Spot the Differential
5 May 2023 376 comments
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Gameweek 35 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is nearing, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Nottingham Forest, Manchester City and Leicester City, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.


MORGAN GIBBS-WHITE

  • FPL ownership: 0.6%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: SOU | che | ARS | cry

Morgan Gibbs-White (£5.5m) has been a key figure for Nottingham Forest this season, claiming four goals and nine assists.

Ten of those attacking returns have arrived in 16 starts at The City Ground, which is where he has produced his most eye-catching displays. On home turf, he ranks fifth among all FPL midfielders for chances created and 18th for shots, highlighting his all-round threat.

Time and again this season, Gibbs-White has shown he is an excellent no. 10 who can create and score goals, with his ability to drop into pockets of space just behind the forward causing plenty of problems for opposition backlines.

Nott’m Forest have put six goals past Brentford, Brighton and Hove Albion and Liverpool in their last three matches, a period that has seen Gibbs-White record two goals and two assists.

The final match of Gameweek 35 sees Steve Cooper’s side host Southampton, a fixture that will have huge implications for the relegation battle. Forest have picked up 24 of their 30 points at The City Ground in 2022/23, while Saints are winless in nine, so the home side will go into this one as favourites.

Gibbs-White is a key player for Forest and can be a nice midfield differential in Gameweek 35, who can capitalise on Southampton’s set-piece weakness.


JULIAN ALVAREZ

FPL Gameweek 34: Sunday's goals, assists, bonus points + statistics
  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: LEE | eve | CHE + bha | bre

After tipping Riyad Mahrez (£7.3m) last week, this time it’s the turn of Man City team-mate Julian Alvarez (£6.0m).

The Argentine deputised for Kevin De Bruyne (£12.2m) in Double Gameweek 34, impressing with a goal and assist at Craven Cottage last weekend.

Now, with the first leg of Man City’s UEFA Champions League semi-final against Real Madrid on Tuesday, Pep Guardiola could rotate some of his key players again, allowing Alvarez another start.

He tends to make the most of every opportunity he gets, too: no team-mate bar Erling Haaland (£12.4m) has a better goals-per-minute ratio than Alvarez this season. In fact, in his last four starts in the league, he has six attacking returns and three double-digit hauls.

Man City have claimed victory in 11 of their last 12 league outings, suggesting their match with relegation-threatened Leeds United – the league’s leakiest defence – will be another routine home win. The visitors, of course, now have Sam Allardyce at the helm, but it’s debatable just how much of an impact he can make here, given that he will have overseen only three training sessions.

Furthermore, Guardiola’s side are averaging 3.0 goals per game on home turf since the Premier League resumed after the World Cup.

Alvarez’s recent form suggests he might be worth a punt in Gameweek 35. He could even be a captaincy shout if we get a team news leak that he starts and Haaland doesn’t.


JAMES MADDISON

FPL review: Maddison's elite numbers, Spurs' injury woes 1
  • FPL ownership: 5.0%
  • Price: £7.9m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: ful | LIV | new | WHU

Patience will probably be wearing thin for James Maddison’s (£7.9m) FPL owners right now, after his penalty miss against Everton in Gameweek 34.

However, he has now supplied assists in two of his three appearances under Dean Smith, a period that has seen him rack up 10 goal attempts, six shots in the box and nine chances created.

Those numbers compare well to other midfielders in that period (Gameweek 31 onwards). His three created chances per 90 minutes ranks fifth in his position, while his rate of shots (3.33 per 90) sits 10th among players who have played a meaningful number of minutes (180+).

He will benefit from having a reinvigorated Jamie Vardy (£9.1m) leading the line, as they look to replicate their Gameweek 34 link-up at Fulham on Monday. The Cottagers have lost seven of their last nine league matches, failing to keep a clean sheet in each of their last ten.

