Spot the Differential
18 July 2020 1815 comments
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With only two Gameweeks to go, opportunities to catch mini-league rivals or hit pre-season targets are fast running out.

With that in mind, we’ve scouted three mid-price differentials for the run-in, who we hope will have a similar impact to last week’s pick, David Silva (7.4m).

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less. 

Junior Stanislas

  • FPL Ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £5.8m
  • Remaining Fixtures: SOU | eve

Junior Stanislas (£5.8m) has had to watch on from the sidelines for much of the season with a knee injury that required surgery, but is now thriving and has arguably been Bournemouth’s best player since the restart.

Against Manchester City on Wednesday night, the winger was electric and unlucky not to return. In the first half, Ederson (£6.0m) was at full stretch to superbly touch his free-kick onto the post, whilst later in the game Joshua King (£6.1m) swept in his effort, only to see it ruled out by VAR for offside. On another day, it could have been a double-digit haul. 

Since Gameweek 30+, Stanislas leads the way at Bournemouth for shots, shots in the box, created chances and crosses, whilst his three goal involvements (two goals, one assist) is more than any other teammate. 

Following the loss at City, Bournemouth remain 18th – three points adrift of Watford and West Ham United, with two make-or-break games against Southampton on Sunday, and Everton on the last day of the season.

Stanislas has been really unlucky with injuries in recent years, but when fit, is perhaps the most talented player at Bournemouth, and if the Cherries are to stage a great escape, it’s likely he’ll be heavily involved.

Neal Maupay

  • FPL Ownership: 1.7%
  • Price: £5.7m
  • Remaining Fixtures: NEW | bur

Neal Maupay (£5.7m) arrived at Brighton and Hove Albion during the summer of 2019 from Brentford, having scored 41 goals in 95 games for the Bees.

The former France Under-21 international has settled well, and netted his tenth goal of the campaign at Southampton on Thursday night, one which puts him in an esteemed group – Eric Cantona, Thierry Henry and Anthony Martial (£8.4m) are among the other five Frenchman to have hit double figures in their first season. 

Despite Graham Potter’s tendency to rotate, Maupay has now started five of Albion’s seven Premier League outings since the restart, and has featured for over 30 minutes both times he’s appeared off the bench.

Amongst teammates, he’s registered the most shots, shots in the box and big chances this season, whilst his xG ranks 11th amongst forwards. 

Though he could have scored more, his goals have been key to winning points this season. In fact, they are yet to lose when he’s been on the scoresheet.

Up next for Brighton is Newcastle United, who have injuries to several key centre-backs, and rank 20th for xGC since the resumption.  

Maupay has done well in his first season since stepping up from the Championship, and whether deployed as a no 9, on the flanks or deeper to link play, we’re backing him to deliver in Gameweek 37+.

Dwight McNeil

  • FPL Ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • Remaining Fixtures: nor | BHA

Winger Dwight McNeil (£6.0m) has impressed for Burnley this season, developing into his side’s main creative outlet.

He sits top at Turf Moor for chances created, big chances created, crosses and take-ons, whilst only five players in the entire division can boast a higher xA.

Key to his appeal is this week’s opponents Norwich City, who have now lost eight consecutive league games for the first time in their history, whilst the goal they conceded against Chelsea on Tuesday night, a close-range header by Olivier Giroud (£6.7m), was the 21st goal they have conceded from a cross this season.

Their 12 goals conceded from corners is also the worst in the Premier League, which bodes well for McNeil, who has a share of Burnley’s set-pieces, and regularly puts the ball into the box from wide areas. In fact, only eleven players have delivered more crosses than him since the restart.

It isn’t all about his opponents though. 

Tenth-place Burnley are a team in form, with only one defeat in their last 14 Premier League matches, and with aspirations of a Europa League spot, still have plenty of motivation for the run-in.

The last time McNeil made an appearance in this column, he responded with a 14-point haul in Gameweek 27, and given his opponents vulnerability from crosses, it wouldn’t be a huge surprise if he delivered again on Saturday evening.

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  1. Traction Engine Foot
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Best to save the ft here? Really want Martial this week but no easy way to get him in.

    Pope
    AWB, TAA, Doherty
    Mahrez, KDB, Sterling, Bruno
    Jimenez, Vardy, Greenwood

    Martin, Fernandez, Ward, Guendouzi
    1.8m itb 1ft

    1. Jimbo-Jones
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yes probably best to save.
      Takes major surgery to get him in, and you’d end up benching Greenwood who might score anyway.

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      KdB to Martial
      AWB to new defender

      Worth a - 4

  2. Fuddled FC
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Hmm

    a) Taylor > Peters
    b) Taylor > Egan
    c) Gomez > Tark

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

  3. jdp219
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    I lead ML by 18 points. Rival and I have virtually the same team. Only difference is my Jim to his Ings. Can't say dropping Jim is very tantalizing. So, I'm open to suggestions. 1FT, 0itb, TC in gw38.

