FPL Gameweek 28: Analysis of the key underlying stats

FPL GW28 Scout Picks - Final Selection

Kelleher

van Dijk
O’Reilly
Hill

Wilson
Bruno Fernandes
Rayan
Mbeumo

Haaland
Ekitiké
Thiago

Darlow
Thiaw
Dalot
Dango Ouattara

GW29 Captain Poll

Price Change Predictions

Risers

Fallers

Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
B.Fernandes	MUN	9.9m	99.5%	Likely
Thiago	BRE	7.1m	94.5%	Likely
Truffert	BOU	4.5m	100.9%	Very Likely
Ekitiké	LIV	9.0m	87.4%	Maybe
Raúl	FUL	6.1m	93.2%	Maybe
Mainoo	MUN	4.6m	93.0%	Unlikely
Gabriel	ARS	7.1m	83.5%	Unlikely
A.Becker	LIV	5.4m	88.4%	Unlikely
Kroupi.Jr	BOU	4.7m	89.2%	Unlikely
Casemiro	MUN	5.6m	74.7%	Unlikely
Iwobi	FUL	6.3m	54.6%	Unlikely
O.Dango	BRE	5.9m	62.7%	Unlikely
Mac Allister	LIV	6.2m	59.3%	Unlikely
Gravenberch	LIV	5.5m	60.4%	Unlikely
Wan-Bissaka	WHU	4.1m	61.4%	Unlikely
Hill	BOU	4.1m	55.9%	Unlikely
Mitchell	CRY	5.0m	58.5%	Unlikely
Amad	MUN	6.2m	60.5%	Unlikely
Barry	EVE	5.7m	57.6%	Unlikely
Adli	BOU	5.4m	58.6%	Unlikely
Martinez	MUN	4.8m	59.1%	Unlikely
Justin	LEE	3.9m	56.2%	Unlikely
Richards	CRY	4.4m	54.5%	Unlikely
Gordon	NEW	7.2m	53.0%	Unlikely
Aaronson	LEE	5.4m	52.3%	Unlikely
Lammens	MUN	5.0m	51.1%	Unlikely
Anderson	NFO	5.4m	52.5%	Unlikely
Ballard	SUN	4.6m	47.4%	Unlikely
Gakpo	LIV	7.3m	44.3%	Unlikely
Igor Jesus	NFO	5.8m	49.0%	Unlikely
Diouf	WHU	4.0m	46.0%	Unlikely
Dewsbury-Hall	EVE	5.0m	32.7%	Unlikely
Schade	BRE	6.9m	41.9%	Unlikely
Rodon	LEE	3.9m	44.6%	Unlikely
Nallo	LIV	3.7m	44.3%	Unlikely
Kayode	BRE	4.5m	42.6%	Unlikely
Alderete	SUN	4.1m	41.8%	Unlikely
Van den Berg	BRE	4.5m	40.3%	Unlikely
Petrović	BOU	4.5m	40.9%	Unlikely
Shaw	MUN	4.5m	42.1%	Unlikely

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Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Chalobah	CHE	5.7m	116.4%	Very Likely
Haaland	MCI	14.8m	89.3%	Likely
Cash	AVL	4.9m	93.3%	Likely
Strand Larsen	CRY	6.2m	93.1%	Likely
Pablo	WHU	5.5m	99.1%	Maybe
Tarkowski	EVE	5.7m	99.0%	Maybe
Roberts	BUR	4.4m	97.4%	Maybe
Kluivert	BOU	7.0m	92.6%	Unlikely
Wood	NFO	7.2m	91.9%	Unlikely
Trésor	BUR	4.4m	91.0%	Unlikely
Bajcetic	LIV	4.3m	92.0%	Unlikely
Poveda	SUN	4.8m	89.4%	Unlikely
Perri	LEE	4.5m	89.7%	Unlikely
D.Leon	MUN	4.2m	87.4%	Unlikely
McGinn	AVL	5.4m	86.2%	Unlikely
Byram	LEE	3.8m	86.9%	Unlikely
Ekdal	BUR	3.9m	86.1%	Unlikely
Carvalho	BRE	4.7m	86.5%	Unlikely
Tchaouna	BUR	4.9m	85.2%	Unlikely
Armstrong	WOL	5.4m	74.2%	Unlikely
Gnonto	LEE	5.2m	82.1%	Unlikely
Fredricson	MUN	3.8m	82.1%	Unlikely
Van de Ven	TOT	4.5m	80.1%	Unlikely
Arrizabalaga	ARS	4.1m	80.7%	Unlikely
Benitez	CRY	4.0m	78.2%	Unlikely
Soler	BOU	4.0m	75.7%	Unlikely
Watkins	AVL	8.6m	66.5%	Unlikely
Lewis-Skelly	ARS	5.1m	74.2%	Unlikely
Heaton	MUN	3.9m	73.3%	Unlikely
Romero	TOT	5.0m	71.4%	Unlikely
Evanilson	BOU	6.9m	62.1%	Unlikely
Weiss	BUR	4.3m	71.3%	Unlikely
Clarke	ARS	3.8m	69.5%	Unlikely
Isak	LIV	10.3m	70.1%	Unlikely
Burrowes	AVL	4.4m	64.6%	Unlikely
Webster	BHA	4.4m	63.6%	Unlikely
J.Palhinha	TOT	5.5m	64.7%	Unlikely
Bruun Larsen	BUR	5.3m	68.9%	Unlikely
Mateta	CRY	7.5m	64.9%	Unlikely
Gvardiol	MCI	5.9m	63.8%	Unlikely

