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10 August 2018 1681 comments
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Fantasy Premier League managers face a number of selection quandaries as they put the finishing touches to their squads ahead of tonight’s 19:00 BST deadline, one of which, of course, concerns who to captain.

While one, all-too-familiar name leaps out as the leading candidate for the armband this week, there are plenty of other FPL assets whose cases ought to be presented.

We will first assess the fallout of the Gameweek 1 Captain Poll, then analyse the Opta data and Rate My Team (RMT) ratings ahead of this evening’s curtain-raiser at Old Trafford.

The Captain Poll

The percentage of votes cast for Mohamed Salah (£13.0m) in the Fantasy Football Scout Captain Poll actually outstrips his ownership in FPL, with 59.1% of the nominations on our site heading the way of the Egyptian.

Liverpool put a combined eight goals past this weekend’s opponents, West Ham United, in two league meetings last season, with Salah registering three of those strikes.

The Hammers’ defensive record was the joint-worst in the top flight in 2017/18 (68 goals conceded) and though Manuel Pellegrini has strengthened his backline with the acquisitions of Lukasz Fabianski, Issa Diop, Fabian Balbuena (all £4.5m) and Ryan Fredericks (£5.0m), the Chilean manager’s reputation for playing attacking football doesn’t suggest the Irons will completely close ranks at Anfield on Sunday.

Sadio Mane and Roberto Firmino (both £9.5m) are alternative captaincy picks for the Reds, with 4.4% and 3.5% of the communal vote respectively. Both players were on target in the 4-1 home victory over the Hammers last season, while Mane also provided two assists in the reverse fixture in east London.

With 7.9% of the FFS vote, Sergio Aguero (£11.0m) is a distant second in our Captain Poll behind the runaway Salah.

The Argentinian striker’s brace in the Community Shield win over Chelsea last weekend has seen his FPL ownership soar, with Aguero outstripping Marko Arnautovic (£7.0m) to become the fourth-most popular forward option in the game and featuring in 30% of Gameweek 1 squads.

While a trip to the Emirates poses a stern test, it should be said that City comfortably beat the Gunners on their own turf last season, with Aguero picking up an assist in that 3-0 victory. The striker also scored from the spot in the 3-1 win over Arsenal at the Etihad earlier in the campaign.

It should also be noted that the Gunners’ first home matches in the past two seasons have been seven-goal thrillers, with Arsenal prevailing 4-3 against Leicester City in 2017/18 and losing out to Liverpool by the same scoreline the preceding campaign.

A repeat of those scorelines would surely spell FPL points for Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£11.0m), who has garnered over 1,000 votes to become the third-most popular captaincy selection (5.2%) of the Gameweek.

A rare beast among premium forwards this season in having the summer off from international duty – of the nine strikers priced at £9.0m or above, only he, team-mate Alexandre Lacazette (£9.5m) and Chelsea’s Alvaro Morata (£9.0m) weren’t involved in the World Cup – Aubameyang would also appear to be as close to rotation-proof as any of the heavy hitters in attack.

The one concern is Aubameyang’s starting position, with the possibility of the Gabonese forward being stationed on the left flank to accommodate Lacazette in attack.

That being said, no forward scored more goals than the former Borussia Dortmund striker (ten) after his debut in Gameweek 26 last season. Aubameyang also has six goals to his name in pre-season, the same amount as Lacazette.

Leicester City’s problems in central defence – Harry Maguire (£5.5m) having just returned from his post-World Cup break and Jonny Evans (£5.0m) facing a late fitness test before tonight’s match at Old Trafford – could mean that the somewhat unconvincing partnership of Yohan Benalouane (£4.0m) and Wes Morgan (£4.5m) might be pressed into action at the heart of the Foxes’ backline.

That would increase the appeal of Alexis Sanchez (£10.5m), who has attracted 4.8% of the vote in our Captain Poll. The Chilean midfielder was Manchester United’s form player in pre-season, scoring on two occasions and setting up another goal.

Only four sides had a leakier defence last season than Leicester, who shipped more Premier League goals (60) than relegated West Bromwich Albion and Swansea City.

Harry Kane (£12.5m), curiously, has attracted almost 3% of the FFS community’s nominations, despite doubts about his pitch-time following a belated return to training on Monday. The “August drought” – Kane has failed to find the net in 13 league appearances in this month – also hasn’t deterred well over 600 voters from backing the England striker for the armband.

