Captain Sensible
6 May 2023 421 comments
Hibbo Hibbo
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With two goals, four bonuses and a combined 16-point haul preceding a hugely favourable encounter against Leeds United, record-breaking Erling Haaland (£12.4m) is the clear favourite for Gameweek 35’s Fantasy Premier League (FPL) armband.

Nevertheless, the Captain Sensible article is here to consider any chinks in his robotic armoury, whether the red-hot home form of Mohamed Salah (£13.0m) can challenge the Norwegian and also run the rule on some usual suspects and differential punts.  

These alternative armband options might be all the more important, should we get any pre-deadline heads-up on a benching for Haaland.

First, we will assess the fallout of the captain poll, before then analysing the best options, Rate My Team (RMT) and the Premier Fantasy Tools ratings ahead of Saturday’s 13:30 BST deadline.

THE CAPTAIN POLL

Haaland dominates the poll, backed by just under three-quarters of the total votes cast by users at the time of writing.

No other player has garnered more than 8% of votes, with Salah providing the Norwegian’s main competition. Jack Grealish (£7.3m) occupies third place with 3.69% of the vote, closely followed by Julian Alvarez (£6.0m) and Kevin De Bruyne (£12.2m).

THE CANDIDATES

ERLING HAALAND/JULIAN ALVAREZ

Haaland’s deft chip against West Ham United on Wednesday night gave the Norwegian his 35th goal, already breaking the single-season Premier League record.

The Manchester City marksman received a guard of honour from teammates in acknowledgement of his superb debut season, with early-season questions about his suitability for Pep Guardiola’s system and the Premier League now a very distant memory.

While it’s almost churlish at this stage to examine Haaland’s recent underlying data, the Norwegian continues to dominate the majority of key metrics.

Over the last six matches, Haaland’s non-penalty expected goals (NPxG, 4.80), 13 big chances and 13 shots on target are all division-leading

Above: Erling Haaland leads the division for big chances (13) and shots on target (13) over the last six matches.

In his current form and with a hugely favourable fixture, how do you oppose him?

A strong indication from Guardiola that the Norwegian will be preserved for Real Madrid – or a trusted team leak that he’s benched – represents the only opportunity without committing Fantasy suicide.

Man City’s title ambitions are firmly in their own hands, holding a slender one-point lead over Arsenal with a game in hand.

It’s no secret that Guardiola’s pursuit of Champions League glory has been a high priority for their Abu Dhabi ownership, so resting Haaland could be on the cards after three successive 90-minute outings.  

Meanwhile, Alvarez produced a 12-point haul at Fulham last weekend, scoring a screamer from 25 yards to put Man City on top. With possible rotation taking place, the Argentinian may be afforded another opportunity to impress and continue his recent run of form. Again, we await a possible team leak.

Since Premier League action resumed in Gameweek 17, Alvarez has scored five goals, supplied three assists and collected seven bonus points – averaging 7.33 FPL points per start.

City’s opponents Leeds are under the new stewardship of Sam Allardyce but face an uphill battle for top-flight survival that starts at the Etihad Stadium. A five-game winless streak hastened the departure of Javi Gracia and, without a clean sheet in ten, their underlying defensive numbers look ominous.

The last half-dozen matches have seen Leeds concede the most goals (19) of everyone, ranking second-worst for non-penalty expected goals conceded (NPxGC, 12.52).

MOHAMED SALAH/TRENT ALEXANDER-ARNOLD



Hibbo Author of Captain Sensible. I write Fantasy Premier League articles, focusing on stats and strategy. Four top 10k finishes. 22/23 Rank - 6123.  Follow them on Twitter

421 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Saintjack01
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Estupinan or trippier?

    1. kennethrhcp
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      to start?

      Est

    2. Kane and Ablett
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Estup for me I think it’ll be high scoring on Tyneside

  2. Tsssst
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Have Haaland and Isak...

    Watkins to Wilson or Alvarez?

    1. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Keep Watkins. Roll and do the transfer next week.

  3. Jack Burton
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Morning all last pick for my defence Estupian, Trippier or Shaw many thanks

    1. Amsterhammer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Really hard. I think West Ham and Arsenal will score. So Estu just.

