Captain Sensible
10 November 2022 196 comments
Hibbo Hibbo
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Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers are faced with a final and very crucial captaincy decision before the FIFA World Cup mid-season recess with the now familiar heavyweight tête-à-tête between Erling Haaland (£12.2m) and Mohamed Salah (£12.7m) topping the bill.

Meanwhile, alternative options from Manchester City, Liverpool, Tottenham Hotspur and Arsenal provide the undercard support in the Gameweek 16 captaincy conundrum. 

As usual, the Captain Sensible article is here to highlight which assets have the best chance of hauling.

First, we will assess the fallout of the captain poll, before then analysing the best options, Rate My Team (RMT) and the Premier Fantasy Tools ratings ahead of Saturday’s 11:00 GMT deadline.

THE CAPTAIN POLL

Erling Haaland dominates the captain poll, with just under two-thirds of the total votes cast by users at the time of writing.

No other player has garnered even a quarter of that, with Mohamed Salah currently in second place on 13%.

Kevin De Bruyne (£12.6m) occupies third place with just over 6% of the vote, followed by Joao Cancelo (£7.4m) and Harry Kane (£11.6m). 

THE MAIN CANDIDATES

MOHAMED SALAH/DARWIN NUNEZ

Mohamed Salah proved that class is permanent when notching a ruthless double in Liverpool’s 2-1 win over Tottenham Hotspur, producing a 15-point haul to reward a loyal army of armband backers. 

Salah was at his clinical best registering three goal attempts, all of which were on target, with Liverpool’s Egyptian producing the fourth-best non-penalty expected goals tally (NPxG, 0.67) in Gameweek 15. 

Over the last six matches, Salah places in the top division’s five for shots (24), shots inside the box (18) and shots on target (11). 

Notably, Salah ranks second-best over that same period for non-penalty expected goals (NPxG, 3.16), bettered by only Arsenal’s Gabriel Jesus. 

A screenshot of a computer  Description automatically generated

Above: Mohamed Salah places second for non-penalty expected goals (NPxG) over the last six matches, with 3.16

Darwin Nunez’s direct mentality and free-shooting nature were a constant menace for Spurs with the Uruguyuan dovetailing beautifully with Salah, to provide the assist for the Egyptian’s opener. 

Nunez registered four goal attempts in Gameweek 15, of which three came inside the box, marking the former Benfica striker’s card as a “shoot-on-sight” throw-back – and potentially Fantasy gold. 

Despite limitations on Nunez’s game-time reducing his clip, over the last six matches, the marksman places in the division’s top six for shots (21) and shots on target (nine). 

Analysing the Uruguyan using the metric minutes per non-penalty expected goals (NPxG) gives us an insight into Nunez’s truly explosive potential – his rate of 159.2 minutes was only marginally topped by Erling Haaland (154.1 minutes). 

Liverpool host Southampton in Gameweek 16 with the Saints recently parting company with Ralph Hassenhuttl after nearly four years in charge with the club sitting precariously in the Premier League bottom three.  

Southampton have registered a solitary clean sheet this season – away to fellow relegation strugglers Bournemouth – and place in the bottom four over the last six matches for shots conceded (92) and shots inside the box against (62). 

Furthermore, flank weakness is a concern for the Saints, placing in the bottom three for crosses conceded from their right flank (66), and chances conceded from both the right (31) and centre (26). 

ERLING HAALAND/KEVIN DE BRUYNE



Hibbo Author of Captain Sensible. I write Fantasy Premier League articles, focusing on stats and strategy. Four top 10k finishes. 22/23 Rank - 6123.  Follow them on Twitter

196 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Flying Assassins
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    What shall I do with the 2 FTs? 2.2 ITB

    Ward
    Saliba Trippier Cancelo
    Martinelli Saka Salah Foden
    Haaland Mitrovic Wilson

    Kepa Andreas Neco Gomez

    Maybe get rid of Kepa for Allison? Mitrovic to Darwin? Or try and get Kane in?

    1. WhatWouldYourZlatanSay
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I like Kane this week but how would you get there? Realistically I’m guessing by downgrading Foden?

