Wisdom of The Crowd: Gameweek 14

Price Change Predictions

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Haaland	MCI	A, Vs
Up	Thiago	BRE	A
Down	Mateta	CRY	C
No Change	Welbeck	BHA	C, Rest
No Change	Woltemade	NEW	B

Risers

Fallers

Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Chalobah	CHE	5.2m	99.0%	Likely
Dewsbury-Hall	EVE	5.0m	87.2%	Likely
Cash	AVL	4.7m	88.6%	Likely
Saka	ARS	10.1m	96.9%	Likely
Gvardiol	MCI	5.8m	93.1%	Likely
Casemiro	MUN	5.5m	98.1%	Maybe
Roefs	SUN	4.7m	88.9%	Unlikely
Burn	NEW	5.1m	85.7%	Unlikely
Rogers	AVL	6.9m	79.6%	Unlikely
Muñoz	CRY	6.1m	69.5%	Unlikely
Truffert	BOU	4.5m	80.1%	Unlikely
Mitchell	CRY	5.0m	80.7%	Unlikely
Matheus N.	MCI	5.3m	77.6%	Unlikely
Szoboszlai	LIV	6.6m	75.0%	Unlikely
Sánchez	CHE	4.8m	71.7%	Unlikely
Cullen	BUR	5.0m	76.7%	Unlikely
Tavernier	BOU	5.5m	73.7%	Unlikely
O.Dango	BRE	6.0m	70.1%	Unlikely
Lacroix	CRY	5.1m	71.3%	Unlikely
Verbruggen	BHA	4.4m	68.0%	Unlikely
Livramento	NEW	4.9m	66.6%	Unlikely
Petrović	BOU	4.5m	66.8%	Unlikely
J.Palhinha	TOT	5.5m	66.3%	Unlikely
Dúbravka	BUR	4.0m	63.3%	Unlikely
Amad	MUN	6.3m	58.7%	Unlikely
Merino	ARS	6.0m	48.8%	Unlikely
Ballard	SUN	4.6m	53.9%	Unlikely
Gordon	NEW	7.2m	47.0%	Unlikely
King	FUL	4.5m	52.2%	Unlikely
Tarkowski	EVE	5.4m	43.0%	Unlikely
Sessegnon	FUL	5.4m	47.1%	Unlikely
Barnes	NEW	6.4m	51.0%	Unlikely
Andersen	FUL	4.5m	42.5%	Unlikely
Foden	MCI	8.5m	30.6%	Unlikely
Anderson	NFO	5.4m	46.1%	Unlikely
De Ligt	MUN	5.0m	47.5%	Unlikely
Gusto	CHE	4.9m	44.4%	Unlikely
Schade	BRE	7.0m	46.7%	Unlikely
Igor Jesus	NFO	5.8m	39.6%	Unlikely
Wilson	WHU	5.8m	38.4%	Unlikely

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Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Gabriel	ARS	6.3m	105.2%	Very Likely
Botman	NEW	4.9m	102.2%	Very Likely
Maguire	MUN	4.4m	101.4%	Very Likely
Baleba	BHA	4.7m	99.7%	Likely
Mac Allister	LIV	6.3m	99.3%	Likely
Enzo	CHE	6.7m	95.9%	Likely
Young	AVL	4.4m	99.3%	Likely
Pedro Porro	TOT	5.4m	98.8%	Likely
Boateng	BUR	4.8m	98.7%	Likely
Ngumoha	LIV	4.4m	93.8%	Likely
Obi	MUN	4.3m	96.9%	Maybe
Alderete	SUN	4.1m	96.5%	Maybe
Ortega Moreno	MCI	4.8m	97.3%	Maybe
Byram	LEE	3.9m	96.3%	Maybe
Matete	SUN	4.4m	95.7%	Maybe
Arrizabalaga	ARS	4.2m	95.6%	Maybe
Travers	EVE	4.4m	94.3%	Maybe
Akinmboni	BOU	3.9m	93.6%	Unlikely
Okafor	LEE	5.5m	94.4%	Unlikely
Pinnock	BRE	4.3m	94.7%	Unlikely
Gruev	LEE	4.8m	89.5%	Unlikely
Sonne	BUR	3.9m	91.5%	Unlikely
George	CHE	4.9m	95.2%	Unlikely
Knight	BHA	4.5m	91.7%	Unlikely
Gannon-Doak	BOU	4.9m	91.7%	Unlikely
Cox	BRE	4.0m	90.5%	Unlikely
McGill	BHA	4.0m	90.7%	Unlikely
Spence	TOT	4.4m	87.8%	Unlikely
Neave	NEW	4.4m	89.7%	Unlikely
M.Bizot	AVL	4.3m	85.4%	Unlikely
Agbinone	CRY	4.4m	86.4%	Unlikely
Jordan	BUR	4.0m	86.7%	Unlikely
Ndoye	NFO	5.6m	82.6%	Unlikely
Hato	CHE	4.7m	87.1%	Unlikely
Abbott	NFO	3.9m	84.9%	Unlikely
Colwill	CHE	4.8m	86.3%	Unlikely
Kelleher	BRE	4.5m	86.6%	Unlikely
Carvalho	BRE	4.8m	83.7%	Unlikely
Patterson	SUN	4.3m	82.6%	Unlikely
Elliott	AVL	5.3m	82.9%	Unlikely