      1. Jack Burton
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        Cheers mate good luck I'm on him at the moment

  4. Kane and Ablett
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Estup

    1. Kane and Ablett
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Reply fail to Jack above, I think Estup is a top pick this week as a clean sheet is likely and Everton are weak on that flank

      1. Jack Burton
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        Nice one cheers mate good luck

  5. Kane and Ablett
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Play Pep Roulette with Grealish or punt on Willock? Ex-Arsenal in a goal fest…. And I’m always chasing…

    1. Jack Burton
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      I'm on Grealish at the moment fingers crossed we get some early news

  6. Urban Cowboy.
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Start Marti or Toney? Leaning towards Marti.

    1. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Yep, me too.

  7. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    If no team news:
    A) KDB -> Son
    B) Keep KDB

    1. XX SMICER XX
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      A

  8. WVA
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    I think this should be a hot topic?

    A. March
    B. Watkins

    1. Trippier
    2. Shaw

    For me March has a far superior fixture but the second one is really tough!

    1. XX SMICER XX
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      A2

      1. WVA
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        Agree I think, although United only have one clean sheet away from home when Shaw has played and he's playing CB now.

    2. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      A2

    3. Atimis
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      I’m on A2 but probably Tripp will backfire big time…

      1. WVA
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        The chances of him keeping a clean sheet are so low though, it would be incredibly unlucky for him to score/haul

      2. WVA
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        The chances of him keeping a clean sheet are so low though, it would be incredibly unlucky for him to score/haul

  9. Tsssst
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Anyone else getting young Philip Walter Foden in?

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Already have him!

    2. XX SMICER XX
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Yes if it’s leaked Mahrez is benched

    3. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Not yet. For their double maybe.

  10. dshv
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Play

    1. Martinelli
    2. Eze

    1. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      1

  11. pnitishmk
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Any suggestions with 1FT & 1.3m itb?

    Kepa
    Mings, TAA, Trippier
    Martinelli, March, Grealish, Maddison
    Kane, Haaland, Watkins
    (Raya, Mitoma, Botman, Mee)

    1. Conners
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Roll FT then get Newcastle Isak or Wilson next week

  12. Mufc202020
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    A) TAA, Martinelli, Mac10
    B) Dunk, Saka, Rashford

    1. KDB United
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      If you don’t have Estup and can’t get to him then I would go B

  13. Conners
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Taking a punt on Alvarez.

    GL all

    Pope
    TAA - Shaw - Dunk
    Salah (vc) - Rashford - March - Mitoma
    Haaland (c) - Alvarez - Watkins

    Raya / Trippier - Zinch - Andreas

    1. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Nice!

    2. Assisting the assister
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Yep think I might join - fun move anyway. Also weighing up Grealish >Bruno if he’s benched

  14. The Philosopher
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Deadline day RP

    Start two:

    A: Jota
    B: Grealish
    C: Isak

    1. Gazzpfc
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      I got rid of Jota for a hit

      Playing March instead of Grealish

    2. The Philosopher
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Or may be Jota -> Alvarez and start him?

  15. Gazzpfc
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Play

    1 Grealish
    2 March

    ???

    1. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      1

  16. Make United Great Again
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Kepa (ew I know)
    TAA Shaw Moreno
    Mitoma Rashford Salah Grealish
    Alvarez Haaland Wilson

    Raya, Saka, White, Trippier

    G2G?

    1. Conners
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Yeah, all good. Let's hope Alvarez gets 30+ mins today.

  17. Riggs
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Steele Kepa
    TAA Akanji Shaw (Trippier) (Botman)
    Salah Rashford Grealish March Mitoma
    Haaland Isak (Jota)

    Are Jota and Grealish OUT -> Alvarez and Fernandes IN worth -4?

    1. KDB United
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      I’m currently considering this too. Who would you bench?

      1. Riggs
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        Probably Isak if I make the moves

        1. KDB United
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 26 days ago

          I would probably hold so.

          Alvarez mins still unsure and you are taking -4 to bench someone in good form.

  18. Forgetmeknot
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Anyone struggling with who to play in Macallister (EVE) vs Watkins (wol)?

