Spot the Differential
8 March 2019 664 comments
Skonto Rigga Skonto Rigga
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This weekly series puts the spotlight on three players who all have an ownership of 5% or under in Fantasy Premier League.

As we enter the business end of the season, a considered differential pick could provide a welcome boost for those Fantasy managers chasing a mini-league deficit or striving to improve their overall rank.

All three of our selections have home fixtures this weekend, with two of them also having matches in Blank Gameweeks 31 and 33.

Gonzalo Higuain (£9.6m)

FPL ownership: 4.3%

Chelsea’s Argentinean striker is still in differential territory despite the Blues enjoying fixtures in Blank Gameweeks 31 and 33 and, potentially but far from confirmed, a possible Double Gameweek 32.

Higuain looks a particularly enticing premium forward option for those without one or more of their chips and looking for a way to navigate through the choppy waters of the blanks and doubles ahead.

Even for FPL bosses with a full complement of chips, Higuain is an appealing candidate for their front-lines.

Higuain has scored three goals in his last four league matches and has recorded more shots in that quartet of games than any other FPL forward when they are filtered by the same criteria.

No player in his position recorded more attempts on goal or shots in the box in Gameweek 29, either.

The former Juventus forward, along with Eden Hazard (£10.8m), was rested on Thursday night as Chelsea saw off Dynamo Kyiv in the UEFA Europa League.

This weekend’s opponents, Wolves, haven’t kept a clean sheet away from home since Gameweek 8.

Michy Batshuayi (£6.5m)

FPL ownership: 1.6%

Not really an option for those Fantasy managers building a team for Blank Gameweek 31 given that Palace are in FA Cup action that weekend, Batshuayi is nevertheless a noteworthy differential for FPL bosses who are adopting a different approach – such as using the Free Hit chip in Gameweek 31.

Batshuayi enjoys home fixtures against Brighton & Hove Albion and Huddersfield Town either side of that blank, while the Eagles could very well enjoy a Double Gameweek 32 depending on what happens in their FA Cup quarter-final tie against Watford.

The downside to any Palace assets, whatever the chip strategy, is that they could very well blank in Gameweek 33, too. That, unfortunately, is something we won’t know until a week on Saturday.

In isolation and as a short-term punt, Batshuayi is an intriguing option.

Batshuayi’s minutes-per-chance average is the same as Sergio Aguero‘s (£11.8m) over the last six Gameweeks.

The on-loan Chelsea forward has three attacking returns in his five appearances for Palace (two of which were as a substitute), including a goal in the 3-1 win over Burnley last weekend.

The Eagles have also scored more goals over the last eight Gameweeks than all Premier League teams bar Manchester City, while Roy Hodgson’s side haven’t failed to find the net in any of their league fixtures this calendar year.

Brighton, Palace’s opponents on Saturday, have conceded two or more goals in each of their last five away league matches.

Ben Chilwell (£5.0m)

FPL ownership: 2.5%

Our championing of Leicester’s full-backs over the past few weeks has sounded like a broken record, particularly when it flies in the face of the Foxes’ defensive form: it is now nine Gameweeks since City registered a clean sheet in the Premier League.

Nevertheless, Brendan Rodgers’ side sit top of our Season Ticker for defence from Gameweeks 30-34 as they enjoy five fixtures against sides in the bottom half of the table.

The Foxes also have unaffected matches in Blank Gameweeks 31 and 33.

Despite their lack of shut-outs, Leicester are comfortably in the top half of the table for fewest goal attempts, shots in the box and big chances conceded over the last six Gameweeks – despite facing Liverpool, Spurs, Manchester United and free-scoring Crystal Palace in that time.

While those stats are to be taken with a pinch of salt due to the management change, only Manchester City allowed fewer goal attempts than Leicester in Rodgers’ first Gameweek in charge.

Much uncertainty surrounds which formation Rodgers will adopt going forward, but the hope from a Chilwell owner’s perspective is that the ex-Celtic boss continues with the wing-back system he used at Vicarage Road.