    Pope
    Trent, Doherty, Saiss
    Salah, Pulisic, Bruno, KDB
    Vardy, Jimenez, Greenwood
    (Martin; Aurier, Douglas Luiz, Holgate)

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Probably save

    2. jdp219
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Vardy, Trent or Salah out? Jim > Ings to ward off points from rival?
      Save?

      1. Jimbo-Jones
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Save.

    3. Hulk Smash
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Trent to Tarkowski or Pulisic to D.Silva if you think he'll start

      1. jdp219
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        my sell price for Pulisisc is only 7,2. Thought about selling him, in fact. The only option there would be Antonio, and less thrilled about hims vs. United.

    4. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      KdB to Martial this week only for certain

    5. Martial Matas
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I think save, then you've got 2ft for 38+ to counter any moves he makes.

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        He's free hitting in 38 so may as well tackle the Man City rotation risk into David Silva or the like.

        Or Martial.

        1. Martial Matas
          • 10 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          TC David Silva 38+ against Norwich could be fun! But easier move to make with 2ft and more info on Pep Roulette and what you're up against point gap wise.

    6. Ian J
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Save - the 2FT will be gold in your final week & give you more flexibility with more info

      1. Ian J
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I’m like your rival, 11points behind but have FH left (he has BB but folder on bench atm)
        Tough decisions - I’m thinking to stay as close as poss this week & pick differentials in final week - maybe this gives you a little insight as to how your rival is thinking

  4. Ady87
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Thinking of bringing in Tark and Pope got Lascelles and Button to use my BB next week.

    Defence is

    Martinez (avl)
    Digne (shu) Maguire (WHU) Saiss (CRY) - Lascelles Aurier

    Would you do Button > Pope first and play v Norwich, or Lascelles > Tark and play ahead of any of those or just bench?

    1. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Personally I would get Tarkowski this week and play him over Digne. Sheff Utd are decent at home and Norwich aren't the best at defending set pieces.

    2. Ian J
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Too much love for Burnley on this sight
      With Taylor out & other injuries will be the straw that breaks the back & they concede a couple - Sheff Utd are a better option

  5. RVP 20
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Hi all!
    Any advice on improving my squad, 0.3 ITB 1 FT?
    Would like to keep ML lead of 40 pts

    Pope / 3.9
    TAA Saiss Aurier / Taylor Robinson
    KDB Salah Son Bruno Saint-Maximin
    Rashford Jimenez / Greenwood

    1. Jimbo-Jones
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Depends who your ML rivals have to be honest, as you can just cover their team to prevent them catching you.
      Saint Max to Foden looks an option - or the differentials in article above.

  6. FOO FIGHTER
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Who has triple City and ready to be shafted by Pep?

    Dilva Sterling and Jesus here!

    1. Roysgotnoboys
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yep. Mahrez, KDB & Jesus

    2. Athletic Dildao
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Considering Sterling captain for the full shafting.

    3. pitstop1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      o/ KDB, Sterling, Mahrez

  7. Merlinho
    • 17 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Draft league H2H semi-final today - crunch times.

    I need to bench 2 from AWB (WHU), Zinchenko (wat), Westwood (nor), Ward-Prowse (bou), Podence (CRY).

    Benched Zinchenko (rotation risk) and Ward-Prowse currently - sound right?

    1. Jimbo-Jones
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I’d play JWP over Podence all day.

      1. Merlinho
        • 17 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        The thing is that Podence appears to be now playing as part of a front 3 - JWP has blanked so many times in a row I don’t know when he last got some points. As long as Podence plays, I think it’s a good punt.

  8. Whiskerz
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Current team.
    1ft 1.3m itb
    FH in gw38

    Patricio
    TAA . Doherty . Bertrand .
    Sterling . Martial . KDB . Bruno . Foden
    Ings . Vardy

    3.9 . Greenwood . Aurier . 4.0

    Options
    A. Nothing
    B. Aurier to Tarkowski
    C. Vardy to Aubameyang
    D. Aurier and Greenwood to Bardsley and Wood -4 and bench Vardy/Foden
    E. Greenwood to Rodriguez and bench Vardy/Foden

    1. aapoman
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B easily and start him if you FH gw38

    2. Jimbo-Jones
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      If you’re using FH38, definitely don’t do nothing - you might as well get a fully playing bench at the very least.

      B is safe and I quite like it (play over Bertrand).
      C is also quite tempting as a gamble, or Laca.

    3. Whiskerz
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Thanks guys.

      Went for B.

  9. Rinseboy
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Anything worth a hit here? Chasima 15 point lead.
    Bench look correct?

