FPL Gameweek 28: Analysis of the key underlying stats

FPL GW33 Scout Picks - Final Selection

Darlow

O’Reilly
Senesi
Struijk

Semenyo
Bruno Fernandes
Tavernier
Palmer

João Pedro
Welbeck
Haaland

Dubravka
van Hecke
Hill
Okafor

GW34 Transfers Poll

Price Change Predictions

Risers

Fallers

Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Mateta	CRY	7.5m	97.3%	Likely
Thiago	BRE	7.3m	88.4%	Maybe
Darlow	LEE	3.9m	93.2%	Unlikely
Aaronson	LEE	5.4m	92.7%	Unlikely
Struijk	LEE	4.3m	90.0%	Unlikely
Semenyo	MCI	8.2m	92.3%	Unlikely
Mitchell	CRY	5.0m	88.3%	Unlikely
Justin	LEE	3.9m	81.4%	Unlikely
Gibbs-White	NFO	7.4m	78.5%	Unlikely
Igor Jesus	NFO	5.8m	77.9%	Unlikely
Tavernier	BOU	5.4m	73.3%	Unlikely
Aït-Nouri	MCI	5.7m	73.0%	Unlikely
Wan-Bissaka	WHU	4.1m	72.2%	Unlikely
Alderete	SUN	4.1m	71.4%	Unlikely
Leno	FUL	4.9m	70.6%	Unlikely
Mavropanos	WHU	4.4m	69.2%	Unlikely
Verbruggen	BHA	4.5m	70.9%	Unlikely
Gomez	BHA	4.9m	70.5%	Unlikely
Okafor	LEE	5.5m	68.5%	Unlikely
Frimpong	LIV	5.7m	65.9%	Unlikely
Groß	BHA	5.5m	63.7%	Unlikely
Truffert	BOU	4.7m	60.7%	Unlikely
Beto	EVE	5.0m	55.3%	Unlikely
Bijol	LEE	3.9m	60.6%	Unlikely
Gakpo	LIV	7.3m	58.3%	Unlikely
Richards	CRY	4.4m	58.1%	Unlikely
Ngumoha	LIV	4.3m	57.6%	Unlikely
Sarr	CRY	6.3m	54.2%	Unlikely
Shaw	MUN	4.5m	53.2%	Unlikely
Minteh	BHA	5.5m	52.0%	Unlikely
Aina	NFO	4.7m	50.4%	Unlikely
Mukiele	SUN	4.5m	41.9%	Unlikely
Damsgaard	BRE	5.6m	46.3%	Unlikely
Kelleher	BRE	4.8m	44.9%	Unlikely
Bassey	FUL	4.4m	44.3%	Unlikely
F.Kadıoğlu	BHA	4.4m	43.3%	Unlikely
M.Fernandes	WHU	5.5m	41.7%	Unlikely
Ødegaard	ARS	7.8m	41.1%	Unlikely
Ndiaye	EVE	6.2m	39.1%	Unlikely
Robinson	FUL	4.9m	40.2%	Unlikely

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Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Mbeumo	MUN	8.5m	99.3%	Likely
Merino	ARS	5.4m	100.1%	Very Likely
McAidoo	MCI	4.5m	99.8%	Maybe
Dalot	MUN	4.6m	99.4%	Maybe
Tchaouna	BUR	4.8m	96.5%	Maybe
Piroe	LEE	4.9m	94.9%	Maybe
Emenalo	CHE	4.5m	94.1%	Unlikely
Longstaff	LEE	4.8m	93.2%	Unlikely
Salmon	ARS	4.0m	87.1%	Unlikely
Mayenda	SUN	5.2m	91.8%	Unlikely
Slonina	CHE	3.9m	89.6%	Unlikely
Cullen	BUR	4.9m	89.2%	Unlikely
Garner	EVE	5.3m	90.9%	Unlikely
Grealish	EVE	6.3m	88.6%	Unlikely
Johnson	CRY	6.5m	87.5%	Unlikely
Reijnders	MCI	5.0m	86.9%	Unlikely
Saliba	ARS	6.1m	88.1%	Unlikely
J.Timber	ARS	6.2m	82.8%	Unlikely
Trafford	MCI	4.5m	84.6%	Unlikely
Szoboszlai	LIV	7.1m	85.6%	Unlikely
Gyökeres	ARS	8.8m	89.8%	Unlikely
Mac Allister	LIV	6.3m	82.6%	Unlikely
Van den Berg	BRE	4.6m	81.8%	Unlikely
John	NFO	4.0m	78.8%	Unlikely
Andrey Santos	CHE	4.5m	76.6%	Unlikely
Mee	MUN	3.9m	77.4%	Unlikely
Martinez	AVL	5.1m	77.6%	Unlikely
Cairns	LEE	3.9m	73.9%	Unlikely
Steele	BHA	4.2m	73.2%	Unlikely
Mané	WOL	4.3m	70.9%	Unlikely
Ebere	EVE	4.4m	70.5%	Unlikely
Dorgu	MUN	4.1m	69.4%	Unlikely
Byfield	TOT	4.0m	66.7%	Unlikely
Schade	BRE	7.0m	68.2%	Unlikely
Estève	BUR	3.9m	68.5%	Unlikely
Mainoo	MUN	4.7m	69.0%	Unlikely
Webster	BHA	4.4m	67.6%	Unlikely
Kilman	WHU	4.1m	66.7%	Unlikely
Lamadrid	WHU	5.0m	64.9%	Unlikely
Amissah	FUL	3.8m	65.5%	Unlikely

