Spot the Differential
5 February 2022 348 comments
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Gameweek 24 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Crystal Palace, Manchester City and Manchester United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

WILFRIED ZAHA

  • FPL ownership: 4.1%
  • Price: £6.8m
  • GW24-28 fixtures: nor | bre | CHE + wat | BUR | wol

Crystal Palace’s transformation under Patrick Vieira has provided FPL managers with several appealing mid-price and budget options, including midfielder Conor Gallagher (£6.1m), who now sits in 18.3% of squads.

However, for those on the lookout for a differential, Wilfried Zaha (£6.8m) is worth considering.

The Ivory Coast international has missed the last month due to his involvement at the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON), with the Elephants progressing through the group stage in second place, but eventually losing on penalties to Egypt in the last 16, with Zaha scoring his spot-kick but departing the tournament.

The 29-year-old had his best goalscoring campaign in 2020/21, netting on 11 occasions, and has followed that up with five goals and an assist from 17 Premier League appearances this season. During that time, he is averaging 1.72 goal attempts, 1.17 shots in the box and 0.31 big chances per 90 minutes, which is just short of Gallagher’s totals, and it is worth noting that the Chelsea loanee is ineligible to face his parent club in the first of the Eagles’ two matches in Double Gameweek 26.

As for Palace, after a positive second-half showing against Liverpool last time out, their fixtures now ease, with appealing games against Norwich City (a), Brentford (a), Watford (a) and Burnley (h) in the next four. Their away form has been cited by some as a reason not to invest – they have won just once all season – but it’s worth factoring in who they faced, given that they have already visited all of the current top seven Premier League sides.

Now, against easier opposition, you’d expect them to improve, and with Zaha also on penalties, he could be shrewd pick for those in search of a midfield differential.

RIYAD MAHREZ

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £8.6m
  • GW24-28 fixtures: BRE | nor | TOT | eve | MUN

Prior to joining up with Algeria for AFCON, Riyad Mahrez (£8.6m) was in excellent form, having produced four goals and three assists across his last four starts.

As a result, he was named Manchester City’s player of the month for December, and now looks set to kick on with Brentford due at the Etihad next.

In his absence, Raheem Sterling (£10.8m) started both Premier League matches on the right of Pep Guardiola’s front three, but failed to make an impact last time out, and was withdrawn after just 59 minutes against Southampton.

As for Mahrez, despite scoring more goals and registering more assists than any team-mate in 2021, the Algerian found himself out of the team at the start of the season, with Gabriel Jesus (£8.5m) establishing himself as first-choice. However, since the start of December, he has started five of City’s last eight Premier League matches, and even accounting for two no-shows and a substitute appearance, is still averaging 5.8 points per match.

Positional rival Jesus is also an early fitness doubt for Gameweek 24 after returning from international duty with Brazil with a “little niggle”.

Notably, only Mohamed Salah (12.7m) and Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.9m) can trump his 0.79 expected goal involvement (xGI) per 90 minutes tally, whilst his penalty at Arsenal in Gameweek 21 has surely secured his status as City’s best spot-kick taker, given that he has now scored eight in a row for club and country.

A move for any City midfielder not called Kevin De Bruyne (£12.2m) carries risk, but Mahrez’s potential is clear when handed game-time.

MARCUS RASHFORD

Are Spurs players back on the FPL radar after Nuno's sacking? 2
  • FPL ownership: 1.0%
  • Price: £9.4m
  • GW24-28 fixtures: bur | SOU + BHA | lee | WAT | mci

Marcus Rashford (£9.4m) has underperformed this season, but has now scored back-to-back goals across his last two Premier League appearances, both from the bench.

As a result, his confidence should be on the up, whilst the rotation risk has been diminished somewhat with the departure of Anthony Martial and club suspension of Mason Greenwood (£7.2m).

Rashford certainly has all the attributes to thrive in Ralf Rangnick’s new 4-3-3/4-2-3-1 system, via his pressing ability, speed, direct running and off-the-ball movement, something his manager touched on after the recent win over West Ham United:

“He’s one of the top strikers in England – we know the qualities he has. He has almost everything a modern striker needs: pace, skill, the size and physicality. In the end it’s all about confidence for strikers and I’m pretty sure those two goals will have raised the level of confidence with Marcus and now it’s about taking steps, it’s about continuity. I think he can play a very important role for the rest of the season for us.” – Ralf Rangnick on Marcus Rashford

The Red Devils’ forthcoming schedule offers further encouragement that Rashford can deliver. In addition to their Double Gameweek 25, which sees them take on Southampton and Brighton and Hove Albion at Old Trafford, they also have three decent fixtures either side, against Burnley (a), Leeds United (a) and Watford (h).  

