Pro Pundits
30 September 2022 1561 comments
Pras (FPL) Pras (FPL)
Share:

Our team of Pro Pundits, Hall of Famers and guest writers will be providing regular articles and team reveals throughout the new season, with only Premium Members able to access every single one.

Here, Burning Questions co-host Pras reveals who he is picking on his Gameweek 9 Wildcard.


It has been a strange few weeks, with the postponed Gameweek 7 followed by Blank Gameweek 8. It certainly changed the template, as some were forced to use a Wildcard and others like me chose to ‘dead end’ into Gameweek 8.

Having only scored 51 points in the last round of matches, that decision has not yet paid off. But I am hoping that the subtle but important differences in Wildcards – such as owing Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.4m) and Mohamed Salah (£12.9m) alongside Wilfried Zaha (£7.2m), Reece James (£6.0m) and James Maddison (£8.0m) – will help me claw back some of the deficit.

So let’s get straight to the main talking points of my draft.

Picks that I consider locks

There are a few picks that are locked in for me and feel self-explanatory. Under Graham Potter, Chelsea’s James now looks more assured to start in the right wing-back role.

Maddison, Zaha and Aleksandar Mitrovic (£6.9m) also have a sea of blue fixtures below and I want a share in all of it.

Regardless of their Gameweek 12 blank, Joao Cancelo (£7.2m) and Erling Haaland (£12.1m) are two of the best picks around, so they will stay in the team and sit on the bench when the time comes.

In defence, I really like the look of Kieran Trippier (£5.4m) for the Brentford and Everton fixtures. He could easily get some attacking returns given his set-piece duties, even during the defensively trickier trips to Fulham and Manchester United.

Finally, for budget enablers, Marc Guehi (£4.3m) with those Crystal Palace fixtures and Andreas Pereira (£4.6m) are the perfect first and second substitutes who can step in for their decent Gameweek 12 fixtures against Wolverhampton Wanderers and Leeds United.

Picks that I consider logical

Let’s come back to Salah and Alexander-Arnold. One is 35.2% owned, the other is 36.1%. Throughout the last four seasons, nobody has ever had to spend time justifying why these two are good picks, yet here we are.

First up, Salah. Yes, there is talk of him playing wider and Liverpool having poor form in general but what I see is an expected goal involvement per 90 (xGI/90) of 0.68, which is lower than last year’s crazy high of 0.86 but remains in line with 2019/20 and 2018/19 scores of 0.63 and 0.74 respectively.

This is despite not playing a lot with Thiago (£5.2m), so his return should benefit these numbers. Moreover, I see Salah as the top captaincy choice in two of the next four Gameweeks, which is why I’ll keep him for the trickier Arsenal and Manchester City fixtures.

Alexander-Arnold remains the defender with one of the best xGI/90 rates – Pervis Estupinan (£4.5m) and Ivan Perisic (£5.6m) have higher but are also rotation risks – so this aspect of his game hasn’t changed.

What has been worrying is Liverpool’s lack of clean sheets. They are at a non-penalty expected goals conceded per 90 (NPxGC/90) rate of 1.01 which, while fifth-best, isn’t at the exceptional levels of before.

My hope is that this soon turns around, especially for the favourable run from Gameweeks 12 to 16 where they face West Ham United (H), Nottingham Forest (a), Leeds (H), Tottenham Hotspur (a) and Southampton (H).

Picks I am unsure of:

Goalkeepers

A much talked about topic over the international break. Is Vicente Guaita (£4.5m) nailed? How many clean sheets will Nick Pope (£5.2m) keep? Does doubling-up on Chelsea or Liverpool’s back line take up crucial slots on their teams? Alternatively, can we go with Leicester City duo Danny Ward (£4.0m) and Daniel Iversen (£3.9m)?

Well, the answer to the last question is no. I also think there needs to be some flexibility for a third Liverpool or Chelsea slot – the likes of Luis Diaz (£8.2m), Darwin Nunez (£8.9m), Raheem Sterling (£10.0m) or Mason Mount (£7.6m).

Therefore, I have settled upon a £4.5m and £4.0m keeper combo, either Guaita and Ward or Everton’s Jordan Pickford (£4.5m) and Asmir Begovic (£4.0m). If nailed, I see Guaita having higher points potential but Pickford seems safer.

In today’s press conference, Brendan Rodgers said on Ward:

“When you concede the goals we have, the spotlight will be on him. But defending is a collective. I support Danny, I know his qualities and I know he’ll find a more consistent and better level.”

This makes me lean closer towards the Guaita and Ward duo, as there is some assurance that the latter can come in.

Gabriel Martinelli (£6.6m) plus the third forward spot

Let me say this upfront: of all the options I am considering, Martinelli is the best by far. The issue is that he has a blank coming up and I want to be selective about the players I bench. There will already be Haaland and Cancelo there, so Martinelli would force a third and he also has Spurs and Liverpool beforehand.

So I can either have Martinelli and Sam Greenwood (£4.3m), giving me four non-players in Gameweek 12, go with the Leon Bailey (£4.7m) and Dominic Solanke (£5.7m) duo, or go with Harvey Barnes (£6.9m) instead of the Arsenal man.

