FPL
15 March 2023 128 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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The biggest Blank Gameweek of this season’s final months is about to begin, which usually means that a lot of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers are about to activate their one Free Hit chip.

FA Cup quarter-final action has restricted Gameweek 28 to seven matches, although the surprise lower-league eliminations of Tottenham, Southampton and Leicester City ensure that it is fuller than the equivalent weekend of previous campaigns.

According to our site poll, 17.39% will use a Free Hit, with others believing the week can be navigated quite easily and are therefore saving the chip for later on.

PROS OF FREE HIT 28

  • No need for back-and-forth transfers involving the absent Erling Haaland (£12.1m), Marcus Rashford (£7.4m) and the midfielders of Brighton and Hove Albion.
  • It means you can field 11 players at a time when many won’t.
  • As a consequence of this, you can possess template names whilst also having room for enticing differentials that propel you up the rankings and mini-leagues.
  • Later usage could backfire if it focuses on Double Gameweek players, whilst several popular one-matchers haul.

CONS OF FREE HIT 28

  • The average active manager likely already has nine or ten Gameweek 28 players.
  • Similarly, assuming that the highly-owned Harry Kane (£11.7m), Kieran Trippier (£6.0m) and three Arsenal options will be selected, there’s not much upside to it.
  • It might be needed later on in the campaign, as more Blank and Double Gameweeks get finalised.

DRAFT ONE: THE SAFER OPTION

Of the £10m+ options, only Spurs duo Kane and Son Heung-min (£11.6m) will be taking part. Go down to £9.0m and there’s just the injured Raheem Sterling (£9.7m) and out-of-favour Jamie Vardy (£9.1m).

So the budget isn’t a factor here, Free Hit users are simply left with the choice of how template they’d like to be.

This option covers the template names alongside the week’s most-bought players Ben Chilwell (£5.9m), Ollie Watkins (£7.4m) and James Maddison (£8.1m).

It’s hard to have a ‘safe’ midfield as – using the top 100k sample size – only five players with over 5% ownership are playing. Arsenal trio Bukayo Saka (£8.5m), Martin Odegaard (£6.9m) and Gabriel Martinelli (£6.6m), alongside Maddison and Miguel Almiron (£5.4m).

Another popular name this week is Kai Havertz (£7.5m), playing up front at home to Everton. However, he’s slightly behind the front three of Kane, Watkins and Ivan Toney (£7.8m).

DRAFT TWO: THE DIFFERENTIAL BONANZA

By committing to Trippier, Kane and Saka before looking at the potential elsewhere, there’s a real chance for FPL managers to shoot up the rankings.

In the line-up below, these three are the only names to exceed 6% top 100k ownership for Gameweek 27.

The differences see Havertz in place of Watkins and the risk of only having two Arsenal assets. Aaron Ramsdale (£4.9m) is one of them, as it creates space for attacking full-back Matty Cash (£4.6m) to cause damage versus Bournemouth.

In midfield, Harvey Barnes (£6.7m) is instead of teammate Maddison, with last season’s joint Golden Boot winner Son hoping to build on his goal against Nottingham Forest.

Speaking of Forest, Newcastle United’s Alexander Isak (£6.6m) faces them and is an option over Toney but Almiron makes way for Aston Villa midfielder Emiliano Buendia (£5.7m).

Final Thoughts

Whether a manager prefers a safer XI, a differential one or a mixture of both, Free Hit 28 allows FPL managers to field a full team without needing to sell big-name absentees.

There’d probably be some sort of green arrow, although it might not bring an upside worthy of such a valuable chip. Especially when there are ten more Gameweeks to use it.

As is often the case, the decision depends on each manager and their unique squad situation.



FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

128 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. ididnt
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    What’s the consensus: if planning on Wildcarding for DGW 29 and looking to take at least one hit for 10 players in 28, is it better to play the wc now?

    1. Amey
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yes

  2. Gooner97
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Kepa (Raya)
    Trippier Gabriel Mee Chilwell (Estupinan)
    Ode Saka (Mitoma Rash March)
    Toney Kane Watkins

    0FT, 4.9ITB

    Would you take a hit (Ode to Maddison -4)? What would you do? Cheers

    1. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Ode can haul & nailed ?

      1. Gooner97
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        If I sell March to Maddy then I don't have the funds to get Haaland back

    2. Fellaini's Fro
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      No i'd sooner sell rashford

  3. Arteta
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    All I ask for is just a solid 7/10 performance by Steele, so he keeps his place for the upcoming gameweeks.

    1. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Steel like performance?

  4. Drumandbaines123
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Toney captain fail

    1. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Is he not starting?

    2. The Ilfordian
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Too soon!

    3. Amey
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Delete the team !

    4. Arteta
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I would wait at least until 10pm to post something like that.

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        kick off in 13 mins

  5. Gazwaz80
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    If I have 10 players this week and 10 D/G week players in 29, is it worth free hitting or wildcarding and if not, when will be the best time to use them? Decisions decisions:)

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      no

      gw30 / 32 or 33

      It's up to you

      1. Gazwaz80
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers matey, I shall ponder over a glass of Red tonight 🙂

  6. RICICLE
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Hi guys, just looking for a few more opinions on this.

    Without showing what the team looks like for this BGW, this is my overall squad.

    Kepa
    Shaw - White - Trippier
    Rashford - Saka - Salah - Odegaard
    Toney - Darwin - Haaland
    ______________________________
    Raya: Mitoma: Schar: Tarkowski

    My plan this GW is to do Halaand > Kane (c) to make it 9 players

    So how does this plan sound over the coming weeks?

    Haaland > Kane this GW

    Then before GW 30:

    Salah + Darwin > Haaland + Bruno?

    Cheers gents

    1. Ruud vom Mistelroum
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Sounds good.. all for FT?

      I'm thinking of getting Bruno after this blank too. Maybe for Odegard then I have room for Jesus if he's back fit

      1. RICICLE
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Yeah this would all be for free providing I save a FT over GW 29. Got enough starters anyway so no real need to make many moves.
        Yeah I really wanna bring Bruno in from 30 onwards.
        Jesus in could be a lovely shrewd move

    2. Fellaini's Fro
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Not sure about losing haaland.
      Shaw is an easier sell for me

      1. RICICLE
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Haaland wouldn’t be needed again till GW 30

  7. Freshy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Joe Whitworth GK Crystal Palace

    Joe Whitworth is a goalkeeper in the modern mould, with excellent distribution skills as well as shot-stopping ability. He made 20 appearances for the Under-18s side as they finished second on goal difference in the 2020/21 season, keeping six clean sheets.(CP website)

  8. Sharkytect
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    A little over excited about tonight's 2 premier league fixtures thanks to FPL.

    Currently on 8 consecutive green arrows and will be 9 if macallister in particular does anything good...

    1. Kodap
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I could do with MaCAllister doing well

    2. noissimbus
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      CP asking all the questions early on.

  9. rrcmc
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    I had only 3 active players so i activated the FH - correct decision?
    Lols

  10. Jhilly
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Can you play chips two weeks in a row? Free hit this week, bench boost next week?