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FPL Fixture Ticker

Watchlists

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Raya Martin	ARS	C
No Change	Alisson	LIV	C, Vs
No Change	Donnarumma	MCI	C, Vs, Sus
No Change	Ramsdale	NEW	C
No Change	Sels	NFO	B
No Change	Dubravka	BUR	C, £

Last updated: 6 Dec, 2025 12:36am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	van Dijk	LIV	B, Vs
No Change	Muñoz	CRY	A, Sus
No Change	Jurriën Timber	ARS	C
No Change	O’Reilly	MCI	B, Vs
No Change	de Ligt	MUN	B, Inj
No Change	Thiaw	NEW	A
No Change	Andersen	FUL	B
No Change	Milenkovic	NFO	B
No Change	van Hecke	BHA	A, £
No Change	Mukiele	SUN	C, £

Last updated: 6 Dec, 2025 12:41am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Saka	ARS	A
No Change	Bruno Fernandes	MUN	B
No Change	Foden	MCI	A, Vs
No Change	Semenyo	BOU	C
No Change	Gakpo	LIV	B, Vs, Rest
No Change	Minteh	BHA	B
No Change	Bruno Guimarães	NEW	A
Up	Schade	BRE	C
No Change	Anderson	NFO	A, £
Down	Fernández	CHE	B

Last updated: 6 Dec, 2025 12:48am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Haaland	MCI	A, Vs
Up	Thiago	BRE	A
Down	Mateta	CRY	C
No Change	Welbeck	BHA	C, Rest
No Change	Woltemade	NEW	B

Each week we will be reviewing the aggregated predictions on Superbru’s Premier League Predictor game, using the collective Wisdom of the Crowd predictions to guide our fantasy football thinking.

Please join the FFS league here and add your own predictions to the data – the more there are, the more accurate the crowd should be (in theory). And don’t forget there is £50,000 in prize money on offer every week.

THE CONCEPT

We must all make predictions about how each match will go when deciding on our fantasy team selection, predicting where the goals will be scored, which teams are most likely to keep a clean sheet and so on. If we aggregate the predictions of thousands of football fans playing the Premier League Predictor game on Superbru, any bias should be ironed out, and the collective knowledge will produce more accurate predictions that we can make on our own.

We tested this last season by taking the average community predictions, and entering them into the game as a user called Mr Crowd Wisdom. That user finished in 20th place out of 481 people in the Fantasy Football Scout league – a highly knowledgeable group – and also beat 98% of other people on the global leaderboard.

We’ll follow the average picks again this season and hopefully it will provide another reference point for your fantasy team selections.

GAMEWEEK 13 REVIEW

Another green arrow for our Crowd Wisdom user last week – a fourth in a row – which means the aggregated crowd predictions are beating 86% of people on Superbru.

GAMEWEEK 14 PREVIEW

Here is the Expected Goals chart for each fixture in GW14:

And here is the ranking of teams in order of Expected Goals Scored and Conceded:

Sergio Aguero and Raheem Sterling are the favoured options in the Captain Poll this week, and the crowd are expecting Man City to score at least 3 goals. Chelsea and Liverpool are the next best options, with 2.52 and 2.22 predicted goals respectively, and this is reflected in the poll with Eden Hazard and Mo Salah as the 3rd and 4th most popular picks.

In defence, Chelsea and Man City are predicted to keep clean sheets at home to Fulham and Bournemouth respectively, whilst Crystal Palace, Leicester, Wolves and Newcastle offer the budget-friendly defensive options.

Here are the aggregated predictions that we’ll enter for Mr. Crowd Wisdom this week.

Please join the FFS league here and add your own predictions to the data, and you could win some cash.

Saïss Doesn't Mat…

7 years, 9 days ago

in dire need of help here:

fab ryan
robbo laporte 1b doherty yedlin
mane sterling hazard richy brooks
laca wilson vokes

2ft, .6itb, no wc

Defence can hold up for now... no real issues there though i'm quickly running out of patience with doherty. The front 8 is where the headache is.

short term:
Lacazette + Hazard to
a) auba/kane/aguero?
b) willian/martial? (both with good fixtures this week) or even eriksen/alli (turn of fixtures)

or just replace lacazette (with who??) and monitor hazard

Long term:
ship wilson and vokes out for mitro and murray (fixtures) probably after this gameweek
or bench wilson for his tough games

I know it's a lot to take in but I'm in a real mess lol need all the help i can

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weaver93
7 years, 9 days ago
maybe mane-sane

assess haz over w/e
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1. weaver93
  7 years, 9 days ago
  second thoughts get kane , martial instead of willian
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RicardoAVFC

A) Wilson out for Arnie?

B) Mitro out for Arnie?

C) Hart out for Ederson?

D) 2 transfers for -4?

E) Save?

Thank you

Dr. Mantis Toboggan
7 years, 9 days ago
C
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weaver93
7 years, 9 days ago
b
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Jam0sh

Morning guys. Save FT with this lot? Slightly tempted to do Salah to Sterling 😮 but probably better to stick and assess transfer options next week with 2 freebies.

Patricio
Robertson, Alonso, Laporte, Doherty, Wan-Bissaka
Salah, Hazard, Richarlison
Aguero, Arnautovic

subs: Button --- Wilson, Murphy, Hojbjerg --- 1 FT, 0.3 ITB