Spot the Differential
21 October 2022 601 comments
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Gameweek 13 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Crystal Palace, Manchester United and Wolverhampton Wanderers, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of five per cent or less at the time of writing.

JOACHIM ANDERSEN

  • FPL ownership: 3.2%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW13-16 fixtures: eve | SOU | whu | nfo

Joachim Andersen (£4.5m) has been a solid performer for Crystal Palace since joining from Olympique Lyonnais in 2021, and could do well given The Eagles’ forthcoming schedule.

Patrick Vieira’s side sit top of our Season Ticker for ‘defence’ when looking at the next four Gameweeks, with all of their opponents scoring less than one goal per game on average and sitting in the bottom six for goals scored.

For Andersen, attacking returns feel unlikely, but his accurate diagonal long balls are a ‘weapon’ that can spark Palace counter-attacks.

“It’s something I have got in my locker. It would be stupid not to use that weapon when you have got the wingers we have. There is a lot of space on the sides, especially when you are playing against a back four. So when Wilf [Zaha] is out there, it is about getting your best creative players on the ball. If I’m able to find him, I will try to do that. It is something that the gaffer wants to get us going as high as possible on the pitch, so of course I’m happy to contribute to that.” – Joachim Andersen

Palace’s underlying defensive numbers are poor so far this season, as they rank 15th for minutes per expected goal conceded (xGC). However, they have been hampered by a tough fixture list that included meetings with Arsenal, Manchester City, Chelsea and Liverpool in their first seven games.

Since that run came to an end, they have taken seven points from three matches, conceding just two goals and keeping a clean sheet at Leicester City in their last away fixture.

Andersen has delivered some good performance of late, and given his schedule, could be the pick of the budget defenders for the next four rounds.

BRUNO FERNANDES

Fernandes and Ronaldo deliver as United beat 10-man Brighton in FPL Double Gameweek 25
  • FPL ownership: 2.1%
  • Price: £9.8m
  • GW13-16 fixtures: che | WHU | avl | ful

Bruno Fernandes (£9.8m) caught the eye against Tottenham Hotspur on Wednesday, sealing Manchester United’s 2-0 win with a delicate finish.

The playmaker had another goal disallowed for a slight offside call, ending Gameweek 12 with a whopping six shots, three efforts on target, nine created chances and 34 final-third passes.

“Bruno scored, eh? I know it will come with him. Sometimes, you have appearances where you don’t score but, all of a sudden, you’ve found the back of the net. I think, for Bruno, it is important that he scored a goal but he played a magnificent game today.” – Erik ten Hag

Two goals and one assist in 10 league appearances so far this season is poor given Fernandes’ quality, and transferring him in now is a risky play, given that he is just one yellow card away from a ban. However high risk/high reward is what this column is all about, and the Portuguese certainly fits the bill.

United have now beaten Liverpool, Arsenal and Spurs under Erik ten Hag, with his rebuild showing encouraging signs. Indeed, they sit third overall for goal attempts in their last four matches.

Now, they are looking to follow up Wednesday’s 2-0 win with another victory when they travel to Chelsea in Gameweek 13, who have looked defensively vulnerable against Aston Villa and Brentford this past week, despite keeping clean sheets.

Appealing fixtures against West Ham United, managerless Villa and Fulham follow, at which point we pause for the winter World Cup.

Despite limited returns so far this season, Bruno’s influence is as strong as ever, which makes him an intriguing differential for the next four rounds.

ADAMA TRAORE

Traore owners left with more questions as Doherty and Jota haul again
  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW13-16 fixtures: LEI | bre | BHA | ARS

Adama Traore (£5.5m) has recently returned to Wolverhampton Wanderers’ starting XI, finding the net at Selhurst Park in Gameweek 12.

The Spanish winger has had to bide his time this season after spending the second half of 2021/22 on loan at Barcelona, but has now started three league matches in a row under Steve Davis.

In that time, he has returned a goal and an assist, posting team-leading totals for shots inside the box (four), crosses (17) and chances created (four).

At Selhurst Park on Tuesday, Traore was subbed off after 57 minutes as he builds up his fitness following injury, which should ensure he is raring to go when Leicester visit in Gameweek 13.

