Spot the Differential
25 July 2020 4295 comments
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Gameweek 38+ offers FPL managers a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

Since the restart, we’ve tipped the likes of Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m), Kieran Tierney (£5.3m), Michail Antonio (£7.1m), David Silva (£7.5m), Junior Stanislas (£5.8m), Jay Rodriguez (£5.7m) and Gabriel Jesus (£9.9m), all of whom we like this week, but this time, our final three selections for the 2019/20 campaign are very much in the punt category.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less. 

Alexandre Lacazette

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £9.2m
  • GW38+ fixture: WAT

Alexandre Lacazette (£9.2m) has had to bide his time at Arsenal this season, but in recent weeks has finally started to find some form.

It’s now five attacking returns for the Frenchman since the restart, all of which have arrived following Mikel Arteta’s decision to switch to a 3-4-3 formation in Gameweek 31+.

The new approach has provided more balance, and despite Lacazette often dropping deep to link play, he’s still managed to accumulate four big chances during that run, which is the same amount as team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£10.9m), despite fewer minutes.

Since the change to a back-three, only five teams have scored more goals than Arsenal, which is an ominous sign for their opponents on Sunday, Watford. To add to their worries, the manager-less Hornets have given up more big chances than any other side since the restart, conceding seven goals in their last two games, and realistically need to avoid defeat to harbour any hopes of securing Premier League safety.

Despite Arsenal being out of the running for a Europa League spot via their league position, Arteta will still be demanding a response having lost 1-0 to Aston Villa on Tuesday night, and whilst Aubameyang remains the popular pick, if funds are needed elsewhere, Lacazette is worth a look.

Gylfi Sigurdsson

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £7.3m
  • GW38+ fixture: BOU

While Gylfi Sigurdsson (£7.3m) has underwhelmed for much of the season, a change in system by Everton boss Carlo Ancelotti in Gameweek 37+ may give the Icelandic international an opportunity to finish strongly. 

Since the Italian’s appointment in December, when selected, Sigurdsson has had to operate in a 4-4-2, either as part of a central midfield duo, or out on the left flank, neither of which he has looked particularly comfortable in.

However, on Monday night at Bramall Lane, Ancelotti switched things up after a dismal run of results, playing both André Gomes (£5.2m) and Tom Davies (£5.3m) behind Sigurdsson, who operated as a number 10, in a 4-2-3-1.

Suddenly, Everton’s captain on the night was finding himself in good positions between the lines, and went on to create three chances, and lay on an assist for Richarlison’s (£8.2m) winner. 

He actually could have scored himself too, had Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£6.1m) been more aware of his team-mate’s position.

Everton will finish the season in 11th or 12th spot, and entertain second bottom Bournemouth on Sunday, who need three points and other results to go their way to stand any chance of staying up.

There is no doubt Sigurdsson looks more comfortable in his natural position behind the forward, and with a share of set-pieces and penalties, could be an intriguing differential for the final round.

Trézéguet

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW38+ fixture: whu

Winger Trézéguet (£5.2m) has taken time to settle in the Premier League, but is now well on his way to becoming a Villa Park hero, having scored three vital goals in as many games.

The Egyptian has often rotated with Anwar El Ghazi (£5.2m) this season, with neither player offering any kind of consistency, but since the restart, Trézéguet ranks first amongst teammates for big chances with five, and against Arsenal on Tuesday night, was the most advanced player in a claret and blue shirt. Finally, he’s starting to deliver on that early season promise he showed against the Gunners back in September. 

Now out of the relegation zone for the first time in five months, Villa’s destiny is in their own hands when they face West Ham United at the London Stadium on Sunday, and you get the feeling they’ll need to score, having failed to keep a Premier League clean sheet on the road all season. 

To do that, they may well have to rely on wide players Trézéguet and Jack Grealish (£5.9m), with both of their forward options, Mbwana Samatta (£5.1m) and Keinan Davis (£4.2m), struggling in front of goal.

The positive for Villa is they have momentum, having picked up seven points from the past nine available, and despite inconsistencies throughout the season, Trézéguet is now stepping up, and could be a nice differential for those on the lookout for a budget midfielder.