Meanwhile, under Rangnick, they have won five, drawn two and lost one of their eight Premier League matches, and are up to fourth in the Premier League table. There is absolutely room for improvement in terms of their performances, but when simply looking at results, it’s been a promising start for the German tactician.

It’s fair to say we’ve seen a dip in Rashford’s usual standards this year, but with his confidence growing, he could be a nice differential pick to capitalise on United’s good fixtures.

348 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Sandy Ravage
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    What to do with Emerson Royal?

    1. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Get rid as soon as you can spare a transfer

    2. fplgaruda
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Gjve him a royal transfer

    3. Philosopher's Stones
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Swap him with Audrey Royal

    4. Cruyff's Eleven
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      I'm keeping, with bench cover.

    5. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Easy hold.

      He didn't start last game because he was injured. The game before that he went off at half time with that injury. I think he's the best Spurs have at RB/RWB. I'm of course not going to be stubborn though. If he doesn't start this week he'll have to go.

  2. FourLokoLeipzig
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Any strong views on the prospects of Sarr on a GW25 WC? Wouldn’t have any other Watford attackers

    1. Scapegoat Salah
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Thinking of a triple up of Sarr, King and Dennis! Could be exciting

    2. Woyzone
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      King only if we expect him to stay on pens. Do we?

      1. FourLokoLeipzig
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        Wondering that too

    3. Haalander
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      I have Pedro and he did show glimpses of potential in the Norwich match. Not sure if he’s nailed though with new manager. If he is I think he could be an option.

  3. Paqueta Rice
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Should my transfers be focused on dgw players? I like the thoughts of getting in Mahrez…

    1. TubThumper
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      I love Mahrez.........but you just can't rely on him getting minutes. If he got 90 and a cameo two games out of every 3 I'd be all over him. But he just doesn't.

      1. Eze Really?
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        This^

        1. Paqueta Rice
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 12 months ago

          6 starts in 9 before AFCON but yeah I can’t argue with it really

    2. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      I'm gonna go Mahrez most likely this week. I have the FT and the fixtures are there. Jesus also has a slight injury.

      1. Paqueta Rice
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        Yeah, fixtures are great. Jesus with a niggle and Sterling not exactly lighting it up playing wide right in Riyads absence.

    3. The Mighty Hippo
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      I think Mahrez will be a great option once he returns and will very possibly outscored many dgw players.

  4. g40steve
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Rashford?
    Did you watch the game last night against lower league opponents his confidence is not high he missed every chance he got?

    1. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Haha agreed.

    2. Woyzone
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Getting the chances in the first place is the repeatable skill. The goals will come. His gametime is the worry.

      1. Haalander
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        True but they’re not exactly flush with other options at the moment and he could kick on but is a big risk woth so many other good midfield options

        1. Woyzone
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 12 months ago

          Agree he is a risk. Wouldn't be an option without the DGW, which tells it's own story. Just saying that it's not his finishing that is the worry.

    3. Eze Really?
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      The article was written a day in advance. (smile)

    4. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Reckon if you can get Son instead that gives you less headaches.

  5. jonnybhoy
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Hi guys

    Choose 2 players for the next 5 games. Slightly leaning towards A+B due to playing 5 games v Tierneys 3

    A) Mitchell
    B) Digne
    C) Tierney

    1. Woyzone
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      A+B for me too. Fewer games for Tierney and no guarantee NEW def will instantly improve.

    2. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      B & C

    3. waltzingmatildas
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Hmm B and C but only if you can cover the blanks for Tierney?

  6. Eze Really?
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Not read the article properly but all you Gallagher owners, he will miss the Chelski game in the DGW due to him being on loan. Just a reminder guys.

  7. Woyzone
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Hi folks. Which January signing will score the most points over the rest of the season?

    Need to pick one in my auction-style league. Scoring and positions are the same as FPL.

    Cheers!

