Scout Betting
21 November 2020 732 comments
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And so, the November 2020 international break is over: let us never speak of it again.

Still punch-drunk from Friday’s onslaught of team news updates, we’re swapping FPL flags for a flutter as we turn attention away from our injury-ravaged Fantasy squads and have a small punt on the weekend’s action.

Every Saturday morning, we combine our love of underlying stats with sheer gut instinct as we pick out a few sensibly staked bets on the upcoming top-flight fixtures.

The odds featured in this piece are all provided by our official sportsbook partner, bet365.

Please gamble responsibly and always remember: when the fun stops, stop.

The Fantasy Flutter: Betting odds on the weekend’s Premier League action 2

LEICESTER PIG OUT (ON GOALS?)

Let’s put things in perspective: even an injury-hit, under-strength Liverpool side will still give most teams a run for their money.

A club doesn’t go 63 home league matches unbeaten without having something about them and Jurgen Klopp’s troops have coped admirably without the likes of Trent Alexander-Arnold, Jordan Henderson, Mohamed Salah and Virgil van Dijk in the past.

They’ve seldom had to manage with all of them being absent at the same time, however, and there’s no question that Sunday’s clash on Merseyside gives Leicester City a better-than-usual chance of ending their winless 20-year run at Anfield.

The Foxes are no mugs, either: top of the table after eight Gameweeks, they have already beaten Manchester City and Arsenal on their own soil in 2020/21.

And so bet365’s enhanced odds on a Leicester City win of any scoreline at 3.90 (up from 14/5) does catch our eye this weekend.

Jamie Vardy – 4/1 to open the scoring, if you’re asking – is the usual source of goals from the Foxes.

But the absence of the usual personnel down Liverpool’s right flank is worth thinking about. Who deputises for Alexander-Arnold? Will there be adequate cover in front of the stand-in full-back? And without the threat of Mohamed Salah to push them back, will Leicester’s left-sided players attack with more abandon?

It could be Harvey Barnes operating from that flank at Anfield but it was set-piece specialist James Maddison in Gameweek 8.

As well as the usual first goalscorer odds (it’s 9/1 for the England international), there are other markets of note.

Maddison is 11/10 just to have a single shot on target (or more), while an assist from the playmaker is 4/1.

Maddison has already created five chances and supplied as many accurate crosses in just 270 minutes of football this season – both totals that are unsurpassed by any of his teammates, despite the fact many of them have had over twice as much game-time.

SPURS OF THE MOMENT

Harry Kane and Son Heung-min, the two highest-scoring assets in FPL this season, are both suffering net transfer losses ahead of Gameweek 9, with Son dropping in price on Saturday morning.

The main reason? A tough upcoming fixture run, starting with a clash with Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City.

As a result of the tricky-on-paper match, Spurs and their players are available at some attractive odds.

When was the last time that Kane, who has had more shots than any other Premier League player this season, was available at 5/1 to score first?

And Son, the division’s joint-top goalscorer, can be backed at 8/1 to break the deadlock.

While it can be hard to second-guess who will open the scoring in any given game, the bet365 first goalscorer market gives punters the opportunity to bet each way on their players, as one would in a horse race – the details of which are below.

Each Way First Goalscorers

Place an Each Way First Goalscorer bet on any Soccer match.

If your player scores at any time during the game in 90 minutes play, we will pay you out at 1/3 odds for unlimited places.

An outright Spurs win is 29/10 with bet365 and, if you’re looking for an even better price than that, bet365’s enhanced odds sees that tip over to 4.10.

The Lilywhites have been more conservative of late, scoring just four goals in their last three games.

And City have struggled to hit top gear this season: no more than two goals have been scored in any of their last five league fixtures.

So with Jose Mourinho potentially getting ready to turn the engine off on his Leyland Swift somewhere in the region of Spurs’ 18-yard box, 11/8 for under 2.5 goals at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium mightn’t be a bad shout.

TWO ON THE BOUNCE FOR CZECH?

We had some joy backing Tomas Soucek a fortnight ago – and we’re placing more faith in him again today.

West Ham take on Sheffield United on Sunday and the Blades have allowed more headed chances than any other top-flight club this season.

That’s a stat which could bode well for Soucek given that he sits top among FPL midfielders for headed opportunities.

The Czech international is 17/2 to score first against the Blades.

Elsewhere in the Premier League, Burnley v Crystal Palace doesn’t scream ‘goalfest’.

Burnley are looking a bit more solid with their first-choice centre-back pairing now fit and available, securing clean sheets in two of their last four games and largely frustrating Spurs in Gameweek 6.

They themselves have scored only one goal in the last six Gameweeks, however.

