Spot the Differential
7 October 2022 407 comments
avfc82 avfc82
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Gameweek 10 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Chelsea, West Ham United and Manchester United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

PIERRE-EMERICK AUBAMEYANG

FPL Gameweek 10 differentials: Great fixtures for Aubameyang 1
  • FPL ownership: 1.8%
  • Price: £9.0m
  • GW10-14 fixtures: WOL | avl | bre | MUN | bha

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£9.0m) needed only 38 minutes of his Premier League debut for Chelsea to score his first goal for the club.

In addition to his strike at Selhurst Park, his movement and all-round display caught the eye, earning maximum bonus and a nine-point haul. His stats were modest (two shots in the box, one chance created), but you get the feeling Aubameyang can provide a clinical edge that Chelsea have been lacking.

Owned by just 1.8% of managers, the 33-year-old followed up his debut goal with another against AC Milan in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday. He was withdrawn shortly after tapping in Reece James’ (£6.1m) cross on 65 minutes, and almost provided an assist for Mason Mount (£7.6m), too, but there was an offside in the build-up.

Next up for Chelsea is Saturday’s home meeting with managerless Wolverhampton Wanderers, who are struggling with injuries and suspensions. Indeed, Ruben Neves (£5.5m) and Nathan Collins (£4.5m) are both banned, while the ankle injury that Pedro Neto (£5.1m) picked up in Gameweek 9 rules him out until after the World Cup. Their favourable schedule then continues, with successive away trips to struggling Aston Villa and Brentford.

The early signs for Aubameyang at Chelsea are really encouraging, which suggests he can build on his good start in the coming weeks.

LUCAS PAQUETA

  • FPL ownership: 1.3%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW10-14 fixtures: FUL | sou | liv | BOU | mun

Lucas Paqueta (£6.0m) made an instant impact as a substitute against Anderlecht in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday.

With the game goalless with 20 minutes to go, David Moyes turned to his summer signing, with the Brazilian repaying his manager’s faith by creating the winning goal for Gianluca Scamacca (£6.7m). Always demanding the ball, Paqueta was central to the Hammers’ play.

Domestically, the playmaker has started in each of West Ham United’s last three league matches. In that time, he has been deployed as an attacking midfielder in Moyes’ 4-2-3-1 formation, showing glimpses of his quality, but the best is undoubtedly yet to come.

Had he been playing in a team that was in form, he may have been able to make more of an impact. However, the Hammers have potentially turned a corner, after winning four of their last five matches in all competitions, including victories to nil over Wolves and Anderlecht this past week.

Now, they host a Fulham side that have conceded 13 goals in their last six matches, with appealing fixtures to follow against Southampton in Gameweek 11 and Bournemouth in Gameweek 13.

Paqueta can be a difference-maker at West Ham for that run, and could be a nice, cheaper alternative pick to Jarrod Bowen (£8.1m).

ANTHONY MARTIAL

FPL pre-season: Martial and Solanke net again
  • FPL ownership: 1.2%
  • Price: £6.9m
  • GW10-14 fixtures: eve | NEW | TOT | che | WHU

Anthony Martial (£6.9m) made a goal-scoring return from injury in Sunday’s defeat by Manchester City, grabbing a brace – a header and a fine penalty – one bonus and 10 points.

The Frenchman then followed it up by scoring one minute after being substituted on against Omonia Nicosia on Thursday, as Erik ten Hag handed him more valuable minutes after an interrupted start to 2022/23.

“We want to do it really careful because he had a good pre-season. Good, fit, also good impact and last 10 minutes [of the pre-season friendly] against Atletico Madrid he fell out and then he returned against Liverpool, so another injury, that put him far back. I cannot force it. I have to do it with a plan, that is what we’re trying to do. It’s quite clear. Happy with his performance – all the subs had a really good impact.” – Erik ten Hag on Anthony Martial

As a result, Martial has netted three goals and assisted one in his three appearances in all competitions this season, and is now pushing for a start against Everton, the team he has scored more goals against than any other.

It’s clear ten Hag will take a cautious approach with his return, but he has now played 31 minutes v Man City and 29 minutes v Omonia Nicossia this past week, which suggests he is close. A start certainly isn’t guaranteed, but fans are calling for it, and it’s hard to argue against his impact when on the pitch of late.

Martial has had a quiet period in his career due to injuries and an unsuccessful loan at Sevilla, but there is potential for him to score a lot of goals under ten Hag at Man Utd, provided he can stay fit.