Mid-price forwards Wilfried Zaha (£7.0m), Marko Arnautovic (£7.0m) and Joshua King (£6.5m) have some backing (all around the 1% mark), following their successful pre-seasons. Arnautovic, whose West Ham side face a tricky trip to Anfield this weekend, found the back of the net on five occasions over the summer, while King and Zaha both scored four summer friendly goals.

King’s fixture is perhaps the most appealing, with newly promoted Cardiff City the visitors to the south coast. Zaha and Palace, meanwhile, make the trip to west London to face Fulham.

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  1. Jebiga
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Is David Luiz good pick ?

    1. TriggerHappy
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Could go either way. Chelsea haven't been great in pre-season and will take some time to settle with the new keeper.

      1. Jebiga
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Is there better pick for 5.5 ?

    2. GTJERSEY
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      I think so and have him starting for me

  2. Ninjaa
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    King or Arnautovic?

    1. S.Kuqi
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Arnie

    2. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      King for the first 2 - 3 GW's then bringing arnie in

      1. Ninjaa
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Yes that sounds spot on

    3. GTJERSEY
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      King

  3. makaveli123
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Wow, wasn't expecting that news!

    1. Jebiga
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Which one !?

    2. Zladan
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Which news...

      1. Pieterke30
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        The KDB and Sterling one I guess.

        1. Zladan
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 5 months ago

          Please enlighten me...

          1. Brosstan
            • 11 Years
            7 years, 5 months ago

            Fraudiola confirmed they are back and ready.

            1. Zladan
              • 8 Years
              7 years, 5 months ago

              Thanks!

              I was saving a Man City spot to do Sanchez to KDB next week.

              I think I’m happy to keep to my plan.

        2. Jebiga
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 5 months ago

          They will play for sure or not ?

  4. Ninjaa
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    .1.Mitrovic and B.Silva
    2. Zaha and Mhki.

  5. Sting
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    start with Mkhi or wait until GW3 when Arsenal's fixtures improve?

    1. Pieterke30
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      I wee no problem starting with Auba from 1 but with Mkhi I'd wait for GW3

    2. Ninjaa
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Yes i found 0.5m to jabs
      Have Bilva instead of Mhki

  6. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Ok, last one....

    A) Ederson, Stek & PVA
    B) Guaita, Begovic & Mendy

  7. Pieterke30
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Which combo?
    A. Patricio + Kabasele
    B. Foster + Doherty

    GK will be playing every game until I WC

  8. windowview
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Someone tell me why Jota is worth it?

    1. The Gobstopper
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      17 goals and 5 assists last season in Championship playing OOP on a very improved Wolves team. That's pretty much the reason.

    2. makaveli123
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      He gets involved in pretty much every attack/chances created

    3. Zladan
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      He’s being massively, massively overrated here.

      1. The Wise Owl
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        I think not

      2. Camzy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        I think that about a lot of bandwagons but this one seems quite well informed.

        He's a talisman on a strong looking team and reminds me of Michu from a few seasons back. Same price too.

        1. Zladan
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 5 months ago

          I feel people want him to be this talisman magic bean type player. He certainly has championship stats which look good. But people should go and do an eye test on his goals/assist/runs. He will be bullied in the Premier League. The defending is so so poor in Championship compared to PL too.

      3. Brosstan
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        That would be richarlison

        1. Zladan
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 5 months ago

          Maybe. I think we all know that if Richarlison can just finish his chances he will be well underpriced.

    4. Salfpilgrimlfc
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Lets hope he doesnt do a Ebanks-Blake

  9. UnitedFan
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Billing or Hogg a more secure starter for Huddersfield?

  10. S.Kuqi
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Help me out please.

    Firmino & Jota

    or

    Mitro & Mane

    1. JJeyy
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      same issue, think I might go second option to upgrade Mane to KDB/Hazard later, interested in your thoughts on it.

  11. Ha.
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    What was KDB’s away form like last season?

    1. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Much worse than home. His home form was almost as good as sterling.

