Spot the Differential
13 January 2023 1804 comments
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Double Gameweek 20 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Manchester United, Liverpool and Manchester City who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

CHRISTIAN ERIKSEN

FPL Double Gameweek 20 differentials: Eriksen, Gakpo + Mahrez 1
  • FPL ownership: 3.4%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: MCI + cry | ars | CRY | lee | LEI

Christian Eriksen (£6.3m) has shown his value for Man Utd this season, playing an important role in their revival under Erik ten Hag.

Despite playing a deeper role, the playmaker has still been able to impact games offensively. In his last six matches, Eriksen has provided a goal and four assists.

Averaging 6.2 points per match in that time, he’s posted team-leading totals for crosses and passes received in the opposition half, whilst sitting fifth among all FPL midfielders for xA, only behind Kevin De Bruyne (£12.5m), Bruno Fernandes (£9.8m), Martin Odegaard (£6.7m) and Solly March (£5.0m).

His ability from dead-ball situations is key to his FPL appeal, with the imminent signing of Wout Weghorst – a proper target man – further boosting his potential.

Man Utd head into Double Gameweek 20 full of confidence, having lost just one of their last 10 league matches, with three consecutive wins to nil following the restart. Now, they meet Man City at Old Trafford, before visiting a Crystal Palace side that have conceded seven goals in their last two home outings.

Eriksen is one of ten Hag’s most important players and now settled into a central midfield role where he can dictate play and have a real influence on games, could be an effective mid-price differential.

CODY GAKPO

FA Cup Scout Notes: Gakpo's debut, Chelsea injury latest
  • FPL ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £8.0m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: bha | CHE | wol | EVE | new

Cody Gakpo (£8.0m) signed for Liverpool just after Christmas from PSV and made his debut in the FA Cup last weekend.

The 23-year-old started the 2-2 draw with Wolves at Anfield and featured for 84 minutes, lining up on the left of Jurgen Klopp’s front three. He did, however, sometimes interchange positions with centre-forward Darwin Nunez (£8.9m), which was apparent during the Uruguayan’s first-half equaliser.

During the match, Gakpo had a hand in Mohamed Salah’s (£12.8m) goal and also showed signs of forming an effective partnership with Andrew Robertson (£6.9m). While Luis Diaz (£7.8m) is more of an out-and-out winger, Gakpo likes to drift inside, allowing the Scottish full-back to hold the width on the left, where he is generally at his best. Gakpo’s signing, as a result, could potentially benefit both players going forward.

Statistically, it wasn’t a great night for Gakpo as he attempted just one shot, but there were encouraging signs.

Now, the Dutchman will have another chance to open his account for his new club on Saturday when the Reds visit in-form Brighton. Albion have won two of their three matches since the restart, but Roberto De Zerbi’s attacking approach can leave gaps for opposition attackers to exploit, which should suit Liverpool, who can be deadly in transition.

Gakpo – the reigning Dutch Footballer of the Year – is an exciting signing and at just £8.0m in FPL, an intriguing differential.

RIYAD MAHREZ

FPL Gameweek 20: Taking a hit could be worth the risk
  • FPL ownership: 3.1%
  • Price: £7.5m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: mun + TOT | WOL | tot | AVL | ars

A move for Riyad Mahrez (£7.5m) ahead of Double Gameweek 20 carries risk, given how often he has been benched in the past by Pep Guardiola.

However, the Algerian winger has hit top form following the restart, returning either a goal or assist in each of his three league outings, a period that has seen him average 7.0 points per start.

In addition, he claimed a brace of goals to help City secure a dominant 4-0 FA Cup third-round win over Chelsea and was also on target in last month’s 3-2 EFL Cup win over Liverpool.

“The quality of Riyad is everything. He loves to play football, he helped us to play the game. It was really good. It was a fantastic free-kick. He played an outstanding game. He never lost his love. He loves to play football. The way he is training now and playing was exactly the same in Abu Dhabi. Riyad in important games is fantastic. The last game he didn’t start at Stamford Bridge and the impact he had was incredible. When they play in this way, and maybe complain [about not playing every game] I say ‘yes, you’re right’. Before, he cannot complain because he wasn’t playing at the level he is now. It’s not just about quality, it’s more in football, you have to do more. [But] now since we came back for World Cup, he is playing really, really well.” – Pep Guardiola on Riyad Mahrez after last weekend’s 4-0 FA Cup win over Chelsea

It’s a double-header for Man City in Gameweek 20, as they travel to Man Utd before hosting Spurs on Thursday.

