Scout Notes
29 September 2020 1089 comments
DavidMunday815 DavidMunday815
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Burnley 0-1 Southampton

  • Goals: Danny Ings (£8.4m)
  • Assists: Che Adams (£5.9m)
  • Bonus points: Ings x3, Jan Bednarek x2 (£4.5m), Ryan Bertrand x2 (£5.0m)

Danny Ings (£8.4m) remains one of the most reliable forwards in the Premier League despite the £2.5m price hike ahead of the 2020/21 campaign.

The Southampton man added his third goal of the campaign in a 1-0 win at Burnley on Saturday, the most of any colleague and behind only Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.4m), Jamie Vardy (£10.0m) and an injured Son Heung-min (£9.0m) in the early stages of the Golden Boot race.

Crucially, Ings is still offering a degree of Fantasy value, despite that more expensive price for the new season. After three Gameweeks, he is inside the top 10 among forwards for points per million spent (2.6). As things stand, Harry Kane (£10.5m) and Vardy (2.7 and 3.2 respectively) are the only dearer forwards to outperform Ings in that respect.

However, the former Burnley and Liverpool man will have plenty of opportunities to soar up those rankings when Southampton host West Bromwich Albion in Gameweek 4.

The Baggies may have stunned Chelsea into a 3-0 half-time lead at the Hawthorns but they still conceded a further three goals of their own in the second half. That means Slaven Bilic’s men have given up 11 goals in their first three matches of the campaign. No English top-flight side has conceded that many goals in their opening three league games since Arsenal in 1963/64 (12).

While further attacking returns are very much on the cards for Ings on Sunday, one minor question that may hang over Ings from a slightly more long-term perspective is whether or not he can sustain goals on a short supply of shots.

While he has three goals in the last two matches, Ings has only taken three shots in that time. At Burnley on Saturday, the Southampton forward was limited to just the one effort. 

Once West Bromwich Albion are out of the way, the Saints face Chelsea (away), Everton (home) and Aston Villa (away), each of which could prove an important test of his Fantasy appeal for the rest of the season. If these sides keep Ings as limited shot-wise as Spurs and Burnley did, it might be difficult for him to continue the current run of form.

Frank Lampard’s men have certainly had defensive issues this year but after the international break, Edouard Mendy (£5.0m) will be considerably more bedded into the team, while Thiago Silva (£5.5m) will have settled in a little more too. It will be interesting to see if Chelsea can take a more assured defence into that Gameweek 5 fixture.

While Ings’ Gameweek 6 opponent Everton have kept only one clean sheet so far this season, a trip to Aston Villa in Gameweek 7 may prove challenging too. Dean Smith’s men are yet to concede this season, have four clean sheets in their last six Premier League outings, three of which came at Villa Park.

However, if Ings does come through this run with a handful of more attacking returns, then the Fantasy community are sure to take notice.

It has taken some time for owners of Che Adams (£5.9m) to be rewarded for their patience, although they might have hoped for more from the trip to Burnley.

The former Birmingham City man has been unfortunate thus far this season, recording the same number of shots in the box and big chances as Ings, but falling slightly short on accuracy. As a result, he is still without a goal this season and is usually one of the first to be replaced by Ralph Hasenhüttl in the second half. So far in 2020/21, Adams is yet to complete 90 minutes in the Premier League, averaging just over 79 minutes per appearance.

Like Ings, he was restricted to just one effort on goal at Turf Moor, although it would be sensible to assume he will be handed more opportunities by West Bromwich Albion’s leaky defence on Sunday.

Furthermore, while Adams is currently 14 Fantasy points behind Ings, Gameweek 3 once again highlighted the cheaper forward’s superior creativity compared to his strike-partner. Against Burnley, Adams registered his first assist of the campaign, having outperformed Ings for key passes thus far – which could bode well for the Baggies’ trip to St. Mary’s.

Considering that Alex McCarthy (£4.5m) remains the most popular Fantasy goalkeeper, currently sat in 18.7% of teams, Southampton’s defensive improvement in Gameweek 3 was a welcome one for many.

Having deployed a perilously high line at home against Spurs, Hasenhüttl dropped his back-four back considerably at Turf Moor. He also made one change, dropping Jack Stephens (£4.9m) to the bench, replacing him with Jannik Vestergaard (£4.5m).

That made for a much more secure foundation from which to operate in Gameweek 3, earning Southampton their first clean sheet of the campaign.