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407 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Back of the Garnett
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Raya
    TAA - Cancelo - Tripps
    MArtinelli - Maddison - Zaha - Silva
    Kane - Haaland(C) - Mitro

    Ward - Andreas - Williams - Guehi
    1FT - 0.6ITB

    GTG here or should I be dealing with Trent? Cheers

    1. Rhodes your boat
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I would play gueh/andreas over dasilva

      1. Back of the Garnett
        4 years, 1 month ago

        It's Bernado Silva, my bad

    2. Piksau
      4 years, 1 month ago

      TAA is a punt right now, i really don't expect them to get a clean sheet this GW(he will be up against Martinelli), so its all about gambling on an attacking return. I would do a transfer to James. I know it sounds template, but it also allows you to upgrade elsewhere.

      1. Rhodes your boat
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Agreed taa to James a decent move

      2. Back of the Garnett
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah been toying with this and think it's a smart one, don't see trent doing any better than james over the next 2 and that extra cash can boost my squad for GW12

  2. Milk, 1 Šuker
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Thanks for this piece Tom, always look forward to it. I'm 0.1 short of getting Zaha for this week. Worth a hit?

    1. avfc82
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Ah thank you, appreciate that!

      What's the move? Include your team if you can too.

      1. Milk, 1 Šuker
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Pope
        Cancelo Trip James
        Gordon Maddison Martinelli KDB Andreas
        Haaland Toney

        Ward Coufal Mitro Andersen

        See my dilemma?

    2. Rhodes your boat
      4 years, 1 month ago

      What would the other transfer be?

    3. Milk, 1 Šuker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Mitro (if out) to Solanke!

      1. Colonial
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Solanke just starts, they do not score goals and although he is on penalties so what - waste of money IMO

        1. Milk, 1 Šuker
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          4 years, 1 month ago

          OK pal, thanks. Back to the drawing board!

  3. Rhodes your boat
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Gtg after planned transfer? 0ft 0.6itb (emerson>guehi)

    Ward
    Cancelo James trippier
    Kdb maddison martinelli rashford
    Haaland(c) Jesus toney

    Sanchez guehi andreas neco

  4. OverTinker
    4 years, 1 month ago

    1. Perisic to Chilwel
    2. Mitro to Martial (Already have Wilson)

    1. Piksau
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Martial is a great diff pick right now.
      Leave Perisic as he is.

    2. Rhodes your boat
      4 years, 1 month ago

      2 if mitro is out

  5. Piksau
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Son + Jesus -> Foden + Kane
    for a -4?

    1. Piksau
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Can also do Son + Jesus -> Rashy + Kane

      1. Rhodes your boat
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Neither worth a hit imo

        1. Piksau
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Gamblers Ruin...My last 2 hits have been for Son(19pts) and Maddison(18pts), so i am feeling emboldened.

    2. COYS Down Under
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

  6. FPL Brains
    • Has Moderation Rights
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Great article mate. Given me food for thought.

    1. avfc82
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Thank you! So many good differential picks this week, I think the shortlist had just over 20 names on it, which is crazy.

      1. GENERATION X
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Just what the game needs with no real captain varience

        1. GENERATION X
          4 years, 1 month ago

          *variance

        2. avfc82
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Exactly!

  7. Botman and Robben
    4 years, 1 month ago

    1FT and 1.2ITB.

    Roll FT?

    Guaita
    Cancelo James Trippier
    Salah Maddison Zaha Martinelli
    Haaland Toney Mitro

    Ward Andreas Kilman Neco

    1. Rhodes your boat
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I would dependent on what we hear about mitro, nice team. Good luck

  8. OverTinker
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Any news on Mitrovic?

    1. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Presser at 1.30

  9. Nate(U)dog(ie)
    4 years, 1 month ago

    https://www.skysports.com/football/news/11727/12714383/nottingham-forest-hand-head-coach-steve-cooper-fresh-contract-until-2025

    Contrary to expectation that he was going to get sacked, Cooper has been given a new deal at Forest

  10. jason_ni
    4 years, 1 month ago

    2 FT 2.6 ITB

    A) Patterson -> Castagne
    B) Andreas -> Rashford
    C) Mitrovic -> Scamaca or Martial

    Can do both A and either B or C, but not sure outside of Mitrovic, who else I'd want to bench this GW.

    Pope (Ward)
    Cancelo - James - Trippier ( Neco - Patterson)
    Sterling - Foden - Zaha - Martinelli ( Andreas)
    Jesus - Haaland - Mitrovic

  11. JollyGoodYellows
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Is Diaz > Madison the best transfer here?

    1FT and 0.4itb

    Raya
    Cancelo Trippier Schar Cucurella
    KDB Diaz Martinelli Zaha
    Haaland Jesus

    Ward Neco Andreas Mitro

    1. Maeki2
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      yes think so else looks good

    2. KANTEnders
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

  12. KANTEnders
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Hello everyone. Last few decisions on WC. Help much appreciated.