    Pope
    TAA Doherty Aurier
    Sterling (c) Bruno Martial Pullisic
    Vardy Jesus Greenwood
    Martinez Foden Fernandez Diop

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Great captain shout if you are confident he starts this one

      1. Rinseboy
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        yeah could play safe with Tony. Worth doing Foden to Dilva for a hit of Pullisic to anyone?

        1. Miguel Sanchez
          • 10 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Nope save

  10. Pinturicchio10
    6 years, 1 month ago

    This gw I expect to either soar to top 1k or fall spectacularly out of top 10k. Balls to the wall.

    Patricio
    TAA, Boly, VVD
    Fernandes, Antonio, Martial v, Mahrez, Son c
    Jesus, Jimenez

    Pope, Greenwood, Aurier, Lascelles

    Good luck all.

    1. Party time
      6 years, 1 month ago

      It looks really nice. Also tempted by SonC but TonyC should be enough to handle things this gw

      1. Pinturicchio10
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Indeed. Could blow up in my face spectacularly but gonna go for it anyway. Good luck mate.

        1. Party time
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Good luck buddy

  11. orangepeel
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Greenwood likely to get worthwhile minutes? Not fond of the move but could bench for Saka.

    1. Hulk Smash
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Greenwood should be safe. Only question is recovery from that ankle injury as he didn't look fully fit against Crystal Palace but if that's the case he will surely be rested against Chelsea so he is fit for the league as we need him.

      1. orangepeel
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers. I'll throw him in I think.

  12. melvinmbabazi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Wan Bissaka & Pulisic for Tarkowski & (C) Martial (-4)

    Yes or No?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Quite like it

    2. Hulk Smash
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yes. Good captain pick also.

  13. jdp219
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Leading ML by less than 20. Too risky to captain Jimenez?

    Would be Bruno, otherwise.

    1. El Guasón
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Unnecessary risk

      1. jdp219
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Sanity check completed. Thank you.

    2. Runaway
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Bruno, you are not in a position to take risk. Jimi has never been a good captain choice given his ceiling is 12 something

      1. jdp219
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        That's fair. Bruno rotation was the concern here.

        Thank you.

  14. El Guasón
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    GW 37 only (as FH in 38)

    1) Diop > Tarkowski / Mendy / Johnny

    Or

    2) DDG & Puli > Pope & Martial (-4)

    Currently at 19k and 22 pts away from top 10k

    1. Runaway
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

  15. Runaway
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Which change is likely to bring more?

    A) Foden to Wood
    B) Kiko to Tarkowski

    1. El Guasón
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B

  16. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Cap one

    A. Rashford
    B. Martial
    C. Kdb

    1. Runaway
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

    3. Hulk Smash
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B

  17. Marouanovic
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Current team (2 ft):

    Pope (Button)
    TAA Doherty Justin (Holgate Lascelles)
    Mane KDB Antonio Bruno (Willian)
    Rashford Greenwood Jimenez

    Will FH in GW38.

    Currently thinking to do Greenwood + Mane to Martial and Wood. Wood could be anyone up to 9.8 though so Ings and Vardy options too.

    Not happy with playing Justin either but don't really want to take a -4 to replace Lascelles or Holgate.

    Leading ML by 40 odd points so thinking I need to get Martial in as most have him and he's been a beast at home recently.

  18. Moderately content penguin
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Just checked the data from the Palace United game

    Do you think it's just possible Palace were feeding the ball to AWB in their half? Can't think why 🙂

  19. Madderegern
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Want a Burnley def, but don't know them at all.

    Who's the best?

    1. Fuddled FC
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Tark but most expensive

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Tark - goal threat and Norwich and Brighton can’t defend set pieces

    3. Killitzer
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Everyone is suggesting Tarkowski

  20. WE GO FOR IT
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Have Aurier, Lascelles and Simpson as my last 3 defenders . With Aurier not sure to start and Lascelles out for the season, which of the options would you pick?

    A. Aurier to Pieters. Bank the 0.8, which will let me do Foden to Dilva for free in GW38.
    B. Lascelles to Pieters. Leaves me at 1.4 itb. Would definitely have to take a hit to get Dilva for GW 38.

    Willbe playing TC in in GW38. Maybe on Dilva. Just saying, if that influences your pick.

    Doherty and TAA the other 2 defenders.

    1. Killitzer
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Option A

      1. WE GO FOR IT
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers! 🙂

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Which three defenders do you play in 38? Aurier could do really well in 38 vs Palace without PVA

      1. WE GO FOR IT
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        If I have Aurier, it will be TAA, Doherty and Aurier. Might be tempted to play Pieters instead of Doherty. But I see goals in the Chelsea vs Wolves game. Doherty could easily get and assist.

  21. Killitzer
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Morning all

    Not quite sure what to do. Fix my defence or bring in Martial.