“It wasn’t a good start to the season but we have focused our work this week on the defence and it was fantastic to see how much they had invested today.” – Ralph Hasenhüttl

While Emi Martínez (£4.5m) certainly looks an attractive option moving forward, anyone hoping to hold their transfers and not spend a Wildcard may be encouraged by a few of McCarthy’s underlying numbers from Saturday.

The Saints’ goalkeeper was just one save short of an additional point at Turf Moor, while his total BPS score was just one away from pushing him into a share of bonus. A Gameweek 4 meeting with West Bromwich Albion might help him make a breakthrough on both of those counts.

That said, Southampton were helped in their clean sheet exploits no end by Burnley’s ongoing squad problems.

They came into Gameweek 3 without James Tarkowski (£5.4m), Ben Mee (£5.0m), Robbie Brady (£5.0m), Jack Cork (£5.0m), Johann Berg Gudmundsson (£5.4m), Jay Rodriguez (£5.9m) and Ashley Barnes (£6.0m).

Those absences left the Clarets rather short in every department and, with a large number of youngsters on the bench, Sean Dyche did not make a single substitution all night – almost certainly to send a message to the board.

“The chairman knows what is required. Action. We need players. It is a challenge though, here, it always has been. We have two experienced defenders on the bench and that is it. We are reliant on what we have. It is a challenge but we will have players back fit.” – Sean Dyche

Newcastle, Tottenham and Chelsea are three of Burnley’s next four opponents and if the Clarets do not improve their personnel problems between now and Gameweek 7, those clubs’ defensive assets certainly look like attractive prospects.

The ongoing list of absentees in Lancashire is helpful in one other respect: budget defensive options. Tarwkoski and Mee’s injuries have allowed Jimmy Dunne (£4.0m) to start two matches in a row now and, after two matches, the budget asset is actually Burnley’s top-scoring defender – useful for anyone Wildcarding right now.

Burnley XI (4-4-2): Pope; C Taylor, Dunne, K Long, Bardsley; McNeil, D Stephens, Westwood, Brownhill; Vydra, Wood.

Southampton XI (4-4-2): A McCarthy; Bertrand, Vestergaard, Bednarek, Walker-Peters; Djenepo (Tella 77′), Romeu, Ward-Prowse, Armstrong; Ings, Adams (Obafemi 77′).

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Lessons Learned from FPL Gameweek 3

1,089 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Cruz88
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Is Mahrez a decent replacement for Sterling if it means being able to upgrade Mitchell to Robbo? Or keep Sterling this week against Leeds?

    1. aapoman
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Keep Sterling

    2. Twisted Saltergater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      I wouldn’t do Sterling to Mahrez as you’re losing a captain option. Mahrez is at a funny price where you need him to return reliably but I’m not sure he will.

      Foden could be a more cost friendly alternative, though he did look a little lost vs Leicester.

      1. @persecuted_by_mods
        5 years, 9 months ago

        I wouldn't do sterling to Mahrez either but when has Mahrez not returned consistently? Probably before Leicester's title winning season? If he plays he scores well

    3. Ghost Ship
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      No one can really know this. He could do a son with four goals or disappear again like Werner. Personally I think 11.5 is too much for someone looking so out of sorts (regardless of whether they score) but I wouldn’t have Mahrez either based on one goal. Either stick or pick someone in form.

    4. Whazza
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      I think Leeds could be the perfect fixture for Sterling, he needs space

  2. Pompel
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Last week I thought Adams was a smart move over Ings, but tempted to a sideways transfer now, thinking long term. But this article got me thinking twice about shifting him.

    Is Ings really worth the £2.6 extra over Adams?

    A) yay
    B) nay

    1. drughi
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      100% yay

    2. Moderately content penguin
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Yes

    3. Twisted Saltergater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Definitely

    4. yash
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Yes

    5. Hybrid.power
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Yea

    6. Nightcrawler
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Penalties make it a no contest

    7. Pompel
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      txs all
      Might have to e for a hit of doing it this RGW, other fires to put out

    8. All about the galacticos
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      A

  3. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Don't have Ings but from the ones I have, thinking Jim (c) is the best bet next week.

    Salah playing AV away and they've improved since last season; KDB vs Leeds - too much uncertainty over City form and Leeds won't be easy ofc.

    Could maybe consider DCL along Jim.

    1. Whazza
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      I honestly think City attacker is your best bet if Leeds go ultra-attack as vs Pool they will concede 3-5 goals

    2. Twisted Saltergater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      I’m on Jimmy(c) too 🙂

  4. Twisted Saltergater
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 17 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Sold Son for Podence which now leaves 4m ITB. Team is at a bit of a cross roads; JRod/Foden can become Bruno if penalties are going to continue to be a theme, or I can shift the funds to TAA / Robbo after the Everton game.

