Captain Sensible
30 March 2023 340 comments
Hibbo Hibbo
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Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers brace themselves for the biggest Double Gameweek of the season with the armband decision far from a formality.

Manchester United’s Marcus Rashford (£7.3m) and Bruno Fernandes (£9.6m) are cast in the roles of leading men, but face strong competition from a trio of Brighton & Hove Albion assets, with options from Leicester City, Liverpool and Chelsea representing the differential selection.

As usual, the Captain Sensible article is here to highlight which assets have the best chance of hauling.

First, we will assess the fallout of the captain poll, before then analysing the best options, Rate My Team (RMT) and the Premier Fantasy Tools ratings ahead of Saturday’s 11:00 BST deadline.

THE CAPTAIN POLL

The biggest Double Gameweek of the season has thrown out a wide range of armband options but Marcus Rashford fights off stiff competition to top the charts, backed by just under four-tenths of the total votes cast by users at the time of writing.

The main captain poll rivalry comes from Brighton’s Kaoru Mitoma (£5.5m), who currently sits in second place with the support of 16.24% of our users.

Mohamed Salah (£12.8m) occupies third place with 7.2% of the vote, closely followed by Erling Haaland (£12.0m) and James Maddison (£8.2m) further back.

A reminder that those FPL managers polled are voting as if the players in the question are going to be fit, which may not be the case with Haaland.

THE MAIN CANDIDATES

MARCUS RASHFORD/BRUNO FERNANDES

Manchester United assets are firmly on the menu ahead of Double Gameweek 29 with Erik ten Hag’s side facing Newcastle United and Brentford.

Marcus Rashford has been revitalised since the Dutch manager’s arrival and is in scintillating form, ranking joint-top for both goals (10) and FPL points (94) since Premier League action resumed in Gameweek 17.

Above: Marcus Rashford ranks joint-top for both goals (10) and FPL points (94) since Premier League action resumed in Gameweek 17

A cursory glance at Rashford’s underlying numbers highlights his importance to ten Hag’s attack, ranking best in the division for shots in the box (17) over the last six matches.

The England international’s seven big chances, nine shots on target and non-penalty expected goals (NPxG, 3.12) tally all place in the division’s top four over that same period.

Furthermore, no player has registered more double-digit returns (four) than the Manchester United attacker, underlining Rashford’s high ceiling.

However, Rashford returned to Manchester United after sustaining a knock while on international duty with England, but the star attacker has since featured in training pictures for the Red Devils.

Meanwhile, Bruno Fernandes has demonstrated a return to his attacking best with the midfield maestro habitually delivering big in Double Gameweeks – scoring a combined 31 points in Manchester United’s last two.

The Portugal international boasts strong creative underlying numbers in the last half-dozen matches, supplying the division’s most chances (21). Furthermore, his tally of five big chances created is bettered by only Solly March (six) over that period.

Above: Bruno Fernandes has created the most chances (21) in the division over the last six matches – and supplied five big chances

While Fernandes places third-best in the division for expected assists (xA, 1.81) over that same timeframe, the playmaker can shoot – the Portuguese has registered 29 shots, 10 shots on target and three goals post-World Cup.

Under Erik ten Hag’s stewardship Manchester United have quickly re-established themselves as a top-tier attacking side, ranking sixth-best for expected goals (xG, 41.57) this season.

Firstly, the Red Devils travel to Newcastle United with Eddie Howe’s charges in poor form defensively, failing to register a clean sheet in their last six Premier League matches.

However, it won’t be a stroll in St. James Park for Manchester United’s high-flying attackers, with the Magpies’ backline placing second-best in the division for expected goals conceded (xGC, 11.65) across all home games this season.

Erik ten Hag welcomes Thomas Frank’s Brentford side for the second fixture of Double Gameweek 29, with Manchester United keen to capitalise on the Bees’ recent defensive woes.

While Brentford have failed to record a clean sheet in five of their last six Premier League matches, Frank’s side rank fifth-best for expected goals conceded (xGC, 16.92) in away matches this season.

Zonal weakness could be the key to swatting the Bees, with Brentford placing in the bottom two for crosses conceded from their right flank (293) and chances conceded centrally (132) across all games this season.

