Spot the Differential
5 February 2022 348 comments
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Gameweek 24 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Crystal Palace, Manchester City and Manchester United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

WILFRIED ZAHA

  • FPL ownership: 4.1%
  • Price: £6.8m
  • GW24-28 fixtures: nor | bre | CHE + wat | BUR | wol

Crystal Palace’s transformation under Patrick Vieira has provided FPL managers with several appealing mid-price and budget options, including midfielder Conor Gallagher (£6.1m), who now sits in 18.3% of squads.

However, for those on the lookout for a differential, Wilfried Zaha (£6.8m) is worth considering.

The Ivory Coast international has missed the last month due to his involvement at the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON), with the Elephants progressing through the group stage in second place, but eventually losing on penalties to Egypt in the last 16, with Zaha scoring his spot-kick but departing the tournament.

The 29-year-old had his best goalscoring campaign in 2020/21, netting on 11 occasions, and has followed that up with five goals and an assist from 17 Premier League appearances this season. During that time, he is averaging 1.72 goal attempts, 1.17 shots in the box and 0.31 big chances per 90 minutes, which is just short of Gallagher’s totals, and it is worth noting that the Chelsea loanee is ineligible to face his parent club in the first of the Eagles’ two matches in Double Gameweek 26.

As for Palace, after a positive second-half showing against Liverpool last time out, their fixtures now ease, with appealing games against Norwich City (a), Brentford (a), Watford (a) and Burnley (h) in the next four. Their away form has been cited by some as a reason not to invest – they have won just once all season – but it’s worth factoring in who they faced, given that they have already visited all of the current top seven Premier League sides.

Now, against easier opposition, you’d expect them to improve, and with Zaha also on penalties, he could be shrewd pick for those in search of a midfield differential.

RIYAD MAHREZ

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £8.6m
  • GW24-28 fixtures: BRE | nor | TOT | eve | MUN

Prior to joining up with Algeria for AFCON, Riyad Mahrez (£8.6m) was in excellent form, having produced four goals and three assists across his last four starts.

As a result, he was named Manchester City’s player of the month for December, and now looks set to kick on with Brentford due at the Etihad next.

In his absence, Raheem Sterling (£10.8m) started both Premier League matches on the right of Pep Guardiola’s front three, but failed to make an impact last time out, and was withdrawn after just 59 minutes against Southampton.

As for Mahrez, despite scoring more goals and registering more assists than any team-mate in 2021, the Algerian found himself out of the team at the start of the season, with Gabriel Jesus (£8.5m) establishing himself as first-choice. However, since the start of December, he has started five of City’s last eight Premier League matches, and even accounting for two no-shows and a substitute appearance, is still averaging 5.8 points per match.

Positional rival Jesus is also an early fitness doubt for Gameweek 24 after returning from international duty with Brazil with a “little niggle”.

Notably, only Mohamed Salah (12.7m) and Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.9m) can trump his 0.79 expected goal involvement (xGI) per 90 minutes tally, whilst his penalty at Arsenal in Gameweek 21 has surely secured his status as City’s best spot-kick taker, given that he has now scored eight in a row for club and country.

A move for any City midfielder not called Kevin De Bruyne (£12.2m) carries risk, but Mahrez’s potential is clear when handed game-time.

MARCUS RASHFORD

Are Spurs players back on the FPL radar after Nuno's sacking? 2
  • FPL ownership: 1.0%
  • Price: £9.4m
  • GW24-28 fixtures: bur | SOU + BHA | lee | WAT | mci

Marcus Rashford (£9.4m) has underperformed this season, but has now scored back-to-back goals across his last two Premier League appearances, both from the bench.

As a result, his confidence should be on the up, whilst the rotation risk has been diminished somewhat with the departure of Anthony Martial and club suspension of Mason Greenwood (£7.2m).

Rashford certainly has all the attributes to thrive in Ralf Rangnick’s new 4-3-3/4-2-3-1 system, via his pressing ability, speed, direct running and off-the-ball movement, something his manager touched on after the recent win over West Ham United:

“He’s one of the top strikers in England – we know the qualities he has. He has almost everything a modern striker needs: pace, skill, the size and physicality. In the end it’s all about confidence for strikers and I’m pretty sure those two goals will have raised the level of confidence with Marcus and now it’s about taking steps, it’s about continuity. I think he can play a very important role for the rest of the season for us.” – Ralf Rangnick on Marcus Rashford

The Red Devils’ forthcoming schedule offers further encouragement that Rashford can deliver. In addition to their Double Gameweek 25, which sees them take on Southampton and Brighton and Hove Albion at Old Trafford, they also have three decent fixtures either side, against Burnley (a), Leeds United (a) and Watford (h).  

Meanwhile, under Rangnick, they have won five, drawn two and lost one of their eight Premier League matches, and are up to fourth in the Premier League table. There is absolutely room for improvement in terms of their performances, but when simply looking at results, it’s been a promising start for the German tactician.

It’s fair to say we’ve seen a dip in Rashford’s usual standards this year, but with his confidence growing, he could be a nice differential pick to capitalise on United’s good fixtures.