“Because I come from the injury, I couldn’t have so many minutes and that’s why the manager took me out as I still have to grow with my injury. I have to keep growing because I have to score more, I have to assist more and help in any defensive way. Whatever the team needs, I will keep improving to help them. I’ve come from the injury, but I have to keep growing because this is my mentality and this is the game. Today we didn’t win, but the things we didn’t do well, we’ll watch them again and improve, not only me, but as a team.” – Adama Traore

Goals have been a notable issue for Wolves so far this season, but there have been signs of improvement following Bruno Lage’s exit, with 15 shots inside the box in their last two fixtures.

Traore has always had raw talent but often frustrates due to his erratic decision-making. Now, his challenge is to add consistency and end product to his game.

He has certainly been Wolves’ most influential attacker of late, with some good link-up play with Diego Costa (£5.5m).



601 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. JY84
    4 years, 20 days ago

    I can only hv funds to get Foden into my squad by selling Kane..... Would you
    (A) change Kane + Almiron to Foden + Jesus/Toney (-4)
    (B) Do the move only next week for free by rolling this week's transfer over

    1. waltzingmatildas
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Probably B

    2. Cheeky Onion
      4 years, 20 days ago

      I'd consider the hit. Be wary as both Toney and Jesus on 4 yellows.

    3. banskt
      4 years, 20 days ago

      B

  2. balint84
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Zaha to Foden or keep Z?

    1. Saka Punch
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Even he's your only route to Foden I would do it personally

      1. Saka Punch
        4 years, 20 days ago

        If he's*

    2. Kryten
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Yeah move to foden

    3. waltzingmatildas
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Do it

    4. Wild Card this!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Well, Foden will score more than Zaha in next 4. Also in next 10 and in next 20. Obviously at the end as well. How this helped.

      1. Wild Card this!
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        4 years, 20 days ago

        *Hope

  3. Saka Punch
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Start:

    A) Trippier (tot) - also have Pope
    B) Guehi (eve)

    1. Kryten
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Tough can't see a clean sheet and think palace cs more likely than a tripp attack return

    2. waltzingmatildas
      4 years, 20 days ago

      A

  4. Return of the FF
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Zaha to Saka for -4? Zaha can't hit a barn door away from home, where 3 of his next 4 are

    1. Saka Punch
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Don't think it's worth a -4 imo. Do it next week

      1. Return of the FF
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Trouble is, next week is the one home game. I feel it's sell now or hold for 2 weeks

      2. Cheeky Onion
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Agreed

    2. Sons Of Pitches
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Saka came off injured last night I heard?

  5. Cheeky Onion
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Any tinkers to the WC w/ 0.6m ITB. Feels a bit templaty for a manager with 1.3m OR and middle of the pack in the ML

    ----------------Guatia
    ---Cancelo - Trippier - Gabriel
    Foden - Saka - Zaha - Martinelli
    -----Haaland - Kane - Toney

    A) Saka/Zaha > Madders/Rashy
    B) Guatia > Kepa
    C) Kane + Saka/Zaha > Firmino + Son
    D) Kane + Saka/Zaha > Mitro + Salah

    1. Cheeky Onion
      4 years, 20 days ago

      C would actually have to be Saka, can't afford with Zaha

  6. waltzingmatildas
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Which one?
    A) Salah, Andreas, Toney
    B) Bowen, Rashford, Darwin

    1. theodosios
      4 years, 20 days ago

      B if you chasing, A looks good without Salah

    2. Snake Juice
      4 years, 20 days ago

      A

    3. waltzingmatildas
      4 years, 20 days ago

      B just feels more fun for a few weeks

      1. panda07
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        4 years, 20 days ago

        It's a close one so why not have some fun?!

  7. theodosios
    4 years, 20 days ago

    0FT
    4.7m ITB

    GTG?

    Guaita
    Cucu Trip Cancelo
    Martinelli Foden Zaha Mount
    Haaland Toney Mitro

    Ward Castagne Mings Christie

  8. Erez Avni
    4 years, 20 days ago

    would really appreciate your thoughts here:

    Pope
    Trippier Cancelo Neco
    Foden Maddison Martineli Zaha
    Haaland Jesus Mitro

    Ward Andreas Coufal Webster

    A. Coufal to Robo
    B. Maddison & Pope to Salah & Guaita (-4)

    1. theodosios
      4 years, 20 days ago

      just don't do B 🙂

      1. Erez Avni
        4 years, 20 days ago

        is it that awful?…

    2. Snake Juice
      4 years, 20 days ago

      I like B. Go for it.

