Spot the Differential
25 July 2020 4295 comments
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Gameweek 38+ offers FPL managers a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

Since the restart, we’ve tipped the likes of Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m), Kieran Tierney (£5.3m), Michail Antonio (£7.1m), David Silva (£7.5m), Junior Stanislas (£5.8m), Jay Rodriguez (£5.7m) and Gabriel Jesus (£9.9m), all of whom we like this week, but this time, our final three selections for the 2019/20 campaign are very much in the punt category.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less. 

Alexandre Lacazette

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £9.2m
  • GW38+ fixture: WAT

Alexandre Lacazette (£9.2m) has had to bide his time at Arsenal this season, but in recent weeks has finally started to find some form.

It’s now five attacking returns for the Frenchman since the restart, all of which have arrived following Mikel Arteta’s decision to switch to a 3-4-3 formation in Gameweek 31+.

The new approach has provided more balance, and despite Lacazette often dropping deep to link play, he’s still managed to accumulate four big chances during that run, which is the same amount as team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£10.9m), despite fewer minutes.

Since the change to a back-three, only five teams have scored more goals than Arsenal, which is an ominous sign for their opponents on Sunday, Watford. To add to their worries, the manager-less Hornets have given up more big chances than any other side since the restart, conceding seven goals in their last two games, and realistically need to avoid defeat to harbour any hopes of securing Premier League safety.

Despite Arsenal being out of the running for a Europa League spot via their league position, Arteta will still be demanding a response having lost 1-0 to Aston Villa on Tuesday night, and whilst Aubameyang remains the popular pick, if funds are needed elsewhere, Lacazette is worth a look.

Gylfi Sigurdsson

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £7.3m
  • GW38+ fixture: BOU

While Gylfi Sigurdsson (£7.3m) has underwhelmed for much of the season, a change in system by Everton boss Carlo Ancelotti in Gameweek 37+ may give the Icelandic international an opportunity to finish strongly. 

Since the Italian’s appointment in December, when selected, Sigurdsson has had to operate in a 4-4-2, either as part of a central midfield duo, or out on the left flank, neither of which he has looked particularly comfortable in.

However, on Monday night at Bramall Lane, Ancelotti switched things up after a dismal run of results, playing both André Gomes (£5.2m) and Tom Davies (£5.3m) behind Sigurdsson, who operated as a number 10, in a 4-2-3-1.

Suddenly, Everton’s captain on the night was finding himself in good positions between the lines, and went on to create three chances, and lay on an assist for Richarlison’s (£8.2m) winner. 

He actually could have scored himself too, had Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£6.1m) been more aware of his team-mate’s position.

Everton will finish the season in 11th or 12th spot, and entertain second bottom Bournemouth on Sunday, who need three points and other results to go their way to stand any chance of staying up.

There is no doubt Sigurdsson looks more comfortable in his natural position behind the forward, and with a share of set-pieces and penalties, could be an intriguing differential for the final round.

Trézéguet

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW38+ fixture: whu

Winger Trézéguet (£5.2m) has taken time to settle in the Premier League, but is now well on his way to becoming a Villa Park hero, having scored three vital goals in as many games.

The Egyptian has often rotated with Anwar El Ghazi (£5.2m) this season, with neither player offering any kind of consistency, but since the restart, Trézéguet ranks first amongst teammates for big chances with five, and against Arsenal on Tuesday night, was the most advanced player in a claret and blue shirt. Finally, he’s starting to deliver on that early season promise he showed against the Gunners back in September. 

Now out of the relegation zone for the first time in five months, Villa’s destiny is in their own hands when they face West Ham United at the London Stadium on Sunday, and you get the feeling they’ll need to score, having failed to keep a Premier League clean sheet on the road all season. 

To do that, they may well have to rely on wide players Trézéguet and Jack Grealish (£5.9m), with both of their forward options, Mbwana Samatta (£5.1m) and Keinan Davis (£4.2m), struggling in front of goal.

The positive for Villa is they have momentum, having picked up seven points from the past nine available, and despite inconsistencies throughout the season, Trézéguet is now stepping up, and could be a nice differential for those on the lookout for a budget midfielder.

4,295 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Coys96
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Will the site go down tomorrow?

    1. zotter
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Probably

    2. Cojones of Destiny
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      remember what happened last time

    3. Party time
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Oh yes! It could... 😆

    4. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Could well do

    5. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Yes

    6. FOO FIGHTER
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      We are dead.

    7. Rogue Todd
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      If it went down last GW it has no chance of surviving this one

      1. Amey
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Thank god we have ....

        1. Rogue Todd
          • 11 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          Aye

    8. Forza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      FFS yes, FPL no

  2. have you seen cyan
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    How many points are you off 1st place in your ML, and do you think you will finish 1st?