348 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. fish&chips
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Sissoko's moment tonight

    1. Viprin
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Waited 2 weeks for those tasty 2 points

      1. fish&chips
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        I'm holding out for a 0-0 3 pointer

  2. SAINTS
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Are there any concerns over Reguilon? I'm also doing Sky Sports and Spurs have got good fixtures up until the end of the season.

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Yes concerning that he is not nailed so a risk

    2. yousunkmybattleship
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      He should start most games

  3. BobB
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Why did Rice, Cresswell, Soucek not start?

    1. Viprin
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Because it's against kids

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Kidderminster Harriers are non league.

      West Ham have a Premier League squad.

      I'd guess that covers it.

  4. Sim Simma
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Yarmalenko needs to go to diving school. Worst dive ever

    1. Gazwaz80
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Shocking! Tom Daley has nothing to worry about…

  5. b91jh
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Raya is back. Could be a good bench keeper option at the 4.5-ish.

    1. fplgaruda
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      No dgw. No no

  6. fish&chips
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Sterling (c) locked

    1. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Really? Not sure what to do with him this week. He's my Salah placeholder but I'm not confident he starts

    2. Paqueta Rice
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Risky, might not even start

    3. fish&chips
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Benched in the cup. Reckon he'll start

      1. The Mentaculus
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        Hmm, wish I shared your confidence. Think it'll be the same front 3 vs Brentford

  7. g40steve
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    RICE 🙂 in et

  8. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Goal WHU … heartbreak for the KIDS

  9. Goodfeathers
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Gutted..

  10. Nanoelektronicar
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Chelsea fixture swing in 28, how about no.

  11. bitm2007
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Unbelievable performance by Argyle this. Should have travelled up.

    1. RichardNixon
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Fair play to them. No nonsense, no panic, no mistakes, getting on with the job, defending well, GK playing well.

      Chelsea with 37 shots and 19 corners but can't get the ball in the net

      1. RichardNixon
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        38th time's a charm

        1. bitm2007
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 12 months ago

          Chelsea were holding on at the end though. I just knew that pen wasn't going in.

  12. Nate(U)dog(ie)
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Livramento starts for Soton, no Dele in Everton squad, very strong City squad with Cancelo, KDB, Mahrez, Foden, Grealish all starting

  13. EmreCan Hustle
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Yan Valery and Livramento play on the right. Who is starting where?

  14. g40steve
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Any 3pm games on any uk channels?

  15. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Who to sell to get Edouard ?
    A- King
    B- Dennis

    1. Philosopher's Stones
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Same dilemma. Might sell Dennis as he's looked a bit jaded lately

    2. mdm
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Neither

  16. panda07
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Of course Alonso scores in the FA cup!

  17. Union_Jacks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    KdBench midweek?

    1. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Doubt it, playing every game at the moment. Saving my worries about that til Norwich at least

      1. Union_Jacks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        Telling that Bernardo gets a rest here though

  18. Steve The Spud
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Alonso owners finally rewarded for their patients

  19. JONALDINHO
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Interested to see how Fabio Carvalho does

    1. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Just scored

  20. panda07
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    That lad Kidderminster brought on looks a good 50 at least!

  21. Steve The Spud
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Edouard dropped or rotated ?

    1. Nanoelektronicar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Rotation risk anyway.

    2. mdm
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Dropped obviously

    3. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      He would hardly be dropped with form he has shown. Rotation but fact not starting today means likely first choice in PL games

    4. Hughes Your Daddy
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Its Hartlepool - just rotating some others in. Just like we giving Butland another game.

      1. The 12th Man
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        Hey. It’s the MIGHTY POOLS!

  22. Sim Simma
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Unlucky KIDs

  23. Goodfeathers
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    So harsh on Kidderminster that

  24. FPL Brains
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Lol, 91st and 121st min goal.

  25. bitm2007
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Good try Argyle. A missed penalty away for taking the European Champions to penalties at The Bridge.

  26. Dynamic Duos
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    "Is Dennis starting tonight"? "Dennis isn't flagged" lmfao

    1. bitm2007
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Why would he be flagged ?

      1. Dynamic Duos
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        Do you know what these are ""? And what this means= lmfao?

        1. bitm2007
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 12 months ago

          The text speak youngers use is Double Dutch to somebody like me who still uses a landline.

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      No he has ban. No flag as in same game week and ok to play in 24

      1. Dynamic Duos
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        Yeah I know this mate , surprised at how many don't

      2. bitm2007
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        Exactly

    3. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Lol I getcha dude.

      Fools.

  27. Hughes Your Daddy
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Olise yet another assist.

    1. Dynamic Duos
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Good player him

  28. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    I wonder if this is the first time a club has had 2 different managers in same fpl game week……

  29. Legohair
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    What's best move here?
    Ramsdale
    TAA-Cancelo-Reguilon-Dalot
    Bruno-Jota-Bowen-Gray
    Ronaldo-Antonio

    Sanchez,Maddison, Dennis, Thomas
    2 FT
    A. Ronaldo to Kane
    B. Thomas to Brighton def
    C. Maddison to Martinelli

  30. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Olise goal

    1. Hughes Your Daddy
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Yep Olise with a goal and assist, looking more and more nailed now (even with Zaha back)