4,295 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Ohh1454
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Couple of calls to make :
    A. Bruno or martial
    B. Dilva(C) or Sterling(C)

    1. Goodfeathers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Martial & Sterling

    2. Tomerick
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Bruno and Sterling

  2. Gazza2000
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    What are Foden owners doing without any early teamnews ?

    Assuming you want three City players do you have a plan ready to swap him out or will you just play him and hope for the best ?

    1. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Without any team news, I’m an owner and fully expect him to be benched. He’ll come on, but he will be benched

      1. Gazza2000
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        Will you bench him or will you get rid ? Or start and hope for some points in the minutes he will get?

        1. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
          • 11 Years
          6 years, 26 days ago

          I’m benching him personally. I have Jimenez who can play instead, so perfectly happy for that to happen

          1. Gazza2000
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            6 years, 26 days ago

            Got Greenwood myself to come in but still on the fence, think Foden can do some damage in the 25-30 minutes that he will probably get

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      If benched taking hit for DSilva funded by Doherty to max 5.1 m defender

      1. Bob B
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        I'm tempted to do the same by dropping Vardy to Ings

      2. Gazza2000
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        If we get the news early I will take a hit as well to get him out and get Sterling in but without the news will you start him?

        1. dunas_dog
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          6 years, 26 days ago

          To be honest if no news will make transfer as reasonably sure will be benched and come on late in game - provided of course fpl servers not crashed!

  3. madame shelly
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Sorted fh team

    Pope
    Taa,robbo,aurier
    dilva, sterling,Mahrez, Richy,pulisic
    Kane,Ings

    greenwood,branth,Williams,button

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      nice. gl

  4. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    i just can't decide who to captain between salah and sterling. which factors have you guys used to decide ? ultimately maybe just go with your guts ? thanks and gl.

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      need to go differential so probably salah

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        cheers

    2. MTPockets
      6 years, 26 days ago

      One has 8G/4A since the restart, and playing Norwich

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        fair enough 🙂

  5. kempc23
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Im 14 points behind the leader in a mini league that I really want to win. I need to gamble a bit, as he just picks his team based on a twitter account that is all the highly owned players.

    Front 7 is-

    Sterling Bruno Martial Pulisic
    Jesus Ings Wood

    Im thinking of Bruno and Martial to Salah (c) and Dilva for -4. Thoughts? He will 100% captain Sterling so I need to try something different.

    1. pitstop1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      I’m in similar situation and doing Bruno to Salah (c) and Vardy to JRod for funds. I like Salah as a differential - not often you have that and could make up the diff in one transfer. Good luck!

  6. StellaMan
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Kane or Son?

    1. Goodfeathers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Kane

    2. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      kane

    3. Party time
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Son

    4. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Think Son will do well this game

    5. popcoin
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Kane

  7. Lionac
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Who scores most of these 3
    A) Son
    B) Antonio
    C) Fernandes
    And from these two
    1) Saka
    2) Greenwood

    1. how now brown cow
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      A2

      1. Party time
        6 years, 26 days ago

        This

    2. Tomerick
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      C2

  8. how now brown cow
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Assuming they start and ignoring the lack of sterling (I need to chase)

    Bruno, jimenez, Egan --> silva, jesus, pieters -4?

    1. Connor's Calling
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Yes

    2. StellaMan
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Sounds good. Doing similar but looking to spurs attack

    3. Goodfeathers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Definitely

  9. Connor's Calling
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 17 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Defending a tiny ML lead; where they currently have Jimi, Greenwood, KDB, Fernandes, Mendy

    A)
    Aurier
    KDB Sterling Foden
    Greenwood
    (-4)

    B)
    Pieters
    Sterling D Silva Foden
    Jimenez
    (-4)

    C)
    Walker
    Sterling Foden Fernandes
    Rodriguez
    (free)

    D)
    Walker
    KDB D Silva Fernandes
    Rodriguez
    (free)

    1. For Fuchs Sake
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      C or D don't take a hit if leading

    2. JfA
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      D, I don't think Foden will feature much, I think he's going to put out his CL team with obviously a little bit of Pep roulette when it comes to playing RM. Foden might even start against RM in place of Silva. Who knows, Pep might just scupper all of our plans and give the big guns the week off and a behind the scenes five a side game with the five the winners start against RM 😮

  10. FCSB
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    1. Auba Greenwood
    2. Martial Ings

    I’m chasing... thanks

    1. how now brown cow
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      2

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      2

    3. popcoin
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      1

    4. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      1

    5. Goodfeathers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      1

  11. Ógie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Maybe the site should have some way of limiting traffic pre deadline during hectic times such as we are going to see tomorrow so if important news does come through that it won't be lost in the flood.

