Spot the Differential
14 October 2022 1341 comments
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Gameweek 11 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is just hours away, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Chelsea, West Ham United and Crystal Palace, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

MASON MOUNT

The Complete Guide to FPL Gameweek 10: Tips, captains, team news and best players
  • FPL ownership: 4.4%
  • Price: £7.6m
  • GW11-15 fixtures: avl | bre | MUN | bha | ARS

Mason Mount (£7.6m) put in a man-of-the-match display in Milan on Tuesday, winning the penalty for the first goal and providing the pass for the second. With Chelsea comfortably in control and the fixtures coming thick and fast, Graham Potter opted to give the 22-year-old, who is the only outfield player to have started every match of his brief tenure so far, a much-needed rest, replacing him with Conor Gallagher (£5.7m) at half-time.

In addition, Mount produced his best score of the season so far in Gameweek 10, supplying two assists in the 3-0 win over Wolverhampton Wanderers, collecting 12 points. His underlying numbers also stood out, as he registered three shots inside the box and created five chances for his teammates.

“I feel good. I’m enjoying it and we’re playing well and scoring goals, so that’s the most important thing. Hopefully next I get a goal because it’s been coming but I just haven’t finished it off yet. But I’ll take the assists, setting them up for my teammates and I’m very happy for them today.

The manager has spoken to me about trying to get in the box and also connecting the midfield to the strikers and being able to move and be free and get assists and then get goals. It’s been happening for me over the last couple of games and I want more, I want to continue doing that and hopefully that will happen in the next few games too.” – Mason Mount

Chelsea remain unbeaten under Potter since he arrived as their new head coach at the beginning of September. They have picked up four wins and one draw in their last five matches across all competitions, scoring 11 goals and conceding just twice. Now, they return to action in the Premier League on Sunday when they face Aston Villa, before visiting Brentford in Gameweek 12, both of whom have won just one of their last six matches.

Mount is hitting a rich vein of form, and given his midweek breather, is a nice midfield differential to attack Chelsea’s next two fixtures.

GIANLUCA SCAMACCA

  • FPL ownership: 2.0%
  • Price: £6.8m
  • GW11-15 fixtures: sou | liv | BOU | mun | CRY

Gianluca Scamacca (£6.8m) has started West Ham’s last two Premier League fixtures and seized his opportunity, with goals against Wolves and Fulham.

In that time, the Italian has produced 17 points, plus some decent underlying numbers, including seven goal attempts, five shots inside the box, four efforts on target and three big chances.

In his most recent start v Fulham, he could and have had a hat-trick on the day, were it not for some wasteful finishing and excellent stops from Fulham ‘keeper Bernd Leno (£4.5m). However, his partnership with playmaker Lucas Paqueta (£6.0m) is thriving, which suggests more goals are on the horizon.

“Lucas Paqueta and I have a good connection. It’s one we also have with [Jarrod] Bowen, [Declan] Rice, and everyone in the team all together. We found a good solution to going behind today, but Lucas is a brilliant player and it’s a pleasure to play with him.” – Gianluca Scamacca

Scamacca has played second fiddle to Michail Antonio (£7.1m) in the season’s early stages, but has been the go-to striker of late. Now, with the Jamaican missing Thursday’s UEFA Europa Conference League clash with Anderlecht through illness, a possible scenario is that Scamacca starts against Southampton and Bournemouth, with Antonio selected for the midweek visit to Anfield.

West Ham have won six of their last seven fixtures in all competitions, scoring 14 goals. Next up is a trip to Southampton, who are the only team yet to keep a clean sheet in 2022/23, with appealing home matches against Bournemouth, Crystal Palace and Leicester to follow before we pause for the winter World Cup.

Scamacca has found his form of late, and with his partnership with Paqueta blossoming, could be a smart differential pick.

MICHAEL OLISE

Auto Draft 26
  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW11-15 fixtures: lei | WOL | eve | SOU | whu

Despite a tricky start to the season, Crystal Palace now sit top of our Season Ticker for ease of fixture between Gameweeks 11-16. In that time, they face the Premier League’s current bottom three – Leicester, Wolves and Nottingham Forest – plus Everton, Southampton and West Ham.

