Spot the Differential
21 October 2022 601 comments
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Gameweek 13 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Crystal Palace, Manchester United and Wolverhampton Wanderers, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of five per cent or less at the time of writing.

JOACHIM ANDERSEN

  • FPL ownership: 3.2%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW13-16 fixtures: eve | SOU | whu | nfo

Joachim Andersen (£4.5m) has been a solid performer for Crystal Palace since joining from Olympique Lyonnais in 2021, and could do well given The Eagles’ forthcoming schedule.

Patrick Vieira’s side sit top of our Season Ticker for ‘defence’ when looking at the next four Gameweeks, with all of their opponents scoring less than one goal per game on average and sitting in the bottom six for goals scored.

For Andersen, attacking returns feel unlikely, but his accurate diagonal long balls are a ‘weapon’ that can spark Palace counter-attacks.

“It’s something I have got in my locker. It would be stupid not to use that weapon when you have got the wingers we have. There is a lot of space on the sides, especially when you are playing against a back four. So when Wilf [Zaha] is out there, it is about getting your best creative players on the ball. If I’m able to find him, I will try to do that. It is something that the gaffer wants to get us going as high as possible on the pitch, so of course I’m happy to contribute to that.” – Joachim Andersen

Palace’s underlying defensive numbers are poor so far this season, as they rank 15th for minutes per expected goal conceded (xGC). However, they have been hampered by a tough fixture list that included meetings with Arsenal, Manchester City, Chelsea and Liverpool in their first seven games.

Since that run came to an end, they have taken seven points from three matches, conceding just two goals and keeping a clean sheet at Leicester City in their last away fixture.

Andersen has delivered some good performance of late, and given his schedule, could be the pick of the budget defenders for the next four rounds.

BRUNO FERNANDES

Fernandes and Ronaldo deliver as United beat 10-man Brighton in FPL Double Gameweek 25
  • FPL ownership: 2.1%
  • Price: £9.8m
  • GW13-16 fixtures: che | WHU | avl | ful

Bruno Fernandes (£9.8m) caught the eye against Tottenham Hotspur on Wednesday, sealing Manchester United’s 2-0 win with a delicate finish.

The playmaker had another goal disallowed for a slight offside call, ending Gameweek 12 with a whopping six shots, three efforts on target, nine created chances and 34 final-third passes.

“Bruno scored, eh? I know it will come with him. Sometimes, you have appearances where you don’t score but, all of a sudden, you’ve found the back of the net. I think, for Bruno, it is important that he scored a goal but he played a magnificent game today.” – Erik ten Hag

Two goals and one assist in 10 league appearances so far this season is poor given Fernandes’ quality, and transferring him in now is a risky play, given that he is just one yellow card away from a ban. However high risk/high reward is what this column is all about, and the Portuguese certainly fits the bill.

United have now beaten Liverpool, Arsenal and Spurs under Erik ten Hag, with his rebuild showing encouraging signs. Indeed, they sit third overall for goal attempts in their last four matches.

Now, they are looking to follow up Wednesday’s 2-0 win with another victory when they travel to Chelsea in Gameweek 13, who have looked defensively vulnerable against Aston Villa and Brentford this past week, despite keeping clean sheets.

Appealing fixtures against West Ham United, managerless Villa and Fulham follow, at which point we pause for the winter World Cup.

Despite limited returns so far this season, Bruno’s influence is as strong as ever, which makes him an intriguing differential for the next four rounds.

ADAMA TRAORE

Traore owners left with more questions as Doherty and Jota haul again
  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW13-16 fixtures: LEI | bre | BHA | ARS

Adama Traore (£5.5m) has recently returned to Wolverhampton Wanderers’ starting XI, finding the net at Selhurst Park in Gameweek 12.

The Spanish winger has had to bide his time this season after spending the second half of 2021/22 on loan at Barcelona, but has now started three league matches in a row under Steve Davis.