    Pickford,begovic
    James,cancelo,trippier,N.Williams,XXXX
    Martinelli,zaha,Maddison,XXXX,Andreas
    XXXX,Kane,haaland

    1) best def under 4.4 : Jonny,ait nouri,guehi (will play in GW 12)
    2) best mid punt under 8.2 (for GW 11 & 12) : Diaz,Bowen,mount,foden
    3) best forward ( for GW 11 & 12) : Wilson,toney,welbeck,mitro (if he misses only 10)

    Planning to move Kane & XXXX mid to salah & 6.8m forward in GW 12.

    Cheers

    1. The Mentaculus
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Estupinan, Foden (4.5 + 8.1 should be ok?), Mitrovic/Wilson

      1. KANTEnders
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Isn’t minutes a risk with Estupinan? Really don’t like Liverpool away and a blank for foden. Cheers

        1. The Mentaculus
          4 years, 1 month ago

          A little, but its a risk I'm (probably) willing to take myself. Foden is my top pick from your list above - maybe Bowen 2nd but I haven't really seen all that much of West Ham recently, just has a good matchup against Fulham's weak left flank

          1. KANTEnders
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Who do you think is more nailed? Jonny or ait nouri? I’m also thinking of Barnes for 11 & 12 as a cheeky punt. Waiting for the pressers.

      2. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        4 years, 1 month ago

        have you submitted your community team yet?

        1. The Mentaculus
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Not yet. I'll let the scout picks go 1st so I know who my differential options are

          1. AC/DC AFC
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Good idea.

            What's your deadline then?

            1. The Mentaculus
              4 years, 1 month ago

              Actually they just gave me a 5pm deadline so I might not get to do this...

              1. AC/DC AFC
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                4 years, 1 month ago

                was that game play??

  13. Lionac
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Salah & Bailey to Zaha and …

    A) Foden - would have 5 City/Arsenal an will need a hit to field 11 in GW 12
    B) Bowen
    C) Trossard

    1. KANTEnders
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

  14. kamdaraji
    4 years, 1 month ago

    B

  15. Cheeky Onion
    4 years, 1 month ago

    2 FT, 0.4m ITB & will WC GW13. Current Squad:

    Pope
    TAA - Cancelo* - James - Trippier
    KdB* - Martinelli* - Gross
    Haaland* - Jesus* - Toney
    Ward - Bailey - Andreas - Neco

    Looking to do the following moves to prepare for BGW12:
    KdB > Madders
    Martinelli > Zaha
    Jesus > Kane

    Need the funds from KdB to do the others, but don't want to drop him before the Southampton game. What to do this week to avoid burning a transfer?

    1. Atimis
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Sell TAA?

    2. CABAYE4
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Tricky position - if I were you I’d plan to keep Martinelli or Jesus and move Trent on this GW.

      Though if you really want Kane then you need to get rid of KDB to fund.

      1. Cheeky Onion
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Plan is to hold Martinelli & Haaland since I have a good bit of funds tied up in them. Will likely ditch KdB next week to bring in Madders

    3. Atimis
      4 years, 1 month ago

      You should be able to afford TAA Jesus to fodder Kane

      1. Cheeky Onion
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Think I'm going to do TAA > Mings this week and roll a FT with lots ITB to prep for BGW12 next week

        1. Cheeky Onion
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Tempted to double up on Che defense with Silva or Cucu

        2. Atimis
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Just don't sell good picks now, like KDB Martinelli Jesus, leaving some suspects in your team, like TAA, Bailey, Gross, just to prepare for a GW that is 2 weeks away.

    4. Atimis
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Or TAA Bailey to someone Madders

  16. CABAYE4
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Who scores more over next 3?

    A. Diaz (ars, MCI, WHU) + 4 points
    B. Zaha (LEE, lei, WOL)
    C. Maddison (bou, CRY, LEE)

    GW13 WC so no interest beyond these 3 games.

    1. Athletic Nasherbo
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I really fancy Zaha, but that’s because I already own Maddison. Both will score well; think Maddison has more routes to points despite probably in the weaker team.

      1. CABAYE4
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Part of me thinks I’ve missed the Maddison haul but I think his fixtures may just shade it.

    2. KANTEnders
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      C

  17. Athletic Nasherbo
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Think I’ll be patient and hold.

    Defence is shaky, but I’ll get Kilman for NFO (H) next week for Patterson. Gives me more time to monitor for 12

    Really could do with Neale for Matty Targett info!

    Raya
    Trippier Saliba Targett
    KdB Sterling Maddison Zaha Martinelli
    Haaland(C) Jesus

    Ward Neco Archer Patterson*

    1FT 1.5ITB

    Thoughts?

    Raya
    Trippier

    1. CABAYE4
      4 years, 1 month ago

      If I had to guess I’d say Targett will start this one.

      But Trippier is the only nailed Newcastle defender so you’re playing with fire.

      1. Athletic Nasherbo
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I think so too, fingers crossed.

        Yeah I’d get rid if GW12 blank wasn’t a thing.