After being rested against Southampton in the EFL Cup in midweek, you’d expect Mahrez to start at least one of those games, perhaps both, with his potential clear when handed minutes. Indeed, he produced six double-digit hauls in just 15 league starts last season.

Owned by just 3.1% of managers, Mahrez has the potential to propel his owners up the ranks.



  1. waltzingmatildas
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    A) Castagne, Trossard to Shaw, Odegaard (-4)
    B) Darwin, Mitro to Kane, Ferguson (-4)
    C) Castagne, Darwin to Shaw, Toney (-4)

    B or C would mean playing Bueno or White

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I am thinking B, but A looks good

    2. GC123
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      B and start White

  2. Vlad Tepes
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Martial to Toney?

    1. Orion
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Seems like Martial is doubtful so yes

  3. Orion
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Need some help lads… Still can’t decide…

    A) Mitro to Toney
    B) Foden to Mahrez

    Cheers!

    1. YouReds
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A

  4. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Not sure I'm seeing the appeal to bring in Kane this week. Two tough games and he's on a yellow.

    1. Ron_Swanson
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      fixture proof

    2. Reacher
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I was thinking similar but caved and got him just in case

    3. Nanook
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Long term hold. Plus his record against Arsenal is unreal. Look at his PK history against them.

  5. fish&chips
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Why is Toney -222% on fplstatistics??

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      lol, kane probably

    2. notlob legin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Just noticed that too - after I transferred him in LOL

      1. fish&chips
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Same lol

  6. Crunchie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    A. Mitro/Darwin to Kane and Ferguson -4
    B. Cucu to Perisic
    C. Darwin to Toney

    Team ATM
    Ederson(Ward)
    Shaw, Trippier, Culu or White (patterson)
    KDB, Rash, Kulu, Martinelli (andreas)
    Kane, Haaland (Ferguson).

    Thanks

  7. Podorsky
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Any training ground pics from Pool this afternoon?

  8. Reacher
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    slight change to the question i posted a page back, I've narrowed it down to

    A, Start Botman

    or

    B, Start Akanji

    and yes I do have Trippier

  9. g40steve
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    What to do with # players?

    Dalot > Shaw -4

    Darwin > Toney -4

    Both -8

    Ederson
    Trippier, Botman, #Dalot
    KDB, C Rashford, Martinelli, Almiron,
    Hauland, Kane, #Darwin

    Ward, White, Bueno, Andreas,

    .9

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Both, live a little

      1. g40steve
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        🙂

    2. Reacher
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      both and BB?

      1. g40steve
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Not thought about that 🙂

  10. FCSB
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Kepa
    Trippier Shaw Cancelo
    Almiron Martinelli Rashford KDB
    Mitrovic Darwin Haaland

    Ward Andreas Bueno White

    0FT, 2.6itb

    1. Darwin >> Martial (-4)
    2. Cancelo Darwin >> Ake Kane (-8)

    Thanks

    1. C'mon the Fylde
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      2

    2. Red Star Toro
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      2

    3. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      2

  11. royals forever
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Play

    Saka
    Pereira

    Any ideas would be welcomed

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Saka

    2. Pegboy
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Saka

  12. Wolfman180
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Play Castagne (vs NFO) or White (vs Tottenham)?

    1. Reacher
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Castagne all day

  13. yanky
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    currently on a -4
    Cancelo > Ake
    James > Shaw
    Darwin > Kane

    also have salah and mount starting.
    is salah > kdb or mount > mahrez worth another 4 pt hit for total of -8?

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Yes, i would punt on Mahrez

  14. aWhisperer
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    I have wasted a transfer on Stones already!

    1. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Yes. U took a risk with an early transfer decision. So get on with it :mrgreen:

      1. aWhisperer
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Oh well

  15. Tanaka'd
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Planned to keep Darwin and roll FT, but think change may be for the best. One of these?

    A) Darwin to Toney
    B) Darwin + TAA to Kane + Botman (-4)?

    Cheers

    1. BobB
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      If you can field a team, Keep Darwin. Good fixtures ahead.

