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How do Salah’s underlying numbers compare to past seasons?

8 October 2022 689 comments
Skonto Rigga Skonto Rigga
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Mohamed Salah (£12.7m) dropped again in price last night, with his Fantasy Premier League (FPL) ownership now dipping below 30%.

We know why he’s been deemed dispensable by many managers: he simply can’t compete with Erling Haaland‘s (£12.2m) output at the moment, while other cheaper premium assets like Kevin De Bruyne (£12.4m) and Harry Kane (£11.4m) are bettering his current points-per-match average.

Another suggested (and connected) reason for his decline in appeal has been his perceived dip in goal threat.

While this season is still in its infancy, we thought we’d take a look at what underlying numbers the Egyptian has been posting in the past compared to what he’s delivering right now.

All the graphics below are expandable by clicking on them, with data taken from our Premium Members Area.

SHOTS IN THE BOX

Salah is currently below par in terms of shots in the box this season, though not dramatically below the historic mean.

There have been drier spells: a mid-season slump in 2020/21 was worse, which featured a 12-game stretch in which he only once registered more than two shots in the box in a league fixture.

BIG CHANCES

Big chances are similarly down on his historic six-game average.

It’s actually improved since the end of last season, however, when there was a real shortage of gilt-edged opportunities: just three of those came in Salah’s final nine appearances of the season.

CHANCES CREATED

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689 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. ball c
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    2 FTs

    Which is best move:
    A or B?

    A) Pope & Emerson to Guaita & Cresswell
    B) Emerson to Justin
    C) Emerson to Guehi

    Open Controls
    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B but Castagne?

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      1. BennyDizzle
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Agreed, this was my change

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  2. Live Lad
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    What happened to Coufal? Didn't play last week. Thanks.

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    1. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Dropped

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  3. Botman and Robben
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Still have Salah, will probably sell after gw12.

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    1. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Interesting, ultra differential

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      1. It’s gonna Ben Mee
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Define “ultra differential”. Still owned by almost 30%

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  4. kamdaraji
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Liverpool mass exodus. Salah, TAA and Diaz being sold by plenty

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    1. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      More points for owners

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      1. yousunkmybattleship
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Interesting logic

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  5. JT11fc
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Is Mitro likely to get a cameo?

    Open Controls
    1. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Its either start him or Dalot....

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  6. PascalCygan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Stuck at the bottom sorry

    A) Diaz to Foden
    B) Hold
    C) Something else

    Sold Foden last week for Maddison (had both on wildcard alas) but think I might be able to hold next week or move Foden on before his blank.

    1FT 1.0ITB
    Pope
    Cancelo James Perisic Trippier
    Diaz Maddison Martinelli
    Haaland Kane Mitro*

    Ward Gordon Andreas Neco

    Cheers

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  7. rjcv177
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Salah...is the new Tadic

    Everytime we fancy a player we look at stats, but then we find the vardys and Son that are leethal and overperform the xG.
    Eye test is very important.
    Someday salah Will return, even Tadic had a 20pointer in a random goalfest...but salah grabbing an assist in 12goals scored is not a good sign

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    1. rjcv177
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I even remember some guy here saying haaland two touches against Bournemouth were a worry lololool

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    2. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Next year will be interesting when he’ll be 11.5 and Haaland 14

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    3. Zalk
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Good old Tadic, always liked him. Not fpl material maybe but always liked him as a footballer.

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    4. dansully3
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Come out of the fog, Salah and Tadic comparison is absolute garbage. What in your opinion puts him in the same category as the king?

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      1. rjcv177
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Dont be that mad. As a footballer we all know is diff level. What im saying is that we are trying hard every angle to see how can salah come back to his old days.
        2022 calendar year he failed on that price

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        1. dansully3
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Long road ahead for a bird statement like that. Salah will score massive and that's a guarantee.

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          1. dansully3
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 5 months ago

            *bold

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    5. Nanoelektronicar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      With Haaland's monstrosities, Salah needs to be at his peek just to throw a hat in, and he's just not there. To be honest, I am little worried about his new creative role and him being out wide with this new formation.

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  8. Zalk
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    I transferred in Justin to cover for Ward. There is a sentence I didn't think I would write.

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  9. gooner_112233445566
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Who to start

    A) guehi (LEEDS)
    B) Gordon (MAN U)

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    1. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B

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    2. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Gordon

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    3. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      b

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  10. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Haaland predicted to be captained by 100% of managers in the top 10K.

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    1. kamdaraji
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      TC him and he will be a differential!

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    2. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Someone will forget the deadline I am sure

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      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        2 mins to go!

        😉

        + 2 hrs 30

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  11. FPL Virgin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    What an odd, short article. Has it been truncated during the upload?

    Also ... how do I access career data in the members area? When was this made available?

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    1. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Ah, it is not working properly on an iPad. I can see the full article on my phone.

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      1. Skonto Rigga
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Numbers all calculated manually with my abacus/spreadsheet! Hopefully, one day, historic stats will be there...

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        1. FPL Virgin
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Thanks, Neale. Rumour has it that Fabio has become the best FPL player of all time by calculating "career" xG data for his picks. He uses a massive sample size so the xG data he uses to make transfer decisions becomes ultra reliable.

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  12. Athletic Nasherbo
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Feel like I have a weak defence. 1Ft 1.5ITB. I don’t want James as it proves inflexible for my plans in 12.

    Any ideas? Cucurella maybe but I’m not certain he starts…

    Raya
    Trippier Saliba Targett
    KdB Sterling Maddison Zaha Martinelli
    Haaland(C) Jesus

    Ward Neco Archer Patterson*

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  13. gers23
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    What do we think City's back four will be? Anybody nailed other than Cancelo?