    I'm not sure how exactly this could be achieved but maybe something like a cooling off period of something like 3 or 5 minutes between new posts but still allow people to comment freely in reply's.

    1. how now brown cow
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Bar anyone with less than a 5 by their name!

      1. Ógie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        That's not fair either as there are many great posters with less than a 5.

        1. SADIO SANÉ
          • 11 Years
          6 years, 26 days ago

          Thanks! Flattered

          1. SADIO SANÉ
            • 11 Years
            6 years, 26 days ago

            crap I was a 4 the other day

    2. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Only important people should be let in on matchday.Secret code.

      1. Ógie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        That's me fecked so.

    3. Goodfeathers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      The twitter feed is pretty handy for news

      1. Ógie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        I have to start looking at that.

        Tbh i don't even have a twitter account and i feel sometimes that it kinda leaves me behind as an fpl manager.

    4. Trippier Hazard
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Group upvotes of quality / important news would allow rating sorts to show these posts more easily?

  12. popcoin
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Chasing 26 points and currently have identical midfield to rival.

    KdB -> Sterling (TC)
    Martial -> Dilva
    Bruno ->

    A) Sigurdsson
    B) Moura
    C) Antonio

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      C

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      c

    3. Traction Engine Foot
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      C

  13. Wet Bandits
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Repost - last min nerves & an ML cash win riding on this week.

    I’m 42 ahead.., 2nd has TC as do I. Teams are very different.

    Me;

    Pope (Button)
    TAA, Doherty, AWB (Holgate, Lasca)
    Bruno, Salah, KDB, (TC) Dsilva, (Saka)
    Jimmy, Vardy, Greenwood

    Bench is clearly a mess..1FT, 0 ITB

    Him;

    Pope, Martinez
    TAA, Digne, Mendy, Justin, Holgate
    Martial, Mahrez, Son, Traore, Sarr
    Jesus, Rash, Greenwood.

    1ft 1.9 ITB (TC to play)

    Do I.

    1. Assuming he moves to these.. take a hit to get..Kane..Sterling? A (TC) haul could top me.
    2. Vardy -> Jesus
    3. Bruno -> Rash
    3. Do nothing, lead should be good enough?

    1. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      I’d do 1. Makes it more exciting!
      2 would probably be most sensible move, and I’d TC Dilva over KDB. More likely to start

    2. Reckoner
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      I'd maybe do 2, but cap Salah or DSilva. Everyone's going for Sterling, and experience tells that such situations usually fail 🙂

    3. azamn013
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Salah to Sterling. With a 42 point lead, Sterling TC is one of the few ppl who would scare me. Doubt your rival would bring in Salah seeing as you have him.

      1. Wet Bandits
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        Interesting thought process! He’s got to bring in Sterling surely? Protect the lead although a Salah return looks likely?

  14. Reckoner
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    5th defender for the Bench boost: (4.5m)

    1. A third Burnley defender (have Pope and Pieters)
    2. West Ham defender (Cresswell/Diop?)
    3. Aston Villa defender (Mings?)

    Thanks!

    1. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      1

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Targett?

      1. Reckoner
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        Yes, one of the options too, forgot to mention him.

    3. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Matt Targett or KWP

    4. Big Hippo
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      KWP for me

      1. Reckoner
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        Thanks all!

  15. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Sell Martial or Bruno

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Bruno

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Bruno

  16. Goodfeathers
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Who do we think scores highest out of Pulisic or Martial?

    Got 2 people breathing down my neck for our mini league title (15 / 17 points behind) & they each have one of them..

  17. Pep's Money Laundry
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    A. Son & VVD
    B. Martial/Fernandes & TAA

    1. Reckoner
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Tough and close really. Martial should cause havoc to current Leicester defence; and TAA might set a new record on seasons' assists, so maybe B. You should go with your gut feeling on this.

