Pro Pundits
7 October 2022 172 comments
Lateriser 12 Lateriser 12
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Throughout the 2022/23 Fantasy Premier League (FPL) season, our team of Pro Pundits, Hall of Famers and guest contributors will be sharing their thoughts, tips and own transfer plans.

Only Premium Members are able to read every single one of these pieces, so sign up today to get full access not just to the editorial content but all of the other benefits, from hundreds of Opta stats to a transfer planner.

Here, two-time Indian FPL champion Lateriser wonders whether knowing your current rank could negatively affect how decisions are made, looks at Liverpool’s new tactics and urges positivity to those Fantasy managers who didn’t captain Erling Haaland in Gameweek 9…

The FFS Pro Pundits 34

Gameweek 9 was brutal for me. As one of the few that captained Mohamed Salah (£12.8m) instead of Erling Haaland (£12.2m), alongside also being a Manchester United fan, let’s just say that Sunday’s derby wasn’t fun.

That night, my overall rank fell from 400k to 1.3 million yet, thanks to James Maddison’s (£8.1m) brilliant 18-pointer on Monday, it quickly settled on 800k.

Don’t Give Up

I normally don’t cite these rises and falls in my articles but it’s important to do so this week. There was so much season-ending online sentiment amongst those that didn’t captain Haaland, where people were already talking about giving up on their team.

Managers kept whining about how everyone is going to permanently captain Haaland and there will be no opportunity to make up this difference which, honestly, felt like so much over-the-top overreaction to me.

Most of us who captained Salah lost 18 points to the field (because everyone owns Haaland) and those that captained Maddison lost only five points. You don’t need an extreme captaincy call to make these points and your season is definitely not over.

I entered Gameweek 8 at around 893k, so am only a week back in terms of rankings. One or two decent weeks where a couple of your players beat the field and you’re back in business.

The campaign is extremely long and we’re not even a quarter of the way through it, with Double Gameweek season still to come in the second half. Again, I talk about this because I had a poor start in 2020/21 and the mistake I made was doubling down on my initial problem and subsequently becoming different for the sake of being different in order to shoot up the rankings.

This was very much a mistake that we need to learn from and you don’t need to necessarily go differential to make up the points. Opportunities will arise and sometimes when you least expect them.

I had Marcus Rashford (£6.5m) from Gameweek 4 onwards and, in the game against Arsenal, I wasn’t expecting much but he brought me 18 points, which alone helped me gain 600k in rank. In fact, it is very important that after taking such a big hit, you don’t go on tilt which only leads to you falling behind.

The negative impact of live ranks

One of my friends from the community, FPL Reuser, plays the whole FPL season without looking at his overall rank. His thinking is that not knowing rank helps you make optimal decisions and simply pick the best players, rather than overthinking and panicking.

This makes a lot of sense. I was recently on the FML FPL podcast where host Alon asked how to recover from a poor start and my answer was simply that I don’t know because, if I knew, I’d be able to salvage my season.

However, upon thinking a little more, I remembered Reuser and replied that the answer is probably to not think about rank and focus on making the right transfers. Alon said “so basically, dance like no one’s watching” and I simply smiled and agreed.

So much of FPL is psychology and emotion, at least for me. I was chatting to my pod partner Zophar just this morning, telling him how so many transfers may even depend on the day you make it because our thoughts are always evolving, we just don’t know whether it’s for better or worse.

New Liverpool tactics

Moving on, one recent thing has caught my interest. Liverpool tested out a new 4-2-3-1 in the Champions League against Rangers and the FPL implications of that could be very significant.

A lot of us will be looking to buy Liverpool assets when they follow a couple of tough games by facing West Ham United (H), Nottingham Forest (A) and Leeds United (H).

There was an excellent video on this on TIFO, which you can see below:

It could mean that one of the Liverpool forwards becomes an option, while maybe Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.3m) could be more withdrawn. We don’t yet know how it will impact Mohamed Salah.

Either way, let’s observe over the next two or three weeks and begin planning because you will want their players soon enough. And it’s worth paying attention to Jurgen Klopp’s words:

“It had a little bit to do with the game but not too much. It was for us, we wanted to defend differently to what we usually do.”

Keeping this in mind, you need to decide where to allocate funds in the upcoming weeks. But I’m monitoring the £9.0m striker bracket closely due to certain Liverpool and Chelsea forwards becoming options in the future.

I feel like there is more upside to chasing Gameweek 12 onwards and whatever you do with your transfers, you need to keep these fixtures in your thoughts.

