Spot the Differential

Armstrong a FPL differential for Gameweek 6 and beyond

Gameweek 6 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more Fantasy Premier League (FPL) differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Southampton, West Ham United and Everton who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

ADAM ARMSTRONG

  • FPL ownership: 3.0%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW6-10 fixtures: WOL | che | LEE | BUR | wat

Adam Armstrong (£6.0m) has made a promising start at Southampton after joining for a reported £15m in August.

The 24-year-old took the Championship by storm last season and was second in the scoring charts with 28 goals in 40 appearances. He also registered 189 shots, more than any other player in the English leagues.

Now at Saints, he will need time to adapt to top-flight football, but has already scored against Everton and supplied an assist at Newcastle United. He also thought he’d won his side a penalty at Manchester City last weekend, only for it to be overturned by the referee at his pitch-side monitor. Blanks have arrived in three of his five fixtures, then, but it is worth noting the opposition that he is faced during that time, which has also included games against Manchester United and West Ham United.

Despite those tricky fixtures, his underlying numbers remain solid. Amongst all forwards, he ranks second for shots (16) – only trailing Michail Antonio (£7.9m) – with 11 of those attempts arriving inside the box. His 1.46 expected goals (xG) total, however, is trumped by 11 others.

Following last weekend’s 2-0 loss at home to Brentford, it’s hard to know which Wolverhampton Wanderers will turn up in Gameweek 6. The Molineux outfit’s defensive numbers have generally been good this season, but they have managed just one clean sheet during that time. A move for Armstrong also feels like more of a long-term play, given his fixtures from Gameweeks 8 to 12: Leeds United (h), Burnley (h), Watford (a), Aston Villa (h) and Norwich City (a).

At Man City last weekend, Ralph Hasenhüttl’s side were superb, and with fixtures now easing, Armstrong could emerge as the best budget forward to own in Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

KURT ZOUMA

  • FPL ownership: 1.1%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW6-10 fixtures: lee | BRE | eve | TOT | avl

West Ham United’s new signing Kurt Zouma (£5.4m) has impressed in his two appearances for the club, and quickly established himself as a key part of David Moyes’ backline.

After watching from the bench at Southampton in Gameweek 4, the 26-year-old featured from the start at Dinamo Zagreb last Thursday before facing up to Cristiano Ronaldo (£12.7m) on Sunday. Despite the Hammers conceding twice in that latter game, his performance was excellent, as he made 12 clearances as well as two crucial interventions to stop Man Utd adding to their tally.

While Zouma’s forthcoming fixtures – at least on paper – don’t scream ‘buy me’, it’s worth noting that none of his opponents are exactly firing on all cylinders going forward, while defensively, West Ham aren’t easily broken down, with the effective Declan Rice (£5.0m) and Tomas Soucek (£5.9m) screening the back four.

There is also potential for Zouma to deliver attacking returns. 

Despite limited minutes in 2020/21, he scored five Premier League goals at Chelsea, while his headed attempts per 90 minutes total was only trumped by Harry Maguire (£5.4m). That suggests that he could get some joy from set-pieces this weekend, against a Leeds United side who could be four centre-halves down and have already conceded twice from dead-ball situations this season, plus 15 times in 2020/21 – the most in the division.

Zouma could take advantage of those weaknesses, then, and be a nice differential punt with just 1.1% ownership.

ABDOULAYE DOUCOURE

  • FPL ownership: 3.2%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW6-10 fixtures: NOR | mun | WHU | WAT | wol

Abdoulaye Doucoure (£5.5m) has hit the ground running so far this season, with a goal, three assists and 27 FPL points to his name already.

The Frenchman was predominantly used in a deeper midfield role in 2020/21, but has thrived after being handed more attacking responsibility by Rafa Benitez. That has been especially apparent when Everton use a 4-3-3 formation, which enables Doucoure to roam and have more influence in the final third.

He has also impressed defensively, as he leads the way amongst all midfielders for ball recoveries (45) and ranks in the top 10 for aerial duels won.

There will understandably be reservations about investing in the Toffees’ assets after their heavy loss at Villa Park in Gameweek 5, but I do think that it was a more even contest than the scoreline maybe suggested, while it’s also worth noting that the defeat was their first of the campaign.

Encouragingly for Everton’s forward players, this weekend’s opponents – Norwich City – have made plenty of defensive mistakes since returning to the Premier League. Across their five opening matches, they have conceded 14 goals, and while they have had a tough start against Liverpool, Man City, Leicester City and Arsenal – they struggled against Watford last weekend, giving up six big chances in the process.

With Benitez’s gameplan based around getting lots of crosses in the box via the impressive Andros Townsend (£5.4m), Demarai Gray (£5.8m) and Lucas Digne (£5.4m), Doucoure could thrive this weekend, and given that three of his next four fixtures at home, could be an effective midfield differential.

avfc82 https://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/818/history”

296 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Attaka
    • 7 Years
    7 months, 25 days ago

    Draft league question guys. Who would you rather have long term?

