Scout Betting
12 September 2020 1184 comments
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We combine Fantasy football with a flutter in our weekly betting feature, which, like the Premier League itself, returns following a seven-week break.

There is always a great deal of uncertainty on the cusp of a new campaign. Will new signings bed in straight away or struggle to adjust? How will the promoted sides fare? Can any team break the stranglehold of the top two?

The imponderables make second-guessing difficult but we live in eternal hope that the data in our Premium Members Area can narrow the odds in our favour – both in FPL and beyond.

So we’re turning to the vast array of player and team statistics available on our site and that old unquantifiable, gut instinct, to again inspire a small bet or two ahead of the upcoming matches.

The odds featured in this piece are all provided by our official sportsbook partner, bet365.

But please always remember with gambling: when the fun stops, stop.

BORE DRAW AT BRAMALL LANE?

Wolverhampton Wanderers head north to face Sheffield United on Monday evening in the penultimate match of Gameweek 1.

These were two of the best defensive teams in the division last season, ranking fifth and fourth respectively for fewest goals conceded.

Only three clubs kept more clean sheets than the pair (13 each).

Wolves especially were in stingy mood towards the back-end of the campaign, registering clean sheets in nine of their last 14 matches – a period that coincided with the influential Willy Boly’s return from injury.

Were it not for John Egan’s 93rd-minute winner, the last meeting between these two clubs in July would have ended goalless.

A 0-0 stalemate is 11/2 with bet365 this time but if you’re a new and eligible customer and fancy a 1-1 (11/2) or a repeat of the Blades’ 1-0 victory two months ago (7/1), then bet365 will refund your stake through their Bore Draw Money Back offer if both sides draw a blank.

Bore Draw Money Back

Refund for any Soccer game that finishes 0-0 at bet365.

Applies to losing pre-match bets on any Correct Score, Half-Time/Full-Time or Scorecast markets. Bet restrictions and T&Cs apply. New and eligible customers only.

AUBAMEYANG AT HOME AT THE COTTAGE

Tipping up the man who has scored 22 goals in each of the last two seasons is hardly maverick stuff but it would be remiss not to mention Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang when is about to come up against a side he registered five attacking returns against in 118 minutes of football in 2018/19.

This is a different Fulham side to the one that flopped so badly in their last Premier League campaign, of course – although some things haven’t changed.

Right-back is a position that looks suspect and the Cottagers have moved to strengthen in that area with the capture of Kenny Tete.

The Dutchman only signed on Thursday, however, so it looks like one of Denis Odoi or Cyrus Christie – the two right-backs Fulham had at their disposal in their relegation campaign – could start at the weekend.

The west London side were the second-worst team for chances conceded and crosses conceded from their right flank in 2018/19.

Aubameyang is 5/2 to score first with bet365 but if you want a bit more bang for your buck, then Eddie Nketiah – fresh from a glut of goals on international duty and given the nod to lead the line in the Community Shield – is 9/2.

A repeat of either scoreline from the two sides’ 2018/19 meetings will pay big: 4-1 Arsenal is 25/1, while 5-1 to the Gunners is 50/1.

Incidentally, Tim Ream made more passes in the Championship than any other player last season, averaging over 70 a game – he’s 5/6 to make more than 46.5 with bet365.

THE TITLE RACE – HARE BEATS TORTOISE?

Moving away from the weekend action, it’s worth a quick look at the bet365 prices for the outright winner of the Premier League.

They are as follows:

  • Manchester City: 4/5
  • Liverpool: 9/4
  • Chelsea: 10/1
  • Manchester United: 16/1
  • Arsenal: 33/1
  • Tottenham Hotspur: 50/1

bet365’s League Winner Early Payout Offer means that new and eligible customer bets are paid out early if the team you back takes a lead of 10 points or more in the league.

Liverpool had achieved this by Christmas last year and it’s feasible that the Reds could again have a decent cushion by December this time around, with Manchester City’s opening nine fixtures far from straightforward.

That’s not to disregard the other top four contenders: Manchester United may still be a signing or two short of a serious challenge but let’s not forget that they were top of the Premier League form table over their last 12 matches of 2019/20, having gone undefeated and won eight of those games.

League Winner Early Payout Offer

Get your bets paid out early if the team you back takes a lead of 10 points or more in their league with bet365.

Applies to bets on the To Win Outright market on selected leagues up to and including 15th October 2020. Bet restrictions and T&Cs apply. New and eligible customers only.


For all the latest Premier League odds, visit bet365 and build your personalised football bet. 


Odds subject to fluctuation. 18+. Gamble responsibly: BeGambleAware.org


1,184 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. aapoman
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Davies/Dier or Saiss?

    If Saiss I'll have zero spurs assets and if Davies/Dier I'll have zero Wolves assets.