I am leaning towards the latter, simply because Barnes is an easier return route to Martinelli who I will almost certainly want from Gameweek 13. He’d be risky, as Leicester could soon shift to a back five, but I think we’re allowed one Wildcard punt.

Additionally, I think Solanke is a fine pick and couldn’t have handpicked a better run of opponents than Brentford, Leicester, Fulham and Southampton.

My draft and future plans

The idea is to transition back towards the good teams from Gameweek 13 onwards. Therefore, I plan to move the two Leicester midfielders to Martinelli and an £8m option like Diaz, Bukayo Saka (£7.8m) or Phil Foden (£8.0m).

I could also move Trippier to someone slightly cheaper, such as Perisic, Gabriel (£5.1m), Aymeric Laporte (£5.8m) or Kyle Walker (£5.0m). This would give me numerous Liverpool, Man City and Arsenal assets to complement Zaha and Mitrovic.

Lastly, I am also not opposed to switching Salah towards Son Heung-min (£11.7m) for Gameweeks 10 and 11 if no other moves appeal next week.

Good luck!



1,561 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Free Hat
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Not so much fun having James vs Zaha and Trippier vs Mitrovic this week!

  2. alsybach
    4 years, 1 month ago

    KDB—-> Salah for minus 4, or is that just madness?

    1. Bruin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Not worth it for -4

    2. Del Griffith
      4 years, 1 month ago

      It's a bit risky, not for me but could pay of

    3. banskt
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Only if you captain Salah.

  3. Count of Monte Hristo
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Guehi or Justin?

    I have Guaita + Ward.

    1. Free Hat
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Guaita with Justin

    2. The Final Boss
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I went for Justin.

  4. banskt
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Decided to play this week without James and Cancelo. Bench and order correct? Any changes suggested?

    1FT, 0.2m
    Pope
    Trent - Trippier - Struijk
    KDB - Sterling - Maddison - Martinelli
    Haaland(c) - Mitrovic - Toney
    Bench // Ward - Saliba - Andreas - Neco

  5. boroie
    4 years, 1 month ago

    A - Digne & Rashford -> Fofana & Maddison
    B - Rashford & KDB -> Barnes & Salah

    1. Ratatouille
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

  6. JohnnyCroat
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Reckon I gained 0.3 on the WC, but will see today if some fringe picks were worth the tinkering. GW8 was a massive haul, the corner is turned...

  7. Twisted Melon
    4 years, 1 month ago

    On WC
    A) Saliba
    B) Perisic

    1. WVA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Neither

    2. Santi sensei
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Saliba if u owned him at lower price

  8. Bobby_Baggio
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Thoughts on where to use my 2 FT please? 0.9m ITB. Diaz > Madison?

    Pope
    Trippier - Cancelo - TAA
    Salah - Diaz - Andreas - Martinelli
    Haaland - Mitro - Toney

    (Iversen) - Neco - Saliba - DaSilva

    1. JohnnyCroat
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Saliba to Fofana. Roll a FT.

      1. Bobby_Baggio
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Seems odd taking Saliba out with his form

  9. Arteta
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Who is your captain? Who is your vice?

    1. banskt
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Haaland(c), Toney(vc)

    2. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Haaland
      Maddison

    3. WVA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Haaland C
      Salah VC

    4. Del Griffith
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Haaland and somebody else

    5. JohnnyCroat
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Madisynn (C), Wong (VC).

  10. Bishopool
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Would u?

    Martinelli, Gordon -> Maddison, Murphy -4pts

    1. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Lol no.

  11. Start Andreas or Perisic?

    1. WVA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      This is exactly why there is no point owning Perisic but if you have him start him.

      1. Del Griffith
        4 years, 1 month ago

        This!!!

  12. boroie
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Ward
    Cancelo James Trippier
    KDB Diaz Martinelli Rashford*
    Haaland(C) Jesus Mitrovic

    Iversen; Andreas Neco Digne*

    Which of these works best?

    A - Digne & Rashford -> Fofana & Maddison
    B - Rashford & KDB -> Barnes & Salah

  13. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
    4 years, 1 month ago

    I know a few United fans who’ll refuse to captain Haaland this weekend.

    Would really appreciate another hat trick

  14. Boss Hogg
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Final defender for a wc.
    Up to 5.1 and with one eye on gw12.

    Guehi, James, Cancelo, Trippier, xxx

    a. Kilman
    b. Justin
    c. Fofana
    d. Coufal
    e. Someone else?

    1. DT42
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

    2. Santi sensei
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Zemura

      1. Boss Hogg
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Interesting.
        Is Zemura nailed?

        1. Santi sensei
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Pretty much until Kelly and Frederick are back

    3. Sid1891
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

  15. Sid1891
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Morning
    Who to play along side Halland and Mitro, talk me out of Vardy please

    A Toney
    B Darwin
    C Vardy
    D keep Isak- no hit play Andreas

    Cheers

    1. Mambino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Can't decide between Toney and Darwin. Think Darwin's had a lot of travel though so probably Toney

  16. EL_FENOMENO
    4 years, 1 month ago

    How did Salah drop? He was at -98% and starting to drop.