    Patricio Martin
    TAA Saiss Aurier Lundstram Lescalles
    KDB Foden Pulisic Fernandez Salah
    Vardy Ings Greenwood

    1. Save
    2. Lescalles —> Burnley defence
    3. Pulisic —> Martial
    4. Lescalles + Pulisic—> Martial + defender

    Cheers for any input!

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      3 or 4

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      3

  22. Nighty
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Advice would be most welcome! Currently 52 points clear but my rival has TC to play and think he will use it on martial this week. I have free hit next week.

    Pope
    TAA Maguire Saiss
    Salah KDB Bruno Foden
    Jimi Greenwood Vardy

    Button puli Taylor lascelles

    A. Puli to Dilva (bench foden)
    B. Puli & maguire to Martial & long (-4)
    C. Taylor to Long

    Thanks

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B could be worth it as I expect the Man City premium players to start Saturday and next Sunday with heavy rotation again into the squad for Tuesday.

  23. juicewagz
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    G2G?

    De Gea

    Doherty, Saiss, Bardsley

    Sterling, KDB, Martial (C), Pulisic

    Ings, Greenwood, Jimenez

    Bench: Foden, Van Dijk, Aurier

  24. cescpistols1
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Is this team and bench order correct for draft team?

    DDG
    Doherty Alderweireld Basham
    Sterling Traore McNeil Grealish Pepe
    Firmino Ayew

    Brooks Bertrand Haller Holgate

  25. afsr
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Took a -12 in GW36 which of course turned out a disaster (surprise-surprise i know). Now need to fight back to overtake a mate in our league (trailing by 11 points)

    Pope
    TAA, Doherty, Taylor
    Sterling, Salah, Bruno, Martial, Pulisic
    Greenwood, Jesus

    Mccarthy, Gayle, Holgate, Aspi
    1FT, 0.2ITB

    What are your suggestions for the remaining Gameweeks?

    1. TheDragon
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      You’ll certainly want triple city for 38

      Maybe a bit bold but Pulisic -> D Silva could be an option (Next week if not this week)

  26. TheDragon
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Good to go? Bit worried by my bench given FA Cup

    DDG
    TAA, Doherty, Saiss
    Salah, KDB, Foden, Fernandes (c), Pulisic
    Rashford, Ings

    4.0 l Fernandez, Holgate, Gordon

    Should I vice captain a non FA cup player (Salah/ Ings)?

    1. Moderately content penguin
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Bench a bit of a worry.

      Not tempted by C Rash?

      1. TheDragon
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Rash is is low owned I get the benefit just owning whereas Fernandes being over 100 EO each week is annoying

        Plus the extra point for a goal, and clean sheet etc means I almost always go midfielders. He is currently Tay my VC

        Agree bench isn’t good especially if Holgate is out. But it can’t be worth a -4 can it?

        I’ll FH 38

        1. Moderately content penguin
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          No hit

          Think Bruno has been outperforming really. That last pen was frankly silly and no returns then would put a different spin on recent outputs. Also very much fancy WH to score.

          1. TheDragon
            • 8 Years
            6 years, 1 month ago

            Thanks 🙂

            At least the mate deadline gives me time to consider captain more.

            Who you going with?

            1. Moderately content penguin
              • 7 Years
              6 years, 1 month ago

              Other point with Rash as POO - he has a really high assist potential it’s not just the goals.

              Personally would prefer to have him over Bruno this week.

  27. waltzingmatildas
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Bench
    A) foden
    B) pulisic

    1. TheDragon
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      That’s a very strong team you have there.

      Very tough decision - I’d bench Pulisic but it’s a brutal decision to make

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B

    3. waltzingmatildas
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Cheers guys. If I knew foden would start would be easier!

      1. TheDragon
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I’m praying he starts

        He won’t play the FA cup game which would mean he is likely to start. However, he never seems to start away games

  28. The Final Boss
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Guys pieters or long? not enough fund to get tark in..

    1. TheDragon
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Is Pieters play OOP? If so him

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        He will be back at LB this GW

      2. The Final Boss
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Pieters but he may be a slight risk in 38 if Taylor is back

      1. The Final Boss
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks..long nailed and have set piece threat??

    3. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Why not

  29. RossoneriHammer
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    50 pts behind the leader in my mini league, who's best for a differential captain?

    Mahrez v Watford
    Foden v Watford
    Ings v Bournemouth
    Jiminez v Palace?

  30. rohan
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Would you do Salah> Sterling for free? Got KdB and David Silva already.

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      No Salah should come good

    2. Young Lingard
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      No
      I’d captain salah
      And I’m absolutely afraid I don’t own him
      Sterling if he starts both games then yes but you’ll not know that
      Everyone is selling salah and I’m not sure why ; I think he scores big in both games