With fixtures improving, they have an opportunity to build on last week’s 2-1 home win over Leeds United, a match which saw Michael Olise (£5.4m) record his first attacking return of 2022/23, as Odsonne Edouard (£5.3m) converted his whipped cross.

The Eagles were a different side in the second half, creating chance after chance, which coincided with Jordan Ayew (£5.4m) being moved into a number eight role alongside Eberechi Eze (£5.5m). That, in turn, freed Olise up to get further forward on the ball and into wider areas where he could affect the game.

Olise has been limited to just three starts so far this season, but his underlying creative numbers catch the eye. Indeed, he is averaging 6.18 crosses and 2.42 created chances per 90 minutes, with his share of set-pieces a key factor behind his FPL appeal.

With an assist in Gameweek 10, Olise will now be looking to add to his tally against a Leicester side that have lost seven of their nine league matches this season, conceding two or more goals on seven occasions. That suggests he can be an effective differential for managers on the lookout for a new budget midfielder.



  1. gkoc
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Start Dunk or Zouma?

  2. Scotty Dog
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Should I bench mitro over maddison, zaha, bowen, foden, trossard?
    &
    Coufal or neco?

    1. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Bench Mitro
      Coufal

    2. 1justlookin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      very tricky. id bench neco over coufal.

      the other one is a huge headache, be tempted to bench mitro

    3. Scotty Dog
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Thank you, I'm thinking same right now, seems the correct play.

  3. 1justlookin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Pope or Ward is a tricky choice this week. Leaning towards Pope but its tight

    1. Il Capitano
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Pope

    2. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Pope

    3. Scotty Dog
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Pope

    4. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Ward is gash

    5. Mr. O'Connell
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      It's not really. Even Lee Camp is better than Ward.

    6. sulldaddy
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Pope, and dont think its that close TBH

    7. Gubby-Allen
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      For this GW I would say Ward. I have the same choice between him and Sanchez.

      A Leicester V Palace 0-0 is more likely than a Newcastle clean sheet. TBH, Man Utd and Palace will probably both score, so you are only arguing over 1 point either way.

  4. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Have Wolves really only scored 3 goals all season?

    So a defensive pick of Leicester, Wolves, Chelsea or Brighton on fixtures and form suggests BHA for 2 games to me.

    Anyone in for Trent?

    Have Cancelo and Trippier.

    Thanks

    1. Junks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I like Anderson or Kulibaly

      1. Gubby-Allen
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Anderson from me too.

  5. Il Capitano
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    2FT 0.8m ITB

    Pope
    Cancelo James* Trippier
    Foden Maddison Zaha Martinelli
    Haaland Kane Mitro*

    Ward - Andreas Neco Patterson*

    James/Patterson to Webster/Guehi/Kilman + roll?

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Yes

      1. Il Capitano
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Cheers, Webster this week and Guehi in next week make the most sense?

  6. Ibralicious
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Best Spurs defender?

    A) Dier
    B) Doherty
    C) Perisic

    Cheers!

    1. Saka Punch
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      B for upside, A for safety

      1. sulldaddy
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        C for crying??

        🙂

    2. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A

    3. wilkinson
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      B best short term option for 2 gameweeks.

  7. MGD
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Guita
    Trippier - Cancelo - Jonny
    Foden - Martinelli - Maddison - Zaha
    Haaland (c) - Toney - Mitro*

    Ward - Andreas - Neco - James

    A)
    Mitro -> Kane (and remove James in next GW)
    B)
    GW 11: Save FT
    GW 12: Foden -> Salah + James -> Dunk/Liv def (Keep Neco and field 11 but lose 0.1 on Foden)
    GW 13: Maddison -> Foden

    A feels tempting but B looks really nice as well!

    What do you think? Thanks

  8. HD7
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    To all with James who planned their transfers to have 11 players next Gw before WC after GW12:

    Are you abandoning your plans to WC after GW12 and doing it now, or maybe taking a hit next GW?

    1. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Hit next week...WC still the plan

      1. HD7
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Seems the sensible way. Any idea if James could be fit for next week?

    2. Forgetmeknot
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I’m abandoning, all told I had 8 players out so have to bring wc forward a week and doing it tonight

      1. HD7
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        8 is a reason to do it. I have 10 currently so will probably take a hit next week

  9. Goooo Rickie
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Can any Chelsea fans provide any insight into Sterling's chances of starting this gw?