      1. Flying Assassins
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        yeah annoyingly I'm 0.1 short of doing Mitro & Foden to Kane and Almiron

        1. McGurn
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Selling Foden? Why, is there something i dont know?

  2. iL PiStOlErO
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Who to cpt?

    A) Braut
    B) Mo
    C) Hurricane

    1. _Ninja_
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Haaland if he starts, otherwise Mo

    2. Silent Hunter
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      A

  3. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Which is better ?
    A- Justin & Rashford >
    Cancelo & Trossard
    For -4
    B- Justin & Saka >
    Cancelo & Foden or Kulu
    For -4

    C- Neither

    1. Rinseboy
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      what's up with Rashford?

      1. OptimusBlack
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        He played almost 90 tonight

    2. _Ninja_
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Don't like either for a hit.

      1. OptimusBlack
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Cheers

    3. Royal5
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Rash finally scores and you selling?

      1. OptimusBlack
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        I feel he may not start

      2. RICICLE
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Doesn’t exactly inspire though does he, not a great asset to have

        1. OptimusBlack
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          That's what am talking about

      3. Bennerman
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Finally scores? Eighth of the season tonight

        1. McGurn
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          4 league goals in 15 matches. Do you think that is good for a forward?

  4. _Ninja_
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Best move here? 1FT

    A. Wilson to Nunez
    B. Iverson to Alisson

    Pope
    Saliba Trippier Cancelo
    Saka Martinelli Foden Trossard
    Kane Wilson Haaland

    Iversen Andreas Dunk Guehi

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      A

    2. Rinseboy
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      damn very strong team!

      Normally would be a save but I guess this week A is the most exciting

  5. WhatWouldYourZlatanSay
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Currently

    Pope
    Trip-Cancelo-White-Dunk
    Salah-Foden-Zaha-Marti
    Haaland-Wilson
    (Ward, Castagne, Andreas, Mitro)

    2FTs

    Should I prioritise
    A. Darwin (would downgrade Zaha or Foden and play 433
    B. Kulesevski

    Cheers!

    1. Silent Hunter
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      A

  6. Nate(U)dog(ie)
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Had a rubbish number of weeks so just going to do my own thing a bit more and try be less sensible as that isn't working, Bruno(C) it is

    1. JabbaWookiee
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Wahaaaay. Why not? Could be golden.

  7. JoeJitzu +42
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Y or N
    Jesus (wol) & Mitrovic (MUN) ➡ Nunez (SOU) & Solanke (EVE)

    Pickford
    Cancelo Trippier Gabriel
    Salah Foden Zaha Martinelli
    Haaland XXX YYY

    Ward Andreas Zouma Neco

    1. RICICLE
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I’m jealous you would get to play Solanke if you put him in, I’ve had to bench him (below)

      Those moves, if for free, could maybe just work out, it’s a yes from me, but a light and tempered yes haha

      1. JoeJitzu +42
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Yes for free - thanks

    2. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Yes

      1. JoeJitzu +42
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Cheers for reply

    3. Snake Juice
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Getting rid of Jesus is a no from me

      1. JoeJitzu +42
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Totally fair, still a lot of anguish in the decision....

        Liked to punt on Nunez really and trying to generate funds to do Mitrovic to him

    4. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Yea from me

      1. JoeJitzu +42
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks

  8. RICICLE
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    How’s she looking then ahead of the last GW before the break gents?
    Won’t be able to get on much if it all tomorrow so thought I’d post up now.

    Pope
    Trippier - Cancelo - Saliba
    Martinelli - Trossard - KDB - Almiron - Saka
    Darwin - Haaland
    ___________________________________
    Ward: Solanke: Guehi: Neco

    0FT, 1.4 ITB

    Nothing worth a hit here is there? KDB > Salah seems like it could backfire?

    Thanks guys!

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Keep it like that good team not worth a hit for KDB > Salah

      1. RICICLE
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Cheers bro. Yeah shall keep as is. Hoping for a good one before the break, best of luck for this GW man!

        1. OptimusBlack
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Good luck bro

    2. JoeJitzu +42
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Wow benching headache alright! Great team though, best of luck to you!

