Spot the Differential
30 September 2022 535 comments
avfc82 avfc82
Share:

Gameweek 9 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at West Ham United, Leicester City and Bournemouth, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

JARROD BOWEN

Bowen marks return with seventh FPL double-digit haul of 2021/22
  • FPL ownership: 3.8%
  • Price: £8.1m
  • GW9-13 fixtures: WOL | FUL | sou | liv | BOU

Jarrod Bowen (£8.1m) has endured a tough start to the season for West Ham United and is yet to score a Premier League goal.

However, he has netted two in Europe, and if he is to have any chance of being part of the England World Cup squad, will need his domestic form to pick up soon.

Fortunately, the Hammers’ fixtures are very good, with home games against Wolves, Fulham and Bournemouth coming up, plus an away trip to struggling Southampton.

As for Bowen, he has enjoyed more shots (15) than any of his teammates this term, but his accuracy has let him down, with just one of those efforts hitting the target.

It’s also worth noting that West Ham have massively underperformed their expected goals (xG), scoring just three from 7.57 xG, which has coincided with a tough run of fixtures against defensively sound opponents like Manchester City, Tottenham Hotspur, Chelsea and Brighton and Hove Albion.

Lucas Paqueta (£6.0m), meanwhile, has been signed to add more creativity, and alongside Bowen, Said Benrahma (£5.7m), Pablo Fornals (£5.4m), Maxwel Cornet (£5.9m), Michail Antonio (£7.2m) and Gianluca Scamacca (£6.7m), there is potential for it all to click in the coming rounds.

Bowen has started poorly but will have a point to prove as West Ham’s league season resumes against Wolves, with his ownership down to just 3.8% in FPL. Some will see that as an opportunity, given that he racked up 12 goals and 17 assists in 2021/22.

HARVEY BARNES

FPL Gameweek 9: Is Harvey Barnes being overlooked?
  • FPL ownership: 1.1%
  • Price: £6.9m
  • GW9-13 fixtures: NFO | bou | CRY | LEE | wol

Harvey Barnes (£6.9m) has struggled for form at Leicester City this season, blanking in four of his opening five league appearances.

However, he could do well given the Foxes’ forthcoming schedule, which includes back-to-back matches against newly-promoted Nottingham Forest and Bournemouth, followed by King Power clashes with Crystal Palace and Leeds United.

In fact, Leicester only play one traditional ‘big six’ side between now and Gameweek 16, at which point we break for the winter World Cup in Qatar.

As for Barnes, from Gameweek 3 onwards (the winger’s first start of the season), he has since produced 10 shots in the box, more than any other FPL midfielder bar Gabriel Martinelli (£6.6m). It’s also worth noting that he has been a reliable source of Fantasy returns in past seasons, with a combined 21 goals and 27 assists in his last three campaigns.

Leicester, meanwhile, are without a point since Gameweek 1 and bottom of the table. However, they have still scored a respectable 10 goals in their seven matches, despite a tough run which has included games against Arsenal, Spurs, Chelsea, Manchester United and Brighton. They have also racked up in excess of 1.45 xG in three of their last four outings.

Barnes, a product of City’s academy, is a real punt given his lack of returns this season, but the fixtures should give him the opportunity to add to his tally soon.

RYAN CHRISTIE

FPL Gameweek 9 differentials: Bowen set for favourable fixtures
  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £5.3m
  • GW9-13 fixtures: BRE | LEI | ful | SOU | whu

Ryan Christie (£5.3m) has been an ever-present under interim boss Gary O’Neil at Bournemouth, which has coincided with a three-match unbeaten streak.

In that time, the Cherries have recorded five points, ensuring they sit four points clear of the relegation zone ahead of Gameweek 9.

They may have had the fewest shots in the division so far, but under O’Neil, they are improving, with 23 goal attempts across his three outings, compared to 26 in five matches under Scott Parker. That’s because they have adopted a more attacking approach, whether playing a 4-2-3-1 or 3-4-2-1 formation.

In both set-ups, Christie’s performances have caught the eye, with his six shots and 14 take-ons from Gameweek 5 onwards both team-leading totals.

“I think he’s done well. I think he was a big part of the comeback at Nottingham Forest. I think he took up some lovely positions, always works his socks off. He has a lovely quality on his left foot. So, yeah, loads of qualities that we’re definitely going to need this season.” – Gary O’Neil on Ryan Christie

More recently, Christie has played a role in both of Scotland’s Nations League fixtures, scoring and assisting for his country against the Republic of Ireland.