That’s it from me, I’ll see you next week. In the meantime, you can check out our Gameweek 10 pod here:



172 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Zimo
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Klopp is dumb. Salah was the focal point of everything last few years and he's changed that up for no reason and look where they are.

    1. noquarternt
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Incredible insight, do you have any more?

      1. Cojones of Destiny
        4 years, 1 month ago

        ))

      2. Weak Become Heros
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Lol

      3. Eze Really?
        4 years, 1 month ago

        It can be frustrating to get a top page post with little to gain from such information. (smile)

    2. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Selling Mane has ruined Liverpool. They’re just simply not the same team without him.

      Defenders were scared of his movement, he’d make space for Salah but now he’s gone.

      Bad management selling Mane.

      1. trick9
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I don't think so.

        They are missing Mane but to be honest they've been fine mostly going forward. Just lack of finish, what you'd expect now that Mane is gone and Salah slightly struggling.

        Their defense is killing them. Van Dijk has had a terrible season and Matip has been injured. TAA and Robertson have been the same they've always been on the defensive side but this season they don't have VVD and Matip in top-form bailing them off.

        1. GreennRed
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Midfield not as good defensively either. Fabinho not as solid as previous seasons. Gametime rather than age and injury proneness catching up on Henderson. They also used to provide some leadership that's lacking. Firmino playing great stuff though.

      2. George Sillett
        4 years, 1 month ago

        They had no choice . Mane was leaving whether they wanted to keep him or not.

      3. Zilla
        4 years, 1 month ago

        That's simply isn't true.

        1. George Sillett
          4 years, 1 month ago

          "It was last year I took my decision to leave because I need a new challenge in my life," Mane told BBC Sport Africa. "For me, it was the right time. I spoke with the coach [Jurgen Klopp] one year ago and talked to him about my desire to leave.22 Jul 2022

    3. Studs Up
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Aaah, he must have been a good defender over the years?

  2. PartyTime
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Hahaha 😆 don’t give up!

    1. g40steve
      4 years, 1 month ago

      True like others in previous years betting against highest scoring player in the game is never going to end well.

  3. Jase3377
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Hey guys

    I spent the last week thinking I would take a hit on Emerson Royal to Guéhi and Groß to Zaha.
    Missed the price drop on ER as wasn't paying attention and now thinking Zaha (LEE, lei, WOL) may not be any better than Groß (TOT, bre, NFO)

    Would you:

    A) do both for a hit
    B) do Emerson Royal to Guéhi only
    C) Trade out Martinelli and hold Groß (this week for a hit - annoyingly 0.1 short)
    D) Trade out Martinelli next week or GW 12 and hold Groß (no hit)

    Team for reference is:
    Pope
    Cancelo, James, Tripper
    KDB, Maddison, Martinelli, Groß
    Haaland, Jesus, Mitro

    Bench - Ward, Emerson Royal, Andreas, Neco

    Plan is to swap KDB for Salah and trade out one (or both) of Jesus/Cancelo in GW 12.

    Thanks in advance

    1. Jase3377
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Forgot to mention, will WC in 13

      1. Eze Really?
        4 years, 1 month ago

        With the FH in mind, your course of action is move out what you can in Arsenal assets in GW12, avoiding losses made in value best you can.
        If people not on a WC they will take the medicine irrespective and have a weaker side. The WC is made limited benefit due to loss in value and the gain in GW12 is your real gain. Most will have 4 Arsenal and Citeh assets in GW13, probably 1 or 2 off a WC team.

  4. Weak Become Heros
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Taken some big hits on value this week to wait for news. Bring me something good pressers.

    1. Eze Really?
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah if Mitro not passed fit he only has a week to get back and 10 days for the next GW. I am not so sure, in this case waiting was worth it. Mitro fixtures are so enticing though.

  5. tristanabc
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Struggling for a non-sideways move with 2FTs? Not keen on selling Mitro unless out for more than this week. 0 itb.

    Pope
    Cancelo James Trips
    Maddison Zaha Bowen Bilva
    Kane Haaland Mitro

    Ward Andreas Neco Emerson(wh)

  6. DavvaMC
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Need a budget defender thinking of the below:

    A. Mings
    B. Andersen
    C. Guehi

    Not sure who to go for.

    1. trick9
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

    2. Mark Colonel
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I take Guehi on wildcard

    3. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      C

    4. antis0cial
      4 years, 1 month ago

      C

  7. Eze Really?
    4 years, 1 month ago

    I quite enjoyed the article and not enough is said about live ranks.
    If there were no early price changes it would be easier to function but the click baiting is a clear factor for it.
    I know what I want to do 10 minutes after the GW and my head is clear. The continuous "look see" I do until the deadline creates a crescendo in my brain and I often go against the previous logical decision.
    I think the article is well worth heeding.