In that time, he has returned a goal and an assist, posting team-leading totals for shots inside the box (four), crosses (17) and chances created (four).

At Selhurst Park on Tuesday, Traore was subbed off after 57 minutes as he builds up his fitness following injury, which should ensure he is raring to go when Leicester visit in Gameweek 13.

“Because I come from the injury, I couldn’t have so many minutes and that’s why the manager took me out as I still have to grow with my injury. I have to keep growing because I have to score more, I have to assist more and help in any defensive way. Whatever the team needs, I will keep improving to help them. I’ve come from the injury, but I have to keep growing because this is my mentality and this is the game. Today we didn’t win, but the things we didn’t do well, we’ll watch them again and improve, not only me, but as a team.” – Adama Traore

Goals have been a notable issue for Wolves so far this season, but there have been signs of improvement following Bruno Lage’s exit, with 15 shots inside the box in their last two fixtures.

Traore has always had raw talent but often frustrates due to his erratic decision-making. Now, his challenge is to add consistency and end product to his game.

He has certainly been Wolves’ most influential attacker of late, with some good link-up play with Diego Costa (£5.5m).



601 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. JoJoRed
    4 years, 20 days ago

    How likely that Doherty starts?

    1. La Roja
      4 years, 20 days ago

      51%

    2. Krafty Werks
      4 years, 20 days ago

      49% with Royal back, hence I think I'm gonna start one of Trippier or Guehi instead?

      1. Mr. O'Connell
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Guehi is so boring tho (he'll probably get a 15 pointer now)

        1. Krafty Werks
          4 years, 20 days ago

          Think I'm going with Trippier personally, could quite easily get an attacking return, he's a BPS magnet and I don't own any Spurs attack. Also have Guaita in goal so don't really want the defensive double up of Guaita & Guehi, been burnt before trying that!!

    3. The Mentaculus
      4 years, 20 days ago

      35%

  2. ZLATAN'S PONYTAIL
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Foden or Saka?
    Have Erling+Cancelo &Martinelli

    1. MattyW
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Foden easy

      1. ZLATAN'S PONYTAIL
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Wow that was quick. Love the assuredness in the response!

    2. Pukki Party
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Foden

      1. ZLATAN'S PONYTAIL
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Even though Saka on pens and has an arguably better fixture this gw?

        1. Pukki Party
          4 years, 20 days ago

          ManCity at home though

          1. ZLATAN'S PONYTAIL
            4 years, 20 days ago

            Yup. Agree with this.

    3. banskt
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Saka. On penalties and more minutes.

      1. ZLATAN'S PONYTAIL
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Thanks! Likely Foden this week and Saka next!

    4. agueroooooney
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Both, but Foden first

      1. ZLATAN'S PONYTAIL
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Learning towards this now

  3. Pukki Party
    4 years, 20 days ago

    A) Son to KdB
    B) Mount to Foden

    Will get the other mid next week.

    1. The Mentaculus
      4 years, 20 days ago

      B

    2. ZLATAN'S PONYTAIL
      4 years, 20 days ago

      B

  4. Krafty Werks
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Darwin?

    A - In?
    B - Out?
    C - Shake it all about?

    Thanks.

    1. Well you know, Triffic
      4 years, 20 days ago

      C

      1. Krafty Werks
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Thanks, shook it but nothing happened, please advise further?

    2. Ha.
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Do some cokey cokey

      1. Krafty Werks
        4 years, 20 days ago

        My left leg wouldn't go in properly so I took it out and am still no none the wiser?! Really can't fathom out what it's all about?!

        1. Zogzeg
          4 years, 20 days ago

          True story: A friend of mine used to be addicted to the hokey-cokey, before he managed turned himself around - that's what it's all about.

      2. NorCal Villan
        4 years, 20 days ago

        If you wanna hang out you got to take her out

    3. GOTHAM City F.C.
      4 years, 20 days ago

      C

    4. The Mentaculus
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Already have him. Great buy if fit. Maybe do some fishing for news/leaks in the morning?

