Dugout Discussion
27 December 2020 1326 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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Pascal Struijk (£3.9m) replaces an injured Liam Cooper (£4.4m) at the heart of Leeds United’s defence in an otherwise unchanged line-up from the side that lost 6-2 to Manchester United.

They face Burnley just two days before the festive chaos takes them to West Bromwich Albion, yet head coach Marcelo Bielsa has decided not to rotate popular FPL assets such as Patrick Bamford (£6.4m), Stuart Dallas (£4.7m), Mateusz Klich (£5.5m) and Raphinha (£5.4m).

Captain Cooper left proceedings at Old Trafford with an abdominal injury to worsen the defensive crisis that has seen Robin Koch (£4.4m) ruled out until March and Diego Llorente (£4.4m) suffer muscular problems, therefore moving Luke Ayling (£4.5m) into centre-back and restricting his attacking potential. Instead, Dallas has surged forward to score in their last two matches.

The Whites play an entertaining style of rock and roll football that has brought at least five goals in six of their 14 league matches this season. Only Liverpool have been involved in more goals than their 54, also ranking second to the champions for both goal attempts and xG (expected goals).

They have more shots inside the box than all others, yet defensively they are third worst for shots conceded and their xGC (expected goals conceded) is only ahead of West Brom.

Such statistics are encouraging for Bamford’s owners, as they suggest his fantastic return of nine goals and three assists is not a purple patch. The standout cheap striker, his 47 shots in the box is a league high. Bamford will face his former club, having made six appearances for Burnley during the 2016-17 season.

However, opposing him is Charlie Taylor (£4.5m), a man who started his career at Leeds and played 93 times at left-back before moving to Turf Moor. On many FPL managers’ radars right now after four clean sheets from seven matches, Taylor assisted Ashley Barnes’ (£6.0m) goal against Wolves last Monday.

Manager Sean Dyche has also resisted Christmas rotation, despite also having just one full day of rest before hosting Sheffield United. Their only changes from the 2-1 win over Wolves remove two players that received knocks that night – Dwight McNeil (£5.7m) and Robbie Brady (£5.0m). In their place comes Josh Benson (£4.5m) and the out-of-position Erik Pieters (£4.3m).

Burnley are unbeaten in four matches, picking up momentum as they attempt to escape a relegation fight. Underlying stats are still poor, with the fewest goal attempts in the league (117), fewest on target (36) and third fewest set piece attempts. They rely on Nick Pope (£5.4m) and Chris Wood (£6.2m) to step up and haul them up the table.

Leeds United XI: Meslier; Dallas, Ayling, Struijk, Alioski; Phillips, Klich; Raphinha, Rodrigo, Harrison; Bamford

Burnley XI: Pope; Lowton, Tarkowski, Mee, Taylor; Westwood, Brownhill, Pieters, Benson; Wood, Barnes

FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

1,326 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Jdpz
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Rodrigo......

    1. @persecuted_by_mods
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Rodrigford

  2. b91jh
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Raphinha or Harrison the better pick?

    1. @persecuted_by_mods
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Harrison will miss the chances raphina creates, take your pick

      1. Camzy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Harrison actually the more creative of the two. Raphinha more goal threat.

        1. @persecuted_by_mods
          5 years, 7 months ago

          That doesn't fit the narrative of my joke from today's performance 🙁

    2. Sanchit
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Raphinha based on eye test

    3. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      R

  3. ‘Tis the Season
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Play Watkins against Chelsea or Soucek against Southamton?

    1. Begbie.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Watkins

    2. Brehmeren
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Watkins, of course

    3. ‘Tis the Season
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Thanks Both

  4. gonzalocampos
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    KDB and Welbeck to Raphina and Kane for -4? or just KDB to Son for free?

    1. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Son

    2. ‘Tis the Season
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      I did Kane for welbeck & KDB for Soucek. Raphinho a good choice but already have Bamford and Alioski so swings and roundabouts for me

    3. Dynamic Duos
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      RK

  5. BeWater
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Barnes running Zaha close for the biggest moaner in the league.

    1. Begbie.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Bet even his teammates can't stand him.

      1. BeWater
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Unlikeability factor is off the charts with him.

    2. @persecuted_by_mods
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Zaha
      Grealish
      Barnes

      I could never be a ref I'd be telling each of them to stfu for 90 minutes

    3. how now brown cow
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Not in Fudgy's league though.

    4. The Big Fella
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      What has he done?

  6. Silecro
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    I have been told Chris Wood will have a field day against atrocious Leeds defence. I have been lied.

    1. Jam0sh
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Can't remember Wood having a field day against anyone

      1. Silecro
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Cannot argue that

    2. Fudgy
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Exactly the same. Was a top recommendation from the 'experts'.

    3. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Only half time yet.

    4. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      You’d be silly to follow that advice.

    5. @persecuted_by_mods
      5 years, 7 months ago

      It's been 45 mins and he's had 2 threatening headers that were close, not like it was a completely terrible prediction

  7. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    FH18, BB19

    A) Taylor, Balbuena, Cancelo
    B) Taylor, Dallas, Stones +0.3 ITB
    C) Justin, Dallas, Stones +0.1 ITB
    D) Dallas, Kilman (WBA GW19), Cancelo

  8. The Train Driver
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    When do we find out who our cup opponent is?

    1. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      "The top 4,194,304 scoring teams in Gameweek 16 will qualify for the cup."

      Hence, after GW16 but before GW17.

      1. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Realistically it means 31st December.

        1. The Train Driver
          • 11 Years
          5 years, 7 months ago

          Oh, I misread that and thought the cup started at gw 16. Cheers.

    2. Ron_Swanson
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      I’ve never made it past two rounds of the cup. No reason to think this season will be different either!