      1. RICICLE
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Haha tell me about it, wish I’d of saved BB now to play it this week instead of last week, bit of fun before the break. Wanted to get the chip out the way anyway.
        I fully expect Solanke to do well, benching headache for sure.
        Cheers bro appreciate it.

    3. KingZamalek
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Play Solanke, bench Almiron

  9. Kane5
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    A) Wilson to Firmino
    B) Raya to Allison

    1. Man Chest Hair United
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B

  10. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Guaita
    Tripper Dunk White
    Salah Saka Rashford Almiron
    Haaland Kane Solanke
    (Ward Justin Guéhi Andreas)
    1FT 3.5 itb
    A- Solanke > Darwin
    B- Justin > Cancelo
    C- Rash or Saka > Foden or Kulu
    D - other Thoughts ??

    1. bso
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      A

    2. RICICLE
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      A there for me 🙂

    3. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B for me. I like solanke this week

    4. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Or C Rash to Kulu

      1. OptimusBlack
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        What about
        Justin & Rash >
        Cancelo & Trossard ?

        1. Boberella
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Wouldn’t for a hit

          1. OptimusBlack
            • 12 Years
            3 years, 5 months ago

            Thxx dude

    5. JabbaWookiee
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Rashford to Foden

      1. OptimusBlack
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Cheers like it a lot

  11. blauriecon
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    GTG?
    Ward
    Cancelo Gabriel Trippier VanDijk
    DeBruyne Martinelli Trossard
    Darwin(VC) Haaland(C) Jesus
    Kepa Andreas Guehi Longstaff
    0 FT 0.5 ITB

    1. bso
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Nice!

  12. bso
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Martinez in for Castagna for free or lose FT?

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      You must have a better option- I like Castagne’s attacking potential and in my 11

    2. blauriecon
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      No interest in Man City or Liverpool defender for one week?

    3. Snake Juice
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Castagne's a better option

    4. bso
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Thanks guys. Only have .1 mib so can’t do much.
      Will hold Castagna if he’s the better option.

  13. jonnybhoy
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Which one in this week

    A) Perisic LEE (H)
    B) Gabriel WOL (A)
    C) Akanji BRE (H)

    1. Man Chest Hair United
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Probably in that order for upside. Although Perisic lest likely to clean

      1. JabbaWookiee
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Perisic

    2. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B.

    3. Snake Juice
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B

  14. Man Chest Hair United
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Best option for ft here.

    A Dunk to Gabrielle
    B Wilson to Jesus

    1. JabbaWookiee
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Probably B. Always go with the attacker

      1. Man Chest Hair United
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Yeah that was my plan although Chelsea look leaky

    2. Snake Juice
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B

  15. JabbaWookiee
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Find myself in the rather awkward position of having 2 FTs and not really knowing what to do. Thoughts on the following?

    A) Raya + Toney > Allison + Darwin
    B) Foden + Toney > KdB + Solanke
    C) Foden + Toney > Salah + sub-5.6m bench fodder

    1. Man Chest Hair United
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      A looks good.

      Foden should start

      1. JabbaWookiee
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Yeah feeling this also. Reckon if I switch Foden to KdB it could come back to bite me. Cheers.

    2. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I like B there the most

  16. Eleven Hag
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Alvarez/Richarlson??

    Only for this week in the draft league

    1. JabbaWookiee
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Richarlison probably more guaranteed a start so if it has to be one of those two, him.

    2. Snake Juice
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Alvarez, bang on form

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Do you think he starts?

    3. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I'm thinking of punting on Richarlison myself so I'll say him

  17. Snake Juice
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Raya
    Cancelo Trippier Gabriel
    Salah Foden Zaha Martinelli
    Haaland Jesus Wilson

    1 FT, 0.2 in the bank

    Looks like my only move here is to swap Raya out for someone. What a sad way to spend a transfer before the break.