    A) Digne + Jimmy
    B) Alonso + St Max

    TIA!

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      • 2 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      B

    2. Lord of Ings
      • 6 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Out of those probably A

    3. Pep bites Kun
      • 5 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      If we can presume Alonso is relatively nailed, then B. A are not performing now, so shouldn't be an option until they do.

      It could be argued that both options are not good long-term.

    4. EugeMurts
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Neither option I like

  2. No Salah
    • 4 Years
    7 months, 25 days ago

    I like Barnes chances for the next two.

    Would you do Greenwood / Bruno to Barnes for -4?

    1. TheBiffas
      • 1 Year
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Absolutely barmy

    2. Lord of Ings
      • 6 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      I like Barnes too but is he worth a hit?
      I’m really considering Torres —>Barnes (-4)

    3. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Absolutely barmy

    4. No Salah
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Who to get rid of first?

      Bruno or Greenwood?

    5. Carlton P
      • 6 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Whaaat?? -4…for 2 games?!!!
      For a United midfielder???!!!!

    6. DavidBadWillie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Bruno to Harvey Barnes -4

      Good one pal, why not wipe your ass on your clothes then wear them??

  3. TheBiffas
    • 1 Year
    7 months, 25 days ago

    I'm looking at Gallagher for my third mid slot in a 4-3-3 WC, but his fixtures aren't great and I wouldn't be able to bench him unless it was for a 4.5 mid. Does it make sense to switch to a 3-4-3 for more flexibility?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      I'd switch

    2. Alisson WondHaaland
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Make it a 343 / 433 with Gallagher as 4th mid. You can rotate between benching Gallagher and a defender

  4. Lord of Ings
    • 6 Years
    7 months, 25 days ago

    Is Torres to barnes for -4 worth it?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Absolutely barmy

    2. TheBiffas
      • 1 Year
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Absolutely barmy

    3. Little Red Lacazette
      • 5 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      No

    4. Wild Card this!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      No

  5. G054
    • 9 Years
    7 months, 25 days ago

    HELP!

    This is the team at the moment:

    Sanchez
    Tierney - Coufal - Shaw (Ayling, Manquillo)
    Salah - Bruno - Odegaard - Raphinha (bissouma)
    Ronaldo - Antonio - Armstrong

    I have 2 FT

    Thinking of Benrahma for Raphinha & Bruno for Son/Mane

    Honestly I don't mind holding on to Bruno but I have a feeling Son might step up now.
    Also unsure of Raphinhas situation so Benrahma seems like the most logical choice.

    Any advice?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Any cash?

      1. G054
        • 9 Years
        7 months, 25 days ago

        0.5 in the bank!

        1. Fulchester's New Centr…
          • 4 Years
          7 months, 25 days ago

          Hmmm. No interest in best player in the game? (rhymes with tent)

          1. FOO FIGHTER
            • 2 Years
            7 months, 25 days ago

            This!

          2. FOO FIGHTER
            • 2 Years
            7 months, 25 days ago

            Bettter than any 7 to 10m mid hands down.

    2. DAZZ
      • 7 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Why Benrahma?? Isn’t he going to become a rotation risk? Surely Sarr better?

      1. G054
        • 9 Years
        7 months, 25 days ago

        Didn't play midweek, so starting for sure.
        Also Leeds are in trouble at the moment so West Ham winning highly likely

    3. FOO FIGHTER
      • 2 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Ben to Raph yes

      Bruno to Mane or Son a bit side ways but Mane is in form so he would be my choice.

      1. FOO FIGHTER
        • 2 Years
        7 months, 25 days ago

        Sorry Raph to Ben

  6. DAZZ
    • 7 Years
    7 months, 25 days ago

    No WC: double leeds 🙁 double wolves 🙁

    Sanchez
    TAA Shaw Semedo Livramento
    Salah Jota Raphina* Traore
    Ronaldo Antonio
    (Steele, Sissoko, Williams, Bamford*)

    Leeds a problem. Concerned with form and injuries. Not impressed with the replacement options for Bamford. Is Raphina > Sarr wise? Or Traore > Sarr?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Bambam to Dennis?

    2. Holmes
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Save FT. Sissoko and Williams are fine backup if Raphinha goes missing.

  7. donbagino
    • 1 Year
    7 months, 25 days ago

    Hi there, midfield dilemma. Currently: Torres, Greenwood, Benrahma, Salah, Gilmour -- Toney, Antonio, CR7
    a) Torres --> Gray /Doucore / Gallagher / Sarr - as Torres played in the cup game so a risk he would be benched again do GW
    b) Greenwood --> Gray /Doucore / Gallagher / Sarr - as Greenwood is not as good option as he was before Cr7 arrival
    c) save FT and play both and bench Toney
    d) other?