    Martinez
    James, Saiss, Digne
    Salah, KdB, JRod, Foden, Podence
    DCL, Jimenez

    Forster, Lamptey, Mitchell, Brewster

    Who’s more pressing to get in?
    Ings, Richarlison, Bruno, TAA?

    1. Whazza
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Podence fit now?

      1. Twisted Saltergater
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 17 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        I checked Molineux Mix and they seem to think he’ll be fine for this weekend. It is definitely a risk transferring him in though.

        I looked at Pereira at 6m as West Brom have great fixtures but that wouldn’t leave me enough to do Foden > Bruno if I felt like doing that next week.

        1. Whazza
          • 14 Years
          5 years, 9 months ago

          Crikey, ballsy move. Eyeing up Foden and Jimenez for Son and Mitro myself

          1. Twisted Saltergater
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 17 Years
            5 years, 9 months ago

            Ballsy or plain stupid!

            I like those moves.

            As much as I enjoy watching JRod, if he doesn’t look getting attacking returns before Brighton then I’ll move him on to Bruno which leaves enough to do Digne to Robbo. In theory at least!

            1. Whazza
              • 14 Years
              5 years, 9 months ago

              Sounds great imo! I'm not on the JRod wagon but think he looks a great option for his price

              1. Twisted Saltergater
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 17 Years
                5 years, 9 months ago

                Yep, funds may be going on Liverpool defence, I think.

                Thanks for your input, mate!

    2. Moderately content penguin
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Robbo for me. Cs will follow. Poor error was all that prevented it this time and just as a mid I’d have him not far behind any of your 3 budget options.

      Handball pens will interfere slightly with cs but don’t see it as a significant issue. So far there’s been about 1 a week - Liverpool would have to be very unlucky to lose more than 2/3 cs over season for that.

      1. Twisted Saltergater
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 17 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Cheers Pingi! Son getting injured after a wildcard is a real spanner as it means I have to wait a week before shifting the funds.

        I was impressed with how Liverpool looked defensively vs Arsenal so will prioritise at least one of Robbo/TAA for after the Everton game.

        1. Moderately content penguin
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 9 months ago

          Lost Son as well from WC. Bit bullet are reverted to week 1 pairing of Soucek and Ings 🙁

          Going bigger at back compared to you leaving only one premium mid. Leaves me in a captaincy bind of course.

  5. Moderately content penguin
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    How did Ralph solve the problems?

    He played Burnley - an insipid attack that doesn’t threaten on the break and has zero pace to cause problems to the high line

    1. Jullepuu
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      I mean Wood scored a goal that was "offside"

    2. Twisted Saltergater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      They did seem to sit a little deeper but yeah, very much this.

  6. Von Lipwig
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    So gonna wildcard after next week I think. Who would be a good 1 week punt in defense? (Gotta replace Shaw) 5m to spend

  7. EgyptianKing
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Hi mates.

    Son —> Mahrez this GW

    Martial —> Kane after GW4

    What do you think?

    1. EgyptianKing
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Current team:

      Ramsdale
      Robertson, TAA, Dier, KWP
      KDB, Podence, Son, Salah
      Mitro, Martial

      Steer, Burke, Mitchell, Davis

    2. Twisted Saltergater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      I’m not bowled over by either pick. Mahrez streaky and a wait and see on Kane with Son being out.

      1. EgyptianKing
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Cheers.

        Mahrez with both Jesus & Kun out should be starting imo.

        Kane is a risk - differential I guess

    3. FOMFF
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      I like it.
      Kane will surely hit a streak (I'm hoping)

      1. EgyptianKing
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Cheers mate!

  8. Whazza
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Is FPL statistics not working for anyone else?

    1. _Make
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Yeah my prices keep dropping rather than rising 🙁

  9. aborg
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Mane or KDB captain this GW ?

    1. FOMFF
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      kdb

  10. OPTA FPL
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Lewis dropping tonight!!!

  11. yash
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Which site is accurate for price rises this season? was following fplstatistics but it seems a bit inaccurate.

    1. Whazza
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Is it working for you? Can't reach the site since yday

      1. yash
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Yes its working.