  12. Kinder Mbueno
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    If you were to punt on a short term Man U option..
    1. Sanchez
    2. Mata
    3. Shaw

    1. UpAndAway
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Shaw based in value.

    2. GTJERSEY
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Rashford

    3. Zladan
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      I’ve gone for Sanchez. Predicting a haul tonight.

  13. MFC86
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Why is bilva now being dropped my people ?

    1. Siggy in the Middle
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      KDB is likely to play

    2. Adro3
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Sterling and KdB fit to play.

    3. MANGE TOUT RODNEY
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      I thought it was 'Bilva plus 10 others' said Pep

    4. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Knees start jerking close to the deadline

  14. Demel
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    The plan from a lot of people to bring Pogba and KDB in over the next 2 weeks has changed. Bring them in this week. They may both play. If they don't the subs play, they play next week and you save all of your transfers to start covering injuries, bandwagons etc.

    1. The Gobstopper
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      This is what I'm thinking. I think I'm willing to risk them (in my case KDB and Hazard) not playing this week to not have to tinker next week...

      1. Demel
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Exactly. Get ahead of the rest.

        1. Jamie_GAWA
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 5 months ago

          what's the latest on Pogba?

          1. Demel
            • 14 Years
            7 years, 5 months ago

            The Times say that he is up for selection and may start. The key bit is may. He could be on the bench. But either way he is back next week at the worst and he may suprise a few.

  15. Siggy in the Middle
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Is David Silva gonna miss the first few Gameweeks?

    1. stat
        7 years, 5 months ago

        50/50 to be included in the squad in GW 1 due to a hip problem according to a Man City ITK called Bluwhit

        1. Siggy in the Middle
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 5 months ago

          Cheers. I think I'll just go for KDB

    2. NUFCAndrew
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Best midfielder for max 7m? Already got Jota and Richarlison

      1. Demel
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Gross.

      2. Peggi
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Gross but he has tough early fixture, or Maddison for 6.5

      3. the dom 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Fraser

    3. thep025
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Time to worry about Bilva?

      1. Adro3
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Got him out.

      2. Jamie_GAWA
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        why what's changed?

        1. Adro3
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 5 months ago

          KdB and Sterling fit to play now

    4. AriseSirGiggsy
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      This is NOT my team. I don't have ANY of these players.
      This is my anti-team - if these players do well GW1 i will be screwed big time

      Patricio 4.5

      Luiz 5.5
      TAA 5
      Davies 6

      Sane 9.5
      Eriksen 9.5
      Mane 9.5
      Cairney 5

      Aubamayang 11
      Firmino 9.5
      Arnautovic 7

      Fabianski 4.5
      Cedric 4.5
      Bednarek 4
      Kenedy 5
      100

      1. Zladan
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Of those I’d only be worried by Mané and Firmino this week.

    5. EWH2020
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Please RMT. Think I’m set.

      Foster, Fabianski
      Robertson, Mendy, Shaw, Wan-Bissaka, Peltier
      Salah, Mane, B.Silva, Richarlison, Cairney
      Zaha, Aguero, King

      1. AriseSirGiggsy
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        i have the same team except

        Mane + Fabianski + Cairney > Sanchez + Button + Stephens

    6. JJeyy
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Mane or KDB ?

    7. The White Pele
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Jiménez nailed?

      1. il Brutto
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        It's his place to lose. If he plays well he will keep it if not you'd probably get rid of anyways. I like him as a pick and think he is underrated on this site.

        1. The White Pele
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 5 months ago

          cheers.

    8. The Royal Robin
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      A) Bilva & Mane
      B) Jota & KDB

      1. Adro3
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Gone with B now

    9. Alex1111345
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Who are the early band wagons here? Not had too much time this year.

      1. Brosstan
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Richarlilol

      2. Razer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        BSilva

    10. jacktaylor
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      A. Auba, B. Silva & PVA

      B. Laca, KDB, Tomkins

      Which to go with??

    11. Jam0sh
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      That tweet 😮

    12. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Bailly or PVA?
      Thanks

    13. Magic Hamster
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      With the new season fast approaching and a range of RMT’s flying about, what does the ‘average’ RMT look like for the FFS Community?

      Over the past five weeks I have taken 20 teams a day for 5 days from the community to see what the most common picks are what the trends are. I have then also loaded the data into another document to see what the average team is across the 5 weeks combined. As you would expect, the team has changed significantly in the five weeks.

      In the first week, the team looked like this

      Ederson/ Fabianski
      Cédric/ Robertson/ Daniels/ Tomkins/ Coleman
      Salah/ Sané/ David Silva/ Cairney/ Deulofeu
      Firmino/ Agüero/ Zaha

      Not a bad team eh? – unfortunately this is 4.0 over budget so not going to happen, as you will see this team was before ‘budget’ options (like Wan-Bissaka) became community favourites.