    1. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Coutinho

      1. Weak Become Heros
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        This

        1. Woyzone
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 12 months ago

          Thanks both. He does look like the safest bet in terms of minutes.

          Weghorst is tempting for all the extra fixtures but a far worse team.

          And Diaz could be explosive after he's eased in but never a guranteed starter.

          1. The Mentaculus
            • 4 Years
            3 years, 12 months ago

            Yep too soon for Diaz unless he goes on some crazy super-sub run like ESR

    2. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Digne

  8. waltzingmatildas
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    DDG guaita
    TAA Cancelo Alonso Lowton Johnson
    KDB Jota raph Bowen Gray
    Antonio Dennis Pedro
    1ft, 5.9itb

    Which plan looks best?
    A)
    GW24 - Alonso, Gray to Ait-Nouri, Salah

    B)
    GW24 - Alonso to digne
    GW25 - Gray to Bruno
    GW26 - Kdb/Bruno to Salah, Antonio to edouard/broja

    Feel like I'm missing out on arsenal and possibly spurs for GW26 but have a decent captain choice each week.

    Or WC?

    1. TubThumper
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      B

  9. Stamford B
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Is anyone getting a security warning when they try to access the RMT feature? It says the website certificate has expired and it could have been hacked to steal my data! Never seen this before.

    1. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Think I saw similar comments yesterday

    2. Mighty Banana
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Just checked. "Your connection is not private"

      Another good reason to never use the same password!

    3. Rotation's Alter Ego
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Website certificate expired yesterday I think, that's all. Been reported to tech already so they can update it

      1. Rotation's Alter Ego
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        RMT runs on its own server, separate to members which itself is separate to the main site.

        That's why it's only RMT showing that page

        1. The Polymath
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 12 months ago

          Thanks

      2. Stamford B
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        Thanks for the reply.

  10. Willesden Mariner
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Here's the outline plan:

    GW25 Alonso to Webster
    GW26 Antonio to Weghurst (or Edwaord or Broja)
    GW27Jota to Son (or Rashford or Man City mid except KDB)
    GW28 WC
    GW29 or later BB
    2 FHs left

  11. FantasyHero
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    is there any chance of liverpool or arsenal NOT having a blank in gw27?

    1. SAKA AND EMILE SMITH ROWE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      No chance

  12. DRIZ ✅
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Rival ahead this GW by 5 points with no players left.

    King (C) left for me.

    Who wins this GW?

    1. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Him. Sorry man, King will do nothing for us today.

      1. Mighty Banana
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        I see what you're doing here...

        1. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 12 months ago

          Lol

    2. Jordan.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      him,crap pick

    3. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      You'll likely be beaten by a single point I imagine, the way this GW has gone I feel like another 2pts x2 will nearly be an achievement

  13. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Goal for the KIDS

    1. Goodfeathers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Love it!

  14. Nate(U)dog(ie)
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Chelsea and West Ham behind early

  15. DycheDycheBaby
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    The magic of the FA cup! We love it 😀

  16. FPL Brains
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Whats everyone's DGW essential players in the upcoming weeks?

    I'm considering;

    - DDG
    - Fernandes
    - TAA
    - Robbo
    - Salah
    - Son
    - Kane
    - Ramsdale
    - Tierney
    - Saka
    - Edouard
    - Guaita

    Any other worthy considerations?

    1. fish&chips
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      I've got regullion, tomiyasu, sissoko, king and Dennis already but I certainly wouldn't recommend bringing any of them in bar tomiyasu but Tierney and ramsdale better options

    2. Old Wulfrunian
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      For me Laca is the best forward for gw26.

    3. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Martinelli
      Zaha

    4. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      So Robbo over Jota then for 3rd Liverpool

    5. fplgaruda
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      P. O. P. E

    6. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Pope, Martinelli, Laca great shouts. Hadn't thought of Zaha.

      Jota, yes of course.

      Weghorst and Cornet?

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        Zaha is tipped above in this article.

        1. FPL Brains
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 12 months ago

          Cheers, I don't think he's a great option.

  17. fish&chips
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    GW30 is looking like a full GW at this rate

  18. THFC4LIFE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Plymouth were 50/1 before KO to beat Chelsea

    1. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      They are still 4/1 if you want to go for it

  19. fplgaruda
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Barkley is 28 and still loves to sit on the bench rather than playing.