    1. Stormbringer22
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Have you played the WC yet?

      1. donbagino
        • 1 Year
        7 months, 25 days ago

        No, no plan to play WC if not necessary.

        1. Stormbringer22
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          7 months, 25 days ago

          If you still have the WC and will play it in 8, then Torres to Sarr

  8. Stormbringer22
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    7 months, 25 days ago

    Next 2 only (will WC in 8)

    A. Jimenez
    B. ASM

    Got Antonio already

    1. TheBiffas
      • 1 Year
      7 months, 25 days ago

      The Saint

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 2 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      B

    3. Holmes
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Wood?

      1. Stormbringer22
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        7 months, 25 days ago

        Considered him as well actually. Not sure I can bring myself to get a Burnley attacker though...

    4. Wild Card this!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      B

    5. This or that
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Sait-Maximin has looked really good lately. I'd go with him.

  9. Stormbringer22
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    7 months, 25 days ago

    I would keep Raphina but sell Bamford if I were you

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Doing it next week. Getting Lukaku.

    2. Stormbringer22
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Reply fail to Dazz

  10. Fpl_Ludwig
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    7 months, 25 days ago

    I have Raph and Traore in my midfield but i don’t know who to get rid of
    Traore, Raph or Both

    If i take out Traore i will get Gray
    and
    If i take out Raph o will get Sarr or Benrahma

  11. Carlton P
    • 6 Years
    7 months, 25 days ago

    Appreciate any advice chaps
    Gw6 my defence is
    TAA l Cancelo l James l Semedo l Liv
    From gw8 Semedo >
    A) Rudiger
    B) Dias

    1. Stormbringer22
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Sweet def. A

      1. Carlton P
        • 6 Years
        7 months, 25 days ago

        Cheers man

  12. TheBiffas
    • 1 Year
    7 months, 25 days ago

    Current GW7 WC draft

    Ramsdale

    TAA - Alonso - Livramento

    Salah - Gray - Raphinha - Gallagher

    Antonio - Lukaku - Ronaldo

    (Foster - Williams - Manquillo - Sissoko)

    Defence is light but I feel Livramento is too good to rot on the bench

    1. Stormbringer22
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Needs double Chelsea defence, or at least a Man City defender in there as well imo

      1. Carlton P
        • 6 Years
        7 months, 25 days ago

        This. Antonio or Ronaldo/Lukaku need to go

    2. Pep bites Kun
      • 5 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      I see where you're going and it's plausible to play Livra with the fixtures particularly from gws 8-12. It's your trade-off for the frontline.

      The other trade-off though is, no City def & the chance to perhaps double-up on Che def if you want to go in that direction. The trade would be TAA?

      I like the Ramsdale pick, but you may be exposed to a no gk appearance with Foster. It's a gamble, but one I'm also willing to take on wc.

      1. TheBiffas
        • 1 Year
        7 months, 25 days ago

        I could downgrade Antonio to a fodder and play 4-4-2 and get double che def / city def, but for now Antonio is almost essential and I'd probably lose Ronaldo before I lose him

        1. Pep bites Kun
          • 5 Years
          7 months, 25 days ago

          I'm not against what you're setting out, just pointing out the other options to have a strategy moving forward. Antonio you could downgrade after a few weeks to pick up City or Che. Alonso & Sou def - you 'may' need other options to move to.

  13. dshv
    • 4 Years
    7 months, 25 days ago

    I have raphinha ayling and no one on the bench (tsimi obafemi)

    What you suggest

    1. Take a hit
    2. Start a wc
    3. Keep possible 1 point...

    1. Stormbringer22
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      1. Bring in a Chelsea def if you can

  14. CR7 is Home
    • 4 Years
    7 months, 25 days ago

    Do you expect Bamford to be fit for the Watford game?

    1. Holmes
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Maybe some insider news can help. Based on press, we know nothing

    2. Wild Card this!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      I would assume that since he was already ruled out for this GW early, it is at least 75% chance he will not be fully fit for next one…

    3. Pep bites Kun
      • 5 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      It's a risk we need to cover. How's your bench looking?

  15. Athletico Underachieving
    • 1 Year
    7 months, 25 days ago

    G2G? Any more moves will be a hit…

    Sanchez
    TAA, Livra, Shaw
    Salah, Jota, Raph, Sarr, Greenwood
    Ronaldo, Antonio

    Steele, Duffy, White, Scarlett

    1. Pep bites Kun
      • 5 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      G2G

  16. This or that
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    7 months, 25 days ago

    10 team OFPL draft league

    I currently have Odsonne Edouard
    Someone dumped Raul Jimenez
    Should I pick him up for Edouard?