      1. Krafty Werks
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Yeah, think best to wait tonight and make my mind out tomorrow morn hey?

        1. The Mentaculus
          4 years, 20 days ago

          Aye. I don't really have the sources myself but early Liverpool team news does seem to crop up fairly often. Worth a check

  5. squ1rrel
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Would you do Mount -> Saka for a hit? Already have Martinelli and Foden.

    1. The Mentaculus
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Yes

    2. Krafty Werks
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Same quandary and I don't even have any Arsenal attack!! Reckon I'm gonna save, play Mount and likely make the move next week for free.

    3. ebb2sparky
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Do it for free next week.

    4. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Next week for free

    5. Rojo's Modern Life
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Saka will outscore Mount this weekend for sure

  6. Manani
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Who is more essential till WC?

    Saka or Cancelo? (Already have Martinelli)

    1. Well you know, Triffic
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Cancelo

    2. banskt
      4 years, 20 days ago

      I would say both. But, I don't have either.

      1. Rojo's Modern Life
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Strange mindset

    3. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Both, sorry

  7. Ha.
    4 years, 20 days ago

    'Best' forward for 5.5m or less?

    1. GOTHAM City F.C.
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Doesn't exist

      1. Ha.
        4 years, 20 days ago

        'Helpful'

        1. Rojo's Modern Life
          4 years, 20 days ago

          No point sugar coating it. 'best' is just cheapest as bench fodder

          1. Ha.
            4 years, 20 days ago

            I don't believe it is

    2. Zimo
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Eduoard probably

      1. Ha.
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Yeh, just feels so wrong as I have Zaha

        But will be playing 352 so I guess it doesn't matter

        1. Zimo
          4 years, 20 days ago

          Maybe Diego Costa has some fun. Manager sacking bounce time 😆

          1. Ha.
            4 years, 20 days ago

            Yeh... he was my first thought actually. Just can't see Wolves doing much, though.

    3. banskt
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Edouard.

      Or just save the money, and buy a 4.3m forward.

    4. The Mentaculus
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Risk it with a dead bench spot

      1. Ha.
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Why though? Only 2FT away from changing an unlimited transfers in a few gameweeks anyway

        1. The Mentaculus
          4 years, 20 days ago

          Precisely that. Only 4 games so don't need deep bench

          1. Rojo's Modern Life
            4 years, 20 days ago

            Correct answer

          2. Ha.
            4 years, 20 days ago

            But I'm not going to be using the funds elsewhere

  8. Bobby_Baggio
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Draft League: I own Watkins. Would you transfer him out for any of the below please?

    A) Solanke
    B) Daka
    C) C.Adams

  9. FOO FIGHTER
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Palace away form is not great. I am still pondering Zaha to Martinelli or Saka for a hit.

    Arsenal are likely to run rampant vs SOU and NFO and you want atleast 1 attack.

    1. Zimo
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Arsenal away form isn't great either if u wanna think like that

      1. FOO FIGHTER
        4 years, 20 days ago

        4 wins out of 5 is top form. Only lost to UTD away.

      2. Rojo's Modern Life
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Smashed Bournemouth Palace and Brentford... Next two fixtures are easier than those

    2. The Mentaculus
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Consensus is gonna be no, but I think you should. I did it anyway

    3. Bobby_Baggio
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Im not doing it and i have 1 FT

  10. Capocannonieri
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 20 days ago

    If Darwin is out...Salah is a CF

    He is going to go Nuclear on Forest

    But I don't have Salah or can afford him

    1. banskt
      4 years, 20 days ago

      I desperately want some return from Salah this week to turn around my free fall down the ranks.

      1. Zimo
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Its Nottingham. I'd be surprised if he didn't get at least 1 goal.

        1. Rojo's Modern Life
          4 years, 20 days ago

          Forest will park the bus. No space behind for Salah

          1. bench boost for every gamew…
            4 years, 20 days ago

            Mike Dean is VAR so penalty is on the cards, Dean loves a pen to spice things up.

