Spot the Differential
28 February 2020 1056 comments
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After huge success for this column in Gameweek 27, our tails are up for our Blank Gameweek 28 selections.

Last time out, all players we tipped, Shane Long (£4.6m), Bruno Fernandes (£8.2m) and Dwight McNeil (£6.0m) all registered important hauls for their brave owners.

All of these options, at the time of writing, were owned by fewer than 5% of Fantasy Premier League managers, suggesting there is still value to be found.

Michail Antonio

  • FPL Ownership: 0.7%
  • Price: £6.9m
  • GW28-32 fixtures: SOU | ars | WOL | tot | CHE

Despite a narrow defeat on Monday night, West Ham United came close to inflicting Liverpool’s first Premier League defeat of the season and were the first team to score two goals at Anfield since Everton last year.

It was a vastly improved performance by David Moyes’ men and gives the Hammers something to build on in their battle against relegation.

In fact, post-match, Reds boss Jurgen Klopp described them as being a “proper threat”.

Setup in a 4-5-1 shape, Michail Antonio (£6.9m) led the line and impressed till tiring in the second half. Despite not getting on the scoresheet, he continually looked dangerous on the counter, using his pace to keep Liverpool’s centre-backs on their toes.

Since returning to the starting XI in Gameweek 25, Antonio has been West Ham’s most advanced player.

Over that same period, he has produced six shots in the box. That tally is four more than any other teammate, whilst it is only bettered by three FPL midfielders – Mohamed Salah (12.8m), Son Heung-min (£9.8m) and Richarlison (£8.3m).

The next set of games are crucial for the Hammers, with Saturday’s match against Southampton being billed as a ‘six-pointer’. Knowing a win will move them outside of the bottom three, Antonio looks a good differential for Gameweek 28.

Reece James

  • FPL Ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW28-32 fixtures: bou | EVE | avl | MCI | whu

Chelsea right-back Reece James (£5.0m) has burst onto the scene in 2019/20, and has quickly established himself as a key part of Frank Lampard’s exciting young team.

He has made 23 appearances in all competitions this term, contributing two goals and three assists, and has now been named in the Blues starting XI in six of the last seven Gameweeks.

His marauding displays have drawn plenty of praise in recent weeks, with Gareth Southgate reportedly eyeing him up for a place in the next England squad.

The underlying numbers show he has been one of the most attacking defenders in FPL over the last two Gameweeks. His total of four shots is only bettered by Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.7m) and Virgil van Dijk (£6.6m), whilst his three created chances demonstrate his assist potential.

Also, if we look back further to the turn of the year, we can see he’s been putting his superb delivery to good use – only five defenders have put in more crosses than him.

Chelsea have had an unpredictable season, and despite a forgettable Champions League night against Bayern Munich earlier this week, we’re tipping James to get back on track against a Bournemouth side who sit just two points above the relegation zone.

Diogo Jota

Jota shines in central role as Traore is handed second successive benching
  • FPL Ownership: 4.3%
  • Price: £6.2m
  • GW28-32 fixtures: tot | BHA | whu | BOU | avl

Diogo Jota (£6.2m) is a player who has been in our thoughts for a while now. In fact, he only narrowly missed the cut for last week’s Spot the Differential.

Since then, the 23-year-old ran the Norwich City backline ragged, and followed up his Europa League hat-trick with a brace. Those goals, alongside an assist and maximum bonus, meant he returned a huge 16-point haul for his small army of owners.

It was a hugely impressive performance by the Portuguese, who led the way for shots, shots in the box and big chances.

With 11 games to go in the Premier League, Wolves remain in the hunt for a Champions League place, and sit just two points behind Manchester United in fifth.

Rested in midweek, Jota looks set to be unleashed on Sunday, against a Tottenham Hotspur side who have struggled defensively in recent matches, conceding seven goals in their last four in all competitions.

After Spurs, the schedule couldn’t be much kinder for Wolves, who face Brighton and Hove Albion, West Ham, Bournemouth and Aston Villa.

Currently owned by just 4.3% of FPL managers, Jota is a man in form, and looks like a major differential for the season run-in.

  1. Gideons Rolling Another One
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Vardy scored 11 goals, in 8 straight GWs before playing Norwich. He has scored 1 in 8 games since. Is expectation for him to start going on a goal-scoring streak a bit too high?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I try to stay away from hope based team selections.

      1. Gideons Rolling Another One
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Me too. Just looking at the stats and I'm not seeing the attraction.

        In those 8 GWs prior to playing Norwich, Vardy had 28 goal attempts, 18 on target. 15 Big changes. Post that Norwich game 11 goal attempts, 5 on target. 5 big changes. They had the form before Norwich and he got an assist in that game. I know reverse fixtures don't predict upcoming games, but still, the stats before and after are what they are and I'm not convinced. I appreciate I am trying to justify not getting Vardy in this week!