      Over the course of the five weeks, the combined average team looks like:

      Ederson/ Fabianski
      Robertson/ Cedric/ Wan Bissaka/ Mendy Tomkins
      Salah/ Richarlison/ Jota/ Mahrez/ Cairney
      Aguero/ Zaha/ Firmino

      Again, this is not viable as it is 2.5 over budget

      However, the team now, as of 10/08 looks like this:

      Fabianski/ Particio
      Wan-Bissaka/ Robertson/ Mendy/ Peltier/ Tomkins
      Salah/ Richarlison/ Mane/ Bernardo Silva/ Stephens
      Aguero/ Arnautovic/ Zaha

      This team, unlike the first two is affordable and comes in at 0.5 under budget. Looks like a solid base with 0.5 to play with

      Some findings from my analysis:

      Player frequency in the average team across the 5 weeks
      5/5 – Fabianski/ Robertson/ Salah/ Aguero
      4/5 – Ederson/ Cedric/ Tomkins
      3/5 – Peltier/ Wan-Bissaka/ Sane/ Richarlison/ Sane/ Zaha/ Arnautovic

      Top 3 picked players in each price bracket (based on this week’s selections), the percentage is reflective of of number of times the player has appeared in the 100 teams sampled.

      DF: 4-4.5: Wan-Bissaka (78%), Peltier (41%) , Tomkins (26%)
      DF: 5-5.5: Luiz (21%), Van Aanholt (14%), Shaw (15%)
      DF 6-6.5: Robertson (67%), Mendy (67%), Van Dijk (8%)

      MF: 0-5.0: Stephens (30%), Cairney (17%), Neves (11%)
      MF: 5.1-9.0: Richarlison (66%), Bernardo Silva (45%), Jota (26%)
      MF: 9.1-13.0: Salah (90%), Mane (45%), Eriksen (21%)

      FW: 4.5-8: Arnautovic (42%), Zaha (38%), King (36%)
      FW: 8.1-10.5: Firmino (25%), Morata (3%), Lacazette (3%)
      FW: 10.6-12.5: Aguero (87%), Aubameyang (17%), Kane (2%)

      Top 10 selection of players by position by team spread (again, based on this week’s selections):

      GK: Everton 2, Bournemouth 1, Huddersfield 1, West Ham 1, Wolves 1, Man City 1, Brighton 1, Man Utd 1, Southampton 1
      DF: Crystal Palace 3, Southampton 2, Chelsea 1, Man Utd 1, Cardiff 1, Liverpool 1 Man City 1
      MF: Liverpool 2, Brighton 1, Fulham 1, Spurs 1, Watford 1, Wolves 1, Arsenal 1, Man City 1, Man Utd 1
      FW: Everton 1, Man City 1, Newcastle 1, Bournemouth 1, West Ham 1, Crystal Palace 1, Southampton 1, Fulham 1, Arsenal 1, Liverpool 1

      A few players with low % selection (again, based on this week’s selections) with a high points/£ ratio, based on last season total points and this season’s prices:

      GK: Ryan (7%), Pope (0%), Lossl (0%)
      DF: Azpilicueta (4%), Alonso (0%), Bellerin (4%)
      MF: Gross (1%), Doucoure (0%), Milivojevic (4%)
      ST: Vardy (1%), Perez (0%), Kane (2%)

      In some instances, this may be heavily influenced by risk of players not starting GW1 due to the World Cup/ transfers/ fixture difficulty etc.

      May the FPL Gods look favourably upon you this season!

      1. Optic1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Nice bit of analysis there.

    14. MANGE TOUT RODNEY
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Shaw or a Burnley Def?

    15. TriggerHappy
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Gents, if someone is still looking to join a private H2H league, here is the code: 716024-941680
      Still looking for a few more new faces.

      1. Lukakwho
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        I'll join

      2. MJFainty
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Have just joined up, best of luck to you!

      3. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Joined!

    16. A.T
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Compare Rondon to King and Austin in the members section. Mind blowing.

      1. Demel
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        It's just those fixtures otherwise he would be straight in for me. I think he will be great.

      2. banskt
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        If only the fixtures were a little kind. Kenedy and Rondon on the watchlist. Austin in the team. 🙂