    Oh don't forget Lingard more less the same.

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Lingard wanted the move. Barkley happy to take his splinters and millions.

    2. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Lingz lit up the prem last season, United didn’t fancy facing him from a top six team.
      Still a magician who can unlock a tough game & terrifies defenders when running at them.

  20. The Polymath
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Can't go to Rate My Team due to "Your connection is not Private" message.

    What's going on?????

      1. The Polymath
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        Thanks

  21. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Wingback FC back at it!

  22. Junglist95
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Maddison to....

    A. KDB
    B. Son
    C Mahrez

    Thanks!

    1. Dexters Laboratory
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      A

  23. The Polymath
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Best 4.3 midfielder to get?

    1. Junglist95
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      None of them are playing very much

      Probably Allan out of bad bunch

    2. SAKA AND EMILE SMITH ROWE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      McArthur is nearly back from injury, he’s Palace’s VC so should get minutes

    3. The Polymath
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      How about Brownhill, always plays and Burnley have a lot of DGW's?

      1. Junglist95
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        But he doesn't always play at all

        Not now

        1. The Polymath
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 12 months ago

          True

  24. Junglist95
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Bruno flagged???

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Whack on the back. Should be fine

      1. Junglist95
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        Ok phew

    2. Jimmers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Bruised ego............

  25. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Which ones would you choose from these?

    1) Antonio to Edouard
    2) Gray to Ramsey

    A) Salah
    B) KDB

    1. Dexters Laboratory
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      2B

  26. g40steve
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Big privacy label, lots of pushing gambling sites but is ‘our’ information secure?
    Letting certificates lapse is not confidence inspiring.
    Have we had any clarification on all the hacked teams that are reported daily?

  27. Dexters Laboratory
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Start
    A) Davies (SOU)
    B) Gray (new)

  28. Nanoelektronicar
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Kaku missing sitter

  29. FPL Brains
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    I think this is the best I can get in terms of DGW players I'd want to try and get on the WC, without compromising longer terms picks.

    Lining up for DGW24 like; (2FTs)

    DDG*
    Dalot* - TAA - Robbo - Digne - Cancelo
    Salah - KDB - Fernandes* - Bowen
    Edouard

    Steer - Broja - Cornet - Richardson

    3 DGWs

    Then DGW25 (1FT)

    DDG
    TAA* - Robbo* - Digne - Cancelo
    Salah* - Son* - Fernandes - Bowen - Cornet*
    Edouard*

    Steer - Broja - Dalot - Richardson

    6 DGWs

    I'd have 1.5ITB, not sure whether to use it and who else to get. Any opinions would be welcome!

    1. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      DGW26, sorry.

    2. Nanoelektronicar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      I have completely opposite idea with wildcard, stock up as much as I can on doublers, with strong bench to cover the blanks in between. So I would go Ramsdale and Saka/Martineli and both King and Dennis as enablers. After using FH in 30, I would be left with strong bench to BB in one of the next double gameweeks.

      Burnley and Villa could be good anyway, if they get DGW27, so Burnley will have 4 games in 2 rounds.

      1. FPL Brains
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        I don't have my BB left anymore dude.

        What amendments would you make? Great to get a totally different perspective so thanks mate.

        1. Nanoelektronicar
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 12 months ago

          I can't figure out, are you using wc or just transfers?

          1. FPL Brains
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 14 Years
            3 years, 12 months ago

            I'm on a WC at the moment.

            Also, I had a brain fart. First team would be how I'd be lining up for GW25, second one was for GW26.

            1. Nanoelektronicar
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 11 Years
              3 years, 12 months ago

              You won't have 2FT in 25, that was confusing. I can't argue much with that team otherwise, maybe Broja or Richardson to King/Dennis to spend that 1.5 and take a gamble on them in the double and bench Digne. Also, have some ideas what are you going to do about Leicester, because they will have postponed matches.

              1. FPL Brains
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 14 Years
                3 years, 12 months ago

                I think their games will have to be late in the season due to the ECL.

                Thanks for the thoughts though.

    3. Nanoelektronicar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      I wouldn't be getting Salah before the 26 too, with strong alternatives for captaincy in 24 and 25, KDB, Bruno, even Edouard is in conversation for 24 imo.

  30. Paqueta Rice
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    That Azpi finish was tidy!