    1. WVA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Should have dropped again a while ago

      1. Arteta
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Exactly. He lost millions of owners and only dropped 0.2 so far. Consider yourself lucky.

  17. Wetdream
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Diaz to Maddison or hold and do it next week ?

    1. Del Griffith
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Given the fixture I'd do that but of course it could backfire

    2. Rbyrne95
      4 years, 1 month ago

      If it’s for a free I would tbh

  18. DT42
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Which 1 to play? (others will be benched)
    A. Justin
    B. Andreas
    C. Bailey

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      maybe C

  19. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 1 month ago

    So, what to do with this bunch?

    ... roll or something else?

    Hold Diaz?

    Raya
    Cancelo, Trippier, Trent
    KDB, Diaz, Martinelli, Gross
    Haaland, Jesus, Mitrovic

    Ward, Andreas, Neco, Patterson.

    £0.9m itb. 1 FT and wildcard still.

    1. Free Hat
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Going on liv comments I expect Diaz to start, so for me he is a hold in that case.
      Maybe gross out for a punt ( sinisterra, barnes if reachable)

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        4 years, 1 month ago

        thanks

  20. BENOIT
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Start Barnes (NFO) or Tripps (ful)?

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      definitely Barnes

  21. xvavl
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Morning all, thoughts on Rashford start? Currently have him in over Saliba.

    And Ward or Sanchez…I know is probably 50/50.

    Play Rash or Saliba and Ward or Sanchez.
    Thanks

  22. BlzE_94
    4 years, 1 month ago

    GTG? 1ft

    Pope
    TAA Cancelo James Saliba
    KDB Diaz Martinelli
    Haaland(c) Jesus Toney

    Ward Neco Andreas Longstaff

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      nicely set

  23. Rbyrne95
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Is it worth taking a -4 to get Mitrovic-or Toney- in for Jesus?

    Transfer would be planning for blank GW 12 too.

    1. Count of Monte Hristo
      4 years, 1 month ago

      That’s not good planning with the -4. Keep Jesus and lose your Arsenal assets for free gradually.

    2. SKENG
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Not for me.

    3. Mambino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I'm probably doing Jesus out to either Toney Mitro or Nunez before deadline but wouldn't do it for -4

    4. Rbyrne95
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Thanks guys, yeah see this is why us FFS are great for helping combat the FOMO with hits ha!

  24. Count of Monte Hristo
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Last decision on my wildcard.

    Guaita + Ward are my keepers.

    Ward > Iversen so I can do Guehi/Justin > Coufal and avoid doubling up on Palace/Leicester?

    Or keep Ward so I have a starting backup keeper?

    1. SKENG
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I'd punt on Iversen getting the nod soon.

    2. Pep's Money Laundry
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Keep Ward, Guaita is one of those keepers that gets rested out of nowhere or gets injured

  25. SKENG
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Is it worth keeping Isak as he may be back soon? For me I can't afford Toney so it would have to be Solanke FOR A HIT...

    1. Wetdream
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Depends on rest of team?

      1. SKENG
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I'd play Andreas if no hit.

    2. Sid1891
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Some said is only this week
      If you have decent replacement worth keeping
      Solanke would have to score to make it even,

  26. boroie
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Ward
    Cancelo James Trippier
    KDB Diaz Martinelli Rashford*
    Haaland(C) Jesus Mitrovic

    Iversen; Andreas Neco Digne*

    Do I?

    A - Digne & Rashford -> Fofana & Maddison
    B - Rashford & KDB -> Barnes & Salah
    C - Something else

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      just ditch Digne

  27. Mr Johnson
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Guita or Kepa on wildcard?

  28. Bishopool
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Would u change here anything?

    1FT, 0,5m bank.

    Ward (Raya)
    TAA(vc) Tripp Saliba (Walker N.Will)
    KDB Martinelli Gordon Andreas (Jensen)
    Haaland(c) Kane Jesus

  29. gooner_112233445566
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Start

    A) pope
    B) ward

    1) trip
    2) andreas

    Currently on A1

    1. Sid1891
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Same here
      But B1 is my shout

  30. patbateman
    4 years, 1 month ago

    A) BSilva or B) Rodrigo ?

    My other midfielders starting are KdB, Diaz & Maddison

    1. Bobby Digital
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

    2. juicewagz
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Do you think Rodrigo will start? Sinisterra also a good shout

      1. Third Eye Vision
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I was considering bringing in Sini this week. Noticed that Rodrigo is fit again. I’m gonna roll my FT this week and probably bring in one of them next week.

        1. Eze Really?
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Sounds right to me. I just want a Leeds asset for the entertainment. 9smile0

    3. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Silva for now.

      Do you know if Rodrigo is fit to start and play 90

    4. The Mentaculus
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Rodrigo is far from a guaranteed starter & I don't just mean fitness-wise. Like many Leeds fans, I don't see him in our strongest starting 11. Sinisterra a better option