  18. Cheeto__Bandito
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    No idea who scores more??

    A) Mahrez (C), Kane
    B) Mahrez, Sterling (C)

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      B

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      B

    3. Goodfeathers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      B

    4. Cheeto__Bandito
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      B is for -4 forgot to say

    5. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      B

  19. FDMS All Starz
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Which combo on FH?

    A) Mahrez - Ings - Mane - Diop
    B) Jesus - Ings - Pulisic - TAA
    C) Jesus - Auba - Martial - Diop

    team:

    Martinez
    Pieters - Bardsley - XXX
    Salah - Sterling - Silva - XXX - XXX
    Kane - XXX - XXX

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      B

  20. Kodap
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Am I G2G?

    Pope
    Trent - Aurier - Egan
    Sterling (c) - Dilva - KDB - Salah
    Ings - Rashford - Greenwood

    Subs: Henderson, Fernandez, Hayden & Holgate.

    Was debating taking another hit to do Rashford > Lacazette but that’d put me onto -12.

    (Leading ML by 114 points) thoughts?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Don't think it really matters since the ML is pretty much finished. Play the last GW for fun, take the hit

  21. Traction Engine Foot
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Bruno, Jimenez to Son, Ings worth -4?

  22. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    A) Mahrez + Martial
    B) KDB + Antonio

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      A

    2. MTPockets
      6 years, 26 days ago

      A. Mostly just because I think Mahrez could outscore KDB. Harder to split Martial/Antonio

  23. FOO FIGHTER
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Looks like Bruno and Mane dropping.

  24. Tonyawesome69
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    If you are chasing 25 points in cash ML and 33 points ahead of 3rd place (cash for 1st and 2nd), what would you do?
    1. Try and chase ML leader
    2. Play what you think is best for this GW which will probably be the same as 1st place and result in consolidating 2nd

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      2

    2. Ógie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      You go all out for the win of course.

      Nobody gives a toss about 2nd or 3rd,it's all about the glory.

  25. ooooo
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Changes to FH team?
    Martinez
    TAA Pieters Aurier
    Salah Sterling Mahrez Dilva Antonio
    Kane Ings

    Button Greenwood Brathwaite 3.8

  26. Lucas8406
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Who scores more?
    A) KDB, Mahrez, David Silva
    B) Sterling, David Silva, Greenwood

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      A

  27. Reeker
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    27k rank. I'm fhing. What would be your strategy to get into the top 10k?

    1. pitstop1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Captain Salah

    2. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      i dont think you can to be honest. i am ranked 12.5 and have little hopes 🙂

      1. Reeker
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        Would almost bet on one of the popular big hitters blanking to upgrade the rest of the team and captaining a differential

        1. Ajax Hamsterdam
          • 12 Years
          6 years, 26 days ago

          are you on fh ?

          1. Reeker
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            6 years, 26 days ago

            I am

            1. Ajax Hamsterdam
              • 12 Years
              6 years, 26 days ago

              i d go a bit different but not too silly of course. captain kane or salah. maybe double up robertson and taa. gl, hope you can make it as long as don't overtake me of course 🙂

    3. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      dont take any hits thats for sure.

  28. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Any Liverpool fans around? Is Mané going to start do we think?? Just reading the Liverpool Echo article saying he was missing due to a slight medical issue but doesn’t seem to be enough to effect his availability for the Newcastle game, any further update??

      1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        Oooh nice one mate!!! Thankyou!! Looks pretty legit to me!! Happy days!!

        1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 26 days ago

          He’s got his boots on too!! Unless he’s doing a John Terry when Chelsea won the Champions League and he was suspended for the final!! Haha

  29. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    first time I own sterling this season, hope it pays off 🙂 gl all

    1. JfA
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      I think it will, I had him at the start but swapped for Salah, didn't hold him for that long but longer than I should.

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        he s been on fire since lockdown thats for sure. cant have them all though 🙂

  30. JfA
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    It's actually impossible to have a discussion on her given the amount of comments, despite the notifications of replies 😀

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      what shall we talk about ? 🙂

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Let's have a chat, how can I help? 🙂

      1. JfA
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        I actually love talking about FLP. 😀

        1. JfA
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 26 days ago

          I only started playing last season and done pretty shite.

          1. Ajax Hamsterdam
            • 12 Years
            6 years, 26 days ago

            this is my 14th season and I am still pretty shite too so dont worry haha 67k is a decent rank by the way