  16. C'mon the Fylde
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Any suggestions?

    Arrizabalaga
    Trippier Botman Shaw
    Rashford Almiron KDB Martinelli
    Kane Haaland Mitrovic

    Ward Andreas White Patterson

    1.6m itb
    0ft

    1. Reacher
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Good team shame about the grav and name though 😉

      1. C'mon the Fylde
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Shame I can't edit the year! D'oh!

        1. Reacher
          • 15 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          why isnt that when they were formed haha! (joke)

          1. C'mon the Fylde
            • 10 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            HaHa! I'm not saying!

            1. Reacher
              • 15 Years
              3 years, 1 month ago

              only joking mate, I'm a big Darlo fan hence my dislike 🙂 good luck with FPL tho

    2. Wobbles
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Looks fine to me, nothing worth a hit here imo

  17. che
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Mitro > Martial or Toney for free?

    1. BOATIES FC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Not for me

    2. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      The one that nots made of glass

      1. che
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Both been injured

    3. Wobbles
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Roll. I have a feeling Mitro is going to ruin a lot of people's weekends.

  18. Gandalf
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    A. Kepa > Ederson
    B. Azpilicueta > Aké
    C. Andreas > Mahrez (benching Mitrovic)
    D. Roll the free

    Kepa
    Trippier Shaw Azpi
    KDB Rashford Almiron Martinelli
    Haaland Kane Mitrovic

    Ward Andreas 4.0 4.0

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      a

    2. Pegboy
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      D

  19. BOATIES FC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Darwin and Cancelo to Kane and Doherty for free?

    1. GC123
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Perisic over Doherty? Or is price an issue?

      1. BOATIES FC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        price is an issue

        1. GC123
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          There was talk earlier Doherty may only play one of Spurs’ two games

  20. Reacher
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Are many playing the TC chip? i have seen many of the so called experts saying they are, personally i am not

    also anyone considering BB or far better option ahead?

    1. Pegboy
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      70:30 going to play TC

  21. Make FPL Casual Again
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Almiron or Toney, and why ?

    1. DaftPunk
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Toney. Favourable fixtures.

      Almiron's underlying numbers aren't that good, I'm sure that'll soon show in his actual output.

      1. Make FPL Casual Again
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        The gambling things doesn't seem to have much effect on him so far...

        Any info on how it will pan out ?

  22. La Roja
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    How’s she looking?

    Kepa
    Stones* Shaw* Trippier
    Rashford* KDB* Saka Odegaard Almiron
    Kane* Haaland

    Ward Ferguson Bueno Saliba

    1. Reacher
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      looking good, if stones was fit id be tempted to BB

      1. La Roja
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        He’ll probably be fit vs Spurs

    2. Hy liverpool
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      If you have ft.. Stones to botman/Schar?

  23. BobbyDoesNotLook
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Ward (nfo) or Kepa (CRY)?

    1. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Kepa

  24. MGD
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Kepa
    Shaw*, Cancelo*, Trippier, White
    KDB*, Rashford*, Salah, Martinelli
    Haaland*, Mitrovic

    Ward, Andreas, Greenwood, Patterson

    0,8 ITB, 1 FT.

    I’m looking at making no transfers 😐
    Am I an idiot?

  25. south park ranger
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Kepa (Ward)
    Tripp Shaw Cucu Walker (Bueno)
    Salah Rash Almiron (Saka Andreas)
    Haaland Darwin Havertz
    1 FT, 0.6 ITB
    Advices? Was thinking Saka&Darwin to Toney&Mahrez for -4

  26. CheesyZoot
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone keen on Eriksen for a differential?

    Was all set on Greenwood > Martial, but now thinking Andreas > Eriksen for more certain minutes

    1. SouthCoastSaint
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Yes got for it says the Bruno and Mahrez owner

    2. Nanook
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Like it

  27. 1966
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    What order would you put Cancelo, Gabriel (ARS defender) and Castagne please? Need to play one and bench the others, thanks 🙂

  28. FCSB
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Who is the most nailed and fit city defender?

    1. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Akanji imo

    2. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Ederson (i know), maybe Akanji

  29. CelticBhoy1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    First sub

    A) Saliba

    B) Andreas

  30. Skout
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Any downsides to TC Haaland in DGW23 compared to this week?

    1. Fit_to_drop
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Picks up an injury, Villa getting better at defending as Emery's influence grows, European Competition to name just three