Wisdom of the Crowd: Gameweek 10

Price Change Predictions

Risers

Fallers

Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
O’Reilly	MCI	5.2m	105.5%	Very Likely
Gordon	NEW	7.2m	96.4%	Likely
Roefs	SUN	4.7m	93.1%	Unlikely
Watkins	AVL	8.5m	76.4%	Unlikely
Guéhi	CRY	5.2m	62.9%	Unlikely
Cherki	MCI	6.4m	75.6%	Unlikely
Dewsbury-Hall	EVE	5.1m	49.8%	Unlikely
Raya	ARS	6.0m	47.3%	Unlikely
Thiago	BRE	7.1m	23.7%	Unlikely
Matheus N.	MCI	5.3m	78.1%	Unlikely
Truffert	BOU	4.5m	76.1%	Unlikely
Casemiro	MUN	5.5m	78.5%	Unlikely
Lacroix	CRY	5.1m	74.6%	Unlikely
Verbruggen	BHA	4.4m	70.4%	Unlikely
Livramento	NEW	4.9m	68.3%	Unlikely
Bowen	WHU	7.5m	56.2%	Unlikely
Foden	MCI	8.7m	19.7%	Unlikely
Saka	ARS	10.2m	43.1%	Unlikely
Mitchell	CRY	5.0m	68.8%	Unlikely
Dúbravka	BUR	4.0m	64.6%	Unlikely
Rúben	MCI	5.6m	51.2%	Unlikely
Calvert-Lewin	LEE	5.6m	19.7%	Unlikely
Romero	TOT	5.0m	54.0%	Unlikely
Cullen	BUR	5.0m	62.8%	Unlikely
Gvardiol	MCI	5.9m	25.5%	Unlikely
Tete	FUL	4.5m	48.4%	Unlikely
Andersen	FUL	4.6m	35.6%	Unlikely
Petrović	BOU	4.5m	59.5%	Unlikely
Ballard	SUN	4.6m	54.8%	Unlikely
Dalot	MUN	4.4m	42.5%	Unlikely
Raúl	FUL	6.3m	4.3%	Unlikely
Tavernier	BOU	5.5m	57.8%	Unlikely
Wilson	FUL	5.4m	15.1%	Unlikely
Eze	ARS	7.8m	22.0%	Unlikely
Van Hecke	BHA	4.5m	45.5%	Unlikely
B.Fernandes	MUN	9.2m	14.5%	Unlikely
Gusto	CHE	4.9m	47.9%	Unlikely
Szoboszlai	LIV	6.7m	8.8%	Unlikely
Keane	EVE	4.6m	38.5%	Unlikely
Chukwueze	FUL	5.3m	44.2%	Unlikely

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Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Barnes	NEW	6.4m	65.4%	Likely
Senesi	BOU	5.0m	107.9%	Very Likely
Grealish	EVE	6.6m	99.4%	Likely
Nallo	LIV	3.8m	109.3%	Very Likely
Saliba	ARS	6.0m	109.4%	Very Likely
Semenyo	BOU	7.6m	93.8%	Likely
J.Murphy	NEW	6.1m	80.2%	Likely
J.Arias	WOL	5.0m	98.2%	Likely
Toti	WOL	4.3m	96.2%	Likely
Hato	CHE	4.7m	102.8%	Very Likely
Patterson	SUN	4.3m	102.0%	Very Likely
Ayari	BHA	4.9m	80.7%	Likely
Steele	BHA	4.3m	99.2%	Likely
Aznou	EVE	4.3m	99.8%	Likely
Morgan	BRE	4.4m	101.4%	Very Likely
Walker-Peters	WHU	4.3m	96.2%	Likely
Bates	EVE	4.4m	94.3%	Likely
Agbadou	WOL	4.3m	88.2%	Maybe
Neave	NEW	4.4m	97.8%	Maybe
Edwards	BUR	4.7m	89.3%	Maybe
Fitzgerald	MUN	4.4m	96.2%	Maybe
Jordan	BUR	4.0m	96.3%	Maybe
Jair Cunha	NFO	4.3m	93.2%	Maybe
Bobb	MCI	5.2m	85.5%	Maybe
Kulusevski	TOT	6.4m	95.6%	Maybe
H.Bueno	WOL	4.4m	90.0%	Maybe
Muniz	FUL	5.4m	90.7%	Unlikely
Okafor	LEE	5.5m	94.5%	Unlikely
Elanga	NEW	6.6m	87.1%	Unlikely
Yarmoliuk	BRE	5.0m	82.3%	Unlikely
Zubimendi	ARS	5.3m	88.3%	Unlikely
Fer López	WOL	5.2m	90.2%	Unlikely
McKenna	BOU	4.0m	86.1%	Unlikely
Tasker	BHA	3.9m	89.5%	Unlikely
Piroe	LEE	5.0m	88.1%	Unlikely
Broggio	AVL	4.5m	85.8%	Unlikely
Colwill	CHE	4.8m	91.9%	Unlikely
Mayenda	SUN	5.3m	82.8%	Unlikely
Walker	BUR	4.4m	79.2%	Unlikely
Aït-Nouri	MCI	5.7m	83.8%	Unlikely