  9. Fudgy
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    I've completely jinxed wood

    1. Viprin
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      I think he was already jinxed before this

      1. BobbyDoesNotLook
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        How can you negatively jinx someone who has scored two goals or something like that.

  10. MOZIL
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    is Sterling a keep or sell?

    1. ivantys
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      I'm keeping Sterling over KDB

  11. Flair
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    What a fun game this has been so far

  12. F_Ivanovic
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Elneny, Smith Rowe or Bissouma? Thinking of replacing my 3rd mid Dale Stephens who never plays so that I can a) actually have someone on the bench next week b) have 11 players for GW18.

    Bissouma the safest option but .1m more expensive and the least likely to get any returns off the bench (or in 18 when i need him) Elneny has started quite a few games but is also not too likely to get any returns as a DM. And then Rowe has only played once this season but it was this week in a win to Chelsea and he got a return - surely he starts more going forward? Seems a bit of a massive gamble though.

    1. Delhidynamo
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      I like Smith Rowe at 4.4, there's competition from Willock but he should keep playing if he keeps performing

    2. Huddersfield
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Get Burke.

      1. F_Ivanovic
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        I considered Burke a few weeks ago when I was also thinking of replacing my 3rd mid...probably a good shout.

  13. S.Kuqi
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Kdb-> Rashford
    Dcl-> Vardy

    Thoughts? Fh18 / tc19

    1. antis0cial
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      I’m considering similar but going Kane for 2 then Kane to Vardy I think. Rashford flagged too but didn’t look an issue in match.

    2. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      I like it

    3. Cruyff's Eleven
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      I'm considering the same, just the potential for Vardy to be rested next GW bothers me.

      1. S.Kuqi
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Was thinking to bring him in for Newcastle game

  14. BobB
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Is Martinez nailed, or would you do him with Heaton on a w/c to be sure?

    1. Volley127
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Absolutely nailed.

    2. @persecuted_by_mods
      5 years, 7 months ago

      He's nailed, other than an atrocious run of form but then you could say the same about every single keeper in the league

  15. Cahill
    • 16 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Do we like Grealish -> Maddison this week to prepare for DGW19?

    1. Flair
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Much prefer Grealish long term

      1. Cahill
        • 16 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Me too but next few fixtures tricky and DGW fever

  16. Marvin.
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    There's a lot of Wood bashing going on at the moment.

    1. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Getting out their frustration.

    2. Perthite
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Euphamism alert?

  17. DA Minnion (Former great)
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Any news on Coufal?apart from the baby news.

    1. @persecuted_by_mods
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Patience

    2. abk
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Hoping he's out but I think he'll play today. No news other than that tweet

  18. BeWater
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    I bet when Martin Tyler opens a yogurt pot he screams 'AND IT'S LIVEEEE!!!!'.

  19. JBG
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    I just saw the Burnley goal that got disallowed, saw nothing wrong... Weird how the ref disallowed it. It's Mesliers fault he jumped out as he did and missed the ball completely, Mee(?) did not wrong when he went up for the challenge with Meslier.

    Saying this as a Dallas owner btw.

    1. Tanaka'd
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      I'm a Leeds fan and that was not a foul.
      Refs whistle put Ayling off his clearance though

  20. puhd
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    KDB and Brewster out
    Soucek/Raphina and Kane in

    Thoughts?

    1. puhd
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Maybe Vardy instead if Kane

      1. BeWater
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Good moves. I'm doing KDB to Raphinha already and will be doing Brewster to Kane as well.

    2. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      I'm toying with that, but I'll wait for Spurs & West Ham to play before asking around.

  21. Begbie.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    That penalty was quality from Bamford

  22. Luis Suarez Ate My Homework
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Help! On a wildcard.

    A) Robertson + Firmino (No Leicester coverage)

    or

    B) Zouma/Chillwell + Vardy (Only Salah)

    Thanks.

    1. JONALDINHO
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Robertson + Martial?

  23. aidmata
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    McCarthy Areola

    Dallas Coufal Balbuena Lowton Robertson

    Salah Raphina Bruno Rashford Soucek

    Kane Bamford Adams

    How's this looking for a very templatey WC for BB GW19 - all chips intact. Exact cash so not much room for changes..

  24. Kane Train
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Which one?

    A) Bamford, KDB & Son
    B) DCL, Grealish & Son

    1. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      One without KDB or DCL ideally.

      B.

    2. Essan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Definitely A) Although not sure at the moment on KDB

  25. OptimusBlack
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    If Salah play 90 Minutes tonight would u get him for GW 16 or wait another GW ?

    1. JONALDINHO
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Get him. Game isn’t for another 3 days. Salah well capable

      1. Lord.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        ... and he’s had his rest.

    2. OptimusBlack
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Cheers

  26. mr messi
    • 16 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Kane or Vardy for DCL? Thinking Vardy for the dgw

    1. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Vardy

  27. JBG
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Really want Vardy in this GW, but Rodgers comments makes me so unsure. Might go for Martial :/.

  28. Pep Roulette
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    WE WANT ANTONIO

  29. ClassiX
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Given Coufal just became a dad now, it's not hard to figure out how he and his missus were trying to cope with initial lockdown...

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Coufal isn't Messi so let's leave him alone 😉

      1. ClassiX
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        😆

    2. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Correlation does not imply causation

      They could have been underperforming their Xb (Expected Baby) for a few months & just coincidentally regressed to the mean

      1. ClassiX
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Thank-you - that elicited a genuine chuckle. 🙂

  30. Flair
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Predictions for the final result?

    2-1

    1. JBG
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Think it will stay 1-0.

      1. MOZIL
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        3-0

    2. OptimusBlack
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      I want Dallas CS