A Clarets clean sheet is 7/4 if you’re looking for a reason to watch what could be a good advert for the six o’clock news on the other side; a Palace shut-out, as it happens, is exactly the same price.

Bore Draw Money Back

Refund for any Soccer game that finishes 0-0 at bet365.

Applies to losing pre-match bets on any Correct Score, Half-Time/Full-Time or Scorecast markets. Bet restrictions and T&Cs apply. New and eligible customers only.



For all the latest Premier League odds, visit bet365 and build your personalised football bet. 

732 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. burnhilla
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Are there any 3.9 defenders that could drop in the near future?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      No

  2. drughi
    • 16 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    That KDB rise was so annoying, had everything planned now my moves must involve hits next week

    1. pablo discobar
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      He was on negative like -30%. Total fixing from fpl

    2. beric
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Yeah so irritating

    3. Tango74
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      I know we all wait for injury new but why wait till last last minute?

  3. andres
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Wc Team, not sure about the defence..

    Could swap martinez/kilman => maccarthy, targett but that would mean i have to bench targett ocasionally...

    Martinez (forster)
    Kilman Chilwell PVA (cancelo mitchel)
    Ziyech Grealish kdb bruno (soucek)
    Vardy DCL Watkins
    0.0 itb

    1. Black Knights
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Martinez best keeper. I’d personally downgrade Chilwell to improve kilman and Mitchell. If you go to James you could get Coufal and Lamptey instead?

      I’ve gone Dias, Cancelo, Coufal, Lamptey, C Taylor with Martinez, McCarthy.

      1. andres
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Chilwell so good though!

        1. Black Knights
          • 14 Years
          5 years, 7 months ago

          Is he? City, Leicester, Arsenal, spurs in the next 10. And leeds, Villa, Everton. And wolves and WHU.

    2. WE GO FOR IT
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      I like McCarthy and Targett better.

      1. Black Knights
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        But then you have to play McCarthy and then have City, Liverpool, Leicester, United, Arsenal twice in the next 12.

        Might get save points but Martinez can get saves and clean sheets.

    3. Homer21
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      G2G

  4. ZeBestee
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    I have decided to have fun; and use my FH chip.

    Fabianski
    Chilwell Cresswell PVA (AWB, Dallas)
    Rashford Bruno Ziyech Grealish (4.5)
    Richarlison Werner (C) DCL

    Anyone is welcome to shred this team apart or offer thoughts. No Pool, but Jota interests me.

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      I like Cresswell (see below) but would sooner double up on Villa defence than WHam.

      Otherwise looks good. PVA is either a very big hit or a very big miss!

      1. ZeBestee
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Thanks, how will u rate this team out of 10 for the gw

        1. Mufc202020
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 7 months ago

          Looks like a solid team, how much in the bank??

      2. Mufc202020
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Have to disagree on this. Sheffield United love not scoring goals at the minute and could easily see Brighton scoring against a villa side likely to attack and who have conceded 7 in their last 3 games.

    2. Homer21
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Not sure about Rash in there, maybe Rodriguez instead, but other than that , go for it

  5. Ha.
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Martinez (Ryan)
    Chilwell, Cresswell, Lamptey, Mitchell (Dallas)
    Ziyech, Grealish, Bruno (c) (Salah, Bissouma)
    Kane, DCL, Watkins

    Any hits required?

    1. Karan_G14
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      I would have done Salah to KDB for a hit.

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Yep that’s what I’m not 100% sold on yet

    2. ZeBestee
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      U think Mitchell starts?

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Not sure, but he either plays 90 or 0

        1. ZeBestee
          • 11 Years
          5 years, 7 months ago

          G2g then. Gl

    3. PL Ball
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      If you comfortable with keeping Salah, then no hits required.

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Next price rise doesn’t affect me and so I have a bit of time to decide

  6. b91jh
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Currently on wc and would spend 2ft on gw12 to bring Salah back. Means I got one extra ft before gw12. Should I take a punt on Telles (could escape in two weeks) or just stick on Cancelo?

    1. Vlekz
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Offensive punt looks sexier. I am punting on richalison

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Could be a good call.

  7. Karan_G14
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Thoughts on these transfers for a -8 next week?

    OUT: Kane, Son & Saiss

    IN: Aguero/Vardy, KDB & Cancelo/Dias

    Will captain the two attackers I get in GW10 & 11.

    1. WE GO FOR IT
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Could work. I'm doing Son to KdB next week as well.
      Kane to Vardy for a hit is in my thoughts but I prefer to keep one Spurs player. So, I would probably end up keeping Kane. Vardy is tempting. But I have too much value attached to Kane. Have him since GW1.

      1. Karan_G14
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        I have 0 value in Kane so I'm pretty tempted to take punt on Vardy(c) next week.