Chilwell, owned by 700,000 fewer FPL managers than Ricardo Pereira (£5.4m), ranked fifth among defenders for touches in the final third last weekend.

The Leicester left-back is joint-second among defenders for that statistic over the course of the season and fifth for chances created.

Fulham, Leicester’s opponents this weekend, have the second-worst record among Premier League sides for chances conceded from their right flank in 2018/19, meanwhile.

664 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Going to play TC in SGW, is Aguero this week a good shout?

    1. Henryyy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      Yes

    2. F4L
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      Salah next GW would be better

      1. Kind lost faith in Salah because of the last few games but you could be right..

    3. Greenbackbøøg…
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      yes

    4. tm370
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      Dont TC someone who is a rest risk. He likely starts but it's not set in stone

    5. Shineonme
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      No not imo. Is anyone sure he even starts and if he does how many mins will he get? No one knows only pep

  2. some witty pun
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 29 days ago

    A) Robertson + Brooks
    or
    B) Azpilicueta + Fraser

    Building for GW31 + GW33, FH32

    1. wolvesmad
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      A

  3. GinjaWhinja
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 29 days ago

    Which 1 to start from the following?

    - Keane (new)
    - Maddison (FUL)
    - Doherty (che)
    - Jota (che)

    (already have Jimenez playing)

    1. Rash
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      Madds

    2. Park the bus
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      definitely Maddison

    3. tm370
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      Why is this even a question....

    4. GinjaWhinja
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      Sense check & because his form hasnt been the best of late

  4. Rash
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 29 days ago

    Some help please on my team.

    Fab
    Robbo Schar Pereira
    Salah son Pogba Anderson
    Auba vardy Jimenez

    Etheridge dunk Doherty punch

    2ft .9itb will use FH in 32

    Auba to higuain obvious move but would you have double liv attack or defence?

    Thanks

    1. GinjaWhinja
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      I have had 2 LIV defence before their explosion in points, but given how most are moving to defence now, I would make the opposite move to the market. Go for attackers before they haul. I'd consider Son to Mané or Auba to Firmino for a significant differential.

      1. Moderately content penguin
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 29 days ago

        This

        It’s a good defence but I think the stats are slanted by the two derbies. Those sort of 0-0 games aren’t going to happen with Burnley and Fulham

    2. Rash
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      Thanks for both your inputs.

  5. Dynamic Duos
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 29 days ago

    G2G or Jimenez to King?

    Ederson
    Pereira TAA VVD
    Salah(c) Sterling(vc) Pogba Anderson Brooks
    Jimenez Higuain

    Boruc Doherty Barnes Bednerak

    Bottemed

    1. Rash
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      Gtg imo

    2. Longlatini
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      Would it be for a hit?

      1. Dynamic Duos
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 29 days ago

        No ft

  6. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 29 days ago

    A) will chelsea have dgw in gw32 ?
    B) boruc luiz or kepa clyne (kepa safe to start both games than luiz) ?

  7. subhojit123
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 29 days ago

    Hey guys.. Which combo looks good going forward -
    1. Jiminez, 4.3,son - king, Fraser, barnes
    2. Jiminez, 4.3,son - higuain, barnes, brooks
    3. Jiminez, 4.3, son - rondon Barnes, fraser

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      2

  8. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 29 days ago

    Ideal GW31 team? I currently have the following (might not be ideal) 🙂

    Fab
    TAA - Digne - Schar - Rice
    Salah - Mane - Anderson - Almiron
    Vardy

    1. Park the bus
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      yeh im going for Almiron. would probably have Robertson instead of TAA. Need Hazard imo. i will have instead of Digne. Bournemouth attack also needed. might go Barnes over Vardy tbh.

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 29 days ago

        Yeah, I think I’ll do Son & Kamara to Haz and King

        1. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 29 days ago

          Haz or king

    2. Gt1996
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      No idea what id say is ideal, but without using my Free Hit (using GW32) ive got

      Fab
      Robertson - Pereira - Clyne
      Salah - Mane - Hazard - McNeil
      Vardy - King - Rondon

      Potentially a full 11 if McNeil plays

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 29 days ago

        Nice

    3. Longlatini
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      I have the two ‘A’s’ in midfield too and I’m not full of confidence!