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FPL Fixture Ticker

Watchlists

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Donnarumma	MCI	C
No Change	Verbruggen	BHA	B, Vs
No Change	Raya Martin	ARS	B
No Change	Darlow	LEE	B, Vs, £
No Change	Petrovic	BOU	B
No Change	Henderson	CRY	C

Last updated: 16 Apr, 2026 10:18pm

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	O’Reilly	MCI	A
No Change	Gabriel Magalhães	ARS	A
No Change	van Hecke	BHA	B, Vs
No Change	Hill	BOU	B, £
No Change	Struijk	LEE	B, Vs, £
No Change	Lacroix	CRY	A, Inj
No Change	van Dijk	LIV	C
No Change	Thiaw	NEW	C
No Change	Cash	AVL	C

Last updated: 17 Apr, 2026 12:20pm

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Bruno Fernandes	MUN	A
No Change	Semenyo	MCI	B
No Change	Palmer	CHE	B
No Change	Tavernier	BOU	C, £
No Change	Ismaila Sarr	CRY	A
No Change	Gordon	NEW	A
No Change	Rice	ARS	C
No Change	Rogers	AVL	C
No Change	Anderson	NFO	B, £
No Change	Szoboszlai	LIV	A
No Change	Wilson	FUL	B
No Change	Hinshelwood	BHA	C, Vs, £

Last updated: 17 Apr, 2026 8:11pm

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Haaland	MCI	C
No Change	João Pedro	CHE	A
No Change	Welbeck	BHA	B, Vs
No Change	Calvert-Lewin	LEE	C, Vs
No Change	Bowen	WHU	A
No Change	Thiago	BRE	A

Last updated: 17 Apr, 2026 8:13pm

Big Numbers

27 February 2020 2311 comments

Skonto Rigga

Our Big Numbers piece returns as we take a look at the vast array of data available in our Members’ Area and present the eye-catching statistics that may be of interest.

We’ve run down the stand-out figures in every position, as well as looking at the strengths and weaknesses of various teams to assess which Fantasy Premier League assets could shine in Blank Gameweek 28 and beyond.

With this feature using stats from our Members Area, only subscribers can read on.

Those wishing to sign up to our site and continue reading – as well as seeing a list of the benefits that membership brings – can do so by clicking here.

Rolling monthly subscriptions are now available for £2.99, while half-season memberships (expiring on June 1) can be bought for £9.99. Click here to sign up or upgrade your account.

This content is restricted to Chief Scout Members. Click here to register and get access to industry-leading stats from Opta and StatsBomb including Defensive Contributions data, the Rate My Team tool, Points Projections, 150+ Member-only articles, exclusive Team Reveals, a customisable Season Ticker, two Transfer Planners... and more!

2,311 Comments Login to Post a Comment

jason_ni
6 years, 1 month ago
Omg.. var what the hell.
When does if a keeper will save it, come into a red card decision for goal scoring denial.
Absolute joke.
If a player is brought down as last man, and denies a goal scoring opportunity, when have they ever thought, oh, maybe the gk would have saved it!?
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1. FPL Blow-In
  6 years, 1 month ago
  I figured they were checking to see if it was on target but even then who cares that’s as blatant as you will ever get!!
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2. Pukki Party
  6 years, 1 month ago
  Not sure why they checked that tbh
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TAT
6 years, 1 month ago
My initial plan this GW was Firmino+Traoré > DCL+Mané (-4), but the Martial injury makes things diddicult. What would you do with this team? 3.0 itb.