Leicester will look to expose those troubles and they arrive in pretty decent form, earning five points from their last three games. They are, however, with a shut-out since the World Cup, so will probably need their attackers to step up and deliver.

Maddison has no doubt frustrated a fair few FPL managers in recent times, but in isolation, feels like a good pick for his trip to Fulham.



376 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. HD7
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Bench
    Trippier or Shaw?
    Martinelli or Jota?

    1. Die Hard
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      A, B

  2. Boomerang V
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Bench one of:

    A) Trippier ARS
    B) Shaw whu
    C) Estupinan EVE
    D) Chilwell bou

    1. ball c
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      D

    2. Die Hard
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      D

  3. paza12
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Who is most important to own for rest of season, Salah or Kane? Cheers!

    1. ball c
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Salah

    2. Kay317
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      I think Salah has potential to score higher.

    3. The Mighty Hippo
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Salah

  4. Kay317
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Kepa
    Shaw, Estupinan, Stones
    Rashford, Grealish, March, Salah,
    Haaland, Jota, Watkins

    (Raya, Mitoma, Trips, Botman)

    1FT 1.4 mil ITB

    A) Good to go with correct line up?
    B) Grealish to Foden for a punt?
    C) Jota to Isak/Wilson?

    1. Die Hard
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Play Mitoma

      1. Kay317
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 8 days ago

        Instead of?

    2. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Mitoma over Jota

      1. Kay317
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 8 days ago

        Might be right.
        You think a foden punt is worth it?

  5. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    2FT...nothing ITB
    Not sure what to do...

    A Stick
    B Ederson to DDG to free up a City spot
    C Neco to Toti (3.8 DEF)
    D Something else

    Ederson
    TAA, Shaw, Estupinan
    Grealish Salah (vc) March Mitoma Rash Haaland (C) Isak
    Subs Iverson Jota Trippier Neco*

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Ederson out makes sense with 2FT. Assuming he's nailed for the season, which is possibly not true, he still won't keep a CS until then.

      Otherwise it's gotta be C ahead of A

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Jota to Wilson

      1. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 8 days ago

        Jota to Wilson next week

        1. Tonyawesome69
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 8 days ago

          I don't mind bringing that move forward 1GW but it depends on the person's interest in United/City options. Going DDG blocks Bruno

          1. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
            • 14 Years
            3 years, 8 days ago

            Ideally two City FWD but may mean swapping Alvarez in for Jota or Wilson for the DGW but would need to lose Ederson and Shaw before then

    3. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Has to be B. At this stage of the season, wasting a FT on a 5th def who you’re never gonna play for no financial gain is pointless.

  6. Tonyawesome69
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Current plans:

    If Haaland starts, likely save FT but could do Watkins to Alvarez (assuming he starts).

    If Haaland's benched, Salah (c) and Watkins to Alvarez assuming he starts.

    1FT 0.3ITB
    Ederson
    TAA Trippier Estupinan
    Salah March Bruno Rashford Mitoma
    Haaland Watkins
    (Kepa Shaw Botman Greenwood)

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Not completely ruled out Alvarez (c) over Salah if Haaland is benched

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Good idea. Thinking same, but what's holding me back is that I want 2FT next week to move from Newcastle defender to attacker which means Alvarez this week is effectively a hit

      1. Tonyawesome69
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 8 days ago

        I'm happy going with double def and Isak/Wilson if I bring in Alvarez this GW. I would find it difficult to pass up on the Alvarez opportunity if we get a leak

        1. Biggsy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 8 days ago

          Yeah maybe, had set my sights on a Wilson/Isak double up - already have the latter plus same 2xdefenders as you

          1. Tonyawesome69
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 8 days ago

            Also it'll be for a hit if I save the FT as I need to upgrade the 3rd FWD in Greenwood to Wilson/Isak. Easier for you with 3 playing FWDs

            1. Biggsy
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 11 Years
              3 years, 8 days ago

              Yeah. Still sorely tempted if we got some decent leak action (and the site holds up)