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FPL Fixture Ticker

Watchlists

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Alisson	LIV	B, Vs, Rest
No Change	Kelleher	BRE	C, Vs
No Change	Raya Martin	ARS	C
No Change	Martinez	AVL	B, Vs
No Change	Petrovic	BOU	A
No Change	Dubravka	BUR	C, £

Last updated: 27 Feb, 2026 5:16pm

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	van Dijk	LIV	A, Vs
No Change	Gabriel Magalhães	ARS	B
No Change	Hill	BOU	A, £
Up	O’Reilly	MCI	A, OoP
No Change	Andersen	FUL	C, Vs
No Change	Muñoz	CRY	B
No Change	Kayode	BRE	C, Vs, Inj
No Change	Cash	AVL	C, Vs
Up	Ballard	SUN	B

Last updated: 27 Feb, 2026 5:22pm

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Bruno Fernandes	MUN	A
No Change	Salah	LIV	B, Vs
No Change	Rogers	AVL	B, Vs
No Change	Semenyo	MCI	A
No Change	Wilson	FUL	C, Vs
No Change	Dango Ouattara	BRE	A, Vs
No Change	Ismaila Sarr	CRY	B
No Change	Rice	ARS	B
No Change	Rayan	BOU	B
No Change	Anderson	NFO	B, £

Last updated: 27 Feb, 2026 5:28pm

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Haaland	MCI	A
No Change	Thiago	BRE	C, Vs
No Change	Ekitiké	LIV	B, Vs
No Change	Bowen	WHU	B
No Change	Kroupi	BOU	C, Rest, £
No Change	Calvert-Lewin	LEE	C

Last updated: 27 Feb, 2026 5:30pm

GW29 Chip Poll

Big Numbers

27 February 2020 2311 comments

Skonto Rigga

Our Big Numbers piece returns as we take a look at the vast array of data available in our Members’ Area and present the eye-catching statistics that may be of interest.

We’ve run down the stand-out figures in every position, as well as looking at the strengths and weaknesses of various teams to assess which Fantasy Premier League assets could shine in Blank Gameweek 28 and beyond.

With this feature using stats from our Members Area, only subscribers can read on.

Those wishing to sign up to our site and continue reading – as well as seeing a list of the benefits that membership brings – can do so by clicking here.

Rolling monthly subscriptions are now available for £2.99, while half-season memberships (expiring on June 1) can be bought for £9.99. Click here to sign up or upgrade your account.

This content is restricted to Chief Scout Members. Click here to register and get access to industry-leading stats from Opta and StatsBomb including Defensive Contributions data, the Rate My Team tool, Points Projections, 150+ Member-only articles, exclusive Team Reveals, a customisable Season Ticker, two Transfer Planners... and more!

2,311 Comments Login to Post a Comment

jason_ni
6 years, 4 days ago
Omg.. var what the hell.
When does if a keeper will save it, come into a red card decision for goal scoring denial.
Absolute joke.
If a player is brought down as last man, and denies a goal scoring opportunity, when have they ever thought, oh, maybe the gk would have saved it!?
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1. FPL Blow-In
  6 years, 4 days ago
  I figured they were checking to see if it was on target but even then who cares that’s as blatant as you will ever get!!
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2. Pukki Party
  6 years, 4 days ago
  Not sure why they checked that tbh
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TAT
6 years, 4 days ago
My initial plan this GW was Firmino+Traoré > DCL+Mané (-4), but the Martial injury makes things diddicult. What would you do with this team? 3.0 itb.