  11. La Roja
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Is she looking doable?

    Raya
    Saliba Trippier Cancelo
    Martinelli Bowen Foden Zaha
    Kane Haaland Jesus

    Ward Cucu Andreas Neco

    1. Kryptonite666
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Wild card ?

      1. La Roja
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Nooe

        1. Kryptonite666
          4 years, 20 days ago

          Looks good. Are you likely to keep Kane or tempted by Salah ?

  12. Ha.
    4 years, 20 days ago

    WC thoughts?

    Raya (Ward)
    Trippier, Cancelo, Gomez (White, Guehi)
    Sala, Foden, Zaha, Saka, Almiron
    Haaland, Toney (Edouard)

    1. WVA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 20 days ago

      I would rather Martinelli than Salah

      1. Ha.
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Not for me I'm afraid

        1. Rojo's Modern Life
          4 years, 20 days ago

          Why ask then?

          1. Ha.
            4 years, 20 days ago

            Bore off

      2. Mr. O'Connell
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Would rather Colback than Salah

    2. Kryptonite666
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Nice team ! Not sure about Edouard

      Can you move Zaha down to Andreas and Edouard up to Jesus ? You have White and Guehi as bench - which is good enough

      1. Ha.
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Me either, but final spot to fill and fixtures don't get much better

        That move is doable, but keen to keep Zaha

    3. Rojo's Modern Life
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Gomez Reya Ward are nightmare fuel for WC. Needs Kepa

    4. banskt
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Nice team. But I prefer (Andreas + Mitrovic) over (Almiron + Edouard) if you can afford.

      1. Ha.
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Mitro fixtures not great

    5. Christina.
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Lose Zaha for Eze, then get Mitro

      1. Ha.
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Not a bad shout

  13. Kryptonite666
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Is anything worth a hit ?

    Pope
    Cancelo Trippier Gomez (Guehi) (N Williams)
    Foden Martinelli Zaha Sinisterra (Andreas)
    Haaland Mitrovic Kane

    3.7 ITB.

    1. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 20 days ago

      No

    2. agueroooooney
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Gtg

    3. Rojo's Modern Life
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Sinistera is doing nothing. Leeds really out of sorts. I'd move him on

  14. Winston.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 20 days ago

    On wildcard, A or B ? Any other thoughts ?

    Raya Iversen
    Cancelo xxxx xxxx White Guehi
    Foden Saka Martinelli xxxx xxxx
    Haaland Mitro Toney

    A. Trippier, Gomez, Salah, Andreas
    B. TAA, Dalot, Bowen, Zaha

    1. Kryptonite666
      4 years, 20 days ago

      A

    2. WVA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 20 days ago

      A

    3. Krafty Werks
      4 years, 20 days ago

      A

    4. Rojo's Modern Life
      4 years, 20 days ago

      You're asking again but same answer applies- B without Bowen

  15. WVA
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Start

    A. Kilman LEI
    B. Guehi Eve

    Pope
    Cancelo Trippier ?????
    Salah Bowen Foden Martinelli
    Haaland Toney Mitrovic
    Ward Andreas ????? Neco

    1. agueroooooney
      4 years, 20 days ago

      A

    2. Kryptonite666
      4 years, 20 days ago

      I would start Guehi. Palace likelier to keep a Cs against EVE

      1. WVA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Tend to agree

    3. Botman and Robben
      4 years, 20 days ago

      B

  16. agueroooooney
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Which looks best on WC

    A) Perisic/Dier + Jesus
    B) White + Nunez
    C) White + Scamacca

    1. Jässi
      4 years, 20 days ago

      B

    2. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 20 days ago

      A

  17. Saka White Rice
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Why are people putting Gomez in when he's not nailed? Surely White is a better option or even Justin

    1. Zimo
      4 years, 20 days ago

      White or even Dalot are better options.