              1. Tonyawesome69
                • 7 Years
                3 years, 8 days ago

                Yeah I just want to attack the remaining GWs. For the deadline tomorrow, I would suggest having both browser loaded and app installed

  7. The Mighty Hippo
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Play two from the following:

    a) March
    b) Isak
    c) Watkins

    1. Kay317
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      AB

  8. ball c
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Bench one:

    A) Mitoma
    B) Solanke
    C) Watkins
    D) March

    1. The White Pele
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      B

  9. Ten Season Wonder
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    anyone still holding Saka? If so, what are your plans?

  10. Bobby Crush
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Question is, will KDB start to get some minutes to prepare for RM, or will he come off the bench?

    1. fantasist
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      I'd guess runout from bench and start vs Madrid

    2. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      I think he starts and prob goes off on 60ish, or HT if they are already 5-0 by then.

    3. GC123
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      He’s trained twice (Thursday and Friday). I think he plays an hour. If so, that’s enough for me to warrant keeping him

    4. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      thanks!
      I also lean towards a start, and early rest. However, that would also be the plan for Haaland. So can they plan that with both?

  11. fantasist
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Might just wait on City team leak before making transfers. Pep's rotation could be in full flow.

    1. Simon69
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      That's what I'm thinking. Could be worth hitting for potential starters like Alvarez and Foden vs this Leeds side.

  12. Goat
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    FPL site is down lol. Hopefully it stays down until tomorrow night

    1. fantasist
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Works for me

  13. Manani
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    best mid for 10.4m that is not Brighton or Rashford?

    1. Ten Season Wonder
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Bruno

    2. fantasist
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      I'd gamble on Foden

  14. Joelinton Travel Tavern
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    I need a set and forget keeper for the rest of the season. Can't be Steele as I already have 3 Brighton.

    Has to be DDG right? Even if it stops me getting Fernandes later?

    1. Ten Season Wonder
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      DDG safe bet. save point potential.

  15. Big Ronnie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Who to bench? Have excluded Haaland, Salah and Rashford from the options.

    A) Grealish (LEE)
    B) Mitoma (EVE)
    C) Mac (EVE)
    D) Alvarez (LEE)
    E) Watkins (wol)

    Start

    1) Kepa
    2) Raya

    1. Kay317
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Bench C
      Start....no idea, can't decide myself

      1. Big Ronnie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 8 days ago

        Cheers

  16. Aksekladden
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Will Gabriel play? Newcastle assets looks a lot more compelling if he is out.

  17. JurgenRodgers
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Play Vvd or Toney

    (Own Taa)

    1. TheSteel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Toney for sure

    2. Aksekladden
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Toney i think.
      I have a feeling Brafford will punish pool like they did earlier in the season.

      1. Aksekladden
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 8 days ago

        Brentford ffs

  18. GRPunk
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    I have an FT to burn.

    Is Watkins to Wilson silly? I have Isaak already.

    1. Aksekladden
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Save

      1. GRPunk
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 8 days ago

        I have 2 free, may look elsewhere to make a change.

        1. Aksekladden
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 8 days ago

          Fidnt catch the "burn".
          In that case you can set yourself up nicely for dgw36, but watkins may outscore the newcastle boys.

    2. GREEN JUMPERS
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      It's a legit strategy with recent goals, double next week

  19. TheSteel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    My guy tells me Haaland will be rested

    1. TheSteel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Gut*

      1. fantasist
        • 16 Years
        3 years, 8 days ago

        Thought you had an insider tip lol

    2. fantasist
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      I can see him starting, and then being subbed at half time if they have a good enough lead

    3. Simon69
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Hard to imagine when that record is there to be obliterated.

      1. Biggsy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 8 days ago

        Dixie Dean is still laughing at Haaland's attempts to get close to his record

        1. camarozz
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 8 days ago

          That is some record. Some man in fact.

