Spot the Differential
13 September 2019 2221 comments
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Now that the first international break of the season is out of the way, it’s time to make those all-important FPL decisions once again.

Differentials continue to play a part in that as we prepare for Gameweek 5.

Last time out there was more success for this column as David Silva delivered the goods with two nifty assists in Manchester City’s win over Brighton for a 10-point haul.

Is there another player with his quality waiting to be snapped up? Here are three low-owned players worth considering for Gameweek 5…

Manuel Lanzini 

Lanzini has been West Ham’s most creative player so far this season

Price: £6.5m

Ownership: 3.3% 

GW5 Opponent: Aston Villa (A)

It is no coincidence that West Ham’s attack struggled at times last season with Manuel Lanzini (£6.5m) sidelined by a long-term injury.

Now fully fit, the Argentinian has started all four of the Hammers league games since August. 

For players priced at £6.5m or less, Lanzini is ranked joint seventh for final third touches (85). Due to his involvement with set pieces, he also averages 27 minutes for every chance created, which at present is better than the likes of Mason Mount (36 minutes) and Todd Cantwell (44 minutes).

With Sébastian Haller in-form up top, the expectation is for Lanzini to potentially increase his output of assists. 

But he’s also more than capable of scoring, having netted 19 Premier League goals during his first three seasons for West Ham. 

 Dare I say it, is he a bandwagon waiting to happen? His next opponents are an Aston Villa team that have only kept one clean sheet this season having conceded more shots than any other side so far. 

West Ham will relish such an encounter considering their recent goal-scoring run and without a doubt, Lanzini should be key to their attack on Monday night.

Son Heung-min

Son Heung-min (right) has been an overlooked Spurs asset after the first four Gameweeks

Price: £9.5m

Ownership: 2.7% 

GW5 Opponent: Crystal Palace (H)

It’s surprising to think that a player with 38 goals and 25 assists over the last three Premier League seasons is owned by only a handful of Fantasy managers right now. 

Then again, Son Heung-min (£9.5m) was suspended for the first two games of the campaign. 

Tottenham have had a mixed and unsettled start to 2019/20. Son’s absence did not prevent them from scoring goals in their opening two matches but they certainly missed his energy up top. 

Since his return to first-team action, he has already registered eight shots on goal, four of which were on target.

Son’s assist in Gameweek 4, winning a penalty for his team, could be an indication of what is to come. 

He hasn’t scored so far, but based on his pedigree it won’t be long until he finds the back of the net again. 

Tottenham’s next Premier League opponents are Crystal Palace and Son has scored three goals in five competitive games against them. 

Having said that, he was playing in a World Cup qualifier in Central Asia on Tuesday night which could put him at a slight risk of rotation for Gameweek 5.

After all, Mauricio Pochettino hasn’t been afraid on occasion to bench the South Korean immediately after previous international breaks. 

That’s the only concern with buying Son right now. But can Tottenham afford any more slip-ups? If he’s fully fit I see no reason why he won’t start on Saturday.

Danny Ings

Danny Ings has two attacking returns to his name so far this season

Price: £6.0m

Ownership: 2.2% 

GW5 Opponent: Sheffield United (A)

It’s fair to say that there’s not been a strong collective desire to buy Southampton’s players over the past two seasons. 

They are no longer a source of reliable clean sheets and it has also been hard to trust their attacking assets either.

The Saints’ fixtures since August haven’t exactly helped their cause either, having faced Liverpool and Manchester United in short succession. 

In spite of these challenges. Danny Ings (£6.0m) has scored a goal and chipped in with an assist. 

The forward has started three games so far and for forwards priced at £6.0m or less he has played the fifth-highest amount of minutes since Gameweek 1.

Of course, Ings hasn’t been playing 90 minutes per game regularly since 2015 as a result of serious injuries and squad management. 

But last season he averaged a Fantasy return (goal or assist) for every 165 minutes played. That’s fairly commendable for a cheap priced and low owned player. 

Having said that, Che Adams will certainly give him competition up top, but he has yet to score or assist in the Premier League and has also missed more big chances than any other player so far. 

Southampton next face a Sheffield United team that has conceded four goals in their last two games which bodes well for Ings as he seeks to add to his goal-scoring tally.

2,221 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Differential C (Mark)
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 11 months ago

    Laca injury means Auba plays centrally, right?

    1. Gudjohnsen
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Yes

      1. Differential C (Mark)
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers!

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Oh yes!