McCarthy
TAA - Fernandéz - Boly - Stephens
Martial - Salah - Traoré
Jiménez - Ings - Firmino
(Henderson - Hayden - Stevens - KDB)
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1. TAT
  6 years, 1 month ago
  difficult*
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2. Pukki Party
  6 years, 1 month ago
  I'd like a Leicester plyer for their run, but i guess you have to sell one of Martial or Traore.
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  1. TAT
    6 years, 1 month ago
    Yes, I've briefly thought of that, but Leicester's form worries me a bit. Could do Traoré+Martial to Barnes+Fernandes for a hit, but that means keeping Firmino.
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    1. Pukki Party
      6 years, 1 month ago
      I like those transfers.
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      1. TAT
        6 years, 1 month ago
        They look like alright transfers. Not being able to get Mané/dropping Firmino is an issue though.
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        Pukki Party
        6 years, 1 month ago
        no easy way to get Mane this week for you.
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        TAT
        6 years, 1 month ago
        It certainly isn't! If only I had picked Fernandes instead of Martial last week…
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Pukki Party
6 years, 1 month ago
Thiughts here? Assuming there wont be a dgw next week so making the transfers on friday. Selling KDB for next 5 and going from 4 at the back to a 343.

McC
TAA Holgate Fernandez Boly
Salah Mane Moura Cantwell
Vardy Deeney

4.0 Greenwood Kdb Lundstram

A)KDB, Greenwood to Jimenez, Mooy (Lord to Pereira next week)

B) KDB, Greenwood to Jimenez, Barnes (Lord to Baldock next week)

C) KDB, Moura, Greenwood to Mount, Maddison, Jimenez -4 (Lord to baldock)
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1. Bobby Digital
  6 years, 1 month ago
  I think you should get Pukki or change username 🙂
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2. Tsparkes10
  6 years, 1 month ago
  B but not sure on Baldock with the fixtures.
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  1. Pukki Party
    6 years, 1 month ago
    Thanks, have 5 playing defs so no problem.
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Teahupo'o
6 years, 1 month ago
Fpls is down. Any other good price sites?
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1. Pukki Party
  6 years, 1 month ago
  Only one i trust
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*Reformed-Character*
6 years, 1 month ago
Hi Guys - Would you be tempted to go DCL to Vardy for free?

Thanks.
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1. Pukki Party
  6 years, 1 month ago
  Yes i'd do that
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2. Totti
  6 years, 1 month ago
  no
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3. The Knights Template
  6 years, 1 month ago
  Yes
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4. dunas_dog
  6 years, 1 month ago
  No
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5. The 12th Man
  6 years, 1 month ago
  No
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Totti
6 years, 1 month ago
any news on martial injury?

sell or keep
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1. The Knights Template
  6 years, 1 month ago
  Not aware if any news, therefore sell while squealing in a high-pitched voice.
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Tsparkes10
6 years, 1 month ago
Hendo, Martial to Patricio, Barnes?

Leaves 2.5m itb to upgrade Cantwell next gw
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Atimis
6 years, 1 month ago
Any info on possible prices changes tonight?
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FPL Blow-In
6 years, 1 month ago
Ighalo essential
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1. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
  6 years, 1 month ago
  Don’t play 10 man Brugge every week
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Team Cruel
6 years, 1 month ago
Can't see Martial getting back into this team even if fit
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1. FPL_DON
  6 years, 1 month ago
  haha surely this is a joke
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  1. FPL Pillars
    6 years, 1 month ago
    yup, he'll never be fully fit!
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Brosstan
6 years, 1 month ago
Does this VAR decision mean that if a defender handballs and its Kepa or Bravo in goal, its a red card, but if its Allison or Henderson its not?
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1. Gamst - Up (?) the Rovers
  6 years, 1 month ago
  Why did they take so long with Migs?
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Fred54
6 years, 1 month ago
Igoalo!
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HNI
6 years, 1 month ago
Bruno Fernandes is central to Manutd attack. A sub 8mn talisman for a top 4 challenger looks no brainer. Glad he wasnt over priced inspite of his good record in Portuguese league
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1. Syd.
  6 years, 1 month ago
  Not going to jump on that bandwagon quite yet. I will be keeping an eye on him over the next 5 PL fixtures to see how he cuts it against better opposition.
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  1. Atimis
    6 years, 1 month ago
    Yeah wait till the next season
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    1. Brosstan
      6 years, 1 month ago
      He will be 12m + next season. Get him while hes cheap
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  2. Johnny Drama
    6 years, 1 month ago
    Those 5 GWs will cost you
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    1. Syd.
      6 years, 1 month ago
      That is a risk I am prepared to take better value to be had elsewhere
      
      Everton (A)
      Man City (H)
      Spurs (A)
      Sheff Utd (H)
      Brighton (A)
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FPL Blow-In
6 years, 1 month ago
So now I can definitely keep Greenwood and hope for the best due to the Martial news ?
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Je suis le chat
6 years, 1 month ago
Bruno is making it easy for me, binning Grealish for him later.
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Hitmonlee
6 years, 1 month ago
Anyone watching Utd? It’s literally the Fernandes show. Wow
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1. Brosstan
  6 years, 1 month ago
  Fred show*
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2. Je suis le chat
  6 years, 1 month ago
  Goals are coming easily since he arrived.
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3. Johnny Drama
  6 years, 1 month ago
  He is just a great player. Impressive that one player alone can make such a big difference.
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4. I Member
  6 years, 1 month ago
  It's 10 man Brugge...
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  1. Hitmonlee
    6 years, 1 month ago
    Might be 10 men but you can clearly see that he’s pure quality
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Teahupo'o
6 years, 1 month ago
Would you lose Traore or Mahrez (only City player) for Bruno?
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HP18
6 years, 1 month ago
Good evening all,

Which looks best?