    3. amonito
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 20 days ago

      B

  9. J to the T
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Ward
    Trippier Cancelo Guehi
    Salah Bowen Rashford Martinelli
    Haaland Mitro Firminho
    (Sanchez Andreas N. Williams Mings)

    A) Save FT
    B) Rashford to Foden
    C) Mings to VVD and bench Guehi

    1. Snake Juice
      4 years, 20 days ago

      B

    2. theodosios
      4 years, 20 days ago

      B

    3. Totti
      4 years, 20 days ago

      B

  10. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Start 1

    A Doherty
    B Castagne
    C Guehi

    1. Totti
      4 years, 20 days ago

      A

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Concerned he will be rested and get 1 point cameo. Emerson R back after ban

    2. DannyDrinkVodka
      4 years, 20 days ago

      You gotta take the risk of the 1 point cameo……the clean sheet odds for both Leicester and Palace are far to low to pass up on the possibility of a double digit haul from Doherty

  11. Arteta
    4 years, 20 days ago

    How many hits will you (probably) take this gameweek?

    1. theodosios
      4 years, 20 days ago

      from zero to 1

    2. Arteta
      4 years, 20 days ago

      I might end up on -8 or -12, if I pull the trigger on Cucurella/Trossard ➡ Magalhaes/Martinelli.

      1. Deulofail
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Martinelli move seems worth it. Cucurella, perhaps, depending on your other players

    3. FPL Pillars
      4 years, 20 days ago

      None

    4. FPL Daniel
      4 years, 20 days ago

      12 pts hits most probably for me

  12. Totti
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Auba to firmino or scamacca for -4

    A) yay
    B) nay

    1. Gunner77-
      4 years, 20 days ago

      To Bobby yes

  13. GOTHAM City F.C.
    4 years, 20 days ago

    If you're gonna get wasted and play fpl you better be on widcard..... Yayy

  14. Pukki Party
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Thoughts on a -8 here? Want all 3 long term, but i know it's not necessary this week.

    Sanchez
    TAA Doherty Gabriel
    Son Martinelli Zaha Bowen Mount
    Haaland Toney

    Ward Trippier Neco 4.4

    Toney, Son, Mount to Saka, Foden, Darwin -8?

    Yes/no

    1. Bobby Digital
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Darwin has some issues

      1. Deulofail
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Missing link!

  15. Gunner77-
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Pope (Ward)
    Trippier Gomez Cancelo (Guehi, Neco)
    Eze Martinelli KDB Almiron (Andreas)
    Kane Mitro Haaland

    1FT, 1.0ITB

    Tempted to do Mitro to Toney. The latter is facing a shambolic Villa team, and also has better fixtures and form...
    What do you think?

    1. MJF
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Villa probably do the typical thing after sacking a manager and concentrate on keeping it tight. I can see 0-0.

      1. Gunner77-
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Fair enough mate

  16. mdm
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Best GK for the next 4? (Apart from Ederson)

    1. g40steve
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Alisson

  17. DavvaMC
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Not sure who to start from the below?

    A. Castagne
    B. Guehi
    C. Andreas (for Zaha)

    Thanks

    1. jonnybhoy
      4 years, 20 days ago

      A

  18. FPL Maldini
    4 years, 20 days ago

    What do you advise guys as I have no Arsenal at all?
    A) Perisic --> Gabriel (free)
    B) Dewsbury-Hall --> Martinelli (-4)

    In B I play Castagne instead of DH

    1. DavvaMC
      4 years, 20 days ago

      B for me.

    2. Gunner77-
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Martinelli the better option after all, I would take the hit

    3. jonnybhoy
      4 years, 20 days ago

      A dont think this -4 pays off just bring martinelli in next week

  19. Manani
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Mount > Bowen or roll FT?

    1. g40steve
      4 years, 20 days ago

      I think Bowen is being overlooked & could tear Bournemouth a new one?

      1. Manani
        4 years, 20 days ago

        yes, if he didnt miss the penalty, I think he will be looked at a lot more around here

        1. g40steve
          4 years, 20 days ago

          Three home games, go look at points for last ones.

  20. SAKA AND EMILE SMITH ROWE
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Trossard to Martinelli worth a -4? Own Saka

    1. MJF
      4 years, 20 days ago

      What do you think?

  21. Mufc202020
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Which one to bench?

    A) Zaha (eve)
    B) Martinelli (sou)
    C) Bowen (BOU)
    D) Maddison (wol)
    E) Toney (avl)
    F) Mitrovic (lee)

    Foden and Haaland are my others mid/for

    1. Samsonite
      4 years, 20 days ago

      That is the quintessential benching headache lol I guess Maddison just

  22. yakim
    4 years, 20 days ago

    I have 9m bank for two defenders (wildcard now). What pair could you recommend? Already have Trippier, Cancelo, Neco W.