McCarthy
TAA - Fernandéz - Boly - Stephens
Martial - Salah - Traoré
Jiménez - Ings - Firmino
(Henderson - Hayden - Stevens - KDB)
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1. TAT
  6 years, 4 days ago
  difficult*
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2. Pukki Party
  6 years, 4 days ago
  I'd like a Leicester plyer for their run, but i guess you have to sell one of Martial or Traore.
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  1. TAT
    6 years, 4 days ago
    Yes, I've briefly thought of that, but Leicester's form worries me a bit. Could do Traoré+Martial to Barnes+Fernandes for a hit, but that means keeping Firmino.
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    1. Pukki Party
      6 years, 4 days ago
      I like those transfers.
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      1. TAT
        6 years, 4 days ago
        They look like alright transfers. Not being able to get Mané/dropping Firmino is an issue though.
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        Pukki Party
        6 years, 4 days ago
        no easy way to get Mane this week for you.
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        TAT
        6 years, 4 days ago
        It certainly isn't! If only I had picked Fernandes instead of Martial last week…
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Pukki Party
6 years, 4 days ago
Thiughts here? Assuming there wont be a dgw next week so making the transfers on friday. Selling KDB for next 5 and going from 4 at the back to a 343.

McC
TAA Holgate Fernandez Boly
Salah Mane Moura Cantwell
Vardy Deeney

4.0 Greenwood Kdb Lundstram

A)KDB, Greenwood to Jimenez, Mooy (Lord to Pereira next week)

B) KDB, Greenwood to Jimenez, Barnes (Lord to Baldock next week)

C) KDB, Moura, Greenwood to Mount, Maddison, Jimenez -4 (Lord to baldock)
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1. Bobby Digital
  6 years, 4 days ago
  I think you should get Pukki or change username 🙂
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2. Tsparkes10
  6 years, 4 days ago
  B but not sure on Baldock with the fixtures.
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  1. Pukki Party
    6 years, 4 days ago
    Thanks, have 5 playing defs so no problem.
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Teahupo'o
6 years, 4 days ago
Fpls is down. Any other good price sites?
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1. Pukki Party
  6 years, 4 days ago
  Only one i trust
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*Reformed-Character*
6 years, 4 days ago
Hi Guys - Would you be tempted to go DCL to Vardy for free?

Thanks.
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1. Pukki Party
  6 years, 4 days ago
  Yes i'd do that
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2. Totti
  6 years, 4 days ago
  no
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3. The Knights Template
  6 years, 4 days ago
  Yes
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4. dunas_dog
  6 years, 4 days ago
  No
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5. The 12th Man
  6 years, 4 days ago
  No
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Totti
6 years, 4 days ago
any news on martial injury?

sell or keep
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1. The Knights Template
  6 years, 4 days ago
  Not aware if any news, therefore sell while squealing in a high-pitched voice.
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Tsparkes10
6 years, 4 days ago
Hendo, Martial to Patricio, Barnes?

Leaves 2.5m itb to upgrade Cantwell next gw
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Atimis
6 years, 4 days ago
Any info on possible prices changes tonight?
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FPL Blow-In
6 years, 4 days ago
Ighalo essential
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1. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
  6 years, 4 days ago
  Don’t play 10 man Brugge every week
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Team Cruel
6 years, 4 days ago
Can't see Martial getting back into this team even if fit
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1. FPL_DON
  6 years, 4 days ago
  haha surely this is a joke
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  1. FPL Pillars
    6 years, 4 days ago
    yup, he'll never be fully fit!
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Brosstan
6 years, 4 days ago
Does this VAR decision mean that if a defender handballs and its Kepa or Bravo in goal, its a red card, but if its Allison or Henderson its not?
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1. Gamst - Up (?) the Rovers
  6 years, 4 days ago
  Why did they take so long with Migs?
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Fred54
6 years, 4 days ago
Igoalo!
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HNI
6 years, 4 days ago
Bruno Fernandes is central to Manutd attack. A sub 8mn talisman for a top 4 challenger looks no brainer. Glad he wasnt over priced inspite of his good record in Portuguese league
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1. Syd.
  6 years, 4 days ago
  Not going to jump on that bandwagon quite yet. I will be keeping an eye on him over the next 5 PL fixtures to see how he cuts it against better opposition.
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  1. Atimis
    6 years, 4 days ago
    Yeah wait till the next season
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    1. Brosstan
      6 years, 4 days ago
      He will be 12m + next season. Get him while hes cheap
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  2. Johnny Drama
    6 years, 4 days ago
    Those 5 GWs will cost you
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    1. Syd.
      6 years, 4 days ago
      That is a risk I am prepared to take better value to be had elsewhere
      
      Everton (A)
      Man City (H)
      Spurs (A)
      Sheff Utd (H)
      Brighton (A)
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FPL Blow-In
6 years, 4 days ago
So now I can definitely keep Greenwood and hope for the best due to the Martial news ?
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Je suis le chat
6 years, 4 days ago
Bruno is making it easy for me, binning Grealish for him later.
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Hitmonlee
6 years, 4 days ago
Anyone watching Utd? It’s literally the Fernandes show. Wow
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1. Brosstan
  6 years, 4 days ago
  Fred show*
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2. Je suis le chat
  6 years, 4 days ago
  Goals are coming easily since he arrived.
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3. Johnny Drama
  6 years, 4 days ago
  He is just a great player. Impressive that one player alone can make such a big difference.
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4. I Member
  6 years, 4 days ago
  It's 10 man Brugge...
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  1. Hitmonlee
    6 years, 4 days ago
    Might be 10 men but you can clearly see that he’s pure quality
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Teahupo'o
6 years, 4 days ago
Would you lose Traore or Mahrez (only City player) for Bruno?
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HP18
6 years, 4 days ago
Good evening all,

Which looks best?

