              Cheers, what about Monreal?

        7. NachoMan
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          I'm taking a -12 hit. Don't try and stop me. I'm 13 points behind ML leader and he's taken a -8 but I need some differentials.

          Which one?

          Jesus, Son, Willian, Smalling OUT

          A) Auba, Martial, Sane, TAA IN
          B) Laca, Martial, Zaha, VVD
          IN

          HELP

          1. johnnymorrocco
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            7 years, 6 months ago

            A but i think he's lying to you