Spot the Differential
24 December 2022 387 comments
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Gameweek 17 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some differential options for the restart.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Arsenal, Tottenham Hotspur and Manchester United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

EDDIE NKETIAH

  • FPL ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £6.5m
  • GW17-21 fixtures: WHU | bha | NEW | tot | MUN

The game-time prospects of Eddie Nketiah (£6.5m) have been elevated after Gabriel Jesus (£8.0m) picked up a knee injury while away at the World Cup. Mikel Arteta has yet to put a timeframe on his absence but widespread reports suggest the Brazilian striker could be out for up to three months.

Nketiah has led the line in each of Arsenal’s five mid-season friendlies, scoring twice. He also had a further two goals ruled out against Juventus last weekend.

The 23-year-old is yet to start a Premier League game this season, but his performances towards the end of 2021/22 offer encouragement that he can step up. From Gameweek 33 onwards, he was the Gunners’ first-choice striker, replacing Alexandre Lacazette as the team chased a top-four spot. In that time, he started all of Arsenal’s final eight league matches, scoring five goals. He also registered more shots inside the box (18), big chances (five) and efforts on target (12) than any team-mate.

As for Arsenal, the fixtures are so-so, but only Manchester City have scored on more occasions and registered a higher xG than them this season, while they have already breached the defences of four ‘big six’ teams. Their confirmed Double Gameweek 23 is another good reason for investment.

Nketiah is a sub-£7.0m route into the division’s second-best attack, and with an ownership of just 0.9%, is a tempting differential for Gameweek 17 and beyond.

MATT DOHERTY

Learning from ‘The Great and The Good’ FPL managers 2
  • FPL ownership: 0.5%
  • Price: £4.6m
  • GW17-21 fixtures: bre | AVL | cry | ARS + MCI | ful

Matt Doherty (£4.6m) has been one of Tottenham Hotspur’s standout performers during the World Cup break, scoring four goals in three friendlies.

The Republic of Ireland international endured a frustrating first part of the season and was restricted to just three starts as he struggled to recapture his top form following injury.

However, he recently spoke about his fitness, whilst touching upon his ability to contribute both goals and assists.

“Physically I’m in a very good place right now. Probably in the best condition I’ve been in for a long time. My knee feels pretty good, I have no injury concerns at all. I’m just ready to attack the second half of the season and see how that goes.” – Matt Doherty

“Yeah, as a wing-back, especially the way we want to play, the wing-back is very important. You’ve got to create and score goals. I’ve always backed myself to do that over my career. If you see my record for goals it is quite good, even when I was at Wolves. I want to contribute as much as I can. I know that if you are playing in that position you have to be producing at the top end of the pitch.” – Matt Doherty

Doherty was even among three players Antonio Conte singled out for special praise in a recent interview.

“I think that we exploit very well this period, especially for players like Skippy, Bissouma, and for Matt Doherty.” – Antonio Conte

Spurs’ push for a top-four finish resumes at Brentford on Boxing Day, with fixtures against Aston Villa and Crystal Palace to follow before the FA Cup third round. A provisional Double Gameweek 20, meanwhile, sees them sit second on our Season Ticker between Gameweeks 17 and 21.

Given his good mid-season form, Doherty should be more involved during the festive period, especially in Gameweek 17, with doubts around the availability of fellow wing-backs Ivan Perisic (£5.5m) and Ryan Sessegnon (£4.5m).

BRUNO FERNANDES

Fernandes and Ronaldo deliver as United beat 10-man Brighton in FPL Double Gameweek 25
  • FPL ownership: 2.6%
  • Price: £9.8m
  • GW17-21 fixtures: NFO | wol | BOU | MCI | ars

On the back of a stellar showing at the World Cup, Bruno Fernandes (£9.8m) was equally influential against Burnley in the Carabao Cup in midweek.

Playing behind the striker in Erik ten Hag’s 4-2-3-1 formation, the playmaker was always looking for opportunities in the final third, and it was his pass that unlocked the Clarets’ defence and enabled Aaron Wan-Bissaka (£4.3m) to tee up Christian Eriksen (£6.3m).