KAORU MITOMA/ALEXIS MAC ALLISTER/SOLLY MARCH



Hibbo Author of Captain Sensible. I write Fantasy Premier League articles, focusing on stats and strategy. Four top 10k finishes. 22/23 Rank - 6123.  Follow them on Twitter

340 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 6 days ago

    My first thought when logging in to FPL since last GW, 12 days or so

    Mee, Odegaard, Rashford ->
    Chilwell, Salah, March (-8)

    ?

    1. DagheMunegu
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      Why Rash ?

      1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 6 days ago

        Hasn't he been on vacation with an injury?

        1. DagheMunegu
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 6 days ago

          He's training

          1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 6 days ago

            oh, never trust FPL %flags, I remember now. Thanks!

  2. 1justlookin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 6 days ago

    Odegaard to Bowen for -4?

    1. Colonel Shoe 肝池
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      i just dont know with the race to get rid of arsenal assets.......2 bites of the cherry vs 1 in form team......
      If you have other arse ill say yes

    2. XX SMICER XX
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      Like the punt

  3. Colonel Shoe 肝池
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 6 days ago

    benrahma too much risk this week?

    1. Snooze ya lose
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      Gd differential

  4. DagheMunegu
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 6 days ago

    Bottomed sorry

    Guys
    Saka Martinelli Zinch to Bruno Maddison Shaw -8 and bb?

    Will FH 32

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      DGW fever?

      1. DagheMunegu
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 6 days ago

        Yep

    2. LeytonOrient
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      Roll the dice baby, I for one like it

  5. DagheMunegu
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 6 days ago

    Like it

  6. FCSB
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 6 days ago

    Playing BB29:

    Kepa
    Chilwell Trippier Botman Estupinan
    Rashford March Mitoma
    Watkins Toney Kane

    Raya Saka Odegaard Zinchenko

    1FT, 6.1itb

    Need to be mindful of having funds to do get Toney >> Haaland GW30, so for GW29:

    1. Zinchenko Saka >> Shaw Fernandes
    2. Zinchenko Odegaard >> Shaw Maddison

    Thanks

    1. LeytonOrient
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      1. I just don’t trust Leicester to deliver points

  7. Legohair
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 6 days ago

    Lots of good option here,which one is best???

    A. Martinelli to Maddison
    B. Martinelli to Bruno
    C. Gabriel to Shaw
    D. A/B/C + A/B/C for -4

    Im free hiting GW32...

    1. LeytonOrient
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      B

    2. Mambino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      B

  8. Slitherene
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 6 days ago

    Captain Salah or Maddison?

    1. XX SMICER XX
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      Like Maddison shout just worry about Leicesters form

    2. The-Red-1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      I'm wondering which one to buy, same dilemma I guess. Currently on Salah but worried about 2 away difficult games

    3. Snake Juice
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      I'd captain Salah if I had him

      1. gart888
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 6 days ago

        Ditto.

  9. XX SMICER XX
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 6 days ago

    What to do with this team?
    A. Couple of transfers & FH
    B. No FH, benching headache - who do I bench???

    Kepa
    Trippier Gabriel Castagne Chilwell
    Salah Rashford Mitoma
    Kane Nacho Havertz

    Ward Saka Henry Odegaard

  10. AD105
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 6 days ago

    1FT, loads in the bank - Cash should probably go here? Playing BB

    Kepa Steele
    Chilwell Tripps Gabriel Cash* Botman
    Saka Madd Rash MacAllister Mitoma
    Kane Watkins Toney

    1. SAKA AND EMILE SMITH ROWE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      Cash to Zouma

    2. XX SMICER XX
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      TAA

    3. LeytonOrient
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      Shaw

  11. The Pep Revolution
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 6 days ago

    Hi all, would appreciate some help.

    Aiming to finalise my BB team.

    Current team is:
    Raya Kepa
    Gabriel Trippier Chilwell Estupiñán Castagne
    Mitoma March Son Maddison Saka
    Kane Watkins Toney

    Only one free transfer. I'm thinking of Son and Gabriel to Rashford and Shaw.

    Any other changes you would recommend?

    1. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      Son to Rashford, if fit.
      Not sure I would take a hit to remove Gabriel for Shaw.