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 29 days ago

        Almiron has looked great. Will come good imo

        1. Longlatini
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 29 days ago

          Hope so!

          I’d like to start him this gw but it would be instead of Anderson, Pereria or Jiménez.
          Do you think he’s worth starting instead of any of those?

          1. RAFA THE GAFFA
            • 10 Years
            7 years, 29 days ago

            Over jimmy for sure!!!

            1. Longlatini
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              7 years, 29 days ago

              Hmmm, Wolves have generally done quite well against the top six sides though?

  9. Park the bus
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 29 days ago

    start Jimenez or Digne?

    1. ZeBestee
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      Jim

  10. MMN
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 29 days ago

    Good to go or would you adjust subs/captain?

    Guaita
    TAA, Luiz, Pereira
    Salah, Mane, Sterling (C), Fraser, Richa
    Jimi, Vardy

    Boruc, Doh, Barnes, Kiko

  11. Tsparkes10
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 29 days ago

    What do we think?

    Fab
    TAA Digne AWB VVD
    Pogba Salah Son Felipe A
    Vardy Rash
    (Jimi, Doh, Moutinho)

    Maybe start Jimi over AWB?

    Next week- Doherty, Son, Rash, Moutinho to Ake, Hazard, King/Wilson, Brooks (-12)

    1. Park the bus
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      i have same issue in that a lot of defenders with good fixtures. Digne AWB Pereira Robertson - should I play 4 at the back and sacrifice Jimenez? He has such high ownership it would be a killer if he got a haul

      1. Tsparkes10
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 29 days ago

        True... If I were to drop any then I'd drop AWB as think he's restricted to 7

  12. Don Kloppeone
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 29 days ago

    Armband Sterling or Salah?!

    I’m chasing

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      Sterling.

    2. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      Sterling

    3. Park the bus
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      same dilemma but i'm leading. 2 rivals will go Aguero for sure so think I need to go Sterling in case City score big.

    4. Don Kloppeone
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      Cheers lads

  13. Traction Engine Foot
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 29 days ago

    Should I play Camarasa over Kolasinac this week? Cardiff are terrible but as a Gooner I fear the worst.

    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      I think I would actually

    2. Don Kloppeone
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      Yeh I would

    3. Park the bus
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      yup

    4. Traction Engine Foot
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      Thanks guys

    5. Moderately content penguin
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      Think that decision will be made for you!

  14. denial
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 29 days ago

    Evening all.

    Jimenez out for King FT?

    Would lose .4 on him if choose to get for DGW

    1. Gentle_Turks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      I wouldn't. I'm holding him.

    2. TLF
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      I'm probably going to do it. Once blanks are done I imagine Jimenez price will have dropped a fair bit anyway. You decided on your captain ?

    3. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      I did it losing £0.3m but I would rather have King this week than Jimmy...

  15. Boruc or Schmeichel for 30,31 and 33? Money no object, no other Bou or Lei defenders.

    1. Park the bus
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      Schmeichel - 100% nailed you would think. Boruc could lose his place again with Begovic waiting.

      1. Dynamic Duos
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 29 days ago

        Rubbish

        1. tm370
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 29 days ago

          Schmeichel. Boruc could lose his place

        2. Park the bus
          • 14 Years
          7 years, 29 days ago

          bookmarked.

  16. Gentle_Turks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 29 days ago

    Anyone know if Guaita will start this weekend?

    1. Park the bus
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      can't see it after such a good result last week

      1. Gentle_Turks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 29 days ago

        Hennessey conceeded.

        1. Gentle_Turks
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 29 days ago

          ..a soft goal.

    2. AuFeld
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      IIRC, Guaita being benched was a tactical decision.

  17. grooveymatt65
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 29 days ago

    Lost on last page. Just need a second opinion for the below please guys!!!

