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8 October 2022 689 comments
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Mohamed Salah (£12.7m) dropped again in price last night, with his Fantasy Premier League (FPL) ownership now dipping below 30%.

We know why he’s been deemed dispensable by many managers: he simply can’t compete with Erling Haaland‘s (£12.2m) output at the moment, while other cheaper premium assets like Kevin De Bruyne (£12.4m) and Harry Kane (£11.4m) are bettering his current points-per-match average.

Another suggested (and connected) reason for his decline in appeal has been his perceived dip in goal threat.

While this season is still in its infancy, we thought we’d take a look at what underlying numbers the Egyptian has been posting in the past compared to what he’s delivering right now.

All the graphics below are expandable by clicking on them, with data taken from our Premium Members Area.

SHOTS IN THE BOX

Salah is currently below par in terms of shots in the box this season, though not dramatically below the historic mean.

There have been drier spells: a mid-season slump in 2020/21 was worse, which featured a 12-game stretch in which he only once registered more than two shots in the box in a league fixture.

BIG CHANCES

Big chances are similarly down on his historic six-game average.

It’s actually improved since the end of last season, however, when there was a real shortage of gilt-edged opportunities: just three of those came in Salah’s final nine appearances of the season.

CHANCES CREATED


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689 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Weeb Kakashi
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    G2G??

    Ward
    Reece Trippier Tsimikas Justin
    Salah Son Zaha Madders
    Haaland (C) Mitro

    Pickford.. Andreas Guehi

    Saving FT

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      yeah

      Good to go

      out for a walk!

    2. daniel17dunn
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      tsimikas over guehi?

  2. ILOVEBAPS
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    These good moves?
    Salah > Zaha
    TAA > Trippier
    Neto > Maddison

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      For a -4

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        yeah

        go for it

        1. ILOVEBAPS
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Thanks

  3. FPLtfs
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Any news on Mitro?

    Mitro -> Martial

    Yes/no?

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Go for it if you need a rank rise

  4. CrouchDown
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Would you keep Mitro on WC?

    1. Croaker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I would

  5. karsworde
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Hello fam,

    What're your thoughts on this WC team?

    Ward • Guaita
    Reece • Akanji • Botman • Justin • Neco
    De Bruyne • Maddison • Zaha • Bowen • Trossard
    Haaland • Auba • Archer

    0.0 ITB

    Any advice or changes you recommend?

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      dodgy keepers

      1. karsworde
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Thinking of Guaita as a set and forget option since he's got a good run of games. Could rotate him with Ward when necessary?

        What change would you make to the keepers otherwise?

        1. daniel17dunn
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          could remove guaita and go for guehi for under 4.5m at cb save some dosh

    2. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Not sure about Akanji. Especially when you have to remove a City player soon anyway (with non-playing Archer)

      1. karsworde
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        He's in there for a couple game weeks - I could ship him out ahead of game week 13.

        Would you make the move now though considering city are playing southampton at home?

        1. Dags
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Agree with Menta, remove Akanji or change Archer.

          1. karsworde
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            Thank you, lads!

            Would you do: Guaita -> Kepa and Akanji -> Guehi?

            1. The Mentaculus
              • 4 Years
              3 years, 2 months ago

              Yeah that sounds alright. Or, my current favourite 4.5m defender, Estupinan. Mixed fixtures so not ideal if you have to play him every week but next 2 are fine & GW12 is his time to really shine

              1. karsworde
                • 7 Years
                3 years, 2 months ago

                Thanks for this, Menta! Estupinan it is

            2. Dags
              • 3 Years
              3 years, 2 months ago

              Personally I would get Guaita in GW12. Could go with Kepa if you believe he is first choice for the next 3. I think your defence needs a relook since Botman/Akanji are not nailed leaving you with only James as the one guarenteed playing one. If you plan on getting Guaita then don't go for Guehi.

              1. karsworde
                • 7 Years
                3 years, 2 months ago

                Is Botman not nailed? I thought he missed a couple of games cause of injury that's all

                1. Dags
                  • 3 Years
                  3 years, 2 months ago

                  As far as I know, not nailed yet.