  18. Zimo
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Is Almiron an option after the world cup or is he likely to be benched when Isak and ASM are back?

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Yes. Great link up with Bruno, and Wilson ASM Isak will never all be fit anyways. Plus if they are I think he still plays now

      1. Zimo
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Thankyou. Lovely news. I can get the starting 11 I want with him as my enabler on the world cup Wildcard.

  19. Jässi
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Who to start?

    A) Perisic - Newcastle at home, but probably benched?
    B) Trippier - nailed and bonus point magnet, but hard fixture
    C) Guehi - nailed, Everton away okay fixture, no attacking threat

    1. The Mentaculus
      4 years, 20 days ago

      B

  20. Arteta
    4 years, 20 days ago

    https://www.arsenal.com/news/every-word-mikels-pre-southampton-presser

    You can read all today's quotes here.

    1. Arteta
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Martinelli and Saka would start on Sunday, if it was up to me.

  21. DT42
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Start which 1 (others benched)
    A. Trippier
    B. Justin
    C. Guehi
    (GK is Guita)

    1. Gunner77-
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Trippier

  22. FDMS All Starz
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Would you start Guaita (eve A) or Ward (wol A)?

    - already have Guehi starting

    1. DT42
      4 years, 20 days ago

      I would start Ward ( but I chose Iverson - doh!)

  23. Gunner77-
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Pope (Ward)
    Trippier Gomez Cancelo (Guehi, Neco)
    Eze Martinelli KDB Almiron (Andreas)
    Kane Mitro Haaland

    1FT, 1.0ITB

    Tempted to do Mitro to Toney. The latter is facing a shambolic Villa team, and also has better fixtures and form...
    What do you think? Would you change something else?

    1. The Reptile
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Agree - that's what I've done on W/c

  24. banskt
    4 years, 20 days ago

    A) Mitrovic + Webster ➝ Archer + Cancelo (-4)
    B) Save FT

  25. KAPTAIN KANE SERVES THE PAI…
    4 years, 20 days ago

    BSilva or Zaha?

    1. KAPTAIN KANE SERVES THE PAI…
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Tough one

    2. banskt
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Zaha, because Silva blocks a valuable third City spot. And the best 3 City players (in terms of FPL) does not include Silva.

      1. KAPTAIN KANE SERVES THE PAI…
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Could always do BSilva to Foden down the line though

    3. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Zaha, but get Foden

      1. KAPTAIN KANE SERVES THE PAI…
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Can’t afford this week

  26. The Reptile
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Nunez or Firmino?

    Had Firmino midweek and was hiding behind the sofa but hear Nunez has a knock- on W/c

    1. Zimo
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Probably Firmino now.

      1. Dthinger
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Firmino has played a lot more minutes lately that he is accustomed to lately. Aren't you concerned he gets rested?

  27. Pukki Party
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Sell one:

    A) Mount
    B) Zaha

    1. bso
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Mount

  28. bso
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Saka in for Trossard or Darwin in for Kane?
    Or both 4ph? Thanks guys

    Ramsdale
    Guehi - Trippier - Cancelo - Ward
    Foden- Martinelli - Zaha - Andreas
    Kane - Solanke - Haaland

    Bench: Castagne - Trossard - Dunk

    1. banskt
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Save FT. Play Trossard in my opinion (ahead of Andreas).

      Or, if you really want to, only Saka for Trossard. Darwin not worth a hit, especially selling Kane in the process.

    2. Heiro
      4 years, 20 days ago

      I'd seriously considering rolling the transfer. You have cover for Arsenal already

  29. Zidane's Floor
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Why is Cheick Doucoure suspended?

    Only 4 yellows and no red?

  30. Heiro
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Any changes to WC here lads?

    Raya Ward
    Trippier Cancello White Bueno Guehi
    Salah Foden Martinelli Saka Andreas
    Haaland Mitrovic Toney

    0.5 in the bank

    Many thanks