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FPL Fixture Ticker

Watchlists

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Raya Martin	ARS	C
No Change	Alisson	LIV	C
No Change	Donnarumma	MCI	C, Sus
Up	Kelleher	BRE	C, Vs
Down	Ramsdale	NEW	C
No Change	Dubravka	BUR	C, £

Last updated: 13 Dec, 2025 10:16am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	van Dijk	LIV	C
No Change	Jurriën Timber	ARS	C, Inj
No Change	O’Reilly	MCI	C
Up	Andersen	FUL	C
Up	Marc Guehi	CRY	A
Up	van den Berg	BRE	C, Vs
No Change	Thiaw	NEW	A
No Change	Milenkovic	NFO	C
No Change	van Hecke	BHA	A
No Change	Mukiele	SUN	C, £

Last updated: 13 Dec, 2025 10:28am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Saka	ARS	B
No Change	Bruno Fernandes	MUN	A
No Change	Foden	MCI	A
No Change	Semenyo	BOU	C
Up	Szoboszlai	LIV	C
No Change	Minteh	BHA	B
No Change	Bruno Guimarães	NEW	A
No Change	Schade	BRE	C, Vs, Sus
No Change	Anderson	NFO	B, £

Last updated: 13 Dec, 2025 10:34am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Haaland	MCI	B
No Change	Thiago	BRE	A, Vs
No Change	Mateta	CRY	C
Up	Ekitiké	LIV	B
Down	Welbeck	BHA	C, Rest
Down	Woltemade	NEW	B

Last updated: 13 Dec, 2025 10:43am

Each week we will be reviewing the aggregated predictions on Superbru’s Premier League Predictor game, using the collective Wisdom of the Crowd predictions to guide our fantasy football thinking.

Please join the FFS league here and add your own predictions to the data – the more there are, the more accurate the crowd should be (in theory). And don’t forget there is £50,000 in prize money on offer every week.

THE CONCEPT

We must all make predictions about how each match will go when deciding on our fantasy team selection, predicting where the goals will be scored, which teams are most likely to keep a clean sheet and so on. If we aggregate the predictions of thousands of football fans playing the Premier League Predictor game on Superbru, any bias should be ironed out, and the collective knowledge will produce more accurate predictions that we can make on our own.

We tested this last season by taking the average community predictions, and entering them into the game as a user called Mr Crowd Wisdom. That user finished in 20th place out of 481 people in the Fantasy Football Scout league – a highly knowledgeable group – and also beat 98% of other people on the global leaderboard.

We’ll follow the average picks again this season and hopefully it will provide another reference point for your fantasy team selections.

GAMEWEEK 9 REVIEW

There were green arrows again for our Crowd Wisdom user on Superbru, back into the top third on Superbru, thanks to picking the draw between Liverpool and Man City, and continuing to beat the majority of people on Superbru.

GAMEWEEK 10 PREVIEW

Here is the Expected Goals chart for each fixture in GW10:

And here is the ranking of teams in order of Expected Goals Scored and Conceded:

Liverpool is the team to back this weekend. Top of the predicted goals and with a clean sheet expected, there should be fantasy points at both ends of the pitch – Mo Salah, Sadio Mane, Andrew Robertson and Trent Alexander-Arnold will be heavily backed, and for good reason according to these stats.

Arsenal and Chelsea are also predicted to do well against Crystal Palace and Burnley respectively, whilst the crowd is expecting Man City to win at Tottenham.

In defence, Watford look worth backing at home to Huddersfield, whilst Southampton, Bournemouth and Leicester are the other budget picks.

Here are the aggregated predictions that we’ll enter for Mr Crowd Wisdom this week.

Please join the FFS league here and add your own predictions to the data

palace ash

7 years, 1 month ago

A home goal? I'll take that!

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The Real Big Vern

Laca the cappo this gw

FPL_adict

Only liverpool with a clean sheet?

RedLightning
7 years, 1 month ago
8 teams are predicted to concede 5.62 goals between them, which suggests 2-3 clean sheets.
The predictions make Liverpool odds on to get a clean sheet, since they are the only team below 0.50.
They also give Watford an even chance of a clean sheet.
The other 6 are predicted to concede 4.84 goals between them, which means that they should get at least one more clean sheet between them too, but do not say who gets them.
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Dr. Ante Pavlovic

All set here?

Alisson
Mendy, Alonso, TAA, Doherty
Hazard, Salah(c) , Maddison, Fraser
Aguero, Mitrovic

Bench: Stekelenburg, Richarlison, Success, WB

Doing TAA to Robbo and Fraser to fodder next week.

Norfolk&Chance
7 years, 1 month ago
very nice gtg
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Jules Rimet

Whats with the Murphy hype? I know that Adam Hopcroft talked about getting him. He also scored 2 goals in last 3 games but what else? Is he OOP? Is he 100% nailed? Are his underlying stats better than Kenedys, or anyone else in his price bracket?

balint84

Leicester - West Ham 2:1
what do you think? agree?

Witty Pun: Not good at this…
7 years, 1 month ago
It could go any way, but I'm feeling a Leicester win.
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ddpour

Maintain Kane or WC to work in Mane and KDB (given his return) instead?

Hart
Mendy Robertson Alonso Trippier,
Hazard Milner Fraser
Kane Aguero Mitrovic

Bench: Hamer, Neves, AWB, Stephens