Fernandes’ two goals and two assists in the first 16 Gameweeks aren’t anywhere near as impressive as when he first arrived at the club. However, the departure of Cristiano Ronaldo, combined with a kind run of opponents, could potentially see him make an impact during the festive period, especially if he reclaims penalty-taking duties.

It’s also worth noting that only Kevin De Bruyne (£12.6m) has created more ‘big chances’ than Fernandes this season.

As for Man Utd, their first three fixtures back are against Nottingham Forest, Wolverhampton Wanderers and Bournemouth, all of whom are in the bottom eight for shots conceded in 2022/23. First up is Steve Cooper’s side, who kept three clean sheets in their final five league matches before the World Cup, but also received a 5-0 thumping from Arsenal during that run.

Fernandes was one of the best FPL assets in the game pre-Ronaldo and is an intriguing differential for the restart with his ownership currently sitting at just 2.6%.



387 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. George Agdgdgwngo
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Stuck in the No Salah mindset. Which option is better for the starting 11?

    A. Salah, Botman
    B. Nunez, Cancelo

    1. Branch Warren
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B

    2. Snooze ya lose
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B

    3. Jafooli
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A

    4. beetlejuice
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B

  2. Branch Warren
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Is anyone considering Kane over nunes? For me would mean foregoing all Liverpool players

    1. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I'm going both

      1. Branch Warren
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        How do you get both plus haaland plus a premium mid? No premium defenders?

    2. Snooze ya lose
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Dropped Kane myself

    3. RichRover
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      No.

    4. 3 A
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Me. Kane have DGW

    5. Salah_Fingers
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I want both

    6. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Ignoring Kane to begin with given possible fatigue issues, Spurs missing key players in the spine of the team and the yellow card situation. Will get him in for the double

    7. Jafooli
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Nope, already have Haaland, Salah & KdB...

  3. FFFoxy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    A. Salah & Almiron
    B. Darwin & Foden
    ?

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A

    2. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A

    3. Jafooli
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A

    4. beetlejuice
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A safer, B higher ceiling

  4. lilmessipran
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    I think all of us are overlooking Stones at the moment..he has started all but 1 of the league games for City when he has been available...sure he is no Cancelo but he is 2m cheaper with mild set play threat as well..for teams going threemium he is good 3rd City spot if you can't stretch to Cancelo especially with Dias out.

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Do you think Walker gets similar minutes to Stones?

  5. RichRover
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Who is Chelsea first choice?
    Kepa or Mendy?

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Kepa since Potter came

      1. RichRover
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Thank you Champ!

  6. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Bench is weak and thats okay. Good to go?

    Ward
    James Trippier White
    Salah Kdb Rashford Almiron Andreas
    Haaland Kane

    (Iversen Patterson Bueno Greenwood) 0.1

    1. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Fourmium, eh? Could be genius. Nothing much wrong with the starting XI. Could easily get derailed though.

    2. The 12th Man
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Toying with 4 premiums myself. It looks good but feel that it may be one premium to many.

    3. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Wow you managed to squeeze in Kane over Darwin in the 352. Looks good mate.

    4. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Bench is far too weak, we're coming back off of an international tournament and going into a hectic period, there will be lots of rotation and injuries to come

    5. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Thanks you all for your thoughts!

  7. Prinzhorn
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    You guys like my draft with Saka and Kulu? Unsure about Akanji though.

    Kepa - Ward
    James - Trippier - Gabriel - Akanji - Patterson
    KDB - Saka - Kulu - Rashford - Andreas
    Haaland - Darwin - Nketiah

    1. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Looks decent. I'm not sure James justifies his price tag this season.

      1. Saïss Doesn't Mat…
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        I don't understand why chelsea's defense has become so popular aoas. Even that dgw is so uninspiring from a defensive standpoint

        1. Prinzhorn
          • 4 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          Much appreciated guys. You confirm my doubts about him and I will leave him out for now. I think fixtures (+ cup game) are not in his favor.

  8. George Agdgdgwngo
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    How this looking?

    Ward
    Cancelo, Castagne, Trippier
    Kdb, Rashford, Martinelli, Almiron
    Kane, Haaland, Nunez

    Iverson, Beuno, Botman, Andreas

    1. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Strong. I'm not convinced by Rashford in a Utd shirt, but he's still a good option at that price.