  2. arkom
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    A) play Cantwell

    Or?

    B) Martial —> Bruno (-4)

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Would you get Bruno next GW otherwise?

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Just get Bruno, you know you want to.

    3. thewhitepele
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Cantwell

    4. arkom
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Soy / TAA / VVD / Aurier
      Salah / Martial / Maddison
      Vardy / Ings / DCL

      Cantwell / Rico / KDB

      1. cravencottage
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Need some advice: Please rank

        A) Saint Maximin
        B) Ayoze Perez
        C) Mount
        D) Armstrong

  3. FOO FIGHTER
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    What do all these hits mean for ranks?

    Blank GW without the likes of Auba, KDB, Grealish and SHU defence...

    Will be interesting to see how it all pans out.

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Looking forward to be on a small green for 1st few minutes of tonight's game.

  4. thewhitepele
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Got 2ft and 0.5m itb. Need to get rid of Grealish at least but Alli is useless as well.. What's the move?

    McCarthy
    TAA Soy Lascelles Stephens
    Salah Alli Cantwell
    Firmino Vardy Ings

    Button, Rico, KDB, Grealish

    A) Grealish -> Barnes/other?
    B) Grealish & Alli -> Barnes & B Fernandes
    C) Something else?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B looks beautiful

      1. thewhitepele
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers!

  5. only2
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Why are so many ppl going for Bruno? Man U fixtures are terrible. Something im missing?

    1. I Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Are they? Everton and Spurs don't keep clean sheets. City will be tough but they aren't amazing defensively either. Can get a penalty or set piece goal/assist against anyone.

    2. thewhitepele
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      For me it's due to a lack of good options tbh

      1. kennethrhcp
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        If I do go with him it'll be for this reason

    3. FOO FIGHTER
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Bruno is making UTD look good and he is hauling like a mofo.

    4. Pep Roulette
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      1. United play better against tougher opponents

      2. Bruno is in red hot form right now.

      3. Bruno is on pens, corners, fks, loves to shoot, loves to create chances. Basically he is responsible for everything good United do in attack.

    5. Dannyb
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      He's looked immense since coming in to the team and on set pieces, which United seem to get alot of.

    6. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Lots of Man U fans on here

    7. clodhopper
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Have you seen him play thats why

  6. TheDragon
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Is Martial actually out this weekend?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Scan today will need to be very positive.

      1. TheDragon
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Would you take a chance on him starting (but if not only field 10) or remove for a -4?

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Probably a 25% chance to play at best.

    2. JBG
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      No one really knows :/. People on Utds forum are putting him in theirs predicted lineups. If that helps XD.

    3. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      If it needs a scan rather than just a pack of frozen peas probably not good.

    4. The_Fish
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      He’s often out for little reason so I have no confidence.

  7. davies
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Traore >

    A) Mount
    B) Barnes

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B

  8. Dybala10
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Who would you start out of Boly (TOT a) or Webster (CRY h)?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Webster - Palace can't hit a cow's arse with a banjo

    2. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Playing both but would go latter if a choice.

  9. Lignja
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    A. Lundstram to Boly
    B. Lundstram to James
    C. Traore to Mount (strat Dendoker)
    D. A+C for -4 hit

    1. Easy Cheesy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

  10. Barnabus
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Does this look GTG?

    McCarthy
    Robertson Saiss Soy Lascelles
    Salah(vc) Mane(c) Barnes Traore
    Jota Ings

    Button Tanganga Aguero Grealish

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Better than

  11. De Gea is GOAT
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Do we think Traore will start? Thanks guys

    1. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      50/50 I reckon

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Played in the Europa fixture so at this point unlikely he starts.

    3. Barnabus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Even if he only gets 30mins I fancy him to get some returns against Davies at Spurs LB.

      1. De Gea is GOAT
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Yep im also on 50/50. Would you play Cantwell instead? Cheers guys

  12. yanky
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    already done FT
    Should I Grealish > Barnes/Maddison for -4 to get 11 out? cant see much if any from doncker traore but oh well

    Guaita
    TAA Saiss Soy Lascelles
    Salah Traore Dendocker Grealish**
    Ings Vardy

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Do it. At least one of the Wolves won't start.

  13. farmerfat
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Fixture reschedule could get announced during Pep's presser happening soon for cup final.
    Stay tuned!

    1. kennethrhcp
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      thanks Ben 🙂

    2. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      If we had FFS representation at the pressers we could ask him 🙂

  14. BucketHead
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Martial to Bruno for a hit???

    1. clodhopper
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Deffo

    2. I Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I did it.

    3. kennethrhcp
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      who's on your bench if any this week?

      1. BucketHead
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Charlie Taylor

  15. FF Dirtbag
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Is it worth saving my 4 mill in the bank to get Auba next week?

    Anything worth a hit? Going with no playing goalkeeper as I don't think it's worth getting someone in.