    3. Salah’s Sonnet
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      No, in defence

    4. Brosstan
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Maybe Pepe up top

  2. Emiliano Sala
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 11 months ago

    No pressers for poch?

    1. Rainer
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Yesterday.

  3. Brosstan
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 11 months ago

    Play one

    A) Lord Lundstram, attacking midfielder defender extraordinaire
    B) Zinchenko facing the Finnish clean sheet destroyer

    1. Emiliano Sala
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Beasy

  4. Markus
    • 17 Years
    6 years, 11 months ago

    Anyone point to any analysis of Auba returns up front vs on the wing?

    Surely this lacazette news is good for him, Pepe and Ceballos all which now look like decent options?

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Which laca news ?

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 11 months ago

        Just saw.

      2. Emiliano Sala
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 11 months ago

        Out for a month

    2. Christina.
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      get Markus. Thank me later.

      1. Markus
        • 17 Years
        6 years, 11 months ago

        Over 0.7xg90 vs less than 0.5xg90 at lw - it would mean throwing caution to the wind n go for the auba/pepe double up and move on Salah - team looks sexy tho

    3. Limbo
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Hope so, kept faith with Ceballos and they have a good run now.

    4. AndyCook
      6 years, 11 months ago

      I don’t think it will impact Ceballos, he’s not likely to play wide

      1. AndyCook
        6 years, 11 months ago

        I guess if you consider Ozil his competition he might play wide and that would help but it seems more likely to be someone else

        1. AndyCook
          6 years, 11 months ago

          I’ve changed my mind thinking about options, he should start in a different formation

        2. Markus
          • 17 Years
          6 years, 11 months ago

          They could play 4312 with pepe and Auba up front, I'm pretty sure they played that vs Liverpool?

          1. Dr. Agabuse
            • 13 Years
            6 years, 11 months ago

            Yeah 41212 but that was ultra defensive and just for the speed of Pepe and Uba on counter. Wont be done again unless City or Pool are bein played.
            Its gonna be 4213 for the easier fixtures and Nelson Ozil Ceballos are vying for 2spots there.

  5. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 11 months ago

    Really want KDB, so Moura >> KDB
    Best hit to fund it??

    VvD >>
    A. Lowton
    B. Soyuncu

    Pope
    TAA • Digne • VvD • Zinch
    Salah • Sterling • Mount • Moura
    Pukki • Haller
    (Heaton, Greenwood, Dendonk, Rico)

    1. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      A

      1. Hansel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 11 months ago

        Or Lundstram

        1. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • 10 Years
          6 years, 11 months ago

          Hmm. Ok thanks

  6. Brosstan
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 11 months ago

    Why do United supporters call McTominay "McSauce"? Sounds very dumb, is it something reddit came up with?

    1. Rainer
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Because he's the brightest young English talent they have, after #JLingz.

    2. BoomXhakaLaca1
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      You could've just commented on my post like lmao, it's just a joke nickname that fans call him

  7. Dacra
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 11 months ago

    Crazy to have neither Sterling or Aguero in WC team?

    Pope (4.0)
    TAA - Digne - Otamendi (Soyuncu, Lund)
    Salah - Kdb - James - Mount (Cantwell)
    Haller - Pukki - Auba

    0.5itb

    1. Salah’s Sonnet
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Yes crazy

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      This week it will hurt so much

    3. Beatle
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Yes crazy

    4. Rolls-Royce
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Can't have em' all.

    5. Wakanda
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      James not a good option with their pivot gone imo

      1. Brosstan
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 11 months ago

        6.1m nailed player in an attacking team can seldom be a bad option

    6. Chester Pepperpot
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      I don't have either :/

  8. Hitmonlee
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 11 months ago

    This decision is doing my head in! Advice really appreciated..

    Ryan
    TAA / Lund / Digne / AWB*
    Mane / KDB / Sterling / Mount
    Pukki / Barnes / Greenwood*
    (Fodder bench)

    Do I:

    A) AWB > Ota
    B) Greenwood > Abraham
    C) Greenwood > Haller (-4)

    C means altering one of my 4.5 fodder players (Mohamady)

    Thank you

    1. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      C

  9. simong1
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 11 months ago

    Is Martial & AWB > Cantwell & TAA a good move for a -4? Would use the extra funds next GW to do Jota > Haller

    Pope - Button
    AWB - VVD - Digne - Zinchenko - Lundstram
    Sterling (c) - KDB - Salah - Martial - Dendocker
    Pukki - Jota - Greenwood.