    1. Tinkermania
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Nope. Just you.

      1. Forgetmeknot
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        Nice to know there’s still some individuality in a game of 10m

  19. Gazzpfc
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Done -4 Jota and Watkins for Isak and Wilson

    DDG
    Trent Stones Estupinian
    Mitoma Salah March Rashford
    Haaland Isak Wilson

    Raya Grealish Trippier Moreno

    Anything to change????

    1. Tomerick
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Wow. Were double Newcastle strikers essential this week?

      1. Gazzpfc
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        It was for next week and Jota was an injury doubt so took the -4

        1. Tomerick
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 26 days ago

          Seems to me you could’ve played Watkins and brought in the other next week but it’s your team.

          I also wouldn’t bench Grealish over them unless we hear he isn’t playing.

  20. Tomerick
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Bench one:
    A) Watkins
    B) Eze
    C) Martinelli

    1. Conners
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      B

    2. John Nerdelbaum
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      b

  21. Bobby_Baggio
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Morning all. 2FT + 0.2m ITB. Not sure where to use my FT or use both?

    Edersen
    TAA - Estupinan - Dalot
    Grealish - Salah - Rashford - Mitoma - March
    Haaland - Isak

    (Iversen) - Jota - Trippier - Coufal

    A) Jota > Wilson (who do I bench?)
    B) Grealish + Jota > Bruno + Alvarez
    C) Coufal > Lindelof
    D) Anything else

  22. Kodap
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Is this g2g? Or is anything worth a -4?

    Steele
    Trent - Trippier - Shaw
    Grealish - Salah - Mitoma - Rashford
    Haaland (c) - Watkins - Isak

    Raya - Mac10 - Botman - Zinchenko

  23. Moneymar
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Raya to Kepa/Steele?

  24. 03farmboy
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Wilson or Isak?

  25. Wheyyyy
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Four questions, need to know. Cheers!

    1. Will Grealish start?
    2. Will Foden start?
    3. Will Mahrez start?
    4. Will Nunez start?

    1. John Nerdelbaum
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      2 looks the most likely

  26. KDB United
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    1 FT 0.0 ITB

    Steele
    Trip VVD Shaw
    Mitoma Rash Mac10 Salah Grealish
    Haaland Watkins

    Kepa Jota Botman Pinnock

    A. Roll transfer
    B. VVD and Jota > TAA and Isak (-4)

    If B then:
    1. Play Watkins
    2. Play Isak

  27. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Is there a point in using FTs at this stage of season to transfer City assets in and out?

    Like getting rid of Grealish or buying Alvarez only to get rid of him next week?

    1. John Nerdelbaum
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      I think Grealish is a sell if he's benched today (and it looks likely) and I wouldn't be fussed about getting him back

    2. Tinkermania
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Yes. If you think they will haul heavily, there is a point.

  28. John Nerdelbaum
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Morning

    Steele
    Trippier TAA Shaw
    Salah Rashford Grealish Mitoma Mac Allister
    Haaland Toney

    Kepa/Botman/Henry/Greenwood. 2.2m ITB

    Grealish to Bruno if we get news that Grealish is benched?

    1. sam4775
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Am I G2G guys?

      Steele
      TAA Trippier Esupinan
      Rashford Salah Mitoma Grealish
      Haaland Toney Watkins

      Raya, Eze, White,

      1. sam4775
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        Planning to bring Wilson in for Watkins next week, or should I just do that now?

        Cheers

        1. John Nerdelbaum
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 26 days ago

          I would just keep Watkins this week

    2. sam4775
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Oops, sorry for the other comments!

      Grealish to Bruno sounds sensible

      1. John Nerdelbaum
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        That's OK Sam, I forgive you

  29. Moneymar
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Bench one:

    Havertz
    Trippier
    Grealish

    1. John Nerdelbaum
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Havertz lol

    2. Tinkermania
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      It's spelt Alvarez not Harvetz!

      1. Tinkermania
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        Or Havertz even.

        1. Tinkermania
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 26 days ago

          Wait! You have Havertz?

  30. DavvaMC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Who to start? Think Martinelli could be benched?

    A. Marti
    B. Solanke
    C. Marti to Foden or Bruno

    Thanks

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      C

      1. DavvaMC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        Thanks, who would yo go for? Foden, Mahrez or Bruno?