    I feel Jimenez is due, but will Wolves struggle for goals all season?
    Is Edouard this year's Bamford?
    Will Edouard get a full 90 consistently?

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      • 2 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Hwang possibly could start ahead of Jimmy if he continues to blank.

  17. Aaa
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    7 months, 25 days ago

    Pogba or Jota on a wc?

    1. This or that
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Jota
      I feel like we are headed for a Pogba depression. Slightly tougher fixtures ahead too.

    2. Wild Card this!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Uhh, none.

    3. Pep bites Kun
      • 5 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Pogba at a push, but with the fixtures I'd be looking elsewhere.

  18. drughi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    7 months, 25 days ago

    Wildcard active and this is my draft atm. Any input greatly appreciated

    Sanchez
    TAA Shaw Alonso
    Salah Sarr Gray Bowen
    Lukaku Vardy Antonio (C)

    Steele Livramento Gilmour Omobamedele

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      • 2 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Very differnt which is not a bad thing.

      Not sure on Bowen though.

      1. drughi
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        7 months, 25 days ago

        Bowen have Good stats and pass the eye test, feel Leeds could fit him

    2. Rog.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Like the Bowen pick.
      Omdele not getting much game time, can you move to Williams for 0.1?
      Vardy is ticking away but I’m not sure on him still.

      1. drughi
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        7 months, 25 days ago

        Vardy is a punt

  19. One Wheels Enough
    • 2 Years
    7 months, 25 days ago

    Please choose one to start and what order the other two are on the bench:

    A) Livramento
    B) Semado
    C) Sissoko

    Thanks

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Abc

    2. Rog.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Bac

  20. CR7 is Home
    • 4 Years
    7 months, 25 days ago

    TAA at

    1. CR7 is Home
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      100 on fplstatistics, is he dropping tonight?

    2. Wild Card this!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Probably but doesn’t really matter as he is fit…no way we should sell

  21. Tripleh123
    • 1 Year
    7 months, 25 days ago

    Is it advisable to take a hit of -4 to get trf Greenwood out for Sarr this week to beat the price rise?

  22. Bishopool
    • 10 Years
    7 months, 25 days ago

    a) Bam, Gundo -> Vardy, Townsend (-4pts)
    b) Bam, Gundo, Cancelo -> Ronaldo, Kovacic, Livramento (-8pts)
    c) Bam -> Dennis

    I have Bruno and Salah.

  23. kamdaraji
    • 12 Years
    7 months, 25 days ago

    Team G2G?

    Raya
    Pereira TAA Livramento
    Salah Benrahma Traore Raphina
    Dennis Ronaldo Lukaku

    Subs: McGovern, Semedo,Duffy,Bissouma

  24. The Red Devil
    • 7 Years
    7 months, 25 days ago

    i know everyone is a bit hit averse & maybe rightfully so, but i really like the feel of this
    Scarlett (4.5 non playing forward) + Torres (rotation risk + tough games) + Raphinha (injury doubt)
    To
    Antonio (best FPL forward despite missing a game) + Sarr (Newcastle & Leeds upnext) + Luiz/Gilmour (Villa have good fixtures after Man United)
    for -8

    1. Wild Card this!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Those are good moves but over 2/3 GW…-8 rarely works

  25. This or that
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    7 months, 25 days ago

    Saiss or Coufal?
    10 team draft league
    I like Saiss fixtures, but Coufal consistency.
    They will both likely ride bench for me unless I go with 5 defenders.

  26. only2
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    7 months, 25 days ago

    With bachmann out, Foster gonna start right?

  27. dshv
    • 4 Years
    7 months, 25 days ago

    1.Ayling to rudiger (-4) ?
    2. Play raphinha and hope for 1 point

    1. Pep bites Kun
      • 5 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      2. Play Raphinha and hope he plays for more than 1 point.

      Why take a hit to get a Che def for possibly their toughest game? Get him next week.

      1. Speedu
        • 4 Years
        7 months, 25 days ago

        This

  28. LiamK17
    • 1 Year
    7 months, 25 days ago

    Play 1 off:

    A) White
    B) Livramento
    C) Duffy (Sanchez in goal)

    1. Speedu
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Livra

  29. Brad1807
    • 5 Years
    7 months, 25 days ago

    $1.2 in the bank 1 free transfer

    Any transfers recommended here ?

    Sanchez ,

    Arnold, Shaw, regulion , semado

    Salah,jota Torres, benrahma,bissouma

    Dennis, Ronaldo, Antonio

    1. Speedu
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 25 days ago

      Torres to Sarr probably

  30. Speedu
    • 4 Years
    7 months, 25 days ago

    Mendy
    TAA Semedo Livra
    Salah Gray Ralphinha,Jota
    Lukaku,Antonio,Bamford

    Foster James Allan Williams
    0.0 itb 1ft
    What to do..?
    Bamford out to ?