    1. Respect My Authoritah
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Saiss has better fixtures imo

    2. Nightrain_
      6 years, 1 month ago

      zero Wolves to start is okay, i'll start adding one in GW4

    3. The Pesci challenge
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Try to fit both

    4. Andy_Social
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Spudes away in Bulgaria then Romania might be a factor.
      Saiss could be threatened by the new guy. Coady maybe safer.

    5. Karan_G14
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I think Saiss

    6. Front 442
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Saiss

    7. casual
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I've gone with Davies. Worried about where Dier fits in Spurs team

    8. PapaWengzz
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Got with Davies

    9. Dybala10
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Same situation and went for Dier. Happy to hold off Wolves for a few games.

  2. King Kun Ta
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Time is ticking....looking forward to the new season. Please RMT!

    McC Ryan
    TAA WP Ayling Mitchell Tierney/???*
    Salah Auba (c) Son Soucek ASM
    Werner Mitro Adams/Wilson/???*

    Not to sure about those two *positions.....11 m to spend!

    Ta for the feedback and GL this season!

    1. Joga Bonito®
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Like it overall but if Soucek flops you’re going to be scratching for cash to upgrade. Also don’t love rotating keepers but that’s just preference.

    2. Nightrain_
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I think 2 rotating GK is not the best idea especially those 2 concede a lot
      I'll pick Lloris or Ramsdale and a fodder (Button)

      Tierney looks to play LCB so maybe Bellerin as RWB is better and cheaper ? Or just go Saliba

      Instead of Mitro/Adams, i prefer Ings/Davis but that's your call mate

      Good luck

  3. Michelle Davin
    6 years, 1 month ago

    A)ings and alli
    Or
    B)adams & son

    Thanks

  4. RossoneriHammer
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Sky team, what do you reckon?

    McCarthy

    Robertson
    TAA
    Doherty
    Saliba

    Antonio
    Barnes
    Pereira

    Kane
    Auba
    Werner

    1. RossoneriHammer
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Saint-Max or Barnes on Sky?

  5. Sterling Archer
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Save 0.5 itb or get son over havertz, have werner

    1. The Pesci challenge
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Son

  6. Aaa
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Any changes needed?

    Ryan/Walton
    TAA/Davies/KWP/Taylor/Douglas
    Auba/Salah/Pereira/ASM/Burke
    Kane/Werner/Adams

    1. beric
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Looks good

  7. beric
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Fantasy Football Scout Member8 Yearsjust now
    Think I'm all set. Good luck today guys, let me know your thoughts if you can be arsed.

    Ramsdale
    TAA Davies KWP
    Salah Auba Son Soucek
    Werner DCL Adams

    Steer, mitchel, taylor, bissouma

    1. Respect My Authoritah
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Looks good. Slight tweak I would make is Ramsdale+KWP to McCarthy+Egan as it gives you an extra 0.5 outfield.

      1. beric
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Think ramsdale could be in for a popesque season

        1. Respect My Authoritah
          6 years, 1 month ago

          There's potential but he's a class below from what I've seen. Makes good saves but isn't overly reliable

    2. The Pesci challenge
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Soucek as a 4th mid is not for me with the fixtures coming up

      1. beric
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I prefer him to ASM, gunna see how he does

    3. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Looks strong, good luck.

      1. beric
        6 years, 1 month ago

        You too

  8. GW1 Captaincy
    Gregor
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Auba - Ownership: 48.5%, Poll: 53.31%
    Salah - Ownership: 32.3%, Poll: 25.65%
    Mané - Ownership: 14%, Poll: 3.89%
    Werner - Ownership: 49.4%, Poll: 3.53%

    Those percentages for Salah are quite surprisingly low for me, are people paying too much attention to pre-season games or do you think his lack of output in recent friendlies and the Community Shield is a legitimate concern? Salah does love a home game and has scored in each of his 3 previous season openers! Aubameyang can generally be relied upon against lesser opposition though whilst those willing to punt on Sadio Mané could be handsomely rewarded.

    Who will be your FPL captain this week and why?

    1. beric
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Salah, for the reasons you mentioned. Cant be auba since he plays at 12.30 and thus it is forbidden.

      1. Gregor
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Haha, yeah I’m currently on Salah too.

    2. FPL_Crisis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Salah. 3/3 in opening day fixtures
      easier to go without to spread the funds

    3. Amey
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Salah & Home & Promoted Team.
      No brainer !!

    4. Respect My Authoritah
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Salah. Expecting Leeds to leave space behind

    5. Andy_Social
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Auba. The arguments re Auba v Salah are so equally weighted, that my decision came down to GW2 where Auba is the clear winner.