    Henderson*
    TAA VVD Soyuncu Rico
    Salah Bruno Dendoncker
    Pukki Ings Jimenez

    Button, KDB, Grealish, Lundstram .... 0FT and 4 mill in the bank

  16. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Play one

    A Boly (tot)
    B Fernández (BUR)

    1. Lignja
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

    2. Rinseboy
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      saving FT mate?

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Yes, I think so as gives me more scope next week when we are clearer on blanks/DGW’s.

        1. Rinseboy
          • 14 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          makes sense

  17. Tibbs
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Play Ryan (CRY) or McCarthy (whu)?

    1. Cahill
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      humble brag with two keepers this week 😀

      would play saving private ryan

      1. Tibbs
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I am just the idiot who bought Ryan many gameweeks ago when they had the fixtures and had other fires to put out instead of swapping him.

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Ryan as WH scored vs Pool and this article agrees.

  18. Captain_Shirokov
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    No GK
    TAA, Robertson, Saiss, Cathcart
    Salah, Maddison, Dendoncker
    Vardy, Jimenez, Ings

    (Henderson - KdB, Grealish, Lundstram)

    2 free transfers, what should I do?

    Nothing in the bank to upgrade my 4m non playing keeper.

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Could lose Hendo instead.

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Lundstram out and bench Cathcart works too.

  19. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone tempted with Pepe next week?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Na, Auba or nothing for most here.

      1. Jinswick
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah, I already have Auba and considering a double up....

        Chasing and he's a differential with form and fixtures, but we are still far from convincing

    2. Tibbs
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      He was awful last night, Aubu or nada

  20. SheBangsTheDrums
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Who to bring in?

    A) Soy
    B) James

    1. Barnabus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

    2. dbeck
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      personally i like my defenders to have attacking potential, so i'd go B

  21. Miguel Sanchez
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Play

    A) Williams (eve)
    B) Barnes (nor) -4

    1. Jinswick
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Any other starters who could come in for Williams? Don't think he'll start so may be worth rolling the dice with Barnes (-4) if you don't.

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Hayden (BUR) so risky

  22. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    2FTs

    Ryan
    Taa Robb Aurier Rico -- Lundy
    Salah Martial Grealish -- Stephens Kdb
    Vardy Jimmy Ings

    A: Lundy >> Boly
    B: Grealish > Barnes
    C: both if no dgw

    1. kennethrhcp
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A for sure imo. Like you said if we hear about DGW then decent on C

  23. Pep Roulette
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Kun, Traore & Stevens to Vardy, Bruno & Saiss for -4?

    1. dbeck
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      looks good, i'd be tempted to leave the Traore one until next week to avoid the hit

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

    3. Cahill
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      kun & stevens -> vardy & doherty?

      1. Cahill
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        or pereira instead of matty

        1. Pep Roulette
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Can do this as well

      2. dbeck
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I like this

  24. ALTOID11
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    I’m on the Bruno train choo choo! Put him as captain ... choo choo ... next stop green arrowsville:-)

    1. OldBenKenobi
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      .....ok sure

  25. Thomas M.
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Mane or Salah for the armband?
    If you had both, what would you do?

    1. Thomas M.
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      My ML rivals don't have Mane, just Salah and will most likely captain him. I´m 40 points behind.

      1. OldBenKenobi
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Mane is a fine option.
        No matter what happens though it was a good decision.

    2. Tibbs
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I have both and going for Mane, just gut feel and fixture is away (and have captained Salah the last few weeks too).

    3. Barnabus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I have both, most of my ML rivals just have Salah and will captain. Going for Mane as better away form this season.

    4. The Rumour Mill
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I'm in exactly the same situation as you, going Mane. Partly situational as I'm chasing, but also Mane has performed better away from home than Salah this season. There's also statistics which show Watford generally concede more chances from their right flank (Mane's side) than their left.

  26. seewhyaxe
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Pereira (c) locked in.

    Good luck boys.

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Nice one, best of luck.

  27. OldBenKenobi
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Time to break 100 points the GW 😆

  28. FOO FIGHTER
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    VardyC locked in. Hopefully Perez proves himself to be a proper flat track bully as well.

    Let's go!!!

  29. FPL Scoop
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Captain Vardy over Salah/Mane/Trent?

    Why/why not?

    1. Tibbs
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Vardy has no form (granted he hit the post last week), Mane for me, just gut feel (and I own all 4).

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      The "why not" is you'll hate FPL if he blanks all weekend.

    3. Barnabus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      He hasn't scored since GW18.

  30. KINGS
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Martial owners. What are you going to do?

    1. OldBenKenobi
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Crying

      1. OldBenKenobi
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        JK....I got Bruno in for a hit

    2. LSK
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Bringing in Maddison. Want Leicester coverage next week and may need to switch Vardy to Auba if the double goes ahead. I’ll feel better doing that if I’ve got Maddison (AVL) in place.