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Wilson to Martial a possible option for punt - played 60 minutes tonight so should start

  18. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Which is better to get ?
    Rash >
    A- Trossard
    B- Foden

    1. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Foden

  19. Pep's Money Laundry
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Which one?

    A. Foden to Kulu
    B. Keep Foden

    1. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Keep

  20. Bruno Commando
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Best move for 1-week punt only?

    A) Wilson -> Darwin
    B) Dier -> Robbo
    C) Hold

    Guaita
    Cancelo Trippier Dier
    Martinelli Zaha Trossard Foden
    (H)aaland Kane Wilson

    Iversen Andreas Neco Dalot

    1. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I like Darwin

      1. Bruno Commando
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks Freshy!

  21. Corona is not good 4 U
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Alexander-Arnold and Mitrovic -> Gabriel and Darwin for free?`

    Thank you!

    1. Corona is not good 4 U
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Team would be:

      Ward, Arrizabalaga
      Gabriel, Trippier, Cancelo, Dunk, Guehi
      Salah, Martinelli, Foden, Saka, Andreas
      Haaland, Darwin, Solanke

    2. Ne0
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Not a bad move but not great either.

      1. Corona is not good 4 U
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        What wo you do? Thank you!

  22. Boomerang V
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Is Kdb to Salah for free madness?

    I have FT and don’t know what to do with it

    1. Bruno Commando
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Both could haul tbh! It's gonna be a coin toss I reckon..

    2. Corona is not good 4 U
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      No, it is no madness. Southampton has a new manager and it is the last game week before the World Cup. A lot can happen like the last game of a season.

  23. Boomerang V
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    1 FT and .6 itb:

    Sanchez
    Trippier Saliba Andersen
    Kdb Foden Martineli Almiron
    Haaland Kane Jesus

    Ward Kilman Neco Andreas

    1. Boomerang V
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      reply failed

  24. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Play 1

    A Alvarez
    B Pereira

    1. Pep's Money Laundry
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      A

  25. Ruinenlust
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Wilson -> Nunez

    Or

    Andreas -> Mitoma?

    1. Ne0
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Nunez

  26. JabbaWookiee
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    A) Ray-a + Toney > Allison + Darwin
    B) Foden + Toney > KdB + Solanke

    1. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      If you went B would you have to ply Raya vs City?
      I think KDB is the better pick over Foden personally so I would still edge B. Solanke could match Darwin this week.

      1. JabbaWookiee
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Went with B and think I made the transfer about 30 seconds before I would've been priced out of it so quite happy with that! Decided I'll take Raya's save points. Still don't trust the Liverpool defence and hopefully in KdB and Solanke I've got 2 full-match players, unlike Darwin who I doubt will last the 90.

  27. akhilrajau
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    pickford (ward)
    Gomez, Cancello, White, Trippier, Bueno
    Salah, Foden, Andreas, Saka, Martinelli
    Haland, Mitrovic, Wilson
    Bank:0m FT:2
    Any suggestions?
    A. Foden -> kulu
    B. Mitrovic -> Solanke
    C. Foden, mitrovic, Wilson -> kulu, Darwin, Greenwood (-4)
    D. Any other? ( move out gomez ?)

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B - I'd keep Foden since he didn't play mid week.

      1. akhilrajau
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Hm yea that's good

  28. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    1FT to use. 5.0m to spend.

    Dalot > ???

    a. Shaw

    b. Konate

    c. Dunk

    d. ???

    Cheers

    1. banskt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      C if you force me. I don't think United or Liverpool will keep cleansheets.

      However, better to spend the FT for mids / fwds.

  29. Ragabolly
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Risers: Solanke (5.8)

    Fallers: Aubameyang (8.7) Sancho (7.1) Mitrović (6.8) Fornals (5.0)

    1. Mozumbus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Cheers ragabolly

    2. banskt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Cheers.

    3. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Hulk this

    4. JohnnyCroat
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      An early morning switch - gained one, avoided a drop. Cheers Raga, enjoy the rest the WC brings.

  30. Waltomade
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Buy Martial or Rashford vs Fulham

    1. Eleven Hag
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Martial

    2. banskt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Martial

    3. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Are we to assume CR7 wont start?

      1. banskt
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Based on recent results, I think CR7 will not start.

      2. Indpush
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        This is what I'm concerned about. Said to have missed the Euro game due to illness and Martials back who was subbed around 60 minutes.

        Ronaldo to Darwin?