A) Doherty, Mount & Auba
or
B) Saiss, Mane & DCL
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1. *Reformed-Character*
  6 years, 4 days ago
  A over the next 5
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  1. HP18
    6 years, 4 days ago
    Hmm okay, Wol/Che/Ars fixtures do all look good
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2. The VAR Team
  6 years, 4 days ago
  B
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  1. HP18
    6 years, 4 days ago
    Already have Salah obviously, still B?
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The VAR Team
6 years, 4 days ago
Evening all, anyone know when we will know about possible double in GW29?
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1. Syd.
  6 years, 4 days ago
  I personally can't see it happening
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pjanns
6 years, 4 days ago
Im really tempted to do:
Martial —> Bruno Fernandes.

He really looks good!
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FPL ZB
6 years, 4 days ago
Maddison or Barnes? One is coming in for Martial and I’m so torn as to who
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1. The VAR Team
  6 years, 4 days ago
  B for me
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2. Atimis
  6 years, 4 days ago
  Maddison let me down big time this season, I will gamble on Barnes
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3. Syd.
  6 years, 4 days ago
  Maddison
  
  He is now 7.4 and is nailed unlike the other options
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4. dunas_dog
  6 years, 4 days ago
  Barnes
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  1. Rinseboy
    6 years, 4 days ago
    captain this week Dunas?!
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valurth
6 years, 4 days ago
2ft
1. Martial + Grealish > Fernandes + Mount / Barnes
2. DeBruyne > Fernandes

Have 11 players with Martial so one of Martial, Grealish, DeBruyne have to go
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1. Johnny Drama
  6 years, 4 days ago
  1 ofc what the heck
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  1. Deeney-is-a-god
    6 years, 4 days ago
    Haha, completely agree
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2. FPLtfs
  6 years, 4 days ago
  Fernandes, bad fixtures and blank in 31 most likely?
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FPL Scoop
6 years, 4 days ago
Martial to Fernandes the easy move with my FT now?

Any other cheaper alternative picks?

Bench of Hayden/Boly Rico this week with KDB’s blank
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1. Totti
  6 years, 4 days ago
  richarlison
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Fpl Richie
6 years, 4 days ago
Have Dendoncker and Holgate on my bench (only Kdb doesn't play).
Any of these worthwhile?
A. Traore to Barnes
B. Martial to Fernandes/Richarlison
C. Holgate to R James
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g40steve
6 years, 4 days ago
Play Troare or one of Taylor or Boly?
Not confident Traore gets 60+
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Mortal.Swinbat
6 years, 4 days ago
A) Aguero & Grealish > Vardy & Richarlison

B) Aguero & Grealish > Vardy & Fernandes

C) Aguero, Grealish & Fleck > Jota, Richarlison & Fernandes (-4 & Jiminez double up)

D) Aguero, Grealish & Fleck > DCL, Richarlison & Fernandes (-4)

Cheers
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1. Hitmonlee
  6 years, 4 days ago
  C
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The Fantasy Doctor
6 years, 4 days ago
Grealish and Martial to Fernandes and Barnes (-4). Slight put off by Man Utd fixtures but he’s looked amazing. Also wanted to traverse GW31 with FT.
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1. Gamst - Up (?) the Rovers
  6 years, 4 days ago
  Got Fernandes in as well. Can't be overlooked.
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2. valurth
  6 years, 4 days ago
  Barnes rather than Mount, why? Looking at same transfers, i.e. Grealish + Martial out
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  1. The Fantasy Doctor
    6 years, 4 days ago
    For -4? I’ve been hit averse so far this season which has served me well.
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  2. The Fantasy Doctor
    6 years, 4 days ago
    Prefer Leicester fixtures.
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Gamst - Up (?) the Rovers
6 years, 4 days ago
Vardy or TAA captain?
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1. g40steve
  6 years, 4 days ago
  Trent, another biggie coming.
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TheDragon
6 years, 4 days ago
Leicester midfielders. How nailed are the following:

A) Perez
B) Tielemans
C) Barnes
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gomez123
6 years, 4 days ago
Exact money for Grealish to (A)Maddison, but people keep mentioning (B)Barnes even though he has only completed 90mins 3 times and a rotation risk??….A or B??
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