      2. Studs Up
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Tv is irrelevant if u think vardy will score more than kane

    2. Emp
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      like the first two not sure on the defensive guess it depends whom would come on for saiiss...

      1. Karan_G14
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        My defence is a joke mate.
        Need to upgrade one of Saiss, Kilman or Mitchell asap as even Lamptey has tough fixtures on the horizon. I feel Cancelo is that type of a defender who could outscore that -4 in one week.

    3. King Kohli
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Good moves with Vardy & Cancelo

    4. TorresMagic™
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      What if Spurs beat City?

      1. Karan_G14
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Then I will probably just get one of Vardy or KDB and Cancelo.

  8. Steve The Spud
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Big cyber attack on Man Utd

    Imagine the scenes if the game got postponed

    1. The FPL Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      It won't be

    2. PL Ball
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Stone already said game will be unaffected.

  9. aleksios
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Morning all.Best option here? 1ft 0.9itb.

    --Martinez
    --Robbo--Chilwell--KWP--Lamptey
    --Grealish--JRod--Bruno
    --Kane--Bam--DCL

    --Nyland--Mitcell--Salah--Burke.
    a) Mitchell to Coufal.
    b) Salah to Mane/KDB.
    c) Save ft.

    Thanks all.

    1. Bad Kompany
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      B or c. I’d probably do c but b could work out well if you want to play aggressively

  10. lekalatch
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Foden out for Jota for a -4?

    1. Bad Kompany
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Probably not for a hit

    2. LegendMoon
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      yeah go for it!!!

    3. Mufc202020
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      No

    4. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Talk about not learning the lesson.

  11. EmreCan Hustle
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    DCL or Bruno captain?

    I am very tempted to go with DCL, but Bruno will be very popular.

    Thoughts?

    Thanks.

    1. Bad Kompany
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Bruno

    2. Emp
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      bruno easiely

    3. EmreCan Hustle
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Thanks for knocking some sense into me. Clearly overthinking things. Cheers.

    4. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      DCL

  12. Bad Kompany
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Why is everyone going KDB over Sterling?

    1. EmreCan Hustle
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Penalties, bps and overall involvement.

      1. Bad Kompany
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Any worries that he will be off pens after the miss even though he made quite a few before?

        The one thing in sterling’s favor is that he tends to do best against the whipping boys and they have some great fixtures coming up

    2. Black Knights
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      More nailed, on pens, knows how to pass, run, and kick ball properly.

  13. King Kohli
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    How am I looking?

    Martinez
    Chilwell Konsa Coufal
    Sterling Bruno(c) Son JRod
    Vardy Dcl Bamford
    Steer Anguissa Kilman Mitchell

    1. Bad Kompany
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Gtg. Good luck mate. Better hope Everton get back on form

      1. King Kohli
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Hoping Everton hit their early season form again.
        GL to you too.

  14. Oggle22
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Martinez
    Kilman Konsa Chilwell Mitchell
    Son Rashford Ziyech Zaha
    Kane Wilson

    Steele Brewster Mitchell Salah

    A) Wilson to Watkins g2g
    B) Salah and Wilson to Bruno and Watkins
    C) summat else?

    Cheers

    1. fridge
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      If you have 1FT I would just do Salah > Bruno

  15. Erez Avni
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    I trying to understand what to do with Wilson....

    Martinez
    Chilwell Robo KWP (justin mitchell)
    Son Grealish Ziyech Bruno
    DCL Jimenez Wilson

    A. Wilson to werner for a hit
    B. Wilson to richarlison for a hit
    C. keep

    1. zotter
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Only sell for hit if that move is something you want for medium term. Otherwise that player is gonna have to get six just to break even

      I would say no as you might want to stack funds to get some city

  16. burnhilla
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Would you captain Vardy or Salah GW12 if you had both?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Vardy (BHA) or Salah (ful) - Salah easily

    2. zotter
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Worry about that then !! Probably salah if pushed

      1. burnhilla
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        It affects my transfer plans. Whether I will get Salah back for GW12 or not.

    3. Bad Kompany
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Depends on how they do in the weeks leading up to it. I’d lean salah right now

    4. Karan_G14
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Salah

    5. BobbyDoesNotLook
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Salah easy

      1. BobbyDoesNotLook
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Better fixture and more reliable.

  17. fridge
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Morning early risers, anything worth a -4 below or good to go?

    McCarthy
    Chilwell. Taylor. Lamptey
    Bruno (c) Son. Ziyech. Zaha
    Kane. Jiminez. DCL

    4.0. McCarthy. Dallas. Douglas

    1. Emp
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      g2g

      1. fridge
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Ta

    2. Mufc202020
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      G2G unless you can be tempted to bring in Vardy aganist a weak Liverpool defence for Kane who’s got a tough few games ahead, also I imagine mourinho will be very defence aganist Man City.