  10. Bruno Bruno!!
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 11 months ago

    Kane to Aubameyang for a hit, given the Lacazette injury news

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Not for me

    2. Limbo
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Absolutely not.

    3. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      nah

    4. Pep Pig
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      I hear what you're saying mate. I think if you did that you'd have to make him captain. Kane could easily bag this weekend which would put me off taking a hit for it though. If I already owned Auba though I'd be rubbing my hands

    5. Salah’s Sonnet
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      I would

    6. kennethrhcp
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Kane... out for a hit with great fixtures... belt away ya

  11. ☈☾
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 11 months ago

    Martial will definitely drop tonight?

    1. Rainer
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      His price is being held it seems.

    2. Rolls-Royce
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      More likely he'll drop his pants.

      1. JonBoy
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 11 months ago

        I'm sure he does that every day unless he washes in them.

      2. Wakanda
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 11 months ago

        Expecting a double drop in next 2 days

  12. Hect.OR 98th
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 11 months ago

    Martial to Ceballos for a hit? Alternatives are Greenwood or Dendoncker off the bench.

    1. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Would not get in a player uncertain to start for a hit - get someone else IMO!

      1. Greenbackbøøg…
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 11 months ago

        Ceballos will start for sure

        1. Hansel
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          6 years, 11 months ago

          I think the fact he did not start last GW brings some doubt to the for sure part of that statement

    2. Rainer
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Will Ceballos even start?

    3. Dr. Agabuse
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Ceballos very likely to start but not assured like James Mount Lanzini.
      Wouldnt for a hit
      Debatin DIlva for a 2week punt myself. But could be on the wrong side of the CL

    4. Dr. Agabuse
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Could be that after last year in Watford where we won against ten but played bad and just held on, he'll want to play Nelson on the counter and Willock or Guendouzi with Torreira and Xhaka.
      Or he goes Ozil.

      Its a likely start but I'd give it time. Just like Pepe, we'll have to be patient, despite the prime fixtures.
      Auba on the other hand...

  13. Differential C (Mark)
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 11 months ago

    Sooo, I might actually play Greenwood over Coleman xD.
    Martial out, Lingard doubt, Pogba out . . . . Surely he'll start? Pereira did not give a good impression last week imo for a return to the XI.

  14. AC Pilkington
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 11 months ago

    Is Fraser showing any signs of being even a tiny bit worth his cheaper 7.3m pricetag?

    Can't quite stretch to Callum WIlson

    1. have you seen cyan
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      is Fraser now playing LWB?

  15. DontPiqueTooSoon
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 11 months ago

    Salah or Sterling for captain this week? Salah safer option at home and rested over ITB however Sterling more chance of explosive returns but might suffer from Pep roulette. Captain calls

  16. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 11 months ago

    Anderson or Lanzini?

    1. Salah’s Sonnet
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Lancer

  17. Emiliano Sala
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 11 months ago

    You guys think poch will start eriksen or drop him?

    1. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Start

    2. Brosstan
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Poch wants the team to gel without Eriksen as he wont be there for long. Understandably but its not been working out so far.

      1. Emiliano Sala
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 11 months ago

        That's what I'm worried about. But spurs hasn't done well so he will most likely start?

        1. have you seen cyan
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 11 months ago

          Eriksen has to start, look at them without him

  18. MEGPAL
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 11 months ago

    So I believe my starting 11 for this week is the template 11;

    Pope
    TAA Digne Lundstram
    Sterling Mane KDB Cantwell
    Haller Pukki Barnes

    I'm slightly disgusted that it's as template as this.

    1. Salah’s Sonnet
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      KDB and Salah missing from template

      1. MEGPAL
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 11 months ago

        Just Salah I guess. Mane is equally template tbf

        1. Salah’s Sonnet
          • 15 Years
          6 years, 11 months ago

          So far.....

    2. AndyCook
      6 years, 11 months ago

      It’s ok, you don’t have Salah

    3. JonBoy
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      VVD is the most owned player in the game. Then Sterling and Salah, so you can tell yourself it's not all that template.

    4. davidfromkent
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Anyone who hasn't read this piece by FPL General should, all this constant referral to the template kind of gets you down, i pick my own team, i don't care what others are doing, if its template then fine, if its not then fine at least i am happy i am making decisions for myself. Give it a read.

      https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2019/09/12/how-to-handle-the-emerging-template-ahead-of-gameweek-5/

      1. jacklfc88
        • 16 Years
        6 years, 11 months ago

        You little independent soul you

        1. davidfromkent
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          6 years, 11 months ago

          Why the sarcasm, I still use the site in many ways and listen to all the scoutcasts as well as pay membership, I just let them vindicate my decisions.