    I thought he would be nailed but he seems to be excluded from alot of predicted lineups.

  10. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Bring in Martinelli or Trossard?

    For Barnes.

    1. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Trossard

  11. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Urgh...James out annoying...team is

    Pope
    Trippier, Guehi, Cancelo
    Maddison, KDB, Martinelli, Andreas
    Jesus (VC), Haaland (C), Toney

    Subs - Neco, JAMES* GORDON*

    Wanted to save a FT for 2 FT next week to sort City/Arsenal issue...do I

    A Roll FT
    B James to Dier
    C James to Veltman
    D James to Cucurella

    1. sulldaddy
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Id go D
      Keeps you with Chelsea, history with Potter. Still saves you $$

  12. MFC86
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Start Scamacca or Zaha?

  13. Bury94
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Cucurella or Guehi? Chelsea have have the better defence but Palace have better fixtures and Guehi is more nailed

  14. HD7
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Maddison Martinelli Jesus

    Does any of them deserve the Captaincy over Haaland this GW?

    1. @sund1ata
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Nope.

    2. Percy Johnstone
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Jesus

  15. Junks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    *Repost sorry*
    Need help.....

    2FT 0.2ITB
    Sanchez Ward
    Cancelo James Trippier Perisic Neco
    Martinelli Diaz Maddison Andreas Bailey
    Kane Haaland Jesus

    A. Diaz to Zaha - Roll FT and start Andreas 343
    B. Diaz / James to Zaha / Anderson and start Anderson 433
    C. Diaz / Bailey / James to Zaha / Trossard / Anderson -4

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      a

      1. Junks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        thanks

  16. frenchfries
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Bench one:
    A) Bruno G.
    B) Mitrovic
    C) Andreas

    1. Big_Andy_GAWA
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      FFS have tipped Mitro not to start, so him...

    2. bialk
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A

  17. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    I could have done with a Saturday deadline

    1. Junks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Amen to this

  18. Saka Punch
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    2FT

    A) James + Mitro > Dunk + Firmino

    B) James > Dunk, roll 2nd FT.

    Thanks,
    Joel

  19. BobbyDoesNotLook
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Any info on Brighton XI? Still gtg Estupinan (live a little vs to choose Dunk)?

  20. bialk
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Which one to play?
    A- Pope (have Tripier) or
    B - Ward (have Zaha)

  21. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    No clue over a James replacement

    Pretty terrible pool of players

    1. bialk
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Roll.

      1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Thinking that

    2. boombaba
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Go cheap and bank the coin.
      I went Castagne

      1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Got him already

    3. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I see what you did there

      1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Wasn’t meant intentionally 😆

    4. Collie01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I'm keeping James one more week and just did TAA to Doherty this week. Hoping a good option emerges for GW12

  22. Lacikasz01
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Who to bring in for James?

    A) Saliba
    B) Gabriel
    C) Dunk
    D) Webster
    E) Doherty
    F) Perisic

    1. Saka Punch
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      C or E depending on how you like to play the game (E more upside but more rotation risk)

    2. sulldaddy
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I just went Guehi FWIW

  23. boombaba
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Neco or Emerson first sub ?

    1. The Senate
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Em

  24. MGD
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Start Mitro with Andreas first on bench or the other way around?

    1. LC1
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Start Mitro

    2. FantasyTony
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I'm going Mitro.

  25. DennisTheMenace
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Transfer in dunk or guehi

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Guehi

  26. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    I hate my team haha! CBA to do any moves

  27. The Senate
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    If Iran are excluded from the world cup, who takes their place?

  28. BinManJack
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    opinions on this wildcard team?

    Kepa / Ward
    Cancelo / Trippier / Castagne / Guehi / Neco
    Maddison / Mount / Foden / Andrea / Eze
    Darwin / Haaland / Kane

    0.7m ITB

  29. Champions League Varane
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Start Guehi or Mitrovic?

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Mitrovic with Guehi first bench

  30. Scholes Out For Summer
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Andreas --> Trossard or roll and have 2FT for GW12?

    1. The Senate
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Roll