      1. Weak Become Heros
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Looks in good form to me this season.

    2. LC1
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Very nice team with 4 big hitters!

  9. teddy.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Here's my draft if anyone is interested. Slight differentials in keeper combo, Cucurella, Mee and Adams:

    DDG
    Trippier Gabriel Cancelo
    KDB Almiron Martinelli Odegaard
    Haaland (c) Darwin Adams

    Ward Andreas Cucurella Mee

    1. The 12th Man
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I like the Arsenal double up in midfield but not yet. I’m thinking have one then add the second later.

      Could work though. Nice squad.

    2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Two arsenal attackers seems too much for me, fixtures are meh.. I like a punt but not Adams, can you stretch to Martial?

      1. teddy.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Martial doesn't appeal to me. Southampton have good fixtures and a new manager with an attacking ethos.

    3. Jafooli
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Have also gone for the DDG/Ward combo, rotate perfectly

      1. teddy.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Yes, Jafooli! And both got good defensive potential.

        1. Jafooli
          • 13 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          Reckon I'll even start Ward, when they both have easy fixtures 😀

  10. Salah_Fingers
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    A or B please:

    A - Cancelo - Shaw - Salah - Martial

    B - Walker - James - KDB - Nunez

    1. George Agdgdgwngo
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B. But anyway to get cancelo in there?

      1. Salah_Fingers
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        To get nunez I have to downgrade Cancelo - I'm not too keen on losing him

    2. beetlejuice
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B easy imo

  11. Taegugk Warrior
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    It’s hard to sell kane. He served me well, give consistent points every week

    1. Salah_Fingers
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Why sell?

      1. Taegugk Warrior
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Haven’t see him at many draft lmao. As a pool fan i don’t trut darwin, but happy seeing everyone bring in him, that triggering me to bring him in too

        1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          Do your own thing, if you prefer Kane and think Nunez is a mistake then let everyone else make the mistake

    2. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      He’s being overlooked… Darwin might be ok short term, but later not?

  12. George Agdgdgwngo
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Fofana worth a gamble for Chelsea’s double?

    1. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      No

  13. DavvaMC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Do you think James is essential?

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      yes

    2. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      No

    3. DavvaMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Was thinking of bringing in Shaw.

    4. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Far from it. Chelsea only have 4 clean sheets so far. James has been underperforming.

    5. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      No, especially when in back 4.

    6. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Not a chance, Chelsea have been very poor, the reset should help but I don't see the fuss right now

    7. Branch Warren
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      No. He is an FPL failure. I don’t get the hype

  14. Winston.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    A or B? Your opinion?

    Kepa Ward
    Cancelo Trippier James White xxxx
    Almiron Martinelli xxxx xxxx xxxx
    Haaland Darwin Mitrovic

    A. Patterson, KDB, Rashford, Andreas
    B. Shaw, Foden, Saka, Kulusevski

    1. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A

    2. Taegugk Warrior
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A.

    3. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      ..or
      C. Patterson, Foden, Salah, Andreas

  15. RedJive79
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Final spots to fill…

    A) Walker + Darwin

    B) Cancelo + Wilson

    1. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B

    2. beetlejuice
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A

  16. amonito
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    A. Saka, White
    B. Rashford, RJames

    1. The 12th Man
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B

    2. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B

  17. The 12th Man
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Fourmium 4-4-2.

    Ward
    James,Trippier,Walker,White
    Salah,KDB,Martinelli,Almiron
    Haaland,Kane

    Iverson,Summerville,Bueno,Greenwood.

    Best of downgrading one out and getting a little more balance plus bench cover?

    1. WVA
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      It's nice, I've gone for Darwin over Salah though.

      Ederson
      James Trippier White
      KDB Rashford Martinelli Almiron
      Haaland Kane Darwin
      Ward Andreas Patterson Bueno

      1. The 12th Man
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Yeh that change does give more balance and better bench cover.

  18. BusbySwede
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Thoughts on this squad?
    0.9 itb
    No Salah/kdb and have spread the funds instead.

    Ward, Kepa
    Cancelo, Trippier, James, Gabriel, Castagne
    Rashford, Zaha, Kulu, Martinelli, Trossard
    Haaland, Wilson, Darwin

    I think I'll give Zaha a last chance before I get rid of him..
    Benching headache the obvious downside so do you think one should make way for one of Salah/kdb/Kane?