      1. MYNAMEISBigtopmark.sman
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Salah for the same reason.

        Auba gw 2

        Dont want to captain the same player twice on two weeks

    6. Dybala10
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Auba because they are playing Fulham.

    7. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Salah, can see an open game with a lot of goals

    8. Nightrain_
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Auba since their last away meeting ended up 1-5 with him putting 2 goals and in the last 3 games, Arsenal showing a strong result against top opponents. In 2018, Fulham conceded a staggering 80 goals and don't see any improvement in their defense

      Salah hasn't find his form yet and although I think Liverpool will win, it could be a 1-0 or 2-0 games and goal coming from the Robbo/Mane side and not Salah. Not to mention that Leeds could be good defensively

      1. Gregor
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Excellent points all round there.

      2. SwissWavey
        6 years, 1 month ago

        This. Exactly this.
        Oh, and I don't own Salah. But would be Auba in any case.

    9. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 1 month ago

      On Salah at the moment but Leeds were very good defensively last season, even better than Sheff Utd the season before. And I've just seen this stat:

      Auba has 12 goals and 4 assists in 13 games v newly promoted sides. #flattrackbully

    10. HollywoodXI
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Salah

    11. Werkself
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Auba - for all the reasons above plus his EO will be thru the roof, which means if you play him and don't C him you lose ground (relatively) for each point he scores.

      1. FPL_Crisis
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Not if he blanks and Salah scores 2

    12. Hairy Potter
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Salah

    13. mazzington☘
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I went with Werner for no other reason than the craic. Will have the rest of the season to play sensibly/with fear. A bit of Monday evening investment in a potential explosion of new talent in the league.

      1. Gregor
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Good stuff.

    14. waltzingmatildas
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Mané, like the Leeds fixture, and he has looked sharper. Plus I just prefer to see him do well!

    15. mazzington☘
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Had the armband on Auba, but I've gone with Werner for no other reason than the craic. Will have the rest of the season to play sensibly/with fear. A bit of Monday evening investment in a potential explosion of new talent in the league.

    16. Pieterke30
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Those willing to punt on Mané were not handsomely rewarded. Bad luck, yet again.

      1. Gregor
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        6 years, 1 month ago

        *could be* - this is based on the lower levels of ownership and number of people making him captain. Some people prefer to go for a differential and fair play to them if they do, I didn’t punt on Mané so it seems my luck is in.

  9. HST
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Morning scouts,

    Ryan & KWP

    or

    McCarthy & Justin?

    Thanks.

    1. PapaWengzz
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B

    2. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      6 years, 1 month ago

      McCarthy and Justin for me.

    3. Bank$y
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B

    4. HST
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Thanks all

  10. Miguel Sanchez
    6 years, 1 month ago

    We confident Soucek starts tonight?

    1. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah.

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        6 years, 1 month ago

        He seems pretty instrumental to how Moyes wants to set his side out.

  11. Zola
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Final decision:

    A) Salah and Saka
    B) Son and Havertz

    1. Shteve
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I'd nearly like to prefer B but having salah makes it so easy to get utd/city assets so I'm sticking with him

  12. Shteve
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Mccarthy
    TAA Bavies Justin
    Salah Auba ASM soucek
    Kane Vardy Mitrovic
    (nyland vinagre mitchell bissouma)
    0.5 ITB

    Any thoughts on what I should do to get rid of soucek - really don't want him!

    1. beric
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Why not?

      1. beric
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Id be more concerned about mitrovic

        1. Shteve
          6 years, 1 month ago

          I don't fancy him at all, especially with the fixtures. He OK and he's a threat from set pieces but, but players like that can go months without any returns.

    2. royals forever
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Do Kane > Werner Soucek > Ward-Prowse

      1. Shteve
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks, I'll think about that but I fancy Kane for some reason. I could do Vardy to Werner and soucek to JWP as I have 0.5itb

  13. Enyei
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Hey.. everyone! New player here.
    Can you please give inputs on my team. Good to go?
    McCarthy/Nyland
    TTA/Egan/Davies/Mitchell - Douglas.
    Havertz/Auba/Salah/Son/- Stephen.
    Werner/Mitro- Davis

    1. Dele
      6 years, 1 month ago

      G2G

      1. Enyei
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Ok..thank you.

  14. Bank$y
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Weeks of research, tweaking and fine-tuning, only for it to end this weekend with a dismal performance.

    But enough about my sex life.

    @banksyfpl

    1. NZREDS
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Lmao

    2. Eleven Hag
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Lol

      1. Bank$y
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Worth a follow? Made a Twitter. Good luck all

        1. NZREDS
          6 years, 1 month ago

          For sure!

    3. Joga Bonito®
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Twerking *

  15. Tarzan
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Please take a moment to RMT
    McCarthy - Nyland*
    TAA - Robertson - C Taylor* - Johnson - KWP
    Salah - Alli - Son - ASM - Soucek
    Vardy - Mitrovic - C Adams

    2.5 itb for Son to KDB
    *not playing in GW1

  16. royals forever
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Which is the better combo

    1. Ryan, Mitrovic
    2. Nyland, Wilson

    Any ideas would be welcomed

    1. heco87
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A of the options there. Also like Che Adams.