    5. Wakanda
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Cantwell not really template... in fact impossible to be template if double Norwich

    6. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Just missing Salah really.

  19. bixie11
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 11 months ago

    Ryan, pope
    VVD, Digne, Lundstram, AWB, Aarons
    Salah, Sterling, Mount, Martial, Trossard
    Pukki, Wesley, Haller

    With AWB, Martial, Trossard and Aarons out 1 FT and 0,3 Itb is this a wildcard moment? Or transfer Martial far Silva/Richarlison and wildcard tomorrow for next gw?

  20. jaguar shark
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 11 months ago

    Surely King to Haller for -4 is crazy, right??

    1. have you seen cyan
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      not really, dont think Bournemouth will get much vs Everton and well West Ham have Villa

    2. Rainer
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Only if Bournemouth get a pen.

    3. FPL Mentor
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      More risky than crazy. Bournemouth has fixtures and King could do well over next 5, although Haller has the form and some good fixtures too. Tough call. I would personally lean towards Haller out of the two.

      Is there anyone else you can bring Haller in for?

      1. jaguar shark
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 11 months ago

        Pukki and Barnes next to him...

  21. FPL Mentor
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 11 months ago

    Which pair do you think will score most points over the next 5 gameweeks?

    A. Kane & Hayden
    B. Auba & Hayden
    C. C.Wilson & Fraser

    Already have Salah & Sterling for captaincy options, leaning towards C.

    Thoughts?

  22. jia you
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 11 months ago

    This is a public apology to Christina!
    Just reading the news on Laca now...Auba way well be a must yet if ARS kick into gear!

    1. Markus
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      A drop tonight for all the transfers to aguero would be cherry on the cake!

    2. Dr. Agabuse
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Why do you have to apologise for an injury?
      Surely it just resets the Argument

  23. Baines on Toast...
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 11 months ago

    I wish I could pick 5 City players

    Daniel Farke on Manchester City: "My feeling is that if you just park the bus then you have no chance against them. If I'm honest, even if I would want to, I can't park the bus because I have no defensive players any more."

    1. FPL Scoop
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      oof

    2. Dr. Agabuse
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Wow. Good news for Pukki owners

      1. Dr. Agabuse
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 11 months ago

        Lol

    3. The 12th Man
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      The Mahrez show.

  24. Rocky FPL
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 11 months ago

    Which one you would rather have on a WC
    A) Ceballos, VVD
    B) Cantwell, TAA
    Can rotate Cantwell or Ceballos with Soyuncu.

    1. FPL Mentor
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      B

    2. JonBoy
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      A.

  25. borko
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 11 months ago

    Sterling or pepe for cap. ?

    1. FPL Mentor
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Sterling

  26. SADIO SANÉ
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 11 months ago

    which team this week? 😀

    A) Heaton
    TAA VVD Montoya Lundstram
    Salah Sterling KDB (Cantwell)
    Haller Pukki Ayew

    B) Ryan
    TAA AMN Lundstram (Guilbert)
    Salah Mane Mahrez D.Silva Robinson
    Jesus C.Wilson

    1. Annie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      the one with Aguero

  27. Manani
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 11 months ago

    Greenwood> 4.4
    Jota>Barnes

    OR

    Stones>4.5 (can also downgrade VVD for fund)
    Jota>Haller

  28. The Wizard of Ozil
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 11 months ago

    Otamendi or Stones?

    1. Dr. Agabuse
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Check Otas threat

  29. RangerMouse
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 11 months ago

    Best midfield option with 8.2 to spend?

    1. Zimo
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      David Silva

    2. have you seen cyan
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Maybe Richarlison if you feeling lucky

    3. Rocky FPL
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Richarlison?

    4. Zimo
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      Or a Leicester mid. Maybe Tielemans. I dunno why i dont trust maddison

  30. Niho992
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 11 months ago

    Hi fellas. 1 FT and 1.3 ITB

    Ederson
    Van Dijk-Robbo-Digne
    Mcginn-Mount-Sterling-Salah(C)-Lanzini
    King-Haller

    Button-Greenwood-Lundstram-Rico

    GTG ? Or something to change and what ?

    THX in advance !

    1. weaver93
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 11 months ago

      king - barnes