  18. Who Ate All Depays?
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Any changes worth for a hit with 1.5m itb?

    Leno
    Justin, Balbuena, Chilwell
    Bruno, Rashford, Son, Ziyech
    Kane, DCL, Wilson
    (Macey, Mitchell, Lewis, Reed)

    1. fridge
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Looks good

  19. el polako
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Since this season been branded by many as a "season of casual" should not bother looking at any underlying stats (shots from outside box, chances created, chances conceded etc) and just simply check points score in home games for Grealish vs Bruno Fernandes ?

    1. Black Knights
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      I feel like any time people don’t do well, they say it’s a season for the casuals. It’ll level out eventually.

    2. Bad Kompany
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      That one poster has called it that for the past 3 years. People just say that as an excuse

      1. Homer21
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        This

  20. zotter
    • 16 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Couple of questions if I may

    Best captain from

    A. Werner
    B. Grealish
    C. Dcl
    D. Rodriguez

    Bench two of

    1. Dallas
    2. Klich
    3. Lamptey
    4. Brewster
    5. Kwp

    Thanks

    1. Bad Kompany
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      I actually quite like A. Bench Dallas for sure. Other one is tight

  21. AC Pilkington
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Which is a wiser move?

    A) Son to KDB (-4)

    B) Kane to Vardy (-4)

    C) Hold Son and Kane this week

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      C

    2. zotter
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      C

    3. Karan_G14
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Make both those moves for -4 next week.

    4. fridge
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Wiser is C

  22. Captain Vantastic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    How's it looking guys?

    Martinez

    Chilwell. Robertson. Digne.

    Grealish. Bruno(c) Zaha. Son

    Kane. DCL. Bamford

    Subs: McCarthy. Mitchell. Justin. Stephens.

  23. AC Pilkington
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Is Fabinho injured too?

  24. corderz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Anyone else thinking of Hamez captain or have I just not had enough sleep?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Not great away from

      1. corderz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Yeah but Fulham though.....

  25. Emp
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Please choose an option from gw9-12( home fixture capitalized)

    A. Son (MCI), Kdb (BUR,FUL,mnu)
    Bamford(ARS,eve,che,WHU)

    B. Ziyech ( new, SPURS, LEEDS, eve)
    Werner ( new, SPURS, LEEDS, eve) ( -4)

    B is for an additional hit, please just ignore captaincy implications with or without kdb as it gets too complicated I would only be looking then to bring in city cover at home to wba gw13.

  26. Weilong7
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    ziyech, grealish or even zaha for son?
    can bring in 2 if i decide to change salah too..
    2FT

    thanks

  27. JY84
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Is it a danger to go without any Chelsea attackers for the nx few weeks??? My current WC squad is:

    Martinez
    Coufal Cancelo Kilman
    Grealish Zaha KDB Bruno
    DCL Watkins Werner

    Still got 2m remaining... Tempted to put Vardy in my squad for Werner but that wld leave me with no Chelsea attackers for tis week... I cld upgrade Zaha to Ziyech too but tis would also leave me with insufficient $$ to get Salah back into my squad.... Wat do u all think??

  28. JurgenRodgers
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    -12 done

    Steer - Button
    TAA - Chilwell
    Salah - Fernandes (C)
    Trossard - Grealish

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Good luck

    2. Karan_G14
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      You should recover that -12 this week only.

    3. PL Ball
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Steer - Button?

    4. sminkypinky
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      I took a -8 for
      Kane, Trossard, Podence -> Bamford, Grealish and Bruno. Worth it imo...

      But! Would you still take a hit for Salah -> Ziyech / KDB / Mane etc? I didn't and am playing Kwp atm.

    5. Abaddon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Wow. Steer to Button. A transfer i thought i never would see. What did that enable?

      1. sminkypinky
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Grealish i bet

        1. Abaddon
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          5 years, 7 months ago

          Of course. Let’s hope Jack perfoms then

  29. Sanchit
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    What to do with Son and Kane?
    A. Son to Ziyech?
    B. Kane to Werner?
    C. None

    Everytime I try to look at stats for who to bring in instead of these two, I actually end up thinking it's criminal to sell them. Kane has 15G+A in 8 games!

    1. sminkypinky
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      You are spot on!

      I took Kane out for a hit but it made my other moves possible which imo bettered my team as a whole and the three brought in will imo collectively score more tha Kane and them two twats I had before.

      Base your action on logic and if you decide keeping is the best course of action, stick with it no matter how unpopular it is here.

  30. b91jh
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Should I go Jrod over Ziyech for two weeks and then get the latter at GW11?

    1. b91jh
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      On wc*

    2. Mufc202020
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      do you have any chelsea or Everton players already?