        2. The Mentaculus
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Im just not sure if he starts ahead of Dias so would probably go for another defender & save an FT down the line

          1. karsworde
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            He passed the eye test in the United game; looked solid defensively. He was also rested midweek so I'm guessing he's pretty much nailed for this game week

            I do like your idea of saving a FT down the line though - just unsure who to bring in instead of him

      2. Dags
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Hey Menta :). I am thinking about spreading the funds. So tempting after Mitro injury! Will need to take hits in GW13 as it is.

        1. The Mentaculus
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Mitrovic should be back next week with some great fixtures to come so I'm just benching him this week.

          Lots to talk about for GW12, but I'm not sure its advisable to take as many hits as you were suggesting. Bear in mind the the vast majority are going to be playing the likes of Neco & Andreas to fill out the 11. I have improved my bench slightly (Neco - Estupinan) but will still be playing Sessegnon & Andreas.

          Generally speaking, I think the opportunity cost of losing Arsenal & City players for GW13 in favour of slight improvements for GW12 isn't worth it.

          1. Dags
            • 3 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            Yeah I'm in a huge dilemma. I will bench Mitro. I am thinking of getting Rodrigo for Andreas. I do not want to play Andreas for GW10 and GW12. Only problem is I do not know how I can get all the guys I want for GW13. -8 seems very likely. What are you planning on doing? I a lot of Liv Arsenal and City in GW13

            1. Dags
              • 3 Years
              3 years, 2 months ago

              *need

            2. The Mentaculus
              • 4 Years
              3 years, 2 months ago

              -8 total isn't too bad. I wouldn't get Rodrigo though - he's probably going to be on the bench when Bamford is fully fit.

              My plan is to roll FT next week. GW12: KDB & Jesus âž¡ Trossard & Kane (or Wilson/Darwin). Field this:

              Guaita
              Perisic Trippier Sessegnon Estupinan
              Maddison Trossard Zaha Andreas
              Mitrovic Kane
              (Ward, Cancelo, Martinelli, Haaland)

              GW13: Trossard & Kane - KDB & Jesus (-4). Will have to miss out on Liverpool til GW14

              1. Dags
                • 3 Years
                3 years, 2 months ago

                Seems great but I don't think you should miss out on Liverpool for GW13 AND GW14. I am positive of atleast 8+ goals in those 2 combined. My bench will be the same as you for GW12. Kanes fixtures are pretty great tbh. I am thinking of just forgetting about salah until WC. From liverpool, Jota Salah Diaz and Darwin are on my list and so far I definitely want Diaz and one of Salah or Darwin. But Salah is just too expensive without ever captaining him. I hate having a dud bench.

  6. Moxon
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Quick poll

    A) Wilson
    B) Watkins
    C) Toney

    1. Croaker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A

    2. karsworde
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Wilson

    3. Moxon
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Cheers lads 🙂

    4. Bluetiger1
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A

  7. PartyTime
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Hmmm, I love it! The soothing smell of hits…

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      yeah

      go for it

    2. el polako
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      ...from the bong.

      1. The Knights Template
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Bong is a Thai word I learnt on the news last night.

        1. Deulofail
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          I once announced 'katooi' to and office of Thai teachers, thinking I was putting into practice my newly learnt word for 'sorry', since I was in the way of someone. In fact, the word for sorry is something like 'katord', and I had actually caught everyone's attention by shouting 'LADYBOY'

      2. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        beats?

  8. FPL_NoIdeA
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Is it worthwhile taking -4 hit for
    Cancelo => Tomkins
    Rice => Foden
    This will give me Foden for 1 week against Southampton. GW 11 I will then use my transfer to replace Foden (v LFC then blank) with Madison.

    1. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Don't think so

      1. FPL_NoIdeA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Which midfielder would you start between Declan Rice or Andreas?

        1. The Mentaculus
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Rice.

          I'm still not convinced that Foden is a better option than Cancelo tbh

          1. FPL_NoIdeA
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            Thanks. In that case I will roll transfer and be able to make the swap to Madison for free next week

    2. Original Sin
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Not worth this GW. Cancelo can very easily outscore Foden today

  9. Lord Flashheart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    i have trippier and playing him of course.

    so , who to play at gk?