    1. MJF
      4 years, 20 days ago

      What do you think?

    2. Manani
      4 years, 20 days ago

      a west ham + palace of your choosing?

      1. yakim
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Palace looks nice (Andersen or Mitchell on radar). West Ham defenders - meh(

    3. g40steve
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Justin & Gomez or Dalot

      1. yakim
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Dalot is an interesting asset. Thanks!

    4. amonito
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 20 days ago

      White(4.5) and Gomez(4.5)/Guehi(4.4) if you need both. Gabriel(5.1) and Bueno(3.9) if only one will play regularly.

  23. Michelle Davin
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Kane & Trossard to
    Jesus & salah for min 4

    Next week i can move mount to foden

    Yes or no?

    1. DannyDrinkVodka
      4 years, 20 days ago

      I’ve been considering a similar move but I reckon you’d have to definitely captain Salah to make it worth your while. And with Haaland rested and angry…..are you really going to go there?

      1. Michelle Davin
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Il still captain Haaland though,just scared of jesus's 4 yellows tgen suspended for the forrest game next week

    2. panda07
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Sounds good

  24. Gazzpfc
    4 years, 20 days ago

    -12 done

    Maddison
    Mitrovic
    Trossard
    Peresic

    To

    Saka
    Martinelli
    Foden
    Nunez

    Hope it pays off?

    1. panda07
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 20 days ago

      You transferred out Perisic and managed to get a midfielder instead??

    2. Deulofail
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Satire?

      1. Gazzpfc
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Sorry In

        Saliba for Peresic
        Saka for Maddison
        Martinelli for Trossard
        Nunez for Mitrovic

        1. Deulofail
          4 years, 20 days ago

          1-2 of them were worth it imo

  25. panda07
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Sterling and James > Foden and Cancelo -4? Would leave me with this.

    Ward
    TAA Cancelo Guehi
    Foden Bowen Zaha Martinelli
    Haaland Darwin Mitro

    Pope Andreas Dunk Neco

    1. Michelle Davin
      4 years, 20 days ago

      I would say yes.or just do sterling to foden

      1. panda07
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Thanks

  26. hogree
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Benching headache lads
    Bench three of these:
    Andreas
    Aaronson
    Trippier
    Saliba
    Perisic

    1. Deulofail
      4 years, 20 days ago

      As a lad, my answer is Perisic, Trippier and Aaronson.

      As a lady, my answer is Perisic, Andreas and Saliba.

      I know which one you trust more

  27. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
    4 years, 20 days ago

    If there is any crazy person that owns Ronaldo here…..

    I was just on the Manchester train to London Euston and the whole utd squad was in first class carriage.

    Ronaldo didn’t travel with them.

    1. panda07
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Humble brag that you were travelling first class?!

      1. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
        4 years, 20 days ago

        I weren’t in first class lol. They were in the 1st class carriages behind us lol.

        1. panda07
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          4 years, 20 days ago

          Did you have a wander into first class to scope them out?

          1. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
            4 years, 20 days ago

            Na they had security.

            But saw them all get on, and then waited behind to get out when they did, was cool seeing Bruno etc all up close

            1. panda07
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              4 years, 20 days ago

              Yeah I'd say so

    2. Deulofail
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Not sure how much of a joke this is, but he's suspended by the club for this game

      1. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
        4 years, 20 days ago

        Weren’t even a joke lol. I didn’t even know he was suspended. Haven’t taken much notice of utd squad all year

        1. Deulofail
          4 years, 20 days ago

          Not sure why he isn't flagged

  28. norab
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Kane to Mitro
    Bailey to Foden -4

    These have to good moves right?

  29. FPLMACKEM
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Ward
    Trippier, Cancelo, Guehi
    Salah, Zaha, Foden, Martinelli
    Haaland (c), Mitrovic, Solanke

    Guaita, Andreas, Dunk, Neco

    0ft 2.9itb

    A GTG
    B Dunk to TAA/VVD -4

  30. DannyDrinkVodka
    4 years, 20 days ago

    Trippier Saliba and Andreas although it’s painful

    1. DannyDrinkVodka
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Reply fail

    2. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
      4 years, 20 days ago

      Foursome gone wrong?