Spot the Differential
10 August 2018 3777 comments
DavidMunday815 DavidMunday815
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The Gameweek 1 deadline is now upon us which gives us a chance to have a look at some differential options for the start of the season.

We’ve pulled out three players currently under five percent ownership who represent viable alternatives to some of the more popular assets out there.

Alexandre Lacazette (£9.5m)

Ownership: 4.3 percent

There is reason to believe that Alexandre Lacazette (£9.5m) could match Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£11.0m) in FPL this season, which could help Fantasy managers looking to save money.

The two strikers have scored the same number of goals in Arsenal’s public pre-season friendlies, with six apiece and Aubamayang just one ahead on assists (three to two).

As Lacazette’s involvements have come from slightly less time on the pitch, his minutes-per-goal involvement is remarkably similar to his Gabonese colleague. The Frenchman has averaged one every 31.37 minutes, with Aubameyang involving himself in a public pre-season strike every 32.22 minutes.

As for his position within the team, Lacazette looks likely to start as the central striker, with Aubameyang operating from an inside-left position, as has been the case this summer.

It must also be noted that Lacazette actually finished the end of last season in sensational form, as he began to develop a great relationship with Aubameyang. In his final six appearances of 2017/18 he found the net five times and produced one assist. By comparison, Aubameyang also scored the same number of goals in his last six outings of the campaign, edging the Frenchman only on assists (three to one).

In the last six Gameweeks, Lacazette also bettered Aubameyang for minutes-per-goal (90.3 to 103.6) and was close behind when it came to minutes-per-shot too (33.9 to 30.1).

Having one of the two Arsenal attackers looks to be a smart move for the beginning of the season. Their opening fixture against Manchester City has the makings of a high-scoring game and Gameweek 2 pits the Gunners against a new-look Chelsea side that look defensively vulnerable in the Community Shield final.

After those two fixtures, there are home meeting with West Ham, Everton, Watford and Leicester mixed with trips to Cardiff, Newcastle, Fulham and Crystal Palace before Liverpool come to the Emirates in Gameweek 11. That is certainly a run of matches where there are goals on offer.

In both the climax of last term and in friendlies this summer, Lacazette has demonstrated the ability to match his more esteemed colleague. This could prove hugely important for Fantasy managers as it gives them the potential to save £1.5m to use elsewhere in their squad if they were to opt for Lacazette over Aubameyang, while still investing in an attack with potential for goals.

ANDROS TOWNSEND (£6.0m)

Ownership: 2.6 percent

Andros Townsend (£6.0m) could prove to be a steady supplier of assists for Crystal Palace this season and offer a differential route into their attack, with just 2.6 percent ownership. The Englishman has impressed both in the back-end of last term and during pre-season, so considering the strength of the Eagles’ fixtures, there’s every reason to believe he is worth investing in.

In the final 10 Gameweeks of 2017/18, no midfielder in the league created more big chances than Townsend’s five. Furthermore, no midfielder from a club outside the top six managed more passes received in the final third between Gameweek 29 and 38, while only one (Riyad Mahrez) registered more touches in that area of the pitch. In that time-frame he laid on three assists, but more ruthless finishing from colleague Wilfried Zaha (£7.0m) at the start of this campaign could help improve on that.

In fact, that has largely been the case in pre-season with no Palace player involved in more goals than Townsend. He provided six assists during the summer months, which is actually more than any other Premier League player managed to accrue during their respective off-seasons.

The Eagles also have the fixtures to get the best out of Townsend. No team ranks higher for attack than them on our Season Ticker in the first six Gameweeks of 2018/19, with trips to Fulham, Watford and Huddersfield alongside home meetings with Liverpool, Southampton and Newcastle.

RYAN FRASER (£5.5m)

Ownership: 1.1 percent

Bournemouth midfielder Ryan Fraser (£5.5m) could prove a shrewd investment at the start of the season as an alternative route into the Cherries’ attack.

Eddie Howe’s men have some appealing fixtures in the early part of the season which has led to 7.2 percent of managers looking to Josh King (£6.5m) for their forward lines. They host newly-promoted Cardiff on the opening day of the season before Everton and Leicester come to the Vitality Stadium. Trips to West Ham, Chelsea and Burnley are a little tougher but could still offer goals for this particularly attacking side.