    1. noquarternt
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Move to Australia, I sleep through all the games and watch full games/highlights the next morning. Then after looking at the red arrow I get on with my life.

  8. Boomerang V
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Who is the best defender up to 6.1 to have until world cup break that are not James, Perisic, Tripper or Saliba?

    1. Eze Really?
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Punty Chilwell?

      1. Boomerang V
        4 years, 1 month ago

        yeah I thought the same. Not sure if I want to double on Che defense though

    2. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Chilly. Might bring him in this week over James.

  9. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Everyone benching Saliba? He’s currently second on my bench

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yes. Keeping in 12 too

  10. Eat my goal!
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 1 month ago

    I’d say if you’re still not capping haaland then you should give up - your heads not in the game or you’re completely inept of making good decisions!!!

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      it's like a gambler chasing losses

      with a big bank roll they can become intrenched

      horrible to see and even worse to go through

  11. Saïss Doesn't Mat…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Start Guaita (LEE) or Ward (bou)

    1. Botman and Robben
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Have both, with Guaita atm.

    2. trick9
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Ward.

    3. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      G

  12. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Raya
    Trent, Cancelo, Trippier
    KDB, Diaz, Martinelli, Gross
    Haaland, Jesus, Mitrovic

    Ward. Andreas, Neco, Patterson.

    WC. 2 FT. 0.9m itb.

    I'm going to do Diaz and Gross to Maddisson and Trossard today I think.

    Obviously missed the boat a bit because auto pick agrees with that selection. Is there anything better to do with 14.8m for 2 in the middle?

    Cheers guys

    1. The Mentaculus
      4 years, 1 month ago

      More like missed the launch party but still welcome aboard at the 2nd stop. The only downside I see is that you're left with 2FTs for GW12 & 5 Ars/City - which isn't a problem if you play your whole bench, but could force you into a hit to field 11 if Patterson is still out

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        4 years, 1 month ago

        cheers

        I've got the wildcard too

  13. Return of the FF
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 1 month ago

    What to do about Isak and Mitro?

    1. g40steve
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Sell

      1. Return of the FF
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        4 years, 1 month ago

        But who for? The options are poor

        1. Baps Hunter
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          4 years, 1 month ago

          I chose Callum W. He is always good when fit and this Newcastle team is getting better.

      2. Botman and Robben
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Mitro out for long?

        1. g40steve
          4 years, 1 month ago

          No laughing but I went Martial

    2. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Wait for news in a few hours. Sell Isak though most likely.

  14. _Gunner
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Who to put first on bench in case Mitrovic is injured?

    A- Coufal
    B- Williams

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

  15. umerlfc
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Which move would you consider the best?

    A) Ramsdale - > Kepa
    B) Ramsdale - > Guaita
    C) Ramsdale + Martinelli - > Kepa + Zaha (-4)
    D) Ramsdale + Martinelli - > Guaita + Zaha (-4)
    E) Save FT

  16. SpaceCadet
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Better option?

    a. maddison trossard
    b. maddison zaha -4

    1. Pukki Party
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Trossard has been a troll previous seasons and Zaha does have good fixtures. Tough one, but the new Brighton manager should mean an attacking Brighton so A for me.

      1. SpaceCadet
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers

    2. Ajax Hamsterdam
      4 years, 1 month ago

      will n williams even play with s aurier now in the frame?

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        4 years, 1 month ago

        oops sorry.... a, just..

    3. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

  17. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 1 month ago

    It's not great being a week behind rank, much better to be 2 weeks and a day in front.

    Tbf Lateriser knows, I think he spent a whole season above 1 million a couple of years back and despite maverick calls just had 3 or so gw ranks above 500k.

    Slow and steady wins the race, so said the tortoise to the hare. He's right, giving up is for loosers though.

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      * under 500k

    2. g40steve
      4 years, 1 month ago

      True & getting next weeks player is better than chasing last weeks points.

  18. Pukki Party
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Awful start to the season. Anything worth a free transfer or save? 1ft 0.1itb

    Sanchez
    TAA Trippier James
    KdB Martinelli Zaha Bowen
    Haaland Toney Alvarez

    Ward Neco Andreas Gabriel

  19. g40steve
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Cannot decide between playing Ward or Raya?