Now, Bournemouth return to action on Saturday, when they host Brentford before playing a second home fixture in succession a week later against bottom-placed Leicester City. Thomas Frank’s side, whilst ninth in the table, have failed to win on the road this season and are without an away clean sheet in 19 matches.

Christie has played a key role in Bournemouth’s recent revival, and while most of the Fantasy chatter during the international break has been about Dominic Solanke (£5.7m), he is perhaps going under the radar as a budget differential.



535 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Maeki2
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 12 days ago

    Worth a -4 to get James and play instead of

    Gross (liv), (Tot), (bre) (nfo)
    Andreas (new), (whu) (bou) (avl)

    for the next upcoming 4 weeks?

    1. The Mentaculus
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 12 days ago

      Yes

    2. MJF
      4 years, 12 days ago

      I'd probably wait until next week TBH. I don't see Palace away as being an easy fixture and he's also on three yellows, wouldn't shock me if he got booked being up against Zaha tomorrow.

      1. Maeki2
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 12 days ago

        When does the bookings reset?

        1. Rogue Todd
          • 11 Years
          4 years, 12 days ago

          After a team has played 19 games

  2. No Kane No Gain
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 12 days ago

    Do we think Bailey starts this week?!

    1. El Presidente
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 12 days ago

      Who knows

    2. Rogue Todd
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 12 days ago

      I don't, but wouldn't be massively surprised if he does

  3. tibollom
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 12 days ago

    g2g guys? think im going to roll my FT (1 FT 0.5 ITB, WC intact)..

    Ward
    Cancelo James Trippier
    KDB Marti Diaz Aaronsson
    Jesus Haaland(c) Mitro

    Sanchez Andreas Gabriel Neco

  4. Glitterfart
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 12 days ago

    1) Greenwood, Sterling, Son
    2) Greenwood, Luis Diaz, Son (+1.6m)
    3) Kane, Foden, Andreas (+2.1m)
    4) Toney, KDB, Andreas (+2.1m)

    The key difference being either a 3-4-3 or 3-5-2 formation. I think i prefer the money in midfield.

    1. Maeki2
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 12 days ago

      4

  5. FOO FIGHTER
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 12 days ago

    Kane or Zaha?

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 12 days ago

      Slight price difference

    2. Moderately content penguin
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 12 days ago

      Son and Eze

    3. Arteta
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 12 days ago

      To buy, sell, start, bench, (vice) captain? What do you mean?

  6. EL tridente
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 12 days ago

    Rate this WC please
    Pope, Ward
    Cancelo, James, Trippier, Kilman, Neco
    Diaz, Maddison, Zaha, Martinelli, Andreas
    Kane, Haaland, Mitrovic

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 12 days ago

      Is Diaz the best option?

      Otherwise good.

      Wouldn't do Kane and Haaland personally, more points in the midfield.

      1. jimmyharte
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 12 days ago

        Because you're a gooner

  7. Smokey_Lowkey
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 12 days ago

    KDB - > Salah for free this week, or save and assess for next week?

    Have 6 Arsenal/City players to trim down ahead of the blank so can either start now or hold for new info...

    1. tibollom
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 12 days ago

      same dillema as you (6 ars/city players) but decided to stick with KDB

      1. Kloppage Time
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 12 days ago

        I would stick with KDB and switch one of your Arsenal players.

    2. LWB
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 12 days ago

      Save and have a look next week. You might want 2FT to trim the Arsenal players for GW10

  8. Keep calm and hoof me the b…
    • 16 Years
    4 years, 12 days ago

    Hello. Please RMWCT:

    Raya (Ward)
    Cancelo, Trippier, Tarkowski, Jonny (Neco W)
    Salah, Son, Zaha, Maddison (Andreas)
    Haaland, Mitrovic (Greenwood)

    1. tibollom
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 12 days ago

      7

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 12 days ago

      Nice enough.

      prefer KDB over Son and Salah but they could all do well.

      back with aplomb!

    3. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 12 days ago

      The 3 premiums doesn't really compensate for having to play Tark and Jonny every week given the amount of good mid priced options

      1. Pat Bonner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 12 days ago

        Son Tark Jonny doesn't beat Martinelli Toney James

  9. flippetyflop
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 12 days ago

    Play Ward or Pope this week? First to 4 votes wins.

    1. Rogue Todd
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 12 days ago

      Looks like you're playing neither

      1. flippetyflop
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 12 days ago

        I hope you taking your time out of the day to post that has filled you with joy!