A) Doherty, Mount & Auba
or
B) Saiss, Mane & DCL
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1. *Reformed-Character*
  6 years, 1 month ago
  A over the next 5
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  1. HP18
    6 years, 1 month ago
    Hmm okay, Wol/Che/Ars fixtures do all look good
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2. The VAR Team
  6 years, 1 month ago
  B
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  1. HP18
    6 years, 1 month ago
    Already have Salah obviously, still B?
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The VAR Team
6 years, 1 month ago
Evening all, anyone know when we will know about possible double in GW29?
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1. Syd.
  6 years, 1 month ago
  I personally can't see it happening
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pjanns
6 years, 1 month ago
Im really tempted to do:
Martial —> Bruno Fernandes.

He really looks good!
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FPL ZB
6 years, 1 month ago
Maddison or Barnes? One is coming in for Martial and I’m so torn as to who
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1. The VAR Team
  6 years, 1 month ago
  B for me
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2. Atimis
  6 years, 1 month ago
  Maddison let me down big time this season, I will gamble on Barnes
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3. Syd.
  6 years, 1 month ago
  Maddison
  
  He is now 7.4 and is nailed unlike the other options
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4. dunas_dog
  6 years, 1 month ago
  Barnes
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  1. Rinseboy
    6 years, 1 month ago
    captain this week Dunas?!
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valurth
6 years, 1 month ago
2ft
1. Martial + Grealish > Fernandes + Mount / Barnes
2. DeBruyne > Fernandes

Have 11 players with Martial so one of Martial, Grealish, DeBruyne have to go
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1. Johnny Drama
  6 years, 1 month ago
  1 ofc what the heck
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  1. Deeney-is-a-god
    6 years, 1 month ago
    Haha, completely agree
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2. FPLtfs
  6 years, 1 month ago
  Fernandes, bad fixtures and blank in 31 most likely?
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FPL Scoop
6 years, 1 month ago
Martial to Fernandes the easy move with my FT now?

Any other cheaper alternative picks?

Bench of Hayden/Boly Rico this week with KDB’s blank
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1. Totti
  6 years, 1 month ago
  richarlison
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Fpl Richie
6 years, 1 month ago
Have Dendoncker and Holgate on my bench (only Kdb doesn't play).
Any of these worthwhile?
A. Traore to Barnes
B. Martial to Fernandes/Richarlison
C. Holgate to R James
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g40steve
6 years, 1 month ago
Play Troare or one of Taylor or Boly?
Not confident Traore gets 60+
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Mortal.Swinbat
6 years, 1 month ago
A) Aguero & Grealish > Vardy & Richarlison

B) Aguero & Grealish > Vardy & Fernandes

C) Aguero, Grealish & Fleck > Jota, Richarlison & Fernandes (-4 & Jiminez double up)

D) Aguero, Grealish & Fleck > DCL, Richarlison & Fernandes (-4)

Cheers
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1. Hitmonlee
  6 years, 1 month ago
  C
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The Fantasy Doctor
6 years, 1 month ago
Grealish and Martial to Fernandes and Barnes (-4). Slight put off by Man Utd fixtures but he’s looked amazing. Also wanted to traverse GW31 with FT.
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1. Gamst - Up (?) the Rovers
  6 years, 1 month ago
  Got Fernandes in as well. Can't be overlooked.
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2. valurth
  6 years, 1 month ago
  Barnes rather than Mount, why? Looking at same transfers, i.e. Grealish + Martial out
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  1. The Fantasy Doctor
    6 years, 1 month ago
    For -4? I’ve been hit averse so far this season which has served me well.
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  2. The Fantasy Doctor
    6 years, 1 month ago
    Prefer Leicester fixtures.
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Gamst - Up (?) the Rovers
6 years, 1 month ago
Vardy or TAA captain?
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1. g40steve
  6 years, 1 month ago
  Trent, another biggie coming.
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TheDragon
6 years, 1 month ago
Leicester midfielders. How nailed are the following:

A) Perez
B) Tielemans
C) Barnes
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gomez123
6 years, 1 month ago
Exact money for Grealish to (A)Maddison, but people keep mentioning (B)Barnes even though he has only completed 90mins 3 times and a rotation risk??….A or B??
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