    Open Controls
    1. dansully3
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Ake

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    2. Zalk
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I think Pep is preparing the tombola as we speak.

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    3. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Cancelo Dias/Akanji Aké Gomez
      ...would be my guess for this week. I wouldn't feel too comfortable with anyone but Cancelo generally

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      1. gers23
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks guys

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  14. kamdaraji
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Start Mitro or Justin?

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    1. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Mitro for me

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    2. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Justin
      Would you start Mitro or Dalot? Pretty much the same question I guess

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      1. kamdaraji
        • 16 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Probably Dalot as wouldn't want a cameo from Mitro

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    3. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Mitro

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    4. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Justin

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  15. Junks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    1FT 0.2ITB
    Ward
    Cancelo James Trippier
    Martinelli Diaz Maddison
    Jesus Haaland Kane

    Sanchez / Andreas / Neco / Bailey

    Really can't decide if to do Diaz to Foden??? I'd prefer Foden this GW but it could potentially fail..... help???

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  16. Athletic Nasherbo
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Play Raya or Ward?

    CS odds clearly favour Ward, but for some reason I haven’t even thought about it until today…

    Open Controls
    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Wardinho

      Open Controls
    2. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I'm going Ward, seen a stat about Bournemouth having the least amount of shots this season and I reckon Newcastle are locked in to score anyways.

      Open Controls
      1. Athletic Nasherbo
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Yeah true. Pretty sure in 3/4 home games they’ve failed to score too.

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  17. fusen
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    It's pretty simple, once Salah starts getting decent points per week then people will transfer him in. Until that point people will sell or ignore.

    Why try and beat the pack and get Salah in on 'good underlying numbers' if other cheaper players are simply outscoring him already.

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  18. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    G2G? Can’t really be bothered to do anything 🙂

    Guaita
    
Cancelo - James - Tripps
    
Salah - Madd - Zaha - Barnes
    Mitro* - Toney
    (Ivo, Andreas, Kilman, Neco)

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    1. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Looks good Rafa, good luck

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    2. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Yep g2g assuming Haaland 3rd striker

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    3. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      G2G

      Open Controls
  19. ididnt
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Start Toney or Mitro?

    Open Controls
    1. kamdaraji
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Toney

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    2. space mercenary
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Mitro

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  20. Lingard’s Shin Guards
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    A) Gabriel -> Guehi (free up funds, get another gw12 starter, comes on if mitro doesnt play)
    B) Mitro, KDB -> Auba, Foden (-4)
    C) roll

    Ward
    Cancelo Trippier James
    KDB Maddison Zaha Martinelli
    Haaland Toney Mitro

    Pope Andreas Gabriel Patterson

    1ft 0.1m itb

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  21. Lord Flashheart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    1

    Play one:

    A ward (bou)
    B pope (BRE) [note i also have tripier]

    2

    Play two

    A mitro (whu)
    B Martinelli (liv)
    C neco (AVL)
    D coufal (FUL)

    Open Controls
    1. Under my Cucurella
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      AAB

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    2. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      1A

      2BA

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    3. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      thanks!

      Open Controls
    4. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      1A
      2BC

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  22. Under my Cucurella
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    GTG without using the FT here? Any changes to the lineup?

    Ward
    Cancelo Tripp James
    Salah Maddi Zaha Martinelli
    Haaland Toney *Mitro

    Guaita Dalot Neco Andreas

    1FT 0.6ITB

    Open Controls
    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Good to go

      Open Controls
  23. Joey Jo-Jo Junior Shabadoo
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Fewest shots on target conceded in the last 6 games in the league(17)? Why yes, it is Southampton.

    Open Controls
    1. kamdaraji
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      They haven't kept a clean sheet all season. Man city will thrash them imo

      Open Controls
      1. The Mentaculus
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Probably. And yet, they're one of the teams that have regularly troubled City. Unbeaten last season. I certainly wouldn't be whipping out the TC chip this week

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    2. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Annihilation incoming.

      Open Controls
      1. space mercenary
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        9-0

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  24. Chris_l25
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Start Pope or Ward?

    Open Controls
    1. dshv
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I will be with pope

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    2. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Pope

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  25. dshv
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    I have wc in my pocket for gw12

    So to bring foden over diaz for today and next week ??

    Open Controls
    1. It’s gonna Ben Mee
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Next week

      Open Controls
    2. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Yes

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    3. space mercenary
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Why not start to offload some Arsenal and City personnel then wildcard those you want back in?

      Open Controls
  26. The Count of Monte Cristo
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    With no way to upgrade GroB this GW so best to Save FT?

    Ward
    James -- Cancelo -- Trippier
    KDB -- Maddison -- Martinelli - GroB
    Jesus -- Haaland -- Mitrovic

    Sánchez -- Perisic -- Andreas -- Neco [1FT + 0.2m ITB[

    Open Controls
    1. Orion
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Save ofc

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  27. Athletic Nasherbo
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Play Saliba or Neco?

    Open Controls
    1. space mercenary
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Saliba

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    2. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      S

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    3. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Saliba.

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    4. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Neco for Monday entertainment?

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  28. Legohair
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Play one

    A. Schär(already have Trippier Pope)
    B. Guehi
    C. Mitro

    Open Controls
    1. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B

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  29. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Which minute does Haaland score his first goal today?

    8 minutes

    Open Controls
    1. kamdaraji
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      1

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    2. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      11

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    3. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      52

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  30. Najj
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Which one to play?
    1) Thiago Silva vs WOL
    2) Martinelli vs Pool

    Already starting. James & Jesus

    Open Controls
    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B

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    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Martenelli

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    3. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      2

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