Fraser can provde a cheaper alternative to King while still being central to the Bournemouth attacking output.

In the last six Gameweeks of 2017/18, only four midfielders created more chances than Fraser. Across the course of the season, he was Bournemouth’s most creative player, with 38 key passes played, at a rate of 1.6 per game. He also topped the Cherries’ charts for touches in the final third (23.5m), passes received there (14.7), successful crosses (0.7) and successful passes in the attacking third (10.5).

There is also the potential for finding the net to go alongside his assist credentials. No Bournemouth player had a higher goal conversion rate. He scored 16.9 percent of the 30 opportunities that fell his way, with King behind him on 15.7 and Wilson on 15.1.

Fraser’s strength does largely lie in his ability to create goals, though. In pre-season he was the provider of four assists, adding one of his own strikes to take his goal involvement tally of five – the same as King.

The form of the Norwegian striker also heightens Fraser’s appeal. He found the net four times over the summer and looks set for a good spell now that the Premier League is back. If he does take his chances at the beginning of the campaign, there’s a good chance he’ll be helping Fraser register assist points.

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  1. Mike82
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Anyone punting on the following;
    Bernard
    Mina
    Ings

    1. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      No
      No
      Not GW1 - definitely after that if he starts though

      1. Mike82
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Ha is that Cz they are Everton players or you jus don’t see the value?

        1. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
          • 16 Years
          7 years, 8 months ago

          No I have Coleman from Everton! Coleman offer everything among does and much more, for the same price.

          Bernard is a mental FPL pick for me, just a straight up gamble, why anyone would get him for GW1 i’ll Never know. But he could do very well, there’s just way too much uncertainty.

          1. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
            • 16 Years
            7 years, 8 months ago

            *everyhting Mina does

  2. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Costa or Kante?

    1. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Costa plays a bit further forward than Neves and where Kante does so Costa

    2. BadgersBoys
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Schurrle not Kante?

      1. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks. He might be a bit more box to box this season (and don’t call me Shirley)

    3. Whats the Huth
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Costa!!

    4. Mayor of Flair
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Eriksen, he's way better

      1. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Already have him

  3. BossOff
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Ederson / Patricio
    Robertson / Luiz / Shaw / Wan-Bissaka / Peltier
    Salah / Mané / Pedro / Mkhitaryan / Neves
    Aguero / Arnautovic / Mitrovic

    Good to go? 🙂

    Biggest doubts: having Shaw & not having Aubemayang...

    1. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      No panic on Auba, he’ll still be there in GW3

    2. Rotation's Alter Ego
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Hello Bossoff, please post this in the RMT article 🙂

      https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2018/08/09/rmt-collection-legomane/

  4. The Mighty I
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    VVD and Walker safer than Robertson and Mendy?

    1. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Much safer

      1. The Mighty I
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Might roll with it

    2. SackWenger
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      I'd say so.

    3. Bedknobs and Boomsticks
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      I think that Mendy is nailed.

  5. Rupert The Horse
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Now that it’s nice and quiet, can anyone give me any recommendations in Pula, Istria, Croatia?

    1. BadgersBoys
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      DM me.

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        How?

    2. Fabio20
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Loved it there, not very touristy, prices were good. Got a boat tour to Rovinj that stopped off at Red Island, was very good value.

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers CB.

    3. Pompel
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Pula itself is nice, but Rovinj is the most pittoresque. Also recommend going to cape Kamenjak nature reserve protruding off Medulin further south. Lovely place to bathe off the cliffs. Check out Safari Bar!

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Ok. That’s Rovinj stamped on the itinerary.

    4. Bedknobs and Boomsticks
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Did Krk and Slovenia a few years ago. Ljubljana and Lake Bled were cracking, but probably needs a side trip. If you can get over to Cres from Istria its a stunning island.

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Going to Slovenia on Saturday actually. Vipava Valley for wine touring and restaurants.