        1. Whazza
          • 14 Years
          5 years, 9 months ago

          Thanks

    2. All about the galacticos
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      fplstatistics is well off. If anyone is above 80% they are fair game to rise

  12. NorwichCityLad
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    When is the ffs app coming out?

  13. FOMFF
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Keep Kane or Werner?

    1. yash
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Kane

  14. TorresMagic™
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 17 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    For those who missed it overnight

    Last Man Standing GW3 (3598 teams)

    Safety score = 29
    Top score = 82
    LMS average = 43.43 (-1.89) = 41.54

    219 to be removed including 82 WCers, 3379 through to GW4

    To qualify, scores needed after hits are 39, 34 and 29 for GWs 1-3
    Code is 48n69x

    https://www.livefpl.net/LMS

    Congrats to all the survivors 🙂

    1. All about the galacticos
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      ouch, a high proportion removed were on WC. A brutal week

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 17 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        One WC scored 18.

        1. @persecuted_by_mods
          5 years, 9 months ago

          One of the lucky ones

  15. TFP
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Who's the best sub 6.3 or cheaper forward for the next few weeks? e.g. Mitro? Adams? etc.

    1. 2OLEgend
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Mitro

    2. Maeki2
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      adams good fixture, alot of chances

  16. Flair
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Difficult to see past the obvious Werner -> Ings move this GW. Banging in the goals, on penalties, tailsman who hogs that BPS. Also gives me 1M to play with as I see fit. I may hold though, hmm.

  17. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    What would you do here? 1 ft, 0.5m itb.

    A. Davies > Lamptey
    B. Save ft and have 2 after the break

    mccarthy
    taa davies taylor
    salah kdb bruno soucek
    ings dcl mitro

    nyland mitchell egan bissouma

  18. Flair
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    [Ornstein] Whispers after Chelsea drew at West Brom about a half-time incident involving Marcos Alonso. Emerges his reaction to being subbed left Frank Lampard the angriest some had ever seen him + Alonso’s #CFC future in doubt.

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      He left the ground after being subbed.

      1. Flair
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Correct. Lampard using abysmal tactics, continually playing him in a 4ATB.

  19. I Member
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    A) Robertson + Soucek
    B) Saiss + Barnes

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      B

    2. masterkyzz
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      A for days

  20. Traction Engine Foot
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Is Diangana an option for the next few? Looks pretty dangerous whenever I've seen him and the saving over Pereira would allow me to get Ings..

  21. matiakez
    • 15 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Davies and Werner to Jimi and Castagne worth a minus 4?

    I presume Davies' days are numbered now?

  22. Roy Rovers
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Who to give the C?

    A- Jimmi - FUL
    B - Werner - CRY
    C - Ings - WBA
    D - KDB - lee

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      C or D

  23. ymx
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Bruno + DCL/Mitro/Ings OR Zaha/Barnes + DCL/Vardy/Ings??

  24. Old Wulfrunian
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Podence and Marcal...neither are ruled out for the weekend. Marcal in light training. They'll see how they both get through this week before making a decision ahead of Sunday's game against Fulham #WWFC

  25. Almathkourq8
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Do you think its time for Wildcard ?

    McCarthy (button)
    TAA mitchel Dunne Justin (Saliba)
    Auba Rodriguez Son Mane (Stephens)
    Martial Ingsy (Brewster)

    1. luk46
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      no, only needs about 3-4 changes

      1. Almathkourq8
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        What changes u think I should do ?

  26. FOMFF
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Members area question - what stats do you pay most attention to when comparing two strikers?

  27. tankle
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    What to do with Son cash?

    a) 4.5 def. > Robbo (have taa)
    b) 4.5 def. > Saiss (have no wolves)
    c) Mitro > Ings
    d) C.Wilson > Jimenez
    e) Save (+ 4 points)

  28. Niho992
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Referee at Che-Palace will be Michael Oliver. Hmm maybe to keep Werner?

  29. Puntillimon
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    This team ok without hits right? And correct bench?

    McCarthy
    Trent robbo Taylor KWP
    salah foden soucek
    Jimenez kane Mitro

    forster Burke Mitchell son*
    2.0 ITB 0FT

  30. Miguel Sanchez
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Quick couple of questions here:

    Martinez
    Digne Saiss James Justin
    KDB Bruno Rodriguez
    Jimenez Ings Richarlison

    Button Grealish Bissouma Ferguson 0FT 1.1 ITB

    Captain:
    A) Ings (WBA)
    B) KDB (lee)

    Bench:

    1) Grealish (LIV)
    2) Justin (WHU)

    1. Puntillimon
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      KDB
      bench grealish

    2. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      B
      2

      1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        I meant play Justin