    2. Mambino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      Saka to Bruno

  12. BlzE_94
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 6 days ago

    Martinelli to Barnes or Bowen for a hit?

    1. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      not for a hit

    2. XX SMICER XX
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      Barnes over Bowen

  13. Gandalf
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 6 days ago

    A. Play Martinelli
    B. Martinelli> Mac Allister

    1. Play Zinchenko
    2. Zinchenko > Shaw

    1. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      bit sideways
      I would say the first depends on your other Brighton/Arsenal assets.

      1. Legohair
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 6 days ago

        B2

      2. Gandalf
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 6 days ago

        Saka, Martinelli, Zinchenko, Mitoma, Estupian pre transfers

      3. gart888
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 6 days ago

        They're only sideways if you look at this week. They're both good moves long term when you consider doubles, and are both probably small upgrades this week.

        I'm facing similar choices and am thinking A2.

    2. Legohair
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      B3

    3. XX SMICER XX
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      B2

  14. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 6 days ago

    Raya*
    Tripper* Zinchenko Henry*
    Maddison* Rashford* © Mitoma* March*
    Kane Toney* Watkins*
    (Kepa* Chilwell* Schär* Saka)
    Would use BB
    1 FT & 6.2 itb
    A- Henry > Shaw
    B- Zinchenko> Shaw
    C- other option

    1. XX SMICER XX
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      B

  15. AD105
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 6 days ago

    Which defender should I bring in for Cash? Funds basically unlimited

    Already have Tripps, Gabriel, Chillwell and Botman

    1. Hairy Potter
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      Shaw, Castagne or James would be my options.

  16. jumbob
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 6 days ago

    Ward, Tark, Almiron & Ødegaard -> Steele, Shaw, Mitoma & Fernandes (-12)?

    Or have i completely lost it?

    1. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      almiron to mitoma
      ward to steele
      that is enough I Think

  17. Old Bull
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 6 days ago

    Who are you going to captain this week? Keep changing my mind.

    1. Scalper
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      This week is double the risk. Also many captain options.

      I’m personally going rashford. Popular pick yes but he’s having the season of his life. Mitoma and Bruno other options I’m considering but firmly on Rashy atm

      1. Old Bull
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 6 days ago

        Are you not concerned about the possible lack of minutes?

  18. grooveymatt65
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 6 days ago

    would you guys do Haaland (if out), Saka and Beuno to Havertz, Bruno and Shaw for -8?

    1. A Fat Spanish Waiter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      Are you bench boosting? I don’t love saka for Bruno. Any other Arsenal mid, then fine, but saka is a long term keeper.

      1. grooveymatt65
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 6 days ago

        yeah I'm bench boosting

  19. toerag
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 6 days ago

    evening..

    A. Trossard > Mac allister ?
    or
    B. Trossard > Bruno ?

    1FT
    thoughts appreciated
    ty

    1. A Fat Spanish Waiter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      Here is the thing, Mac A has three doubles coming up and Bruno has 2. That said, I really like Bruno’s next few matches, so I’d probably do B.

      1. toerag
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 6 days ago

        yeah, next gave EVE at OT vs TOT away. Bruno hmmmm

  20. MIGHTY JOE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 6 days ago

    BB activated, 2 FT & 5.0 ITB

    Raya Martinez
    Trippier Mee Burn Estu Zinchenko*
    MacAl Maddison Rash Martinelli* Saka*
    Kane* Toney Watkins

    A) Zinchenko/Martinelli -> Chill/Mitoma (easy way to Haaland later)

    B) Same but -> Chill/Bruno

    C) Other suggestions??

    Cheers!

    1. A Fat Spanish Waiter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      I think it’s a coin flip to be fair.

  21. Ian Davis
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 6 days ago

    Current BB team:

    Kepa/Raya

    Shaw/Gabriel/Chilwell/Mings/Trippier

    Saka/Martinelli/Rashford/Mitoma/Mac

    Toney/Watkins/Isak

    Worth a -4, maybe to get Bruno or Maddison?

    1. A Fat Spanish Waiter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      My personal view is that Martinelli to Bruno will make up the 4 points by the end of GW 30… maybe not this week, but eventually.

      1. Ian Davis
        • 16 Years
        3 years, 6 days ago

        Cheers, I was thinking of the same thing.