  17. Dele
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Good luck all! I’m fully locked in.

    Ramsdale
    TAA, KWP, Justin
    Salah(c), Auba, Dele, Havertz, ASM
    Werner, Mitrovic

    Button, Mitchell, C.Taylor, Davis

  18. NULL-X-VOID
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Final decision, the other 4.5 Def (Have KWP)

    Ayling, Dallas/ C Taylor / Vinagre

    (for the first 6 GWS, cuz high chance I'd do an early WC)

    1. beric
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Easy taylor

      1. NULL-X-VOID
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers Beric, currently on him.

    2. WVA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Taylor

  19. Dybala10
    6 years, 1 month ago

    I think most of us can tolerate the occasional gambling article and appreciate the income needed for this site, but it feels like this season FFS sold their soul and have gone too far. It says a lot how many people are peed off.

    1. beric
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Id sell my soul in a heartbeat if only i could find a buyer

      1. Amey
        6 years, 1 month ago

        What if the buyer is a Villa Guy ?

        1. beric
          6 years, 1 month ago

          If he's paying cash idgaf

          1. Amey
            6 years, 1 month ago

            Calls Epic 😀

  20. SpaceCadet
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Final puzzle.

    A. Egan soucek
    B. Justin asm

    1. WVA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

      1. SpaceCadet
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers

  21. Live Lad
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Nightmare having to drop one out of: Vardy, Kane, Werner.

    I'm quite set on Kane. Having Vardy won't give me Tierney. I can do but have only Mitchell to rotate with Soucek which is not good. So Vardy means Holding. Werner will allow me to have Tierney and 4.5 (Justin) to rotate with Soucek. My gut says Tierney and Vardy but can't have them both.. please help.

    1. NULL-X-VOID
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Vardy, easy. He's going to haul in GW1 itself

  22. WVA
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Long term please guys?

    A. Soucek Werner
    B. Pulisic Adams

    1. GreatCarragherReef
      6 years, 1 month ago

      a

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

    3. NZREDS
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Fancy Werner, think he’ll do well this season. Soucek is a decent option despite the fixtures

    4. Emp
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B

  23. HellasLEAF
    6 years, 1 month ago

    KWP, Justin or Vinagre to Davies

    Other defender is 4.0 (Mitchell)

    Bottomed:

    1. beric
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Probably vinagre

    2. Respect My Authoritah
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I'd lose Justin

    3. royals forever
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Vinagre

  24. Gubbins94.
    6 years, 1 month ago

    McCarthy Steer
    TAA Davies Lewis Justin Mitchel
    Salah Auba Alli Havertz ASM
    Werner Mitrovic Davis

    Thoughts on that team? Struggling to decide on Alli and Havertz v Son and DCL

    1. Dele
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Alli Havertz all day

    2. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Steer waste of a slot

    3. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Steer and Davis 2 non players not making cash. This is never successful strategy

  25. Ibralicious
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Is Maitland-Niles set to start? If so, I’d reckon definitely worth saving the 0.5 over Tierney once he cements his spot?

    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Based on Arsenal forum inconclusive so not risking

      1. Ibralicious
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Makes sense, cheers

  26. NULL-X-VOID
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Martial Golden Boot this year

    1. beric
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Could be, my moneysl on soucek though

      1. SpaceCadet
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Mines on mitro

      2. NULL-X-VOID
        6 years, 1 month ago

        wow a gamble like that could make someone really rich

      3. NZREDS
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Hahah I’d probably hang myself off the nearest tree! Just downgraded him to biss to put .5 away for ings>martial gw2

        1. NULL-X-VOID
          6 years, 1 month ago

          lol I've done that already and kept Martial on the bench, opting for Adams

    2. Amey
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Easily

  27. Billy Ketsu
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Oh dear. Bait and switch.

    I signed up again for membership as Mark was widely advertised as "returning" to the Scout. So far I've seen one short article and a fireside chat video with AZ.

    Instead, every other article seems to be about gambling, promoting betting sites or is trying to sell me something.

    Really poor, guys.

    1. 5678
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Loads of great players just revealed their current drafts and strategy, what more can you ask for man?

  28. Ibracadebruyne
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    6 years, 1 month ago

    A. Vinagre, Son

    B. Doherty, C Wilson

    Cheers!

    1. Redranger
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

  29. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Saliba or holding GW1 only?

    1. Binny
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Holding

  30. Nightf0x
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Which ?

    A) taa ali ings davis
    -ings to martial gw2, .5 itb, gw3 auba to kdb/sterling

    B) robo ali/son dcl adams
    -ali/son to rash gw2, itb 0, gw3 auba to kdb/sterling

    1. One for All
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A