    30 points for me, and no I dont think I will make it

    1. Cojones of Destiny
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      that’s the spirit

      1. have you seen cyan
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        lol well 30 is alot!

    2. Mighty Banana
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      35, I'm also taking a -4 and I'm going to be crowned champ.

      1. have you seen cyan
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        I took a -8, but I incorporated that into my total behind. So I was 22 without the -8. Hopefully he takes at least a -4 to make it just 26

        I got in Dilva and Sterling, neither he has, but he will get Sterling and cap. Me Kane cap

    3. Cojones of Destiny
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      any chips left?

      1. have you seen cyan
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        not for me no, my rival doesnt either

  3. Zanainem
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Vardy to Lacazette for -4? Need to revorer 20 points for rival

    1. zotter
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      That’s not the best move imo.

      1. Zanainem
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        how about rashford?

    2. Cojones of Destiny
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      nope

    3. Qaiss
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      That is a really bad move

      1. Zanainem
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        and rashford? xD

        1. Qaiss
          • 10 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          If you get rid of Vardy who I think may score tomorrow then you have to get one of Kane/Auba/Jesus

          1. Zanainem
            • 9 Years
            6 years, 2 months ago

            no money for Auba. Only if i go -8 and get ride of saiss and bring pieters

          2. Zanainem
            • 9 Years
            6 years, 2 months ago

            the thing is they are playing sooo bad. Are they gonna score vs united? and Arsenal vs Watford.. Jesus

  4. BurnMyBread
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    How would you rank these midfielders:

    A) Dsilva
    B) Mahrez
    C) Martial
    D) Antonio
    E) Pulisic
    F) Bruno

    1. zotter
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      BAEDFC. But all good

    2. Cojones of Destiny
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      AB and the rest

    3. The Rock
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      A,D, C, F, D, E

      1. The Rock
        • 17 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        First D should be a B. City asset's best options!

    4. frenchfries
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      A
      B
      D
      E
      C
      F

      This rank of who i believe gets more points for last gameweek and not by whose better overall

    5. MTPockets
      6 years, 2 months ago

      BADCEF

    6. TIME TO VARTY
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Its in the correct order

  5. frenchfries
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Pope
    TAA Tarkowski Saiss
    Salah KDB Fernandes Martial
    Vardy Jimenez Greenwood

    Martin Lascelles Hayden Schelotto

    1ft 1mill itb

    A) Fernandes+TAA -> Sterling (C) + Pieters
    B) Vardy+Fernandes -> Wood+Sterling(C)
    C) Vardy+Fernandes -> Kane(C)+DSilva
    D) Vardy -> Jesus
    E) Fernandes -> DSilva(C)

    1. Cojones of Destiny
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      E

    2. MTPockets
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Vardy+Fernandes -> Jesus+DSilva?

      1. frenchfries
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Thats also an option. Thanks

  6. FPL ElasticO
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Is it worth doing these transfers for -8??

    Doherty/ KDB/ Jesus >>> Robbo/ Sterling/ Kane

    1. Super Frank8
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      No way

      1. Mighty Banana
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Agreed.

        Feels very sideways.

    2. Releasebreaks
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      For -8 is too expensive

    3. have you seen cyan
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      wouldnt bother with the Doherty move, and Robbo is a doubt. The other two, I would do probably.
      And captain one of them (Kane is the differential cap pick if you are chasing)

  7. Super Frank8
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    https://twitter.com/FPLStatistics/status/1287085209436016640 highest ranked dead team this season ranked 29k. Relieved it's not higher

    1. Party time
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Wow

    2. g40steve
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      That just shows all the planning is wasted?

  8. Miguel Sanchez
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    A) Mahrez (NOR) -4
    B) Bruno (lei)

    1. Dash444
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      B

    2. Cojones of Destiny
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      B

    3. FOO FIGHTER
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      B

    4. TIME TO VARTY
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      A

    5. The Rock
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      B if you have a lead. A if chasing.

    6. Releasebreaks
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Not worth if not captain marhez

    7. Party time
      6 years, 2 months ago

      B

  9. FPL ElasticO
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Need Bruno replacement for 6.0 mil?? Any suggestions are welcome.....

    1. Jönny
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Dwight McNeil.

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Take a punt on Grealish. Nothing to lose...