  22. Drop Dead Tsimikas
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 6 days ago

    Loads of triangles, although some are less concerning than others. What would you do here, friends? 1 FT, 0.1 ITB, BB currently active.

    Kepa* - Steele*
    Chilwell* - Trippier* - Fofana*^ - Botman*^ - Estupiñan*
    Rashford*^ - Maddison* - Odegaard - Trossard - Saka
    Kane - Haaland^ - Watkins*

    1. Roll FT
    2. Odegaard > Mitoma
    3. Trossard > Mitoma
    4. Kane/Haaland (which?) + Odegaard > Bruno + Isak/Toney (which?)
    5. Something else?

    Currently on (C)hilwell, but will probably not be that brave come tomorrow night.

    1. LeytonOrient
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      Roll - I think you are solid.
      Would only consider Mitoma if you absolutely can’t stomach going without as he will be captained by a good %

    2. Mambino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      3

  23. Scalper
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 6 days ago

    Gtg?

    BB this week. May swap out defenders (Badiashile/white) but could just hold.

    Kepa
    Badiashile trips Mings Estupinan
    Mitoma Maddison Bruno Rashy
    Havertz Watkins

    Steele Saka Kane White

    6.1 ITB

    1. LeytonOrient
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      I would make the move on DEF. Chillwell or Shaw would be my targets.

  24. LeytonOrient
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 6 days ago

    How confident are we that Iversen is nailed?
    Will Saliba be fit?
    Erling wtf?

    I am dreading pulling the trigger on BB and only having 12/15 play.
    Have Ward, Saliba & Haaland.

    1. SAKA AND EMILE SMITH ROWE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      Saliba will miss the Leeds game for sure, Ward lost his place & Haaland not been in training - sorry to be the bearer of bad news

      1. LeytonOrient
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 6 days ago

        Thank you for being so polite about it. Softens the blow x

  25. OffsidePenalty
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 6 days ago

    BB active

    Kepa (Raya)
    Henry Schär Tripper (Zinchenko Chillwell)
    March Mitoma Saka Rashford (Maddison)
    Watkins Kane Toney

    A) Henry to Shaw
    B) Zinc to Shaw
    C) Henry/Zinc and Saka to Shaw and Fernandes for -4?

  26. Drogba Legend
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 6 days ago

    I have WC, FH and BB left. I think plan is FH32, WC33/4 and Bb at some point. Team this week below. Should I just drop arsenal players? 2.5 ITB

    Kepa**
    Chill** - Tripp ** - Botman**
    Ode - Saka - Rash** - MaCallister ** - Maddison **
    Toney** - Felix **

    A) Saka > Bruno
    B) White/Tark > Shaw
    C) Ode and Saka > Bruno and March/Mitoma
    D) something else?

    1. Drogba Legend
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      Bench is ward, Tark, Haaland and white

  27. abaalan
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 6 days ago

    Already done Martinelli -> Bruno
    BB 29, FH 32

    A) Saka -> Maddison -4
    B) Gabriel -> Shaw -4
    C) A & B -8
    D) No hit

    1. Mambino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      Either B or no hit - close call

  28. agueroooooney
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 6 days ago

    Is it safe to do Andreas to Mitoma now or should I wait for pressers? Have exact funds and will be priced out if he rises tonight

    1. Mambino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      I think there is a way to check if a price rise is likely but not sure how. If there is a risk a price rise do it

    2. mrelpea
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      You can check on fplstatistics.co.uk

      1. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 6 days ago

        Both fplstatistics and fffix have Mitoma rising tonight … it’s not a perfect prediction but would be a real concern if a rise prices you out.

    3. mrelpea
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      Just had a look and mitoma will most likely go up tonight or tomorrow morning (he’s second highest on the list)

    4. mrelpea
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 6 days ago

      If I were you, I’d probably do it tonight

      1. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 6 days ago

        I’d agree with this and do it tonight

  29. Podorsky
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 6 days ago

    Get Mioma or Bruno is my big dilemma. Want both really but involves getting rid of Martinelli for a -4. Decisions decisions.

  30. Why do I do this?
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 6 days ago

    I’ve made a transfer this week already.

    If I now play my free hit will that transferred in chap be in my squad next GW or will it revert to my GW 28 squad?