    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I'd get KDB in there and make it simpler for you picking a team

  19. denial
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Happy Christmas everyone.

    Here's where I've got up to.

    Ramsdale Ward
    Cancelo Trippier James Patterson Bueno
    KDB Kulu Rashford Martinelli
    Haaland Darwin Martial

    Not sure on James but seems worth a punt.

    1. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Not bad at all. I presume the Utd attacking double is short term - I can see the appeal with those fixtures but would be wary longer term.

      1. denial
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Yeah martial can be moved to Adams or mitro.

  20. KanyeWest
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    (A) Kane & Almiron
    (B) C.Wilson & Bruno Fernandes

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A

  21. Aaa
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    GTG?

    Ramsdale/Ward
    Cancelo/James/Trippier/Doherty/Bueno
    KDB/Rash/Odegaard/Almiron/Andreas
    Haaland/Darwin/Mitro

    0.4itb

    1. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yeah, looks good

  22. niloh1
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    A) foden & Kane

    Or

    B) kdb & 8.5m striker (not sure who is the best option for this price) maybe mitro?

    1. jack88
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B

    2. Taegugk Warrior
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B. Foden trolled me at many times.

  23. DavvaMC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    What do you think on the below?

    Kepa / Ward

    Akanji / Trippier / Shaw / Gabriel / Bueno

    KDB / Kulu / Trossard / Martinelli / Almiron

    Darwin / Wilson / Haaland

    1. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Question mark over Akanji. Lots of competition at CB.

      1. DavvaMC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Who would you go for? Is a city defender essential.

        1. teddy.
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          Not essential. I've got Cancelo for gametime and attacking potential.

          Given how much you're investing in your mids and forwards you might need to look at midtable defences. Although White, Fofana, Walker, etc are also good options.

      2. DavvaMC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Also my bench is good.

        1. teddy.
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          Yep. And Akanji could turn out good.

  24. C-Dawgg
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    I have my final drafts down to two and it comes down to this, would love some advice:

    A) Kane, Foden, Mount
    B) KDB, Darwin, Almiron

    1. jammie26
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B easily

    2. Branch Warren
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B

    3. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B

    4. Saïss Doesn't Mat…
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      This shouldn't even be a poll

    5. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I don't like Mount as a pick at all personally, blanked in his last 5 and I find it hard to trust Chelsea, I don't see much of a reason to think they'll destroy Bournemouth or Forest (Bournemouth are a bit of a bogey team for Chelsea with only 1 loss in 5, and Forest are good at home). Foden is also a bit of a risky pick given he was benched against Liverpool and everything before the break so I'd have to say B on that basis

  25. Kane Train
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Best defender 4.8 or less? Already have Dalot

    1. DavvaMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I like Castagne.

      1. Kane Train
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Newcastle then Liverpool. It’s a no from me

    2. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Castagne, White…
      Dalot injured? Shaw an option?

    3. Branch Warren
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I like dunk

    4. Saïss Doesn't Mat…
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      botman in a newcastle double up with trips

    5. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I've got Mee. Partly for how his fixtures rotate with the rest of my team.

    6. Forgetmeknot
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Walker?

  26. Winston.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Which one? Supposing Mitro fit for GW18… Thanks.

    A. Kane + Foden
    B. Mitrovic + KDB

  27. Bavarian
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Thoughts please

    Ward
    James-Trippier-Walker
    Salah-Martinelli-Almiron-Rashford
    Kane-Haaland-Darwin

    Iversen-White-Andreas-Patterson
    0.2 itb

    1. Coast94
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Looks good, just not sold on the Ward/Iversen combo.

  28. Saïss Doesn't Mat…
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    if you had to choose one would it be saka or martinelli?

    1. Branch Warren
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Martinelli

  29. Teddy10
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    A or B:

    A) De B and Martial
    B) Foden and Kane

    1. Branch Warren
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Kdb but not martial

  30. The Pep Revolution
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    What players would you consider essential to get on the current wildcard?
    Thanks for any advice received.

    1. The Ilfordian
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Haaland