        Fingers crossed he plays in the easier home games whilst Burn is favoured for 11.

  18. Maeki2
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 1 month ago

    If someone get suspension due to too many yellow cards over the past games. Does that effect the fpl points like a red card?

    1. DRIZ ✅
      4 years, 1 month ago

      No mate

    2. Piksau
      4 years, 1 month ago

      No

    3. outernational
      4 years, 1 month ago

      No loss of points. They just miss a game.

      1. Maeki2
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Good to know then i think i keep Jesus over the Leeds game

  19. FPL Daniel
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Don’t go Paqueta imo

    1. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Too late I already got him

      1. FPL Daniel
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Good luck then, it’s football anything can happen

        1. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
          4 years, 1 month ago

          He's hauling. WH going to trash Fulham

    2. KANTEnders
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      This. I deadended my team GW 8-9 before the WC and got burned.

  20. RocketMan
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone else thinking Scamacca could be the one to replace mitrovic with if out?

    1. FPL Daniel
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Potentially yes

    2. Joey Jo-Jo Junior Shabadoo
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Might play 70 mins, might play 20 mins. Either way, no thanks.

  21. suddenorgan
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Pope (Ward)
    Cancelo, TAA, Perisic, Trippier (Neco)
    KDB, Trossard, Martinelli (Bailey, Andreas)
    Haaland, Jesus, Toney

    2FT £0.6, Wildcarding GW12/13

    Trent + Bailey -> £4.5 + Maddison?
    Trent + Martinelli -> James + Maddison?
    Something else?

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Nice team.

      Probably B if you like James?

  22. Atimis
    4 years, 1 month ago

    I went through his stats yesterdays, like shoots, touches, etc., and I'm not impressed but still on my radar

    1. Atimis
      4 years, 1 month ago

      @ROCKETMAN

  23. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 1 month ago

    A) Isak -> Scamacca (bench Perisic)
    B) Perisic, Isak -> Guehi, Wilson (bench Guehi)
    C) Perisic -> Guehi (bench Isak, roll other FT)

    1. CABAYE4
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

  24. Letsgo!
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Ward
    Trippier cancelo rjames
    Kdb trossard martinelli andreas
    Kane haaland mitro

    Subs pope coufal bailey neco

    What will u do with this team? 1ft 0.1 itb

    1. RocketMan
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Haaland to nunez

      1. RocketMan
        4 years, 1 month ago

        ps, 😉

      2. Letsgo!
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Done! Hahahahahah

  25. SomeoneKnows
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Pope
    Trippier, Cancelo, James
    KDB, Madisson, Martinelli, Bailey
    Haaland, Jesus, Toney

    (Ward, Andreas, Saliba, Neco)
    1FT + 1.9M itb + WC13 planning

    A) Roll transfer
    B) Jesus > Aubameyang
    C) Jesus > Mitrovich (if fit)

    1. Sterling Malory
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Can you afford Bailey to Trossard?

    2. CABAYE4
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A or sell Bailey

      1. SomeoneKnows
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I need all my transfers in order to field 11 players in GW12

  26. Bobby_Baggio
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Morning all - Some advice on where to use my 2FT + 1.7m ITB? Thoughts are DaSilva + TAA > Maddison + 5.4m Def? Cheers.

    Pope
    Trippier - Cancelo - TAA - Saliba
    Salah - Zaha - Martinelli
    Haaland - Mitro - Toney

    (Iversen) - Neco - Andreas - DaSilva

  27. Sterling Malory
    4 years, 1 month ago

    How's this WC draft?

    Raya
    James Cancelo Trippier
    Martinelli Foden Maddison Zaha Son
    Wilson Haaland
    Ward Castagne Guehi Greenwood

    May go with Kepa over Raya
    Tempted to fit in Bowen for Foden
    Son is a bit of a punt.

    1. Joey Jo-Jo Junior Shabadoo
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Any wc draft at this stage that kills off one of the slots with e.g. Greenwood is a no from me.

      1. Sterling Malory
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Greenwood becomes Solanke in GW12

  28. Scots Gooner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Pope
    Cancelo / James / Trippier
    Sterling / Maddison / Martinelli / Andreas
    Haaland / Kane / Mitro

    Ward / Coufal / Williams / Da Silva

    1FT / 1.8 ITB

    Coufal not starting last week leaves me with a bit of a headache, especially if Mitro is out.

    Worth sacrificing Sterling for Zaha and upgrading Da Silva to Bowen?

  29. Weasel Boy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Surely Scamaca a good punt if Mitro out?

    1. DRIZ ✅
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Maybe Antonio will start

    2. Athletico Underachieving
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Think he’s likely to start this week, not sure going forwards. Tempting though

  30. juicewagz
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Tomkins (3.9) to start for Palace? Worth a punt?