        1. fclackless [Brazil Nuts]
          • 7 Years
          7 years, 8 months ago

          Brought a Slovenian wine back from Croatia ... hopefully you will find some better ones!

          1. Rupert The Horse
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            7 years, 8 months ago

            Ha. Yeah. I’m going to a pretty good region so fingers crossed.

  6. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Tripple Skipper Salah?

    1. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      No way

      1. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Oh go on it’s my birthday

    2. Mayor of Flair
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Wow can you imagine!

      1. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        And in your name it is written

        1. Mayor of Flair
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 8 months ago

          DOITDOITDOITDOITDOIT!

  7. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Is Declan Rice nailed for WHU?

    1. Sotamendi84
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      No

  8. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Kun Zaha and Arnie good enough ?

    Luiz for 5.5 def or PVA/Coleman/other ?

  9. Frank Koscielny
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Can someone convince me on which two 7.0 (or less striker) I should get?
    - Arnie have awful fixtures and WHU have brought in several new players. Hard to tell how they'll play
    - Tosun have great fixtures, but Everton have been utter shiite preseason (and I have Richarlison)
    - Zaha does apparently wants away from Palace
    - Mitrovic is just signed and hard to tell if he'll fit into the team - although I've read he'll probably be on pens
    - King has been very good preseason, but Bournemoth have not
    Please advise!

    1. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Tosun for me

    2. Typo
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Mitro played second half of last season in the same team.

    3. GE
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Have no clue either.
      I'm thinking like this:
      - Crystal Palace has scored a lot pre-season and Zaha is always involved - I want him
      - Arnie: Looks fixture-proof and can give you big hauls
      - Tosun and King: More uncertainties here IMO, King has not proven over time to be a good asset, neither Tosun.

      If I'm wrong I have 2*7,0. No problem, I can easily downgrade.
      If starting King at 6.5, then a bigger problem to upgrade (if you not leaving 0.5 itb)

      1. Frank Koscielny
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers! This is a very good point although I had .5 itb just in case. Will go for Zaha and King!

    4. Barbarians
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Mitrovic and King for me

  10. joeydelucchi
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    if you look at underlying stats from last season Auba is way better than Lacazzette....this is a pointless article.
    Auba has best shooting accuracy in premier league.

    1. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Yeah but something COULD happen so we have to write about it to shake things up

    2. seanysheep
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Lacazette has not left my team for 2 weeks, think he will do very well as will auba.

  11. AceKn1ght
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Last day to enter our Mystery Gift Box Giveaway League!

    https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2018/08/06/themysterygiftbox-com-giveaway-fantasy-football-league/

  12. GE
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    What would you do with 1.0 itb here? 🙂 (except upgrading sub keeper)

    Patricio
    Robertson/Mendy/Tomkins
    Salah/Mane/Bilva/Richarlison
    Aguero/Arnie/Zaha

    Bench: Hamer, Stephens, W-B, Peltier

    1. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Upgrade your bench

      1. GE
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Who?

    2. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Fraser in for Stephens

      1. GE
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Interesting, Thanks.
        will be difficult to Bench Zaha/Arnie though

    3. Frank Koscielny
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Upgrade Stephens to Cairney/Neves/Kenedy

      1. Frank Koscielny
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Or Peltier to 4.5 def

        1. GE
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 8 months ago

          Like this actually and rotate with Tomkins. Who do you think?

          1. Frank Koscielny
            • 9 Years
            7 years, 8 months ago

            I've been struggling that same question. If you hadn't gone with Patricio in goal I'd say Boly. Maybe Chambers, but that's more like a punt and you'll want sure starters. Cedric is not as far as I've understood, so maybe Zanka?

      2. GE
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks mate, could be difficult to Bench Arnie/Zaha though.

  13. MiguelAngel
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    A) Patricio & Mendy
    B) Ederson & Shaw

    1. Gol D Roger
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Patricio & Mendy

  14. Typo
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Bailly, yes or no? any other 5.5?

    1. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      David Luiz

  15. #FPLBhuna
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Thoughts?

    ederson
    robertson - shaw - pva
    salah(c) - sanchez - mane - richa - mili
    zaha - king

    stek - mendy - bednarek - HO

  16. Piggs Boson
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Thoughts on Adama Traore (5.5)?

    Should be a starter in the front 3 for Wolves. Is he ready to start GW1?