    A ward (bou)
    B pope (BRE)

    1. karsworde
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Pope I'd reckon. High ceiling for save points

    2. daniel17dunn
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      couldn't trust leicester defence mate leaky

    3. Original Sin
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Pope

    4. Bluetiger1
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B

  10. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Is Neco Williams a better first substitute than Andreas today?

    1. FPL_NoIdeA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Go with Andreas

    2. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I would go for Andreas. Forest defence is too bad for me to consider playing Neco anymore

      1. Deulofail
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        I took a hit for Guehi to avoid playing Neco 😀

        Let's Talk Andy has Neco ahead of Guehi on the bench!

        I have Andreas 3rd sub atm still, hmmm

        1. The Mentaculus
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Sound. I don't think Leeds will score

  11. Najj
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Bench One:
    1) T.Silva vs WOV
    2) Martinelli vs POOL
    3) Gross vs TOT

    1. daniel17dunn
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      only god knows the answer

    2. Original Sin
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Gross

    3. Bluetiger1
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      3

  12. Casp123
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Ward
    Cancelo, TAA, Trippier, Dier, (Martinez)
    Foden, Martinelli, Luis Diaz, Trossard (Kulu)
    Haaland, Jesus (Johnson)

    I have a FT, would you bring one of these in for Kulu and drop any of the above?
    A) Zaha
    B) Anthony
    C) Rashford
    D) do nothing

    1. FPL_NoIdeA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Zaha could be a good differential this week and has nice fixtures coming up

      1. Casp123
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        You're right about those fixtures. I've put him in for Dier.

    2. daniel17dunn
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Zaha will bag thats all i know

    3. Bluetiger1
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A

  13. karsworde
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Quick poll:

    A• Trossard
    B• Antony
    C• Rashford

    1. Original Sin
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Trossard

  14. Original Sin
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Toney->Wilson for a hit? Yes or no?
    I think Wilson will score and Toney will blanl today, so the -4 will be recovered.

  15. FPLSuarridge
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Play Raya NEW(A) or Ward BOU(A)?

    I have Toney…

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Amazing how 1 CS changes the fate of Ward 😛 Raya for me!

  16. wayne_130
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Take out Son for Foden with a 4 point hit?

    Yes/no?

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      No, Son is captain material next week (I know Halaand is perma)

      1. wayne_130
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks, don’t want to miss out on an absolute goal haul this week, trying to break in to the top 50.

        1. Magic Zico
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          It's a marathon ... Foden (LIV blank) next ...

          1. wayne_130
            • 3 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            Wish I had put him in now!

            1. Magic Zico
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              3 years, 2 months ago

              That's the risk, I did not transfer him in myself ...

  17. Miniboss
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Salah-> KdB?

    1. Bluetiger1
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      GW13 onwards

  18. Miniboss
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Start

    A) Ward (BOU away)
    B) Guaita (LEE home)

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Wow Wardinho has been rocketed last week CS, B!

    2. Bluetiger1
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B

  19. The Yorkshire Pirlo
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Downgrade KDB to Foden to upgrade Isak?

    A) Auba

    B) Kane -4

  20. Gizzachance
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Thoughts?
    Mitro an martinelli to
    Solanke an zaha for free?
    Thanks

  21. Oasthouse FC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Hey guys, final annoying question from me!

    Which one on a wildcard?

    A - mitrovic

    B - Edouard

    I know mitro is injured at the moment, but happy to keep on bench for game or 2.

    Edouard has amazing fixtures coming up….

    1. Bluetiger1
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B if they start each week or Roll FT

  22. g40steve
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Ward or Raya, split on decision?

  23. Bluetiger1
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    C. Guiata with forth coming fixture - beginning of season Crystal Palace have played the following which gives I feel a false league position.
    Arsenal, Man City, Liverpool & Chelsea

    1. Bluetiger1
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Sorry this is for G40Steve above question on ward or raya