    Fabianski Boruc

    Robertson Bednarek Digne Bennett Wan Bissaka

    Salah Son Anderson Pogba Hojberg

    Higuain Jiminez Vardy

    Got 1.9 itb and 1ft and options are:

    1. Son to Hazard and Jiminez to King for -4
    2. Son to Mane for free
    3. Son to Mane and Jiminez to King for -4
    4. Son to Mane and Jiminez to Barnes for -4
    5. Jiminez to King and Benett to Diop for -4 (and play Diop and Boruc)
    6. Save

    What do you think? Thanks!!!!!

  18. FDMS All Starz
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 29 days ago

    If you have 2FTs and you make 2 transfers and then decide to play FH chip, will those 2 transfers you made before playing the FH chip carry into the week after or will they be cancelled?

    1. FDMS All Starz
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      This can apply to 1 transfer too

    2. JIMMY TUGGINS
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      Transfers will be cancelled.

  19. CliveTilds
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 29 days ago

    Son > Hazard this week or next?

  20. Don Kloppeone
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 29 days ago

    Transfers done! G2G?

    Fab
    Robbo, TAA, Luiz, Pereira
    Salah (v), Sterling (C), Pogba, Maddison
    Higuain, Jimi
    (Hamer) (Barnes, JWP, Doherty)

    Cheers and good luck!

  21. CherryBoys
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 29 days ago

    Bench one:
    A. Jiménez (che)
    B. Almiron (EVE)

  22. Gentle_Turks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 29 days ago

    Boruc nailed?

  23. SuperMane Returns
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 29 days ago

    Hi folks, which option do you prefer? (I'm FH on GW32)

    (A) Mane Option
    -8 hit over GWs 30-31, gives 10 for GW31 & at least 8 for GW33....
    Schmeichel
    TAA Pereira Rice
    Salah Almiron Mane Brooks
    Vardy Rondon

    (B) - Hazard Option
    -12 hit over GWs 30-31, gives 11 for GW31 & at least 9 for GW33.....
    Schmeichel
    Trent Pereira Rice VVD
    Salah Almiron Hazard Brooks
    King(or Wilson) Rondon

    Thanks in advance 🙂

    1. AA33
        7 years, 29 days ago

        A with King 🙂

        1. SuperMane Returns
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 29 days ago

          Are you not concerned with the impact on King with Wilson coming back GW31?

    2. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      For next 3 GWS
      A - Rice
      B- Aké

      1. SuperMane Returns
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 29 days ago

        A

      2. Raybigblue
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 29 days ago

        I'm going Rice more of a goal threat and Bournemouth look a bit leaky at the mo

    3. Maddamotha
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      Which one?

      A) Højbjerg > Brooks
      B) Son, Kamara > Vardy, Brooks -4
      C) Son > Mane

      1. panda07
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 29 days ago

        It depends on how many blank GW players you have already. If you're not going to get 11 out I'd go for B

    4. Tsparkes10
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      1. Jamie Vardy okay for weekend?
      2. Mane or VVD
      3. Play Jimi or AWB

      Cheers 🙂

      1. panda07
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 29 days ago

        Yes, Mane, AWB

    5. Mackans
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      Doherty to Pereira this week? I will Free Hit GW 32 but will lose 0.5 in value

      1. panda07
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 29 days ago

        I don't think Pereira is worth losing 0.5 personally, look at his returns for the last while

    6. panda07
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 29 days ago

      Which forward would you go for?

      A) Vardy
      B) Higuain

      1. ManUtdFan977
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 28 days ago

        vardy

    7. And nothing else Mata'…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 28 days ago

      Will Nemanja Matic play?
      If still out im tempted to bench Pogba in favor of Jimenez.

      Anyy thoughts on the move?

      1. ManUtdFan977
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 28 days ago

        no matic wont play

      2. Poseidon.
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 28 days ago

        Yes Matic will start

    8. ManUtdFan977
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 28 days ago

      option a
      auba>>aguero + jota>>brooks
      option b
      auba>>kane + salah>>mane