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      4 years, 1 month ago

      ward imo

      1. g40steve
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Ta,

    2. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Raya

  20. DARE TO BISCAN
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Am I GTG?

    Pope
    James, Dalot, Trippier
    Maddison, Groß, KDB, Martinelli
    Toney, Haaland (c), Kane

    (Ward, Andreas, Neco Saliba)

    a) Play Pope or Ward?
    2) Play Toney or Andreas?

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      4 years, 1 month ago

      yep v nice team!!

      pope
      toney

  21. tibollom
    4 years, 1 month ago

    What to do here guys? 1 FT 1.2 ITB, WC intact..

    a. Roll FT
    b. Marti to Trossard/Zaha
    c. any other suggestions?

    Sanchez Ward
    Cancelo James Trippier Guehi Neco
    KDB Marti Diaz Aaronsson Andreas
    Jesus Haaland Mitro

    1. DARE TO BISCAN
      4 years, 1 month ago

      c) Diaz > Maddison maybe

      1. tibollom
        4 years, 1 month ago

        yea was thinking thhat too but with 5 ARs/City ahead of blank GW, im thinking I need to start phasing out some of these players..

        1. DARE TO BISCAN
          4 years, 1 month ago

          '..' yeah, saw that. Could do someone next GW, then KDB to Diaz gw12. Just a c) suggestion

        2. RamaJama
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          4 years, 1 month ago

          You could also roll, use 1 FT to phasing out next week and then 2 FTs the week after.

          1. tibollom
            4 years, 1 month ago

            thanks mate, that is also an option indeed..

    2. The Knights Template
      4 years, 1 month ago

      You definitely need to start phasing. Do you have a lot of value in Marti? I’m keeping him and ditching Jesus because I can get him back at the same price and Marti will hopefully do better from what I’ve seen.

      1. tibollom
        4 years, 1 month ago

        yea i ve got 0.3 in Marti.. think I do need to start phasing out though..

      2. tibollom
        4 years, 1 month ago

        if I do get rid of Jesus, who should I replace him with you think?

        1. The Knights Template
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Callum Wilson. Or the flair pick - Diego Costa!

          1. tibollom
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Wilson not a bad shout..

          2. tibollom
            4 years, 1 month ago

            decisions decisions.. should I just pull the trigger with Callum Sir??

          3. Old Man
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            4 years, 1 month ago

            You mean the YC pick?

            1. tibollom
              4 years, 1 month ago

              who, wilson??

          4. tibollom
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Martial could be an intersting diff as well no?

  22. sentz05
    4 years, 1 month ago

    A Perisic
    B Chilwell
    C Dalot

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

  23. DAZZ
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Looking for a way to find 1M to fund Martinelli > Zaha.

    Not really liking the look of double Newcastle defence with united and spurs away in the next 4, and wouldn’t be surprised to see Brentford score either.

    Pope > Ward
    Trippier > 4.3 (Guehi, Andersen)

    Which of these moves would be best?

    1. The Knights Template
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Popey out

    2. antis0cial
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Of those, Pope

  24. Legohair
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Play one
    A. Schär
    B. Mitro
    C. Guehi

    Rest of the team is

    Pope
    Cancelo-James-Trippier-Schär
    Foden-Maddison-Zaha-Martinelli
    Haaland-Kane

    Ward,Guehi, Pereira,Mitrovic

    1. DAZZ
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I’d play Guehi and not the NUFC triple up. Brentford will score

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Think Mitro is out?

        1. Legohair
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Dont know but tough fixtures this week

    2. The Knights Template
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

    3. antis0cial
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I'd play Mitro if fit.

  25. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
    4 years, 1 month ago

    If playing Pope and Trippier…

    Should I be benching Toney and playing Neco?

    1. The Knights Template
      4 years, 1 month ago

      No

  26. Jase3377
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Bench order correct or swap first 2?

    Guehi, Andreas, Neco

    Thanks

    1. HODGE
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Any news on Mitrovic?

    2. HODGE
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yes seams good

      1. Jase3377
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks

  27. Malinwa
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Bilva+Dias > Maddison+Zaha? Or would you keep Bilva? He played 66min Wednesday...

  28. kanuforpresident
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Do I need to get rid of Mendy? Seems like Kepa has moved back in, or was that purely due to injury.

  29. ShaunGoater123
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 1 month ago

    If mitro is out which do you prefer. Have 2FTs

    A) mitro , cancelo & Bailey > martial, castagne & Barnes for a -4
    B) mitro and cancelo > Castagne & auba

  30. Ahmed Adam
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Diaz to madison

    Any thoughts