    2. Aksekladden
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 12 days ago

      Considering ward bc off trippier in defence

    3. jimmyharte
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 12 days ago

      I'm going ward

  10. Nespinha
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 12 days ago

    Help me close my wildcard, pick one:

    A) Neco, Guehi, Saka, Solanke

    B) Neco, Emerson, Sinisterra, Toney

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 12 days ago

      How many are bench fodder each week? If benching the defenders then B

      1. Nespinha
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 12 days ago

        Yes, rest of my defense is Cancelo, Trippier and James

        Other bench fodder is Andreas

    2. Reacher
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 12 days ago

      B

    3. The Mentaculus
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 12 days ago

      B if you have a decent 1st sub (Andreas will do). Assuming the first 2 players in each option are on the bench?

      1. Nespinha
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 12 days ago

        yes they are, bench players are Andreas, Neco and Emerson/Guehi depending on option

  11. Fuddled FC
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 12 days ago

    Likely to need a player of the bench this week.
    Who should be first on the bench?

    a) Schar V FUL
    b) Saliba v TOT
    c) Andreas v NEW

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 12 days ago

      b

    2. BobbyDoesNotLook
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 12 days ago

      C

  12. ☈☾
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 12 days ago

    Nunez or Jota?

  13. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 12 days ago

    Who would you rather own on WC from these two categories? Pick 1 from each 🙂

    A. TAA
    B. Toney

    1. Martinelli
    2. Barnes

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 12 days ago

      really tough one on TAA and Toney as I think it depends more on team structure you want long term (343 or 442).

      Martinelli for me on the other one especially as you'll likely have Maddison?

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 12 days ago

        Toying with this… thoughts?

        Guaita
        TAA - 
Cancelo - James - Trippier
        
Salah - Maddison - Zaha - Barnes
        Haaland - Mitrovic
        (Ward, Andreas, Neco, Greenwood)

        1. Pat Bonner
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          4 years, 12 days ago

          Can't fault it, looks great

      2. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 12 days ago

        Barnes could be Martinelli but it’s one more GW12 headache

    2. Maeki2
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 12 days ago

      B1

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 12 days ago

        Hmm, thanks

  14. GENERATION X
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 12 days ago

    Isak 'out running on grass' - owners are you keeping?

    1. Kloppage Time
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 12 days ago

      Already switched to Toney, honestly did not see that coming considering how bad they made out the injury was.

      1. GENERATION X
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 12 days ago

        That said with Howe he could have a broken leg and would get same comments...

    2. BobbyDoesNotLook
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 12 days ago

      Keeping because itb 0.0 so cannot get Toney. Quite happy to play Justin vs NFO this week. Re assess next week.

      1. BobbyDoesNotLook
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 12 days ago

        Might anyway move him to Solanke later if I need to raise money.

        1. GENERATION X
          • 13 Years
          4 years, 12 days ago

          Sounds like a plan

  15. JELLYFISH
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 12 days ago

    Which WC team guys?

    A)
    Pope Ward
    Trippier Cancelo James Tarkowski Neco
    Zaha Salah Martinello Maddison Andreas
    Haaland Toney Mitro

    B)
    Pickford Ward
    Tripper Cancelo Guehi Neco Emerson
    Zaha KDB Son Maddison Andreas
    Haland Solanke Mitro

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 12 days ago

      A is roughly what I'd be looking at if on WC

      1. JELLYFISH
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 12 days ago

        Yes thanks, thats what I'm on currently. B looks unbalanced

  16. suddenorgan
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 12 days ago

    Maddison isn't worth a hit right? Would be Trossard + Perisic -> Maddison + £4.6 (-4)

    1. Maeki2
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 12 days ago

      No it is not considering you will not cap him

    2. RICICLE
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 12 days ago

      I reckon so, I did gross & Jesus > Mitro + Maddi for a hit

  17. BremerHB
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 12 days ago

    Which two would you prioritise on WC?

    A) Salah
    B) TAA
    C) KDB
    D) Cancelo

  18. camarozz
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 12 days ago

    My midfield is a bit underwhelming atm.

    Andreas/kdb/Odegaard/Aaronson/Gundo

    1ft

    Gundo to who??

  19. tractorjess
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 12 days ago

    Bowen or Maddison? Have 8.2m itb to replace Kul.

    1. RICICLE
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 12 days ago

      Maddison, least he scores

  20. focaccia
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 12 days ago

    Cucurella > James for a hit?

    1. focaccia
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 12 days ago

      Or bench Cucu and play Dasilva / Andreas?