        2. Simon69
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 8 days ago

          From beyond the grave? Spooky

      2. Aksekladden
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 8 days ago

        Dont think pep or erling cares.

        1. Simon69
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 8 days ago

          Incredibly hard to imagine.

    4. Aksekladden
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      He havent so far in the PL season. Eased back in after injury once, but other then that he has started when fit. Think that will continue. Light workout vs west ham.

    5. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Rested on the 67th minute.

  20. OptimusBlack
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    I would play Solanke so am asking this
    Who to play from those players
    Pick one GK & 3 Defenders
    Raya Kepa
    Tripper Schär Shaw Chilwell

    1. Aksekladden
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Bench raya and chilwell.

  21. Skout
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Bench
    A) Tripp
    B) Shaw

    1) MacA
    2) Grealish
    3) March

  22. Amartey Partey
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    To make a transfer or not make a transfer? That is the question.

    Pick the right City player and it feels like a big score.

    1. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Alvarez and/or Foden

  23. camarozz
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Play Isak or Eze?

    1. Kay317
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Isak

  24. Ten Season Wonder
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Thoughts on this team please folks and what to do... (2M ITB)

    A). Saka & Jota OUT; Salah & Alvarez IN? (-4)
    B). Just one of the above for no hit.
    C). Bank transfer
    D). Any other transfer? I'm open to suggestion!!

    Kepa
    Estu - Shaw - Trent
    Rashy - Grealish - Mitoma - Saka
    Haaland(c) - Jota - Watkins
    -----------------
    Subs: Raya; Tripps, Alexis, Pinnock.
    -----------------

    Thanks in advance

    1. Die Hard
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      This team needs Mo as first priority. Second priority it also needs Izak

      1. Ten Season Wonder
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 8 days ago

        - I want to wait until GW36 to bring in toon players.

        - I think Salah this week is good, but after that he plays LEI who will be battling for their lives in that game... then saints on final day (if they're not down by then) will be equally as hard.

        (Bruno Fernandes is another option

        1. RICICLE
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 8 days ago

          I would carry zero fears about LEI & SOU, both gutter teams

    2. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      I like A

  25. Danno - Emre Canada
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Evening all. Play Solanke or Mac Allister, Mac is playing fairly deep eh

    1. Nuka Girl
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      I have just now decided on Mac Allister based on betting sites and points predictor.

      1. Nuka Girl
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 8 days ago

        Plus I'm playing Kepa, which factored for me slightly.

        1. Danno - Emre Canada
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 8 days ago

          Thanks, yeah tough one

  26. OptimusBlack
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Who can get more pts this GW and good till end of season
    A- Kane & March -8
    B- Watkins & Maddison

  27. OptimusBlack
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Sorry for this reposted and Edit
    Who can get more pts this GW and good till end of season
    A- Rashford & Kane & March -8
    B- Saka & Watkins & Maddison

    1. GREEN JUMPERS
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      A

    2. Nuka Girl
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      A) Better points scorers, makes up the -8 with extra games, and fixtures better.

  28. GREEN JUMPERS
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Forest fan. Very tempted to bench March and play Johnson against Southampton (can't see him missing this one). Mistake?

    1. Die Hard
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Play March

  29. Flying Assassins
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Bench one:
    A) Shaw (a vs whu)
    B) Trippier (H vs ARS)

    Bench one:
    1) Mitoma (H vs EVE)
    2) March (H vs EVE)
    3) Isak (H vs ARS)

    1. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      B3

      1. RICICLE
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 8 days ago

        Why on earth would you bench Isak?

    2. Die Hard
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      B2

  30. MIGHTY JOE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Start Jota or Mitoma?

    1. Ten Season Wonder
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      I'm starting both. First on my bench is Tripps, second is Alexis Mac

    2. Kay317
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Jota is risky. Mitoma much safer option so I'd go with him.