    3. Cojones of Destiny
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Grealish, SOU mids

    4. TheDragon
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Soucek

    5. Amey
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Doucoure

    6. Boywiththesoupdragontattoo
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Trezeguet!!!!

  10. Kudo Warrior
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Quick Captain poll:

    A) Sterling
    B) D.Silva

    And why?

    Thanks!

    1. frenchfries
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      A
      Form, higher on the pitch, explosive.

      DSilva more likely to svare assists with KDB

    2. Dash444
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Sterling.

      If it turns into a goal fest Dilva will get a goal and two assists and Sterling will get two goals and one assist. Baps will be Sterling 3 Dilva 1.
      I’ve got them both so 1-0 incoming with Rodri goal, Gundogan assist!

    3. The Rock
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      You just need to look at the real actual captains poll.. Why would the results here be any different?

      Sterling. Best option and highest ceiling.

      1. Kudo Warrior
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Hence the "why?"

        Having a poll for quantative stats alone isnt as good as getting qualitative information as well.

    4. Kudo Warrior
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Thanks guys.

  11. Who are all Lukakus
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Is there a reason to pick other Utd over Greenwood?
    Imo Bruno Martial Rashford Greenwood all have similar chances to score points. With Greenwood's price it is such a no brainer for me.

    1. Vazza
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Correct. There’s no reason why the other Utd players would out score Greenwood

      1. Who are all Lukakus
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Amd also don't bench him because of his price. Rash Tony Bruno do not get bonus points for their higher prices 😉

        1. Who are all Lukakus
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          I mean instead of playing other Utd players and benching Greenwood (very popular in FH teams), why dont you just start Greenwood and use that money to upgrade elsewhere.

  12. jdp219
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    No FH, but 2FTs. Thinking this so as to maybe approach matching my ML rival, who does have a FH. I lead by 31.

    Vardy, Pulisic, Bruno > Wood, Sterling(tc), Dilva (-4)

    Rival will surely have Raz and Dilva. Maybe Kane, too, so the hit may pay off to have at least two of the three.

    1. jdp219
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Also means triple City with KDB.

    2. Dash444
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      If you’ve got TC left just get Dilva and/or sterling in without a hit and TC them and you should be ok.

  13. n-doggg
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Thoughts on this FH

    Martinez
    Robertson, pieters, lamptey
    Mane, Sterling, dSilva, martial
    Kane, Jesus, greenwood

    Saka, Rico, 3.8

    1. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Looking good

  14. Hitmonlee
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Who would you rather play

    A) Saiss (CHE)
    B) Williams (LEI)

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Siass

    2. The Rock
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Tough call. probably Saiss. Shaw could be fit so would be worried about Williams possibly coming on as a sub.

  15. Athletic Nasherbo
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Doherty + Willian > Pieters + Son -4?

    1. yalala
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Yea

  16. Legohair
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Which option is better???

    A. KDB&Bruno
    B. Sterling&7.5 midfielder(pulisic maybe)

    1. George Agdgdgwngo
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Sterling and Silva?

      1. Legohair
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Already own silva

  17. jakvin340
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Martial or Pulisic? Have greenwood already... bit worried united might just go for an easy draw, and seeing the wolves chelsea game as very open indeed.

    1. Amey
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Play Pulisic then

      1. jakvin340
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        certainly considering it, just wondering what the people are saying.

    2. Dash444
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I think Wolves will nullify Chelsea for a close/tight game and Leicester’s questionable defence but good on counter attack might make this 3-2?

      1. jakvin340
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        yeah okay, might stick with anthony. Cheers man

    3. Tozier
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Wolves' defensive stats are incredible and neither team can afford to lose. I don't see it being that open, could be wrong though.

  18. Megglemoo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Any views on whether TAA will be dropped for the last game?

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I hope not. Can't see any reason why

      1. Megglemoo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Give youngsters a run out?

  19. ViperStripes
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 17 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Which striker?
    a) Woods, level with Sheffield on points, so a league place to play for and on form.
    b) Deeney - relegation battle, relative form see tables in article.
    c) Giroud - clinging to top 4 by a thread.
    d) Jiminez, squabbling with Spurs for 6th..

    1. The Rock
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      None really stick out to me but probably Giroud. Then Jimi.

    2. Jonny HOW SON?
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      B out of those

    3. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Wood

  20. George Agdgdgwngo
    • 17 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    16 point lead in my ML.

    Rival has Bruno. Do I keep Bruno or ditch him for Antonio?