    1. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Smells like trouble to me.

  17. FPL Marc
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    A) Ederson & B Davies

    or

    B) Lloris & Mendy

    I've been on A for a while and didn't get the Mendy hype, as I'm convinced he'll be rotated. But a last-minute change of heart?

  18. joeydelucchi
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    please place in order who will get most points over first 3 GW's

    A - Jota
    B - Moura
    C - King
    D - Zaha
    E - Richarlison

    1. joeydelucchi
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      im currently thinking :

      A
      B
      D
      E
      C

  19. tambourineman
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    https://twitter.com/solentsport/status/1027831686669770753
    "Jefferson Lerma not in contention as hasn’t trained since World Cup. Stanislas around a month away still, Rico suspended for first three matches."

    1. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Thanks, that’s another 4.5 mid to cross off the list then.

  20. JRO093
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Remember when there were hundreds of RMT on here, discussing fpl but also taking a lot of space on the thread? Now there are hundreds of RMT and hundreds of comments telling them to move their post to another thread - really good upgrade!

    1. Wrong Captain Choice - Ag i…
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      😀 exactly!

    2. BadgersBoys
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Remember...

      1. BadgersBoys
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Can't remember what I was going to say now.

    3. SackWenger
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Good shout - surely they could be filtered direct to the other thread, if Rate My Team or RMT is in the text.

  21. luke25
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Palace defence is odd this year, starters likely to all be different price points but you could actually make a case each of them

    PVA 5.5M - Goals and Assist potential
    Tomkins 4.5m - Pops up with the odd goal
    Sakho 5m - If they get a CS he's likely the one to get the bonus points, goal threat
    AWB 4M - A starter at 4m, budget enabler

    1. Ownership
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      autocomplete

  22. Pringle
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    A. Zaha or Arnautovic?
    B. Coleman or PVA?

    1. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Arnie
      Pva

  23. Butcher
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    A) Townsend and Tosun
    B) Richarlison and Zaha

    Really unsure...

    1. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      B

    2. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      B for me

    3. GAMBIT
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      B

  24. GAMBIT
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    A) DDG, Mendy, Richarlison
    B) Ederson, Shaw, Mkhi

    1. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      A

    2. rhysmd
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      A

  25. foreverton
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Is Heaton nailed?

    1. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      When fit, yeah.

      Still has an injury though.

    2. BadgersBoys
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Lol

    3. QPRUTD
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      injured as of now

  26. Winter_is_coming
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Which option would you prefer, second potentially open the door for Cairney in some easy fixtures (1, 3,4).

    1) Foster, Van Dijk (Stephens)
    2) Alisson, Kabasele (Cairney)

  27. Pieterke30
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Pls help a friend in need

    A. Davies, Mané, King
    B. Kabasele, Jota, Aguero

    it's a 'all of them' or 'none of them' choice. Have Salah and already Richa as 6;5 mid option. With option B, Kabasele would rotate with Peltier and WB. With option A, WB and Peltier would always be on my bench.

    THANKS!

    1. Pieterke30
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      OK we're not really 'friends' but could you guys please have a look and tell me what you think?

      Would be great.

      1. Winter_is_coming
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        I won`t start without Aguero, even if Mane is solid choice too.

  28. mdm
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Which option guys:

    A. Shaw, Jota, Firmino and King
    B. Cedric, Mane, Zaha and Arnie

    Thanks!

  29. Davido989
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    It's the day of the launch - why are people being forced to shove their RMT's on another thread? It's congesting both threads lol

    1. Rotation's Alter Ego
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      It's going to be apocalyptic later, I might have to seek refuge in a pub...

  30. Buck The Trent
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    After Hughes' presser, do you think Cedric will start?

    1. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      I hope so

      1. SackWenger
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        It read well until he belatedly emphasised that he could play this weekend, which led me to believe the previous comments were in general about his availability over the next couple of weeks.