    1. Amey
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Keep him definitely

      1. Moderately content penguin
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Remind me what you did with him 🙂

        1. Amey
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          Sold
          It's ML though. Different circumstances Pingi bro 😀

          1. George Agdgdgwngo
            • 17 Years
            6 years, 2 months ago

            Yeah. That’s why I mentioned the ML. Might as well match as Bruno could haul

    2. have you seen cyan
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I wouldnt get Antonio

  21. JURGENAUT
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    I have Foden, KDB and Sterling (C)

    How many minutes do you guys predict Foden to play? And do you think he’ll score or assist? Worth taking a -4 to get rid of him if provided early team news are out and he is benched?

    Only 9 points ahead in ML, 0ITB

    Henderson
    TAA Aurier Pieters
    KDB Sterling (C) Martial Bruno Foden
    Vardy Ings

    Bench: Greenwood, 3.9

    1. _Ninja_
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I'd start Greenwood and bench Foden

    2. JURGENAUT
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I have a Bench boost which will just be with Greenwood unfortunately but yeah I’ll get his points too

    3. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      My guess is Foden will play 25-30 minutes at least, think he can outscore Greenwood in those minutes

  22. _Ninja_
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Best move here? Thanks

    A Vardy/Doherty -> Kane/Aurier (bench Foden) -4
    B Vardy/Foden -> Ings/Dilva (bench GW) -4
    C Keep Vardy, Doherty -> Aurier FT

    Pope Martinez
    TAA Doherty Bardsley Fernandez Taylor
    Salah KDB Bruno Martial Foden
    Vardy Greenwood Jesus

    1. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Could do KDB and Vardy to Sterling and Ings

  23. Rust Cohle
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Who to bench: Foden or Greenwood and why?

    1. _Ninja_
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Fpl scarface will leak early city news. if Fodens benched start GW

    2. Amey
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Okay Greenwood.
      Most in from striker in the game

      1. Amey
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Play*

      2. have you seen cyan
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        lol most in form? Kane says Hi and lol

        1. Amey
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          Check on FPL form filter
          Then LoL

          1. have you seen cyan
            • 7 Years
            6 years, 2 months ago

            but FPL tells me Thomas is a good option in my team when I want to replace Justin 😀
            I may as well put out a ouiji board

            1. Amey
              • 8 Years
              6 years, 2 months ago

              Thomas has United fixture.
              Greenwood has Leicester aged blackline. I won't suggest anyone to play Thomas but i would to play Greenwood.

          2. Vazza
            • 6 Years
            6 years, 2 months ago

            Haha! To be fair, Greenwood has a low xG going into this gameweek.

            1. Amey
              • 8 Years
              6 years, 2 months ago

              He's a fooking awesome finisher !
              Will always score less xG goals. Stats are overrated sometimes

  24. iL PiStOlErO
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    1. Question of the day(or the season) - keep Salah or get Sterling(TC)?

    P.s. Already own Dilva and KdB. If I keep Salah plan is Dilva(TC) then...

    2. Auba or Kane? Or even Lacca as a last day punt?

  25. KUNingas
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Money no problem

    A) Mahrez
    B) KDB

    1) Son
    2) Salah
    3) Antonio

    1. TheDragon
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      B2

    2. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      B2

  26. FPL AXE
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    There was a Twitter account that was mention in a podcast recently to get any early team news...it wasn't FPL rockstar...anybody got any suggestions for other good Twitter accounts for early team news?

    1. TheDragon
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Piers Morgan

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Scarface

      1. FPL AXE
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        That's it! Cheers!

  27. Releasebreaks
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    BB active

    1 FT, 0.8itb

    Pope Martinez
    TAA Digne Doherty Azpilicueta Aurier
    KBD Bruno Martial Pulisic Foden
    Ings Kane Greenwood

    A- Foden to Redmond - will probably have all players out

    B- Martial or Bruno to D.Silva

  28. XX SMICER XX
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Would you rather:

    A. Salah + Ings
    B. Son + Auba

    Already have Kane

    1. Gudjohnsen
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      B

  29. Bocaginge
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    I’m 11 points behind top spot in my ML. 1 transfer available and 3.3m ITB. Question is, should I make a change or go with what I’ve got?

    Reina
    Tarkovski, Doherty, Egan
    Martial, KDB, Sterling, Bruno, Pulisic
    Jimenez, Ings

    Martin, Greenwood, Lundstram, Fernandez

    Guy in front has Robbo, Salah and Vardy but no Sterling or Bruno

  30. Vazza
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Who will score more points -

    A. VVD
    B. Aurier

    I’m already maxed out on Man C and Burnley and have TAA in my team.